2023年业绩点评：餐饮反弹，食品稳健

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [2][3]. Core Viewpoints - The company is expected to continue expanding its restaurant business by opening new stores and focusing on demand trends in the food sector to pursue high-quality growth. The strategy is clear, leveraging brands like Guangzhou Restaurant and Tao Tao Ju to enhance brand influence while using mooncakes and other food products as primary profit growth sources [3][33]. - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 4.901 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.17%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 550 million yuan, up 5.21% year-on-year. The fourth quarter alone saw a revenue of 1.025 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 32.73% [31][32]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The overall gross margin for the company in 2023 was 35.62%, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.01 percentage points. The restaurant business saw a significant gross margin increase to 19.94%, up 18.03 percentage points year-on-year, while the food business gross margin was 41.12%, down 2.19 percentage points [13]. - The company opened 14 new restaurant locations in 2023, including 4 Guangzhou Restaurant and 10 Tao Tao Ju outlets, bringing the total to 43 direct-operated restaurants [32]. Business Strategy - The company aims to maintain a steady pace in opening new direct-operated restaurants and acquiring authorized restaurants as contracts expire, expanding its offline network. It will continue to launch new products in its advantageous areas, such as Chinese pastries, to smooth out the seasonality of mooncake production and enhance capacity utilization [3][33]. - The company is focused on creating a large-scale food and beverage brand, with a long-term goal of becoming a century-old renowned brand and an internationally recognized dining group [33]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 647 million yuan, 745 million yuan, and 839 million yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, corresponding to current price-earnings ratios of 16, 14, and 12 times [33].