专题：资本市场大咖2026新春献词：骏马踏春来 驭势稳行启新程 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 恭贺新春 我非常荣幸受邀参与《证券市场周刊》马年致辞活动，在此向周刊同仁及广大投资者朋友致以最诚挚的 新春祝福！祝愿大家在新的一年里万事顺遂、机遇常伴；在投资之路上稳健前行，收获满满硕果。 值此2026年开篇之际，我们不妨一起展望中国创新药的全球进阶之路。我们认为，创新药是当下百年一 遇的投资机会——这不仅缘于全球未被满足的医疗需求持续扩容，更在于中国创新药首次实现了"从跟 跑到并跑、向领跑进阶"的产业质变，已迈入全球竞争力凸显的黄金发展期，向上动能持续迸发。 回望2025年，中国创新药对外授权（BD）交易迎来井喷式增长：总金额达1357亿美元（2024年为519亿 美元），首付款70亿美元（2024年为41亿美元），交易总量157起，各项数据均创下历史新高。而2026 年仅一个月，交易总量已经高达300亿美元，30亿美元首付款。这一爆发背后，是国际原研药企对重磅 创新药的迫切需求，叠加中国首创FIC（First-in-Class）药物的快速推进，直接推动跨国药企从中国药企 ...

经济观察网 根据2026年2月12日的市场公开信息，科伦博泰生物-B（06990.HK）当日逆势下跌3.33%， 收报423.40港元，成交额2.08亿港元。其下跌主要受以下因素影响： 板块变化情况 恒生指数当日下跌0.86%，恒生科技指数跌幅达1.65%，生物技术板块整体下跌0.84%。科技股普遍承 压，美团、网易等大型科网股跌幅超4%，市场风险偏好下降对高估值生物科技股形成压制。 机构观点 技术指标转弱：股价跌破5日均线（428.2港元），MACD差离值（-2.862）虽高于信号线（-4.393），但 柱状图仅为3.063，显示多头动能不足。主力资金流出：当日主力资金净流出1108.92万元，而散户资金 净流入195.68万元，反映大资金态度谨慎。 公司估值 公司市盈率（TTM）为-124.68倍，市净率17.96倍，估值显著高于传统制药企业。尽管Sac-TMT已获批 第四项适应症（HR+/HER2-乳腺癌）并纳入医保，但TROP2 ADC赛道竞争加剧（如阿斯利康/第一三共 的Enhertu等），市场可能担忧其长期定价优势。 近期公司状况 尽管中金公司（601995）维持"跑赢行业"评级及550港元目标价 ...

美银证券发表研报指，科伦博泰生物旗下sac-TMT(TROP-2 ADC)近期获国家药品监督管理局批准，用 于二线及以上HR阳性/HER2阴性乳腺癌的治疗，是该药物第四项在内地获批的适应症。同时，该药物 用于三线三阴性乳腺癌及三线EGFR突变非小细胞肺癌的适应症，已自今年1月起纳入国家医保药品目 录。不过，由于国家医保目录价格调整，该行下调sac-TMT的年度治疗费用假设。该行将2026及2027年 的收入预测分别下调5%及6%，目标价由470港元上调至479港元，重申"中性"评级，反映业务进展符合 预期，但同时被日益激烈的竞争所抵消。 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong innovative drug concept stocks have declined, with companies such as 3SBio, Kelun-Botai Biopharmaceuticals falling over 3%, and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group, China Biologic Products, and Hansoh Pharmaceutical dropping over 2% [1] - The Hong Kong innovative drug-related ETFs have also seen a decline of over 2% [1] Group 2 - Current analysis indicates that the healthcare sector presents multiple investment opportunities, with the CXO industry experiencing sustained improvement due to a recovery in overseas orders and domestic capacity reduction, while still having room for valuation recovery [2] - The medical device sector is benefiting from domestic equipment upgrade policies and overseas market expansion, with continuous catalysts in cutting-edge areas such as brain-computer interfaces and AI imaging [2] - Internet healthcare is seeing improved operational efficiency in the context of deepening medical insurance payment reforms, leading to a clearer profit growth trajectory [2]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market showed initial gains but narrowed its increase, with the Hang Seng Index closing up 0.58% above 27,000 points, while the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index and Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 0.81% and 0.62% respectively [1][2]. Sector Performance - Technology stocks rebounded, driven by AI application stocks, with the stock of Reading Group surging over 15%. The film and entertainment sector remained active, and the biopharmaceutical sector saw widespread gains, led by Fuhong Hanlin [3][4]. - New consumption concept stocks, paper industry stocks, home appliance stocks, shipping stocks, and automotive stocks mostly increased. Conversely, education stocks faced declines, with gaming stocks collectively sluggish, and real estate, gas, electric, and telecom stocks also underperformed [3][4]. Notable Stocks - AI application stocks saw significant gains, with Reading Group rising 15.41%, and Zhiyun up 14.81%, reaching a new historical high during the session. Other stocks like Fubo Group and Yidu Technology also experienced increases [6][8]. - In the film sector, Orange Sky Entertainment rose over 7%, with other companies like Damai Entertainment and Ningmeng Film also following suit [10]. - The biopharmaceutical sector was buoyed by Fuhong Hanlin's increase of over 7%, with other companies like WuXi Biologics and WuXi AppTec also seeing gains [12]. Industry Insights - The real estate sector faced pressure, with Shimao Group dropping over 6% amid ongoing sales challenges in the industry. Major real estate companies are reportedly initiating organizational restructuring [13][14]. - Education stocks struggled, with Guangzheng Education falling over 5%, alongside declines in New Oriental and other educational institutions [15]. Investment Outlook - According to Everbright Securities, the current liquidity environment in the Hong Kong stock market is entering an observation period, with limited space for further tightening. Positive catalysts could lead to a recovery in market sentiment and capital inflow [22].

Core Viewpoint - The strong trend in the mainland healthcare sector from last year is expected to continue into this year, with investors considering the value of more R&D pipelines when evaluating valuations [1] Group 1: CDMO Sector - The company has a constructive outlook on CDMO enterprises due to accelerated growth, strong product cycles, limited geopolitical risks, and reasonable valuations [1] - Ratings for WuXi AppTec (02359, 603259.SH) and WuXi Biologics (02268) have been upgraded to "Buy" [1] Group 2: Biotech and Pharmaceutical Companies - A selective strategy is adopted for biotech and pharmaceutical companies, favoring those with key data releases and early data showing potential, along with actual transaction expectations [1] - Companies such as Kelun-Biotech (06990), Innovent Biologics (02696), and Hansoh Pharmaceutical (03692) are viewed positively [1] Group 3: Medical Devices Sector - The company maintains a neutral view on the medical devices sector, noting that while the industry has bottomed out, recovery will take time [1] - Recommendations include buying Angelalign Technology (06699) and Weigao Group (01066) [1] Group 4: Medical Services Sector - A relatively cautious stance is held regarding the medical services sector due to ongoing cost control measures and a weak consumer cycle [1] - The rating for Haijia Medical (06078) has been downgraded to "Neutral" [1]

Core Viewpoint - The strong trend in the mainland healthcare sector from last year is expected to continue into this year, with investors needing to consider the value of more R&D pipelines when evaluating valuations [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - Companies are now trading based on actual execution capabilities rather than solely on licensing deal expectations [1] - Achieving returns that exceed the industry will rely more on key data releases, actual transactions, and visibility on earnings realization or turning points [1] Group 2: Sector Insights - The outlook for CDMO companies is becoming more constructive due to accelerated growth, strong product cycles, limited geopolitical risks, and reasonable valuations [1] - The ratings for WuXi AppTec and WuXi AppTec Holdings have been upgraded to "Buy" [1] Group 3: Selective Strategy in Biotech and Pharma - A selective strategy is adopted for biotech and pharmaceutical companies, favoring those with key data releases and early data showing potential, along with actual transaction expectations [1] - Companies such as Kelun-Biotech, Junshi Biosciences, and Hansoh Pharmaceutical are viewed positively [1] Group 4: Medical Devices Sector - The medical devices sector is maintained with a neutral outlook, indicating that while the industry has bottomed out, recovery will take time [1] - Recommended stocks include Angelalign Technology and Weigao Group [1]

Core Viewpoint - The strong trend in the mainland healthcare sector from last year is expected to continue into this year, with investors considering the value of more R&D pipelines when evaluating valuations [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - Companies are now trading based more on actual execution capabilities rather than solely on licensing deal expectations [1] - Achieving returns that exceed the industry average this year will rely more on key data releases, actual transactions, and visibility on profit realization or turning points [1] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The outlook for CDMO companies is becoming more constructive due to accelerated growth, strong product cycles, limited geopolitical risks, and reasonable valuations [1] - The ratings for WuXi AppTec and WuXi AppTec Holdings have been upgraded to "Buy" [1] Group 3: Selective Strategy in Biotech and Pharma - A selective strategy is adopted for biotech and pharmaceutical companies, favoring those with key data releases and early data showing some promise, along with actual transaction expectations [1] - Companies such as Kelun-Biotech, Innovent Biologics, and Hansoh Pharmaceutical are viewed positively [1] Group 4: Medical Devices Sector - The medical devices sector maintains a neutral outlook, as the industry has bottomed out but requires time for gradual recovery [1] - Recommendations include buying Angelalign Technology and Weigao Group [1]

Company News - Beijing Capital International Airport Co., Ltd. (00694.HK) expects a net loss of approximately RMB 6.0 billion to RMB 7.6 billion in 2025, a year-on-year reduction of about 45.3% to 56.8%, benefiting from the recovery in aviation market demand and enhanced cost control [1] - Times Electric (03898.HK) anticipates total operating revenue of approximately RMB 28.761 billion in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 15.46%, with a net profit of about RMB 4.105 billion, up 10.88% year-on-year [1] - Hong Kong Tong Holdings (00032.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting a year-on-year increase in profit attributable to shareholders to approximately HKD 660 million for the fiscal year 2025 [1] - Datang Environment Industry Group (01272.HK) issued a profit warning, expecting pre-tax profit to rise to approximately RMB 700 million to RMB 710 million in 2025 [1] Power Generation - Datang New Energy (01798.HK) completed power generation of 3.272 million MWh in January, a year-on-year increase of 6.69% [2] - Longyuan Power (00916.HK) achieved power generation of 7.1627 million MWh in January, a year-on-year growth of 12.05%, with wind power generation increasing by 8.11% and solar power generation rising by 42.25% [2] - Jiangshan Holdings (00295.HK) reported total power generation of approximately 18.3 thousand MWh in January, a year-on-year decrease of 22.13% [4] Real Estate - Yuexiu Property (00123.HK) reported contract sales of approximately RMB 4.201 billion in January, a year-on-year decline of about 36.4% [2] - Poly Real Estate (01238.HK) recorded total contract sales of approximately RMB 470 million in January, a year-on-year decrease of 31.98% [2] - Greenland Hong Kong (00337.HK) reported contract sales of approximately RMB 508 million in January, a year-on-year increase of about 287.79% [3] Other Developments - CloudTop New Drug (01952) received approval for the new drug application of Vedolizumab for treating moderate to severe ulcerative colitis in adults in China [4] - Zhonghang Science and Technology (02357.HK) plans to invest RMB 58 million to acquire a 10% stake in Zhonghang Jierui [4] - Kelun-Biotech (06990.HK) received approval for the fourth indication of its core product TROP2ADC for treating 2L+ HR+/HER2- breast cancer [4] Financing and Buyback Activities - Kingsoft Corporation (03888.HK) repurchased approximately 1.1142 million shares for about HKD 29.9994 million, with repurchase prices ranging from HKD 26.8 to HKD 27 [7] - Geely Automobile (00175.HK) repurchased approximately 1.665 million shares for about HKD 27.1612 million, with repurchase prices between HKD 15.94 and HKD 16.44 [7] - October Rice Field (09676.HK) repurchased 780,000 shares for approximately HKD 7.3357 million, with repurchase prices between HKD 9.3 and HKD 9.46 [7] - China Galaxy (06881.HK) completed the issuance of corporate bonds totaling RMB 6 billion [7]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) has shown a slight increase in performance, with a closing rise of 0.79% and a trading volume of 849 million yuan on February 6, 2024 [1]. Group 1: Fund Overview - The Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) was established on January 3, 2024, with an annual management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10% [1]. - As of February 5, 2024, the fund's total shares stood at 10.244 billion, with a total size of 7.906 billion yuan, reflecting a 2.36% decrease in shares and a 0.13% increase in size since December 31, 2023 [1]. Group 2: Liquidity and Trading Activity - Over the last 20 trading days, the cumulative trading amount for the ETF reached 21.573 billion yuan, with an average daily trading amount of 1.079 billion yuan [1]. - Since the beginning of the year, the ETF has recorded a cumulative trading amount of 29.237 billion yuan over 25 trading days, averaging 1.169 billion yuan per day [1]. Group 3: Fund Management - The current fund manager is Ma Jun, who has managed the fund since its inception, achieving a return of 56.50% during the management period [1]. Group 4: Top Holdings - The top holdings of the Hong Kong Innovative Drug ETF (159567) include: - CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (10.44% holding, 108 million shares, market value of 825 million yuan) [2] - BeiGene (9.91% holding, 4.8299 million shares, market value of 782 million yuan) [2] - CanSino Biologics (9.72% holding, 7.52 million shares, market value of 768 million yuan) [2] - China Biologic Products (9.66% holding, 13.7 million shares, market value of 763 million yuan) [2] - Innovent Biologics (9.53% holding, 10.9295 million shares, market value of 753 million yuan) [2] - Other notable holdings include 3SBio, Hansoh Pharmaceutical, and Kelun-Biotech [2].