证 券 研 究 报 告 六座 SUV 行业深度研究报告 推荐（维持） 六座 SUV 的蓝海机遇与红海竞争 2026 年预计有 5 款 20 万元级六座 SUV 新车上市，优秀车型有望达到 1-2 万 辆的月销。比亚迪、上汽各 2 款，长城 1 款，优秀车型销量有望比肩当前比亚 迪唐，甚至问界 M9、M8，达到月销 1-2 万辆以上，考虑到车价越高、利润率 和单车盈利越大，成功六座 SUV 对车企实力、财报表现的重要性极高。 ❑ 红海：高端六座 SUV 25 年扩容，26 年竞争再度加剧。市场扩容速度远远跟不 上新增供给（25 年 84 万辆/+26 万辆）——预计 2025 年底至 2026 年有 22 款 重磅新车上市（25 年为 9 款），其中奇瑞 4 款，理想 3 款，比亚迪、小鹏各 2 款，零跑、北汽、长城、东风、广汽、赛力斯、上汽、蔚来、小米、一汽、长 安各 1 款。 高端六座 SUV 市场竞争异常激烈的同时，我们也看到了一些新的产品定义或 策略的变化：①产品策略从大小六座尺寸组合转为高低价格组合（eg 问界 M8/9），②尺寸仍在变大（eg 蔚来 ES9），③电池容量仍在增加。在六座 SUV 供给 ...

2月11日，中国汽车工业协会发布2026年1月汽车产销数据及经济运行情况。作为"十五五"开局之年的首 份成绩单，1月车市呈现出鲜明的内外冷热不均：乘用车市场环比、同比双双下降，新能源汽车国内销 量罕见出现近两成同比下滑，但与此同时，商用车延续复苏态势，汽车出口总量同比增长44.9%，其中 新能源汽车出口同比倍增，成为开年车市最大亮点。 外国品牌阵营中，与去年12月相比，五大主要品牌销量均呈两位数下降；与去年同期相比，仅美系品牌 实现两位数增长，德系、日系、韩系、法系品牌均呈不同程度下降。 中国汽车工业协会陈士华在发布会上表示，1月市场下行主要受三方面因素影响：一是新能源汽车购置 税政策切换调整；二是多地购车补贴政策处于年度交替窗口期；三是部分消费需求已在2025年提前释 放。他认为，2026年开年首月，国家已密集推出一系列惠民惠企政策，其中"两新"政策平稳有序衔接， 各地正在陆续跟进发布实施细则；《加快培育服务消费新增长点工作方案》聚焦汽车后市场服务等重点 领域。随着相关政策的细化落实，有助于推动车市需求企稳回升。"'十五五'时期是我国汽车产业向高 质量转型的关键窗口期，需要行业在保持市场稳健运行的同时，着力 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company Gude Electric Materials (301680.SZ) is focusing on the research, production, and sales of thermal runaway protection components for new energy vehicle power batteries and high-performance insulation products, with a strong emphasis on customized solutions for clients [1] Company Overview - Gude Electric Materials has established itself as a primary supplier for several global automotive manufacturers and battery producers, including General Motors, Ford, Stellantis, Tesla, Hyundai-Kia, Toyota, BMW, Geely, Li Auto, Xpeng, and FAW Group, as well as leading battery manufacturers like CATL, Sunwoda, and Hive Energy [1] - The company is set to issue shares at a price of 58 yuan per share, with a maximum subscription limit of 4,500 shares and a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.96 times [1] Market Analysis - The global battery system safety protection market is projected to grow from 1.75 billion yuan in 2020 to 11.54 billion yuan by 2024, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 60.25%, and is expected to reach 32.42 billion yuan by 2029 [2] - Mica materials are increasingly being utilized in thermal runaway protection for new energy vehicles, with the mica materials market expected to reach 3.35 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for approximately 29.03% of the global battery system safety protection market [2] Industry Growth - The global new energy vehicle sales are primarily concentrated in China, Europe, and the United States, with China accounting for over 50% of global sales. By 2024, new energy vehicle sales in Europe and the United States are projected to be 2.89 million and 1.57 million units, respectively [3] - The global new energy vehicle sales are expected to reach 22.40 million units by 2025, with China projected to account for 16.50 million units [3] Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenues of approximately 475 million yuan, 651 million yuan, and 908 million yuan for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024, respectively, with net profits of approximately 64.23 million yuan, 98.03 million yuan, and 166 million yuan for the same years [5] - For the fiscal year 2025, the company anticipates achieving revenues of 1.09 billion yuan, representing a growth of 20.05% year-over-year, and a net profit of 177.47 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 3.32% year-over-year [6]

2月25日，可申购创业板的固德电材（301680.SZ）。该公司主营业务为新能源汽车动力电池热失控防护 零部件及电力电工绝缘产品的研发、生产与销售。 热失控防护是保障新能源汽车安全的关键环节，固德电材作为较早进入新能源汽车动力电池热失控防护 领域的领先企业之一，经过多年技术积累和创新，获得了多项省级和国家级科技认定。2021年公司实验 室被认定为江苏省省级企业技术中心，2022年被工信部评定为国家级专精特新"小巨人"企业，2024年3 月被评定为江苏省省级工程技术研究中心。截至2025年上半年，公司已获得专利96项，其中发明专利36 项，实用新型60项。 值得注意的是，固德电材提醒投资者，公司面临贸易政策风险。2022年至2025年上半年，公司部分下游 客户为美国企业，公司新能源汽车热失控防护业务直接出口美国的产品销售收入分别为0.51亿元、1.13 亿元、2.25亿元和0.71亿元，占营业收入的比例分别为10.80%、17.38%、24.73%和15.44%。由于美国关 税政策变化频繁，公司难以预测未来关税政策变化及关税水平，若主要出口市场长期维持或加码高关税 等贸易限制政策，可能导致公司境外销售增速放缓及 ...

热失控防护是保障新能源汽车安全的关键环节，固德电材作为较早进入新能源汽车动力电池热失控防护 领域的领先企业之一，经过多年技术积累和创新，获得了多项省级和国家级科技认定。2021年公司实验 室被认定为江苏省省级企业技术中心，2022年被工信部评定为国家级专精特新"小巨人"企业，2024年3 月被评定为江苏省省级工程技术研究中心。截至2025年上半年，公司已获得专利96项，其中发明专利36 项，实用新型60项。 客户方面，固德电材聚焦新能源汽车热失控防护领域，目前已成为多家全球知名整车制造商及电池生产 商的一级供应商，与通用汽车、福特、Stellantis、T公司、现代起亚、丰田、宝马、吉利、零跑、小 鹏、一汽集团等整车制造商，以及宁德时代、欣旺达、蜂巢等电池生产商在内的行业领军企业建立了长 期稳定的合作关系。同时，固德电材已获得多家下游客户的高度认可：荣获通用汽车"2024年度供应商 质量卓越奖"、吉利集团"24年度最佳服务供应商"、零跑汽车"卓越贡献供应商"、东方电气"战略供应 商"等荣誉。 值得注意的是，固德电材提醒投资者，公司面临贸易政策风险。2022年至2025年上半年，公司部分下游 客户为美国企业，公 ...

Group 1 - The automotive market in China is expected to maintain strong growth in 2025, driven by government policies promoting consumption, with significant recovery in both truck and bus markets [1] - In January 2026, the commercial vehicle market is anticipated to experience structural growth due to equipment upgrade subsidies, particularly in the electrification of logistics and transportation [1][4] - The overall automotive sales in 2025 are projected to reach 34.392 million units, with a cumulative growth rate of 9%, while January 2026 saw a decline of 4% year-on-year in total automotive sales [6][21] Group 2 - The differentiation between passenger and commercial vehicles has become more pronounced in recent years, with passenger vehicle consumption improving and commercial vehicle sales weakening [4][11] - In January 2026, the sales of new energy passenger vehicles totaled 870,000 units, reflecting a 2% year-on-year decline, influenced by policy adjustments and market pressures [21] - The competitive landscape among traditional fuel passenger vehicle manufacturers is shifting, with domestic brands gaining strength against joint ventures, particularly in the context of declining sales for traditional fuel vehicles [27] Group 3 - The truck market is showing robust growth, with January 2026 sales reaching 320,000 units, marking a 28% year-on-year increase, indicating a strong demand for logistics and transportation solutions [34][36] - The bus market is expected to remain stable, with head manufacturers performing well, primarily driven by demand for light and micro commercial vehicles [30][32] - The overall automotive industry is experiencing significant differentiation in growth rates among manufacturers, with private enterprises increasingly replacing state-owned enterprises as industry leaders [11][18]

Core Viewpoint - Xiamen C&D Inc. (hereinafter referred to as "C&D Inc.") has announced a projected net loss of 5.2 billion to 10 billion yuan for the fiscal year 2025, primarily due to non-cash losses, while its core supply chain operations remain profitable and its global expansion shows significant results [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - The projected loss is mainly attributed to increased inventory impairment provisions at its subsidiary, Lianfa Group Co., Ltd., and losses from fair value changes of investment properties at Red Star Macalline Group [2]. - C&D Inc. had previously accounted for the potential impairments related to Red Star Macalline in its acquisition price, which was approximately 21 billion yuan for 100% equity, with a corresponding net asset value of about 52.8 billion yuan [2]. - Despite the negative apparent profits from Red Star Macalline since Q4 2023, the overall impact on C&D Inc.'s financials remains manageable, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 6.686 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025 [2]. Group 2: Strategic Development - C&D Inc. continues to maintain a solid performance in its core supply chain operations, which serve as a stabilizing factor for the company amid financial pressures [4]. - The company has outlined a strategic development plan for its supply chain operations from 2026 to 2030, focusing on high-quality growth and reinforcing its brand positioning as "Chinese-style trading company with global development" [4]. - The company aims to accelerate its internationalization efforts, with a target of achieving an overseas business scale of 14 billion USD (approximately 1 billion yuan) by 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 37% [4]. Group 3: Industry Insights - Industry experts believe that the projected loss for 2025 is a superficial impact due to cyclical fluctuations in the industry, and the core operational quality of C&D Inc. remains unchanged [6]. - The steady profitability of the supply chain business and the ongoing deepening of global expansion are expected to lay a solid foundation for the company's long-term development [6].

Core Viewpoint - Fawer Co., Ltd. emphasizes its independence as a publicly listed company and its commitment to market-oriented operations, stating that it is not solely a supplier for FAW Group and is not restricted from supplying other automakers [1] Group 1: Client Base and Orders - The company has diversified its client base beyond FAW Group, now serving automakers such as Chery, Geely, Changan, BYD, Great Wall, as well as new energy vehicle companies like Seres, NIO, Xpeng, and Leap Motor [1] - In 2024, the company secured 307 new orders, with 142 from external markets, resulting in an external order revenue share of 48%, and over 80% of these being from new energy orders [1] - For the first half of 2025, the company obtained 141 new orders, with 62 from external markets, leading to an external order revenue share of 44%, and over 70% of these being from new energy orders [1] Group 2: Revenue Structure and Strategy - The company has seen a year-on-year increase in the share of external market revenue, indicating a continuous optimization of its revenue structure [1] - The company is advancing its large chassis integration strategy, focusing on expanding its presence in the new energy sector and external markets through acquisitions of core assets and concentrating on its main business development [1] - Future plans include further upgrading product structure and enhancing profitability to capitalize on the opportunities presented by the electrification and intelligent development of the automotive industry [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tianqi Mould (002510) is planning a significant asset restructuring by acquiring shares of Dongshi Automotive Technology Group Co., Ltd. through a combination of issuing shares and cash payment, with trading suspension effective from February 6 [1][4]. Group 1: Transaction Details - The transaction is currently in the planning stage, with the preliminary counterparty identified as Desheng 16 Enterprise Management (Tianjin) Partnership [3]. - Tianqi Mould has signed a "Suspension Intent Agreement" with the major shareholder of Dongshi, agreeing to purchase shares based on an evaluation report from a qualified assessment agency [4]. - The final transaction price will be determined through negotiations based on the assessment results [4]. Group 2: Company Background - Tianqi Mould is a leading enterprise in the domestic automotive mould industry, focusing on the research, design, production, and sales of automotive body covering moulds and related products [3]. - Dongshi operates in the upstream automotive sector, specializing in the research, manufacturing, and sales of automotive parts, with a comprehensive product range across body, chassis, and power systems [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, Tianqi Mould reported approximately 1.485 billion yuan in revenue, a year-on-year decrease of 22.61%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 52.06 million yuan, down 42.41% year-on-year [5].

Core Viewpoint - Fengmao Co., Ltd. has initiated the construction of an intelligent chassis thermal control system production base in Yuyao, Zhejiang, marking a significant step in its strategic layout in the smart automotive components sector [1] Group 1: Project Overview - The project covers 120 acres of land and involves a total investment of 1.5 billion yuan, to be developed in two phases [1] - The new facility will focus on enhancing the research and production capabilities of thermal management systems, air suspension systems, and sealing systems to meet growing market demand [1] Group 2: Company Background - Fengmao Co., Ltd. is a national-level specialized and innovative "little giant" enterprise engaged in the R&D and industrialization of precision rubber components, primarily serving the automotive sector [1][2] - The company has established long-term partnerships with major automotive manufacturers such as SAIC Group, FAW Group, Geely, Changan, and Dongfeng Nissan, and has become a qualified supplier for renowned automotive parts companies like Cummins [2] Group 3: Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 674 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.58%, with the third quarter alone showing a revenue of 242 million yuan, up 4.46% year-on-year [3] - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to raise up to 610 million yuan, aimed at funding its main business development, including the intelligent chassis thermal control system production base and an annual production project for 8 million automotive hoses [3] Group 4: Market Trends and Future Outlook - The projects will expand the production capacity of non-tire rubber components such as automotive thermal management systems and air suspension systems to meet increasing market demand [4] - The global automotive thermal management system components market is projected to grow to 528.9 billion yuan by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 13.6% from 2024 to 2029, driven by the increasing penetration of electric vehicles [4] - The establishment of the new base is expected to enhance the company's competitiveness in the smart automotive components sector through capacity release and technological implementation [5]