业绩再超预期，浆纸一体化驱动价值重构 玖龙纸业(2689) [Table_Industry] 林纸产品 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | | [当前价格 Table_CurPrice] (港元)： | 7.46 | [Table_Market] 交易数据 玖龙纸业公司更新报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 刘佳昆(分析师) | 021-38038184 | liujiakun@gtht.com | S0880524040004 | | 毛宇翔(分析师) | 021-38038672 | maoyuxiang@gtht.com | S0880524080013 | 本报告导读： 玖龙业绩再超预期，FY26H1 预计盈利 19.5-20.5 亿元，浆纸一体化驱动公司价值重 构 投资要点： | 财务摘要(百万元人民币) | FY2024A | FY2025A | FY2026E | FY2027E | FY2028E | | --- | --- | --- | - ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [5] Core Insights - The company has exceeded performance expectations, with FY26H1 projected earnings between 1.95 billion to 2.05 billion RMB, driven by the integration of pulp and paper operations [2][9] - The integration of pulp and paper production is expected to significantly enhance profitability, with major contributions from new capacities in Hubei and Beihai [9] - The company anticipates further price increases in short-fiber pulp and improvements in profitability for cultural and white card paper, which are currently at historical low levels [9] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections are as follows: - FY2024A: 59.50 billion RMB - FY2025A: 63.24 billion RMB - FY2026E: 69.30 billion RMB - FY2027E: 76.29 billion RMB - FY2028E: 84.02 billion RMB - Revenue growth rates are expected to be 4.9%, 6.3%, 9.6%, 10.1%, and 10.1% respectively [3][10] - Net profit projections are as follows: - FY2024A: 750.68 million RMB - FY2025A: 1.77 billion RMB - FY2026E: 4.00 billion RMB - FY2027E: 4.40 billion RMB - FY2028E: 4.84 billion RMB - Net profit growth rates are expected to be 131.5%, 135.4%, 126.6%, 9.8%, and 10.2% respectively [3][10] - The company’s PE ratio is projected to decrease from 20.31 in FY2024A to 7.23 in FY2028E, indicating increasing valuation attractiveness [3][10] Market Data - The current stock price is 7.46 HKD, with a market capitalization of 35.00 billion HKD and a 52-week price range of 2.82 to 7.46 HKD [6][10]

港股公司 证 券 研 究 报 告 太平洋航运（02343.HK）深度研究报告 推荐（首次） 经营稳健、穿越周期的小宗散运龙头船东， 有望受益于行业持续复苏 ❖ 风险提示：宏观经济下行、运力供给过剩、油价大幅波动等。 邮箱：wuchenyue@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523070001 [主要财务指标 Indicator_FinchinaSimpleHK] | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万美元) | 2,582 | 2,336 | 2,369 | 2,423 | | 同比增速(%) | 12.4% | -9.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | | 归母净利润(百万美元) | 132 | 98 | 156 | 217 | | 同比增速(%) | 20.4% | -25.2% | 58.8% | 39.0% | | 每股盈利(美元) | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 | | 市盈率(倍) | 16 | 21 | 13 | 9 | | 市净率(倍) | 1 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [7] Core Insights - The company has shown steady performance despite high base effects, with currency fluctuations potentially causing short-term profit disturbances. The expansion of Miu Miu continues in 2026, and the consolidation of Versace will contribute new revenue streams. The overall customer base remains stable, and the industry is entering a new normal [2][11]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to reach €5,432 million in 2024, with a growth rate of 14.9%. By 2027, revenue is expected to increase to €6,640 million, maintaining a growth rate of 7.8% [4]. - Gross profit is forecasted to be €4,337 million in 2024, increasing to €5,325 million by 2027, with a consistent gross margin around 80% [4][15]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to grow from €839 million in 2024 to €1,046 million in 2027, reflecting a growth rate of 25.0% in 2024 and around 9.0% in 2027 [4][15]. Market Outlook - The company anticipates a retail sales growth of approximately high single digits for the full year 2025 at constant exchange rates, leading the industry. The retail growth for Q4 2025 is expected to be in the mid-single digits, slightly slowing from Q3 [11]. - Miu Miu is projected to contribute an additional 10%-15% in retail space, focusing on the Eurasian region, with plans to expand into the low-penetration U.S. market by 2027 [11]. - The luxury goods industry is shifting from rapid growth to a "new normal," characterized by market share consolidation among strong brand DNA companies [11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Sands China [2][16]. Core Insights - The company achieved net revenue of USD 2.058 billion in Q4 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 16.2%. Adjusted property EBITDA reached USD 608 million, up 6.5% year-over-year, with an adjusted property EBITDA margin of 29.5% [4][12]. - The performance of the company's properties varied, with The Venetian and Plaza showing net revenue increases both year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter, while The Parisian and Sands underperformed [13][14]. - The company's gaming gross revenue increased significantly to USD 2.02 billion, up 23.1% year-over-year, driven by growth in VIP and premium mass segments [5][14]. - The adjusted EBITDA margin declined to 29.5%, down 2.7 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to a shift in business structure and rising operating costs [6][15]. - The company's market share improved to 24.4% in Q3 2025, up from 23.7% in Q3 2024, indicating a positive trend in competitive positioning [7]. Financial Projections - For FY 2026 and 2027, net revenue is projected to be USD 7.937 billion and USD 8.363 billion, respectively, with gaming gross revenue expected to reach USD 7.652 billion and USD 8.082 billion [16]. - The adjusted property EBITDA is forecasted to be USD 2.483 billion in 2026 and USD 2.643 billion in 2027, with corresponding adjusted property EBITDA margins of 31.3% and 31.6% [16].

港股公司 证 券 研 究 报 告 太平洋航运（02343.HK）深度研究报告 推荐（首次） 经营稳健、穿越周期的小宗散运龙头船东， 有望受益于行业持续复苏 ❖ 风险提示：宏观经济下行、运力供给过剩、油价大幅波动等。 [主要财务指标 Indicator_FinchinaSimpleHK] 航运 2026 年 01 月 29 日 目标价：3.70 港元 当前价：3.12 港元 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：吴一凡 邮箱：wuyifan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360516090002 证券分析师：吴晨玥 邮箱：wuchenyue@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523070001 证券分析师：卢浩敏 邮箱：luhaomin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524090001 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万美元) | 2,582 | 2,336 | 2,369 | 2,423 | | 同比增速(%) | 12.4% | -9.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | | ...

研究报告 Research Report 29 Jan 2026 新东方-S New Oriental (9901 HK) 超预期并上调指引；降本增效战略持续显效 Beat and Raise guidance; efficiency improvement strategy is yielding results [Table_yemei1] 观点聚焦 Investment Focus [Table_Info] 维持优于大市 Maintain OUTPERFORM 评级 优于大市 OUTPERFORM 现价 HK$46.04 目标价 HK$52.00 HTI ESG 5.0-5.0-5.0 E-S-G: 0-5, (Please refer to the Appendix for ESG comments) 市值 HK$75.29bn / US$9.65bn 日交易额 (3 个月均值) US$19.47mn 发行股票数目 1,635mn 自由流通股 (%) 88% 1 年股价最高最低值 HK$47.24-HK$32.85 注：现价 HK$46.04 为 2026 年 01 月 29 日收盘价 资料来源： F ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for New Oriental Education & Technology Group (9901.HK) [1] Core Insights - New Oriental's FY26Q2 results exceeded expectations, with net revenue of $119.1 million, a year-on-year increase of 14.7%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of $4.55 million, up 42.3% [2] - The growth in revenue was primarily driven by a rebound in new education business and the recovery of Dongfang Zhenxuan, while profit growth outpaced revenue due to a 1.2 percentage point increase in gross margin and a 2.6 percentage point decrease in sales expense ratio [2] - The company has successfully implemented its shareholder return plan, including a cash dividend of $0.06 per ordinary share and a share buyback plan of $300 million, with approximately 1.6 million ADS repurchased to date [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY26Q2, New Oriental's gross margin and net profit margin were 53.3% and 3.8%, respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 1.2 and 0.7 percentage points [4] - The company reported a deferred revenue balance of $2.162 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.2% [3] Business Segments - The new education business, which includes quality education and intelligent learning systems, grew by 21.6% year-on-year in FY26Q2, a significant rebound from 15.3% in FY26Q1 [3] - The overseas examination preparation and consulting business showed mixed results, with a year-on-year growth of 4.1% and a decline of 3.0%, respectively [3] Future Guidance - The company projects FY26Q3 revenue growth of 11-14% and an annual revenue growth of 5-10% for FY26 [5] - Long-term, New Oriental is expected to maintain steady revenue growth in its core education business, with new business growth projected at 20-25% [5] - The report maintains revenue forecasts of $5.297 billion, $5.778 billion, and $6.296 billion for FY26, FY27, and FY28, respectively, along with net profit forecasts of $458 million, $526 million, and $577 million for the same periods [5]

[Table_StockAndRank] 玖龙纸业(2689.HK) 投资评级 上次评级 [Table_Author] 姜文镪 新消费行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500524120004 邮箱：jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com 李晨 新消费行业分析师 执业编号：S1500525060001 邮箱：lichen1@cindasc.com 证券研究报告 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲127号金隅大厦B 座 邮编：100031 公司研究 [Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_Title] 玖龙纸业：盈利改善超预期，浆纸协同优势放 大 [Table_ReportDate] 2026 年 1 月 29 日 [Table_S 事件：公司发布 ummary] FY26H1 业绩预告（截至 25 年 12 月 31 日的六个月）。公 司预计此期间盈利为 21.5-22.5 亿元（同比+216.0%~230.7%），剔除永续 资本证券持有人应占盈利 2.01 亿元后，归母净利润为 19.5-20.5 亿元（同 比 ...

市公司 d同研究 公司点 社会服务 2026 年 01 月 29 日 食 产品 产品 行动 1017/977 产品组合优化，经营效益大幅提升 报告原因:有业绩公布需要点评 增持(维持) | 市场数据: | 2026年01月28日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价 (港币) | 22.10 | | 恒生中国企业指数 | 9512.24 | | 52 周最高/最低（港币） | 53.70/10.12 | | H 股市值（亿港币） | 232.89 | | 流通 H 股（百万股） | 1,053.81 | | 汇率（港币/人民币） | 0.8943 | 一年内股价与基准指数对比走势: 763% 163% 资料来源：Bloomberg 相关研究 证券分析师 黄哲 A0230513030001 huangzhe@swsresearch.com 联系人 多平台销售策略。东方甄选在抖音上持续开设新账号，并计划启动长期招聘计划招揽新主播。同 时公司也于微信小程序、微信小店、天猫、京东、拼多多及小红书等不同平台开设网店。26 年公 司首家线下体验店即将在北京中关村开幕，成为公司深化渠道布局的又一举措。 用户基数庞大， ...