BOE(000725) 长江证券·2024-05-16 03:02Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [4]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 45.9 billion yuan for Q1 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.84%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 984 million yuan, a significant increase of 297.80%, closely aligning with the upper limit of forecasts. The net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 597 million yuan, marking a substantial turnaround from losses. The net operating cash flow reached 16.2 billion yuan, up 60.34% year-on-year. Non-recurring gains mainly consisted of government subsidies amounting to 449 million yuan [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q1 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 45.9 billion yuan, a 20.84% increase year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 984 million yuan, reflecting a 297.80% increase. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 597 million yuan, indicating a significant recovery from previous losses. The net operating cash flow was 16.2 billion yuan, up 60.34% year-on-year, with non-recurring gains primarily from government subsidies of 449 million yuan [4][5]. Market Outlook - According to Omdia statistics, the LCD panel utilization rates for January to March were 75%, 64%, and 82%, respectively, showing a slight improvement from the average in Q4. The company’s LCD business faced minimal sequential decline pressure. Looking ahead to Q2 and Q3 of 2024, traditional panel stocking season is expected to drive demand due to major sporting events, which will likely lead to continued price increases for large-size LCDs. The prices for 65-inch and larger TV panels have already surpassed last year's peak levels, with further upward trends anticipated. Additionally, some IT products are showing slight price increases due to production capacity constraints, which is beneficial for the company [5]. Future Projections - The company aims to achieve a shipment target of 160 million flexible OLED panels for the year, representing over 30% growth. There are expectations for price increases in entry-level Android products, which may help the flexible OLED business reach breakeven or reduce losses. The operating cash flow for 2024 is projected to exceed 45 billion yuan, and if capital expenditures remain at last year's levels, free cash flow could surpass 20 billion yuan. As capital expenditure needs decline in the future, there is significant potential for increased dividends, positioning the company as a high-dividend asset in the future. EPS estimates for 2024-2026 are projected at 0.18, 0.29, and 0.40 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 24.20X, 15.03X, and 10.86X [5].