针对市场关注的美图是否会被大模型取代，报告分析认为，工具类软件可分为流程优化类和决策支持类，前者的价值更多 在于辅助工作流中各环节的实现，后者的价值更多在于辅助用户创作及决策的表达。大模型厂商推出的AI Agent，更多与前者 形成直接竞争，更容易取代的是聚焦单一环节的工具软件。而美图产品服务于用户主观审美，属于决策支持类软件，以服务用 户主观判断为核心，其通过对AI能力的整合可进一步提升其功能效果。 此外，从用户需求角度来看，美图现有客户群体天然不是类"AI一键修图"产品的受众，公司稳定付费用户的核心需求为创 作具有主观审美表达的照片，其核心竞争力在于提供了审美表达创作平台。这一结论亦有数据作为佐证，一方面，智能手机自 带修图功能逐渐丰富乃至融入AI功能，美图生活场景的MAU自2021年以来依然维持上升趋势；另一方面，美图产品也提供免 费美颜功能，但付费用户数仍持续提升，说明用户愿意为更具个性化的主观审美表达工具付费。 本报讯 （记者李豪悦）近期，美国大模型公司Anthropic推出的AI工具，引发市场对于软件行业叙事由"被AI赋能"到"被AI 吞噬"的担忧，进一步波及Adobe、美图等AI应用公司。浙商证 ...

▪核心结论：全年维度看好AI应用生产力（Agent）+泛娱乐（多模态）两大方向，以及延伸的IP看好价值释放，游 戏看好绩优方向。 ▪市场复盘：节前一周A股传媒受Seedance催化，板块放量上涨，影视、媒体、出版走强；节中港股大模型公司智 谱、Minimax大涨，交易GLM5发布+涨价+供不应求逻辑，今日恒科收涨+3.34%，两家大模型公司则波动较大。 AI：春节国产模型高密度迭代+霸榜海外openrouter最热榜单，字节Seedance等驱动漫剧行业非线性增长，我们 看好今年生产力、泛娱乐两大方向爆发，加速Token消耗及商业化。 建议关注H股【阿里】、【智谱】、【Minimax】、快手、美图、阜博，A股掌阅、中文、昆仑、值得买、焦点等。 开工大吉！以下是我们对板块的观点更新~ ▪核心结论：全年维度看好AI应用生产力（Agent）+泛娱乐（多模态）两大方向，以及延伸的IP看好价值释放，游 戏看好绩优方向。 ▪市场复盘：节前一周A股传媒受Seedance催化，板块放量上涨，影视、媒体、出版走强；节中港股大模型公司智 谱、Minimax大涨，交易GLM5发布+涨价+供不应求逻辑，今日恒科收涨+3.34%，两家 ...

行业点评报告 · 计算机行业 国产 AI 春节档攻势如潮，全球 AI 趋向务实 ——2026 年春节档 AI 产业动态点评 2026 年 2 月 23 日 核心观点 计算机行业 推荐 维持评级 分析师 吴砚靖 ：wuyanjing@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130519060002 邹文倩 ：zouwenqian@chinastock.com.cn 分析师证书编码：S0130519060003 相对沪深 300 表现图 2026 年 2 月 23 日 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 计算机SW 沪深300 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 事件：2026 年春节档，全球 AI 产业呈现分化特征，标志性事件体现为： 1、 国 产 AI 厂 商 借 助 春 节 效 应 争 夺 C 端 生 态 入 口 ， 并 一 度 屠 榜 OpenRouter 周度实时性价比榜单前三：2026 年春节期间，国产大模型 在开发者平台 OpenRouter 的实时性价比榜单上一度包揽前三。智谱 AI 同 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the extravagant year-end rewards distributed by various companies, showcasing a trend where firms, particularly in the tech and gaming sectors, are using lavish prizes to motivate employees and enhance brand visibility [2][3][45]. Group 1: Year-End Bonuses and Rewards - Henan Mining Crane Company distributed over 60 million yuan in cash bonuses, totaling more than 180 million yuan when including online distributions [2]. - Ying Shi Innovation is noted as the "king of year-end rewards," offering prizes including real estate and luxury cars, with a total prize value surpassing that of cash bonuses [3][6]. - Jiubite provided each employee with a 1TB iPhone 17 Pro Max, while the game producer received a property valued at tens of millions [11][9]. Group 2: Unique Prize Offerings - Mu Tong Technology awarded each employee a 5g gold bracelet, alongside various tech gadgets and a high prize distribution rate of 55% [24]. - Lilith Games offered a range of prizes including a 30g custom gold bar and high-end electronics, ensuring participation from all employees, including interns [13][14]. - Meitu's year-end event included stock awards and a global travel fund, emphasizing a focus on employee experience and engagement [15][18]. Group 3: Trends and Observations - The trend of showcasing wealth through year-end events is prevalent among smaller tech and gaming companies, contrasting with larger firms that tend to be more discreet [45]. - Experts suggest that while rewarding employees is important, companies should be cautious of turning year-end celebrations into displays of wealth, which could foster negative sentiments [45]. - The article notes that companies like Chasing Technology transformed their year-end events into large concerts, further emphasizing the shift in how these celebrations are conducted [22].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report highlights the growth of SF Express's urban delivery business, benefiting from the expansion of the instant retail industry, with significant revenue growth and improved profitability since its IPO [1] - The company has shown a steady revenue increase since its establishment in 2016, with a projected CAGR of approximately 34.3% from 2020 to 2024, and a revenue of 10.236 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 48.81% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 137 million yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 120.43% [1] Group 2 - The instant retail industry is experiencing accelerated growth, with user acceptance evolving from emergency needs to a daily lifestyle, and the market for non-food delivery expected to grow at a rate of approximately 27.7% by 2026 [2] - Major e-commerce platforms like JD.com and Alibaba are increasing their investments in the instant retail market, which is expected to further accelerate industry development [2] - The instant delivery industry is projected to maintain a high growth rate with a CAGR of about 17% from 2025 to 2028, driven by improved supply quality and expanding consumption scenarios [2] Group 3 - SF Express's strong brand and resource backing allow it to balance service quality and operational costs, positioning it well to benefit from the ongoing transformation in the instant retail sector [3] - Strategic collaborations within the SF Express ecosystem enhance customer loyalty and expand market reach, particularly in last-mile delivery services [3] - The company is actively enhancing its technological capabilities, including AI applications and autonomous delivery solutions, to improve operational efficiency and service delivery [3] Group 4 - Revenue projections for SF Express indicate expected revenues of 21.973 billion yuan, 33.956 billion yuan, and 40.901 billion yuan for 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 39.54%, 54.54%, and 20.45% respectively [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to reach 238 million yuan, 452 million yuan, and 687 million yuan for the same period, with significant year-on-year growth [4] - The company is positioned as the largest third-party instant delivery platform in China, with strong competitive advantages and favorable long-term growth prospects [4]

近7天内，杰富瑞作为研究机构活跃发布多项市场观点。经济预测方面，其经济学家指出美国通胀存在 下行风险，预计美联储可能实施三次降息。行业评论方面，其发布报告对英国财政状况和英镑持负面看 法。公司评级方面，其予美图"买入"评级。此外，机构对杰富瑞自身的评级显示，2026年2月有7家机构 发布观点，买入或增持占比达71%。 财报分析 杰富瑞于2026年2月2日更新了2025年第四季度财务指标。最新数据显示，每股收益(TTM)为0.85美元， 自由现金流为19.04亿美元，流动比率为2.43。公司2025财年三季报显示收入为52.75亿美元，同比增长 3.87%，但净利润同比减少4.34%至4.71亿美元。 机构观点 经济观察网杰富瑞(JEF.N)股价在近7天呈现波动走势。截至2026年2月11日收盘，股价报57.64美元，单 日下跌4.08%，当日振幅达5.95%。区间内最高价为2月10日的61.42美元，最低价为2月5日的56.00美 元，区间累计跌幅为2.09%。股价波动可能受市场情绪和机构活动影响。 近期事件 杰富瑞在近7天主要通过研报参与市场热点，如评论渣打银行首席财务官离职事件，认为其时机不利； 同时持续 ...

杰富瑞发表研报指，美图发布2025年财务表现预告，指引归属于股东之Non-IFRS经调整利润将录得60% 至66%按年增长，此预测中位数与市场共识相符。该行指，上述预测增长主要受核心业务如相片、影片 及设计产品业务因全球付费用户数显著增长而带动营收快速增长、海外用户增长速度超中国市场、毛利 增长速度快于营运费用增长速度，进而导致营运杠杆效应。该行予美图"买入"评级，H股目标价为12.5 港元，预期其将能把握AI GC生产力工具的长期潜力。 ...

展望后市，瑞银预测金价的上行情景目标价为7200美元/盎司，下行情景目标价为4600美元/盎司。该机 构认为，美联储立场若转向鹰派，可能加剧金价下行风险，而地缘紧张局势急剧升级则可能驱动金价更 接近上行情景。整体而言，瑞银继续看好黄金，并在全球资产配置中维持对黄金的看涨立场。 新股方面，今日国恩科技（HK02768）在港交所上市，首日高开25%，随后涨幅扩大到34%。 2月4日，港股市场小幅低开。 截至发稿，恒生指数开盘报26797.05点，下跌37.72点，跌幅0.14%。 | 分析 5日 = 5分 15分 30分 60分 日报 高K 月K 年K + | 前景区~ 其他· 黑ノ二 恒生指数 (HSI) | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 學生福歌 培林 · | 00000 26797.05 | | | 4-37-72 | | | | +-28058.10 28000.0 | 行情报价 | | | | | | | 域交通 | 1,64亿 超源 | 25797.05 今天 | 26797.05 | | | | 成交服 | 42.9亿 最低 | 24 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the social services industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights a strong performance in the duty-free sales sector in Hainan, with January sales reaching 4.26 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32% [5][15] - The company "Guoquan" is expected to achieve a revenue of 7.75-7.85 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.8%-21.3%, with net profit projected to be 443-463 million yuan, a significant increase of 83.7%-92% [21][24] - The AI application sector is experiencing notable growth, with "Meitu Design Studio" and "Kuaishou Keling" seeing substantial increases in user engagement and revenue [26][31] Summary by Sections Duty-Free Sales - Duty-free sales in Hainan are showing strong growth, with cumulative shopping amounts reaching 10.05 billion yuan since the new policy implementation, a year-on-year increase of 25.32% [15][17] - The average daily passenger flow at Haikou Meilan and Sanya Phoenix airports has increased, indicating a robust tourism market [18][19] Guoquan - Guoquan's revenue for 2025 is projected to be between 7.75-7.85 billion yuan, with a net profit of 443-463 million yuan, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [21][24] - The company plans to expand its store network significantly, adding 1,416 new stores to reach a total of 11,566, focusing on lower-tier markets [22][27] AI Applications - "Meitu Design Studio" has seen a significant increase in domestic traffic, with a month-on-month growth of 29.76% in November and 23.53% in December 2025 [30][31] - "Kuaishou Keling" has launched a new model, achieving a 350% increase in paid users and generating over 20 million USD in revenue in December 2025 [31][33] Beauty and Health Brands - "Qingmu Technology" is expected to see a profit increase of 30%-50% in 2025, with its private care brand "Keman Duo" showing strong sales growth [34][35] - "Zuccari" is also projected to grow significantly, with a revenue increase of over 95% in the first half of 2025 [36] Instant Retail - The instant retail market in China is expected to exceed 1 trillion yuan by 2026, with Alibaba's "Taobao Flash Purchase" showing rapid growth in order volume and revenue [57][59] - The report indicates that the demand for instant delivery services is increasing, benefiting companies like "SF Same City" [61][62]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the strong potential of the AI industry and high-growth segments such as gaming, recommending continued investment in these areas [2][13][16]. Group 1: Internet Sector - E-commerce: Alibaba is catalyzing AI-related developments, introducing the "Tongyun Ge" concept, which integrates large models, cloud computing, and chips as a key support for its technology strategy [2][16]. - Social Entertainment Media: Bilibili and Tencent are expected to see strong advertising momentum, with Tencent's gaming fundamentals improving and Bilibili preparing to release new games [2][17]. - Internet Healthcare: JD Health and Alibaba Health are leveraging their platform advantages to deepen collaborations with upstream pharmaceutical manufacturers, leading to sustained revenue and profit growth [2][17]. - Short Video: Kuaishou is maintaining a stable core business, with AI technology enhancing user engagement and commercial conversion [2][18]. - Trendy Toys + IP: Pop Mart announced the establishment of its European headquarters in London, aiming to expand its market presence [2][19]. - Long Video: Multiple platforms are releasing quality series, suggesting investment opportunities in iQIYI and Mango TV [2][20]. - Music Streaming: Tencent Music and NetEase Cloud Music show stable performance, although concerns about competition have led to valuation adjustments [2][20]. Group 2: Media Sector - Gaming: The report maintains a positive outlook on the gaming sector, with expectations of continued industry prosperity into 2026. Key recommendations include Tencent, NetEase, and companies with strong product pipelines like Century Huatong and Giant Network [2][21]. - Advertising: Adjustments in the advertising landscape are not expected to impact the operational trends of Focus Media, with increased investment from internet advertisers anticipated [2][22]. - Publishing: Some publishing companies are facing challenges due to educational reforms, but firms with strong fundamentals and high dividend yields are recommended [2][22]. - Film and Television: Attention is drawn to companies with robust project pipelines, such as Huace Film & TV and Mango TV, as well as cinema chains like Wanda Film and Hengdian Film [2][22]. - IP Derivatives: Companies involved in IP derivatives are highlighted for potential investment, including Huayi Brothers and Shanghai Film Group [2][22]. Group 3: AI Developments - The report notes the rapid advancement of AI applications, particularly with the emergence of Clawdbot, which has gained significant attention in the industry [2][23]. - Recommendations include major cloud players like Google and Amazon, as well as domestic giants like Alibaba and Tencent, focusing on their self-developed models and ecosystems [2][23]. - Specific applications in AI across various sectors are suggested for investment, including AI in gaming, marketing, and healthcare [2][23].