2026 年 3 月 2 日 招银国际环球市场 | 市场策略 | 招财日报 每日投资策略 行业/公司点评 全球市场观察 行业点评 中国汽车行业 – 首两个月新能源车弱于预期，关注 3 月新车发布带动需求回 暖 理想与蔚来符合预期，小鹏不及预期。理想汽车 2 月交付量仅环比下滑 5% 至约 2.6 万台，表现优于大多数同行，主要得益于 25 年 9 月底发布的 i6 的 贡献。我们认为，将于二季度上市的新一代 L 系列的市场反馈是理想实现全 年超过 50 万台的销售目标的关键。小鹏汽车 2 月交付量环比下滑 24%至约 1.5 万台，低于我们此前的预期。尽管小鹏过去四个月发布了多款全新的增 程车型，其 1-2 月累计销量仍同比下滑 42%至约 3.5 万台。蔚来 2 月交付量 环比下滑 23%至约 2.1 万台，其中蔚来品牌贡献约 1.5 万台。尽管蔚来在 招银国际研究部 邮件：research@cmbi.com.hk | 环球主要股市上日表现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 收市价 | 升跌（%） | | | | | 单日 | 年内 | | 恒生指数 | 26,63 ...

交银国际研究 行业更新 行业评级 领先 2026 年 2 月 27 日 医药行业周报 ASCO GU 大会召开在即，板块波动中持续看好低估创新标的 行业与大盘一年趋势图 资料来源： FactSet 2/25 6/25 10/25 2/26 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 行业表现 恒生指数 丁政宁 Ethan.Ding@bocomgroup.com (852) 3766 1834 诸葛乐懿 Gloria.Zhuge@bocomgroup.com (852) 3766 1845 估值概要 | 公司名称 | 股票代码 评级 | | 目标价 | 收盘价 | | -----每股盈利----- | ----市盈率---- | | | ----市账率---- 股息率 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | FY26E | | | FY27E FY26E FY27E FY26E FY27E FY26E | | | | | | | | | ...

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 来自东北的民营中医诊所誉研堂，正加快脚步朝港交所走去。 1月27日，哈尔滨誉研堂中医门诊集团股份有限公司（下称"誉研堂"）宣布进一步委任老虎证券为联席 整体协调人。 更早之前的1月16日，公司已向港交所主板递交上市申请，并委任招银国际及国元国际为联席整体协调 人。 短短半个月内迅速增设整体协调人，显示出公司推进IPO的迫切心态。 这家起家于哈尔滨的中医连锁机构，试图讲述一个关于民营中医规模化与标准化的资本故事。 来源：财通社 01 从东北一隅到北方连锁 誉研堂的故事起点并不宏大。其历史可以追溯至2015年，创始人郭阳通过投资并创立哈尔滨华新普健中 医药研究院进入中医药行业，主要从事草药膏剂及药物研究。 三年后，2018年7月，公司以"哈尔滨膏珍堂中医诊所有限公司"的名称成立，第一家诊所落地哈尔滨。 郭阳今年42岁，早年经历不详，本人较为低调神秘。招股书披露，其于医疗及健康科技行业拥有丰富经 验，曾长期担任哈尔滨华新普健医疗科技有限责任公司执行董事及经理。 如今他仍在持续学习，一边在国家开放大学就读，一边在中欧国际工商学院攻读MBA，预计于今年10 月从该商学院 ...

Summary of Conference Call on Healthcare Services and Pharmacy Sector Industry Overview - The focus is on the healthcare services and pharmacy sectors within the pharmaceutical industry, particularly consumer-oriented segments, which are currently viewed positively due to historical low valuations after a prolonged adjustment period [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments Healthcare Services - The healthcare services sector has experienced significant declines, with current valuations at historical lows, indicating a potential for recovery by 2026 [1]. - Specific companies highlighted for their optimistic 2026 guidance include Tongce Medical, Gushengtang, and Aier Eye Hospital, all expected to show double-digit growth [1][2]. - The recovery in the sector is anticipated to be driven by improvements in supply structure and consumer environment, leading to a business rebound [2]. - Aier Eye Hospital is introducing new consumer-oriented surgical procedures, which may increase average transaction values despite stable surgical volumes [2]. Market Trends - Data from October 2025 shows positive growth in outpatient services in cities like Chongqing and Tianjin, with increases of 5-6% and 13-14% respectively [3]. - The overall trend indicates a recovery in both service volume and pricing, particularly in consumer-oriented medical fields like ophthalmology [3][4]. AI Integration - AI is expected to empower healthcare service companies, with applications like Ant Group's AI health app showing significant user growth, indicating a new growth driver for leading healthcare service firms [4][5]. Pharmacy Sector - The pharmacy sector is experiencing notable improvements in performance since Q3 2025, with leading companies showing consistent same-store sales growth [6]. - The sector is supported by government policies aimed at increasing industry concentration and chain store rates, which are expected to drive medium-term performance [6][7]. - Companies like Yifeng Pharmacy and Dazhong Pharmacy are highlighted for their strong cash flow and dividend yields, with Dazhong reporting a 60% dividend payout ratio [6][7]. Online vs. Offline Dynamics - The online pharmacy market is growing rapidly, but it serves a different demographic compared to traditional pharmacies, which cater more to older consumers [7][8]. - The online pharmacy market is projected to grow significantly, driven by products like GLP-1, but the overall growth rate may stabilize as both online and offline markets adjust [9][10]. Regulatory Environment - Recent government policies emphasize enhancing pharmacy service capabilities and supporting prescription outsourcing, which could lead to increased revenue opportunities for pharmacies [13][14]. - The focus on compliance and competition is expected to benefit larger pharmacy chains with established networks and resources for mergers and acquisitions [17]. Home Medical Devices - The home medical device sector is poised for growth due to an aging population and increasing health awareness, with significant potential in health monitoring devices like blood pressure monitors and glucose meters [18][19]. - Companies such as Yuyue Medical and Sanofi are recommended for their strong growth prospects in this segment [21]. Conclusion - The healthcare services, pharmacy, and home medical device sectors are expected to experience a bottom reversal, driven by improving fundamentals and supportive government policies. Key players in these sectors are well-positioned to capitalize on these trends, making them attractive investment opportunities moving forward [1][21].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [5][41]. Core Insights - The medical services and pharmacy sectors have undergone significant adjustments since 2021, with valuations and performance returning to historically low levels. For instance, leading companies like Aier Eye Hospital, Tongce Medical, and Yifeng Pharmacy have seen their total market values decline by 73.5%, 81.9%, and 45.9% respectively since the Spring Festival of 2021 [1][16]. - The consumer medical industry is experiencing an improvement in competition and safety margins, aided by the implementation of relevant policies and a potential recovery in consumer willingness to spend [2]. - The offline pharmacy sector is benefiting from policy incentives and an improved competitive landscape, with significant support for prescription outflow and industry restructuring [3][32]. Summary by Sections 1. Valuation Bottoming and Low Holdings - The medical services and pharmacy sectors have faced prolonged adjustments, leading to valuations at historically low levels. The public fund holdings in these sectors have also decreased [10][11]. - The leading companies in the industry have seen substantial market value adjustments, indicating a low public fund holding ratio [16]. 2. Accumulating Reversal Momentum - The medical services and pharmacy sectors are expected to experience a dual recovery in performance and valuation, driven by improved competition and policy clarity [21]. - The medical services sector is witnessing a gradual recovery in income growth, particularly in the ophthalmology sector, which has seen a slowdown in revenue growth after a rapid recovery period [22]. - The pharmacy sector is experiencing a shift towards health service platforms, supported by policy changes that encourage pharmacies to expand their service offerings [33]. 3. Investment Views - Focus on leading companies in the medical services sector that have strong chain expansion capabilities and supply chain advantages, such as Aier Eye Hospital and Tongce Medical, which are expected to benefit from consumer upgrades and market demand [4][37]. - In the pharmacy sector, attention should be given to leading chains with strong supply chain advantages and management capabilities, such as Yifeng Pharmacy and Dazhenglin, which are well-positioned to capture market share and benefit from policy changes [4][37].

Group 1: Core Insights - UBS's in-depth research in China identifies two main industry themes for 2026: self-sufficiency and overseas expansion [1] - The research covered various sectors including technology, industrial, healthcare, consumer, and utilities, visiting over 100 companies and industry experts [1] - The report highlights a shift in investor interest, with capital goods, media entertainment, and real estate development seeing increased research focus, while semiconductor and automotive parts sectors experienced a decline [1] Group 2: Technology Sector Insights - The technology sector is a key focus, with advancements in self-sufficiency moving from isolated breakthroughs to industry-wide collaboration [2] - AI capital expenditure is expected to grow steadily in 2026, driven by strong demand for AI applications and local semiconductor production [3] - Despite uncertainties regarding H200 GPU imports, domestic supply chains are adapting through technology substitution and demand upgrades [3] Group 3: Semiconductor Developments - The localization of China's semiconductor industry is accelerating, with significant progress in advanced etching/ deposition equipment, advanced packaging, and high-end analog chips [4] - Capital expenditure for wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) is projected to grow by 10-15% annually, driven by capacity expansion in advanced logic and memory wafer fabs [4] - Domestic manufacturers anticipate a substantial increase in storage capital expenditure in 2026, aligning with a global upcycle in the storage industry [4] Group 4: Overseas Expansion Trends - Multiple industries, including industrial, biopharmaceuticals, and consumer goods, are focusing on overseas expansion as a key growth strategy [6] - In the industrial sector, overseas orders for AIDC and renewable energy storage equipment are increasing significantly [7] - The healthcare sector is also prioritizing global expansion, with biopharmaceutical companies actively pursuing international collaborations and local sales team development [9] Group 5: Key Recommendations - UBS recommends several core stocks in the technology and semiconductor sectors, including Northern Huachuang (advanced etching/ deposition), Changdian Technology (advanced packaging), and Horizon Robotics (edge AI) [5][12] - In the healthcare sector, companies like WuXi AppTec (CRO/CDMO) and 3SBio (biopharmaceuticals) are highlighted as key beneficiaries of global expansion [12] - The consumer sector sees recommendations for Jason Furniture (overseas expansion) and Leap Motor (new energy vehicles), while Gree Electric Appliances is advised to sell due to margin pressures [12] Group 6: Overall Industry Outlook - The report concludes that China's industrial development in 2026 will be characterized by a dual focus on self-sufficiency in technology and overseas expansion in various sectors [13] - The integration of these two themes is expected to enhance China's economic globalization, with technology supporting overseas expansion and vice versa [13] - Investment opportunities are identified in sectors with low crowding and improving fundamentals, as well as in high-growth areas like AI and semiconductors [13]

Industry Rating - The report rates the pharmaceutical industry as "Leading" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the recent national procurement has been stable, with limited disruptions, and institutions are increasing their positions in innovative companies, maintaining a positive outlook on undervalued innovative targets [1][4] - The overall market sentiment has improved, driven by significant business development transactions, and the pharmaceutical sector is expected to continue its steady growth in 2026, despite potential short-term volatility [4][5] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index rose by 1.3% and the Hang Seng Healthcare Index increased by 5.0%, ranking second among 12 industry indices [4][6] - Sub-sectors such as biopharmaceuticals and CXO both saw a growth of 7.4% [6] Institutional Holdings - Since Q4 2025, the proportion of domestic capital holding pharmaceutical stocks through Hong Kong Stock Connect has slightly decreased, while foreign capital holdings have increased [32] - As of February 10, 2026, domestic holdings were at 22.2%, down 0.2 percentage points, while foreign holdings rose to 39.7%, up 0.9 percentage points [32] Sales Performance - In 2025, China's pharmaceutical market sales decreased by 1% year-on-year, with public hospitals accounting for the largest market share at 10,977 billion RMB, down 2.1% [5] - Retail pharmacy sales reached 5,878 billion RMB, growing by 2.4%, with online pharmacies seeing a significant increase of 13.6% [5] National Procurement - The recent national procurement round had a high selection rate of 93%, with 1,020 products from 1,091 participating companies expected to be implemented by the end of March 2026 [5] - The procurement process has seen increased participation and a diverse range of selected products, ensuring stability in clinical demand [5] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on innovative drugs, particularly companies like Sanofi and Hengrui Medicine, which have rich catalysts and clear long-term growth logic [4] - It also suggests looking into CXO companies benefiting from high downstream demand and improving financing conditions, such as WuXi AppTec [4]

Industry Rating - The report rates the pharmaceutical industry as "Leading" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the recent national procurement has been stable, with a high selection rate of 93%, indicating a positive outlook for innovative companies in the sector [4][5] - The market sentiment has improved, driven by significant business development (BD) transactions, suggesting a continuation of the positive trend in 2026 despite potential short-term volatility [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on fundamentals and valuations when selecting stocks, particularly undervalued innovative companies that have been overlooked during market fluctuations [4] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index rose by 1.3% and the Hang Seng Healthcare Index increased by 5.0%, outperforming the broader market [4][6] - Sub-sectors such as biopharmaceuticals and CXO both saw a growth of 7.4% [6] Institutional Holdings - As of February 10, 2026, domestic institutional holdings through Hong Kong Stock Connect slightly decreased to 22.2%, while foreign holdings increased to 39.7%, indicating a shift towards more positive sentiment among foreign investors [32] - Key increases in holdings were noted in leading CXO companies benefiting from demand recovery, such as Tigermed and WuXi AppTec [37][38] Valuation Overview - The report provides a valuation summary for various companies, with notable buy ratings for AstraZeneca, BeiGene, and others, indicating strong growth potential [3] - The average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the healthcare sector is reported at 28.4 times, with specific segments like biopharmaceuticals at 13.1 times [16] Sales Trends - The report notes a 1% year-on-year decline in China's pharmaceutical market sales for 2025, with significant variations across different sales channels [5] - Public hospitals accounted for the largest market share but experienced a 2.1% decline, while retail pharmacies saw a 2.4% increase, driven by online sales growth [5] Procurement Insights - The recent national procurement round involved 316 commonly used drugs, with a high participation rate and diverse product offerings, ensuring stable clinical supply [5] - The procurement process has been refined to enhance quality and reliability, with stricter requirements for participating companies [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Guoshengtang (02273), has successfully completed the issuance of convertible bonds totaling USD 110 million, with all conditions of the subscription agreement met [1] Group 1: Convertible Bonds Issuance - The total principal amount of the convertible bonds issued is USD 110 million [1] - The issuance was completed on February 12, 2026 [1] - If all convertible shares are fully converted at the initial conversion price of HKD 37.77 per share, a total of 22.9151 million shares will be issued [1]

Group 1 - The company, Guoshengtang (02273), announced that all conditions precedent under the subscription agreement have been fulfilled [1] - The total principal amount of the convertible bonds issued is USD 110 million, completed on February 12, 2026 [1] - Assuming all convertible shares are fully converted at the initial conversion price of HKD 37.77 per share, a total of 22.9151 million shares will be issued [1]