公用事业 2026年02月09日 若研究知 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 ● 累计成交量 8.65 亿吨，累计成交额 576.63 亿元。2025 年全年配额成交量 2.35 亿吨，同比增长 约 24%，交易规模持续扩大。但受价格回落影响，成交均价 62.36 元/吨，成交额 146.3 亿元，同 比下降 19.23%。2025 年，纳入全国碳市场配额管理的重点排放单位共计 3378 家，其中发电、钢 铁、水泥和铝冶炼行业重点排放单位分别为 2087 家、232 家、962 家和 97 家。全国碳市场重点 排放单位碳减排意识持续加强，配额清缴完成情况保持在高水平，全国温室气体自愿减排交易市 场支持领域讲一步扩大，市场迎来快速扩容。自 2025 年 10 月 20 日至 ...

2月9日，国电电力大宗交易成交199.14万股，成交额931.98万元，占当日总成交额的1.02%，成交价4.68 元，较市场收盘价4.68元持平。 | 反崇参立 日志 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 交易日期 | 证券简称 | 证券代码 | 成交价(元) 成交金额(万元) 成交量( * ) 买入营业部 | | | 卖出营业部 是否为专场 | | 026-02-09 | 国电电力 | 600795 | 4.68 931.98 | 199.14 | 芬蘭曼國家國家區 | 顏榮載購 ко | ...

行 业 及 产 业 公用事业 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 莫龙庭 A0230523080005 molt@swsresearch.com 傅浩玮 A0230522010001 fuhw@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 - 2026 年 02 月 09 日 碳交易市场规模持续扩大 全球气价 回落 看好 —— 申万公用环保周报(26/2/02~26/2/06) 本期投资提示： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 ⚫ 电力：2025 年碳市场交易规模持续扩大。截至 2025 年 12 月 31 日，全国碳排放权交易市场配额 累计成交量 8.65 亿吨，累计成交额 576.63 亿元。2025 年全 ...

行 业 及 产 业 公用事业 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 行 业 研 究 / 行 业 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 证券分析师 王璐 A0230516080007 wanglu@swsresearch.com 朱赫 A0230524070002 zhuhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 2026 年 02 月 09 日 成本端缓和电价压力 燃气毛差弥补 销量影响 看好 —— 公用事业行业 2025 年报业绩前瞻 本期投资提示： ⚫ 风险提示：煤炭、天然气价格高波动，电力消纳不及预期，来水不及预期。 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 - ⚫ 火电：煤价、电价均下行，容量电价稳收益。2025 年煤价走势先降后升，二季度下跌到低点后三四季度价格反 弹。全年秦皇岛 5500 大卡动力煤现货均价为 697 元/吨，同比下降 18.47%。煤价自年初开始下跌，2Q25 煤价 下降至均价 632 元/吨，环比下降 12.36%， ...

Group 1: Development Goals and Framework - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) has set the annual development goals centered on "two guarantees and two strives" for 2026, marking a shift towards quality and efficiency in state-owned enterprises (SOEs) [4] - The total assets of central enterprises have surpassed 95 trillion yuan, with R&D investment exceeding 1 trillion yuan for four consecutive years, indicating a focus on quality-driven growth [8] - The framework aims to guide state capital towards strategic security, public welfare, and emerging industries, providing a clear action plan for reform and development [4] Group 2: Industry Integration and Collaboration - In 2025, the restructuring of central enterprises will follow a dual-track approach, focusing on strategic formation of new central enterprises and multi-field professional integration [13] - The establishment of new central enterprises, such as China Yajiang Group and China Chang'an Automobile Group, aims to serve national macro strategies and enhance industry collaboration [14] - A total of 17 units signed agreements in key areas like artificial intelligence and new materials, creating a multi-party collaborative model involving central enterprises, private enterprises, and local governments [16] Group 3: Capital Investment and Fund Management - The total scale of the China Chengtong fund system reached 710 billion yuan, with 97.99% allocated to strategic emerging industries, demonstrating a strong focus on high-tech sectors [18] - The National Investment Group manages 61 funds with a total scale of 345.1 billion yuan, having invested in 1,249 projects and facilitated 293 companies going public [20] - The investment strategy emphasizes long-term support for innovative enterprises, with over two-thirds of funds directed towards private enterprises [20] Group 4: Resource Integration and Security - Central enterprises are undergoing intensive integration in key mineral sectors, such as iron ore and rare earths, to enhance resource control and pricing power [24] - The integration aims to create a closed-loop industry chain, improving domestic supply security and reducing reliance on imports [25] - This strategic move is seen as a vital step in ensuring national resource security and enhancing the global influence of China's mineral resources [24]

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2026 02 08 年 月 日 电力 中电联预计 26 年用电增速 5%-6%，2 月代理购电价整体下行 本周行情回顾：本周（2.2-2.6）上证指数报收 4065.58 点，下跌 1.27%，沪深 300 指数报收 4643.60 点，下跌 1.33%。中信电力及公用事业指数报收 3131.31 点，上 涨 0.15%，跑赢沪深 300 指数 1.49pct，位列 30 个中信一级板块涨跌幅榜第 14。个 股方面，电力及公用事业板块上市公司大部分下跌。 增持（维持） 行业走势 -10% -2% 6% 14% 22% 30% 2025-02 2025-06 2025-10 2026-02 电力 沪深300 作者 分析师 张津铭 执业证书编号：S0680520070001 邮箱：zhangjinming@gszq.com 分析师 高紫明 执业证书编号：S0680524100001 邮箱：gaoziming@gszq.com 分析师 刘力钰 执业证书编号：S0680524070012 邮箱：liuliyu@gszq.com 分析师 张卓然 执业证书编号：S0 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The thermal power sector shows strong performance with stable capacity pricing contributing to profitability [1] - The average earnings growth for 31 public utility companies is projected to increase by 28% year-on-year for 2025, with notable growth from thermal power companies [7] - The introduction of a new capacity pricing mechanism is expected to enhance revenue for thermal power plants, with an estimated increase of 0.016 CNY per kWh in 2026 compared to 2025 [17][21] - The shift towards capacity and auxiliary service revenues is redefining the profitability model for thermal power, moving away from traditional energy pricing [7] Summary by Sections 1. 2025 Earnings Forecast - 31 companies reported earnings forecasts, with significant growth from thermal power companies such as Jinkong Power (+446%), Jiantou Energy (+253%), and Jingneng Power (+104%) [15] - Water power companies like Qianyuan Power saw a nearly 175% increase, while leading hydropower company Yangtze Power maintained a steady 5% growth [15] 2. Capacity Pricing Mechanism - The new capacity pricing mechanism will raise the standard to at least 165 CNY per kW per year, with some provinces like Gansu and Yunnan increasing it to 330 CNY per kW per year [17][21] - The overall capacity compensation market is projected to reach 188 billion CNY in 2026, significantly boosting thermal power revenue [21] 3. Industry Trends - The report highlights a transition in the thermal power sector towards a model that emphasizes capacity and auxiliary services, which are becoming core profit sources [7] - The focus on market capitalization management and dividend commitments from companies like Guodian Power is expected to enhance the valuation of thermal power assets [7] 4. Recent Policy Developments - Recent announcements regarding local electricity pricing mechanisms indicate a trend towards more competitive pricing structures in the market [25][26] - The implementation of new trading rules in various provinces aims to stabilize and enhance the efficiency of electricity markets [25][26] 5. High-Frequency Data Tracking - Recent data shows stable coal prices at Qinhuangdao, with a slight decrease in inventory levels at northern ports [31] - The report notes fluctuations in natural gas prices, with domestic prices remaining higher than at the beginning of the year while international prices have shown volatility [31]

公用事业行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 电量有望稳健增长，新能源装机增速放缓 公用事业行业周报（2026.02.02-2026.02.06） 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 行业 公用事业行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 02 月 08 日 孙辉贤 执业证书编号：S0860525090003 sunhuixian@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 | 新建新型储能容量电价，多元电价体系逐 | 2026-02-01 | | --- | --- | | 步完善：公用事业行业周报（2026.01.26- | | | 2026.01.30） | | | 火电电量降幅收窄，基金持仓底部提升： | 2026-01-25 | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.19- | | | 2026.01.23） | | | 气温拖累单月电量，26 年有望平稳增长： | 2026-01-18 | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2026.01.12- | | | 2026.01.16） | | 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联 ...

新春临近，在位于内蒙古西北边陲的国电电力乌力吉峰储电站，工作人员顶着寒风开展工作。他们不仅 守设备，更心系周边牧民。 截至2025年底，电站已连续安全生产超6200天，累计发电量突破44.6亿千瓦时。戈壁风不停，这群人坚 守岗位，点亮的不只是万家灯火，更是持续可靠的温暖力量。 0:00 / 6:06 ...

2020-2025年中国火力发电量产量统计图 数据来源：国家统计局，智研咨询整理 上市企业：华能国际（600011）,大唐发电（601991）,国电电力（600795）,华电国际（600027）,京能电 力（600578）,浙能电力（600023）,豫能控股（001896）,申能股份（600642）,建投能源（000600）,皖 能电力（000543） 相关报告：智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国火电行业市场全景调查及投资潜力研究报告》 根据国家统计局数据显示：2025年12月中国火力发电量产量为5812亿千瓦时，同比下降3.2%；2025年1- 12月中国火力发电量累计产量为62945.5亿千瓦时，累计下降1%。 知前沿，问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构，十数年持续深耕产业研究领域，提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力，专注于提供完善的产业解决方案，为您的投资决策赋能。 ...