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China Equity Strategy_How crowded is the AI trade right now_
2025-02-23 14:59
ab 20 February 2025 Global Research China Equity Strategy How crowded is the AI trade right now? More inflow potential for AI-related names Our tracking of the AI-related stocks in China (summarised in this note and shown in Figure 7) has seen them up 24% YTD, outperforming the broader MSCI China index by 9%. In general, the outperformance has been concentrated in the HK and ADR internet and tech names, which were up 31% YTD, while A-share tech names were up 9%. This has likely reflected that institutional ...
Internet_ Discussing Drone Deliveries with Manna's CEO
2025-02-23 14:59
Summary of Manna's Drone Delivery Conference Call Industry Overview - The discussion centers around the drone delivery industry, specifically focusing on Manna, a prominent player in Europe [2][5]. Key Company Insights - **Manna's Operations**: Manna has conducted 200,000 flights and aims to scale to a delivery run-rate of over 1.5 million by the end of the year [5][7]. - **Cost Efficiency**: The cost per order ranges from approximately €4.5 (with around half utilization) to as low as €2.5 per order at full utilization [3][7]. - **Order Composition**: Coffee and pastries account for about 22% of Manna's total orders [3]. - **Utilization of Drones**: Manna has been contribution-positive on high utilization days, indicating a profitable operation model during peak times [3]. Unit Economics - **Turnaround Time**: Quick turnaround times are essential for profitability, with the CEO suggesting a target of under 3 minutes from restaurant to drone loading, with a 60-second pick time [3]. - **Operational Monitoring**: Currently, one person can monitor four drones, with potential for increasing this ratio to enhance unit economics [3]. Regulatory and Market Challenges - **Regulatory Landscape**: Manna has received EU regulatory approval but faces challenges in the UK due to post-Brexit licensing changes [9]. - **Consumer Perception**: Concerns regarding privacy and noise pollution from drones are significant hurdles that need addressing [4]. - **Safety Measures**: Drones are equipped with parachutes to mitigate risks associated with malfunctions [4]. Expansion Plans - **Geographic Expansion**: Manna plans to expand its capacity in Ireland and the Nordics, leveraging partnerships with companies like DoorDash and Tesco [9]. - **Future Opportunities**: The CEO sees potential for growth in the Middle East as regulatory frameworks evolve [9]. Competitive Landscape - **Key Competitors**: Manna faces competition from companies like Alphabet's Wing, Amazon Prime Air, and Zipline, among others [8]. Conclusion - Manna is positioned as a leading drone delivery service in Europe, with a focus on scaling operations and improving unit economics while navigating regulatory challenges and consumer concerns [5][9].
China Materials_ 2025 On-ground Demand Monitor Series #19– Funding Availability Rate Data Tracker
2025-02-23 14:59
China Materials Flash | 19 Feb 2025 22:39:53 ET │ 9 pages 2025 On-ground Demand Monitor Series #19– Funding Availability Rate Data Tracker CITI'S TAKE In this series of notes, we aim to track and analyze high-frequency, on- ground demand trends in China – market expectation on a demand recovery has been mostly cautious. Our revised near-term sector pecking order is: Steel, Cement, Coal, Gold, Copper, Aluminum, and Lithium stocks (see our notes: China Steel – Shifting Our Near-term Sector Pecking Order and C ...
Bilibili Inc_ 4Q24 Result Operating Profit Beat
2025-02-23 14:59
Summary of Bilibili Inc 4Q24 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: Bilibili Inc (BILI.O, BILI US) - **Industry**: China Internet and Other Services - **Market Cap**: US$9,359 million - **Stock Rating**: Equal-weight - **Price Target**: US$18.00, representing an 11% downside from the current price of US$20.33 as of February 19, 2025 Financial Performance - **Total Revenue**: Rmb7.6 billion, a 22% year-over-year increase and 1% above Morgan Stanley estimates [1][2] - **Non-GAAP Operating Profit**: Rmb481 million, 19% above Morgan Stanley estimates and 21% above consensus [2] - **Non-GAAP Net Income**: Rmb453 million, in line with Morgan Stanley estimates and 20% above consensus [2] Revenue Breakdown - **Mobile Games**: Rmb1.8 billion, down 1% quarter-over-quarter but up 79% year-over-year, driven by the contribution from the game "San Mou" [6] - **Live Broadcasting and VAS**: Rmb3.1 billion, up 8% year-over-year, showing resilience [6] - **Advertising**: Rmb2.4 billion, up 24% year-over-year, maintaining industry-leading growth [6] - **E-commerce and Others**: Rmb465 million, down 16% year-over-year [6] Cost and Profitability Metrics - **Gross Profit**: Rmb2.788 billion, with a gross margin of 36.1%, up 9.9 percentage points year-over-year [2] - **Operating Profit**: Rmb126 million, a significant improvement from previous quarters [2] - **Net Income**: Rmb90 million, a notable recovery from losses in prior quarters [2] Key Insights - **Operational Efficiency**: Improved management of operating expenses, particularly in general and administrative costs, contributed to better profitability [2] - **Market Position**: Bilibili continues to show strong growth in advertising revenue, indicating a robust market position despite challenges in other segments [6] - **Future Guidance**: The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with revenue projections for the next fiscal years showing an upward trend [3] Risks and Considerations - **Upside Risks**: Stronger-than-expected advertising revenue growth and better user retention for mobile games could enhance performance [9] - **Downside Risks**: Potential competition leading to lower monthly active user growth and higher costs in sales and marketing could impact margins [9] Conclusion Bilibili Inc's 4Q24 results reflect a strong recovery in revenue and profitability, driven by effective cost management and growth in key segments like advertising and live broadcasting. However, the company faces challenges from competition and market dynamics that could affect future performance.
Apple Inc. (AAPL)_ iPhone 16e announcement, largely as expected
2025-02-23 14:59
19 February 2025 | 2:46PM EST Apple Inc. (AAPL): iPhone 16e announcement, largely as expected Apple introduced the new iPhone 16e on February 19, 2025, the fourth generation of its lower-priced iPhone SE product line. The refreshed iPhone 16e represents the first upgrade for the entry-level iPhone since March 2022 when Apple released the iPhone SE 3. The iPhone 16e is the first smartphone to include the Apple designed cellular modem C1, which was largely expected but is notable as it marks a shift away from ...
China Auto Sector_Thinking long - five debates on long-term outlook
2025-02-23 14:59
ab 20 February 2025 Global Research Figure 1: OEM comps table Stock implications China Auto Sector Thinking long - five debates on long-term outlook We are more optimistic than consensus on Chinese carmakers' ability to innovate and we even see their product competitiveness surpassing western leader Tesla. Fierce market competition, a robust industry ecosystem, and fast response to technology trends, have pushed Chinese carmakers to the frontier of global innovation, in addition to their absolute cost advan ...
BYD- H&A_ Lift PTs to HK$600_Rmb560 on expectations that BYD will become the 'Toyota' of the global EV marketplace. Thu Feb 20 2025
2025-02-23 14:59
Asia Pacific Equity Research 20 February 2025 Correction (See disclosures for details) BYD- H&A Lift PTs to HK$600/Rmb560 on expectations that BYD will become the 'Toyota' of the global EV marketplace Share price strength set to continue: We have spoken to nearly 200 investors over the past one week on calls and in meetings following placing BYD on Positive Catalyst Watch on 7 Feb (here) and the company's reverse roadshow where we had the chance to test drive BYD's latest models (here). All in all, we belie ...
Alibaba Group Holding_ Stepped-up Capex Spend to Capture AI & Cloud Inflection Growth
2025-02-23 14:59
A c t i o n | 20 Feb 2025 16:33:13 ET │ 22 pages Alibaba Group Holding Stepped-up Capex Spend to Capture AI & Cloud Inflection Growth CITI'S TAKE FY3Q25 result marks a pivotal change of sentiment with CMR reaccelerated to +9% yoy and TTG EBITA returned to positive 2% yoy growth, AIDC targets to turn quarterly profitable in FY2026 and stepped-up capex investment to capture the inflection point of AI transformation era. Being the Asia No. 1 and world No. 4 cloud service provider and having developed the propr ...
China Express_ Market Analysis for January 2025
2025-02-23 14:59
February 20, 2025 01:13 AM GMT China Express | Asia Pacific Market Analysis for January 2025 Key Takeaways Volume – All players achieved YoY growth despite an earlier CNY; STO replaced Yunda to be industry No.3: SF outperformed with 16% YoY volume growth thanks to more stable service during CNY, in our view. STO outperformed Tongda peers with 12% YoY volume growth, replacing Yunda to be the third-largest player in China express industry. Yunda underperformed with 3% YoY volume growth. YTO's volume grew 6% Y ...
China Technology_ CBO - China Brief Overnight - 2_20_2025
2025-02-23 14:59
Equity Research China Technology 20 February 2025 China Technology CBO - China Brief Overnight - 2/20/2025 DeepSeek denies speculation that it is considering outside funding; Five ministries issue three-year plan to promote consumption of automobiles, electronic products and home appliances; BYD was the best-selling EV brand in major Latin American markets in 2024 Our daily product rounds up key stories from the Chinese language media overnight, focusing on developments in the technology space. See our late ...