Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [9]. Core Views - The company is a leading player in waste-to-energy in Hunan Province, focusing on stable revenue growth and profitability through its waste incineration projects and strategic acquisitions [9][14]. - The integration of waste incineration with IDC (Intelligent Data Center) presents significant collaboration potential, especially in the Changsha region, and the company is actively expanding its overseas projects [9][14]. - The company has a strong cash flow position, supporting high dividend payouts, with a commitment to maintain a cash dividend ratio of no less than 50% in the long term [9][14]. Summary by Sections 1. Hunan Province Waste-to-Energy Leader - The company focuses on waste incineration power generation, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.5% in revenue and 11.0% in net profit from 2019 to 2024 [9][18]. - As of Q1 2025, the company has a waste incineration capacity of 11,800 tons per day, contributing significantly to local energy needs and carbon reduction [14][18]. 2. Strong Asset Base and Expansion - The company holds a 46.31% market share in Hunan's waste incineration market, with ongoing projects enhancing its competitive edge [30][31]. - The acquisition of 63% of Renhe Environment allows for vertical integration in the waste management chain, enhancing operational efficiency [52][54]. 3. Synergy of Waste Incineration and IDC - The company is leveraging its waste incineration capabilities to support IDC operations, which is expected to benefit from government policies promoting green computing [57][75]. - The integration of waste-to-energy solutions with data centers is projected to improve energy efficiency and reduce operational costs [57][63]. 4. Profitability and Financial Outlook - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 750 million, 797 million, and 841 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15.7, 14.7, and 13.9 [9][11]. - The company maintains a robust cash flow, with operating cash flow reaching 971 million yuan in 2024, supporting its high dividend payout policy [22][27].
军信股份（301109）：龙出湘江——长沙固废一体化龙头，先发布局垃圾焚烧+IDC