Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology (688153) 东吴证券·2024-04-28 09:00Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's profitability continues to improve, driven by the successful mass production of its flagship products and the introduction of new customers [1] - The company achieved revenue of 3 billion yuan in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 30%, and net profit attributable to the parent company of 100 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 110% [2] - The company's L-PAMiD product has achieved market breakthroughs and sales growth, with PA module revenue reaching 2.6 billion yuan in 2023, accounting for 88% of the main business revenue [2] - The company has successfully entered the supply chains of major smartphone brands such as Xiaomi, OPPO, and VIVO, as well as ODM manufacturers like Huaqin Communications, Longqi Technology, and Wingtech Technology [2] - The company has launched Wi-Fi 7 products and achieved mass production, further strengthening its product portfolio [2] - The company is expected to achieve net profit attributable to the parent company of 4.5 billion yuan in 2024 and 5.7 billion yuan in 2025, with a new forecast of 7.3 billion yuan for 2026 [2] Financial Forecasts and Valuation - Revenue is projected to grow from 2.982 billion yuan in 2023 to 5.465 billion yuan in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.97% [2] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 112.29 million yuan in 2023 to 730.05 million yuan in 2026, with a CAGR of 302.18% [2] - EPS is forecasted to rise from 0.27 yuan in 2023 to 1.75 yuan in 2026 [2] - The P/E ratio is expected to decrease from 194.95 in 2023 to 29.98 in 2026, indicating improving valuation metrics [2] Market and Industry Insights - The company is a leading domestic RF front-end PA manufacturer, with a strong presence in both 4G and 5G markets [2] - The company has established a comprehensive RF front-end solution provider status, with products covering 2G to 5G and Wi-Fi 6/6E/7 [2] - The company's L-PAMiD product has achieved mass production, marking a breakthrough in high-integration modules for domestic RF front-end products [2] - The company's products are widely recognized for their performance and stability, making it a high-quality supplier in the domestic market [2] Financial Performance - In 2023, the company's operating income was 2.982 billion yuan, with a gross profit margin of 24.76% [7] - The company's net profit margin attributable to the parent company increased from 3.77% in 2023 to 12.42% in 2024, and is expected to reach 13.36% by 2026 [7] - The company's ROE is projected to increase from 2.78% in 2023 to 12.59% in 2026, reflecting improved profitability and efficiency [8] Key Financial Metrics - The company's total assets are expected to grow from 4.819 billion yuan in 2023 to 6.945 billion yuan in 2026 [7] - The company's debt-to-asset ratio is forecasted to remain stable, ranging from 15.14% to 16.54% from 2024 to 2026 [8] - The company's operating cash flow is projected to increase from 744 million yuan in 2023 to 560 million yuan in 2026, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [8]