CSG Energy(003035) 东吴证券·2024-03-31 16:00Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 2.988 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 3.46%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 43.90% to 310.74 million yuan [3] - The biomass power generation business has significantly dragged down the company's performance, leading to a strategic consideration to exit this segment due to issues such as equipment maintenance, subsidy delays, and high fuel prices [3] - The company's main businesses in industrial energy conservation and building energy conservation continue to grow steadily, with revenues of 1.470 billion yuan and 905 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 23.01% and 18.25% respectively [3] - The company is seizing opportunities in distributed energy development and plans to aggressively enter the distributed wind power sector in 2024, supported by favorable policies for rural distributed renewable energy development [3] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for 2024-2025 has been adjusted downwards to 4.52 billion yuan and 6.02 billion yuan due to significant losses in the biomass segment and potential project exits [4] - The expected net profit for 2026 is projected to be 718.12 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 45.31%, 33.23%, and 19.37% for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively [4] - The company’s P/E ratios for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 are estimated to be 42, 32, and 26 respectively, indicating a favorable long-term outlook due to stable growth in its core businesses [4]