点 击 蓝 字 关 注 我 们 本文全文共520 字，阅读全文约需 2 分钟 据中国汽车流通协会乘用车市场信息联席分会最新销量数据统计，2026年1月份国内狭义乘用车市场 零 售 销量达154.4万辆，同比下降13.9%。 1月分析: 实施了12年的新能源车购置税免税政策在2025年底正式结束了，部分用户提前购买形成了年底的消 费透支现象，从而抑制了今年1月新能源车市场的需求，因此1月销量负增长也属于正常现象，这是预计中的短期 波动，不代表市场长期走势，业界依然看好中国车市。 注 : 1.本文数据是基于中国汽车流通协会乘用车市场信息联席分会月报表。 2.批发是指厂商到经销商的数据（含出口），零售是指经销商到用户的数据。 2026年1月厂商批发销量排行榜 单位:辆 | NO• | ell 「商 | 2026.1 | 同比 | 份额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 吉利汽车 | 270,167 | 1.3% | 13.7% | | 2 | 比亚迪汽车 | 205,518 | -30.7% | 10.4% | | 3 | 奇瑞汽车 | 193,969 | -12.0% ...

Market Overview - The three major indices showed mixed performance, with the Dow Jones up 0.10% to 49,500.93 points, the S&P 500 up 0.05% to 6,836.17 points, and the Nasdaq down 0.22% to 22,546.67 points [3] - All three indices recorded weekly declines, with the S&P 500 down 1.4%, the Dow down 1.2%, and the Nasdaq down 2.1% [3] Economic Indicators - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the January CPI rose 2.4% year-over-year and 0.2% month-over-month, both below market expectations [3] - The core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, increased by 2.5% year-over-year and 0.3% month-over-month, aligning with market expectations [3] - Phil Blancato, Chief Market Strategist at Osaic, indicated that this data could pave the way for interest rate cuts and inflation control if the trend continues [3] Sector Performance - Concerns over AI disruption led to market sell-offs, affecting various sectors including software, real estate, trucking, and financial services [6] - Financial stocks such as Charles Schwab and Morgan Stanley fell by 10.8% and 4.9%, respectively, while software company Workday dropped 11% and commercial real estate firm CBRE fell 16% [6] - The media sector was also impacted, with Disney down approximately 3% and Netflix down 6% [7] Technology Stocks - Major tech stocks mostly declined, with Nvidia down 2.21%, Apple down 2.27%, Microsoft down 0.13%, Google down 1.06%, and Amazon down 0.41% [7] - Tesla saw a slight increase of 0.09%, while Oracle rose by 2.34% and Netflix increased by 1.33% [7] Chinese Stocks - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell by 0.10%, with Alibaba down 1.89%, JD.com down 1.38%, and Pinduoduo up 0.06% [7] - NIO remained flat, while Xpeng rose by 1.36% and Li Auto fell by 1.81% [7]

Core Viewpoint - NIO is expected to achieve its first quarterly adjusted operating profit of 700 million to 1.2 billion yuan in Q4 2025, ending 11 years of continuous losses [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - NIO's Q4 2025 delivery reached 124,800 vehicles, a historical high, representing a year-on-year increase of 71.7% [2] - The company aims for a gross margin target of around 18% for Q4 2025, with the gross margin for Q3 2025 already at 14.7% [2] - The adjusted operating profit forecast of 700 million to 1.2 billion yuan is driven by sales growth, product structure optimization, and cost reduction [2] Group 2: Operational Developments - NIO achieved a milestone of 100 million battery swap services, with an average of over 100,000 swaps per day [1] - The company plans to add 1,000 battery swap stations in 2026, bringing the total to over 4,600 by year-end [1] - In January 2026, NIO delivered 27,182 new vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 96.1%, but a month-on-month decrease of 43.53% [1] Group 3: Market and Stock Performance - NIO's stock price in Hong Kong fluctuated between 38.90 and 39.46 HKD, with a slight increase of 0.92% over five days [3] - The stock price in the US ranged from 4.89 to 5.02 USD, showing a slight decrease of 0.40% during the same period [3] - The overall valuation remains low, with a TTM P/E ratio of -3.89 for Hong Kong shares and -3.45 for US shares [3] Group 4: Analyst Opinions - CICC's report indicates that NIO's Q4 2025 profit exceeded market expectations, primarily due to improved gross margins on the ES8 model and cost reduction efforts [4] - The target price has been adjusted to 50 HKD or 6.5 USD, while maintaining an outperform rating despite competitive market risks [4] - Analysts note the strong product cycle with plans to launch three new models in 2026, but caution regarding the recall incident and a high debt-to-asset ratio of 89.2% [4]

蔚来美股盘前短线下跌2%，报4.85%。 ...

美东时间周四，投资者对人工智能（AI）颠覆性的担忧持续发酵，三大指数均跌超1%，纳指以2%的跌幅领跌。 （三大指数日内走势，来源：TradingView） 截至收盘，道琼斯指数跌1.34%，报49,451.98点；标普500指数跌1.57%，报6,832.76点；纳斯达克指数跌2.03%，报22,597.15点。 今年以来，随着一些AI工具的推出，部分板块遭受冲击，包括软件公司、出版商、金融服务企业等。投资者担心，这些AI工具可能复制它们 的业务模式，或至少侵蚀其利润率。 在AI可能颠覆财富管理业务的担忧下，摩根士丹利等金融股承压；卡车运输和物流公司如C.H. Robinson股价暴跌14%，因市场担心AI将优 化货运运营，从而压缩部分收入来源。 AI颠覆担忧甚至蔓延至房地产行业。市场认为更高的失业率将打击办公空间需求，CBRE和SL Green Realty等股票因此走低。 Freedom Capital Markets首席市场策略师Jay Woods表示："AI曾是推动这些股票飙升、估值达到极端水平（虽未极端到离谱）的唯一动 力，如今却成了压制它们表现的因素。" Yardeni Research总裁Ed ...

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2026年2月6日，蔚来迎来完成第1亿次换电服务的行业标志性时刻，这是国内换电模式从技术验证走向 规模化普及的重要节点。从2018年首次推出换电服务到亿次目标落地，蔚来历时2819天的探索，不仅印 证了换电模式的商业可行性与用户价值，更折射出国内充换电基础设施建设的跨越式发展。 事实上，在行业"充换电并行"政策导向与"三年倍增"行动方案托底下，补能基建已成为新能源汽车产业 高质量发展的核心支撑，以蔚来为代表的企业实践，正推动行业从"造好车"向"建好网"进阶，助力新能 源汽车产业价值链持续上移，同时为国家新型能源体系构建注入新动能。 ● 本报记者 龚梦泽 换电模式规模化成行业共识 中国证券报记者获悉，蔚来第1亿次换电于2月6日22时33分18秒在嘉兴海宁完成，这一数字的背后，是 对换电模式历经市场检验后的认可，也为行业交出了一份可复制的补能解决方案答卷。 蔚来方面数据显示，截至亿次换电达成，蔚来在全国布局换电站3729座，其中高速公路换电站1020座， 建成9纵11横16大城市群高速换电网络，连通全国超550城，整体充换电站数量达8627座，位居行业首 位。如今蔚来日均换电单量已突破10万次，平均0.8秒就有一 ...

事实上，在行业"充换电并行"政策导向与"三年倍增"行动方案托底下，补能基建已成为新能源汽车产业 高质量发展的核心支撑，以蔚来为代表的企业实践，正推动行业从"造好车"向"建好网"进阶，助力新能 源汽车产业价值链持续上移，同时为国家新型能源体系构建注入新动能。 2026年2月6日，蔚来迎来完成第1亿次换电服务的行业标志性时刻，这是国内换电模式从技术验证走向 规模化普及的重要节点。从2018年首次推出换电服务到亿次目标落地，蔚来历时2819天的探索，不仅印 证了换电模式的商业可行性与用户价值，更折射出国内充换电基础设施建设的跨越式发展。 为实现换电模式的规模化，蔚来持续加大技术研发和基础设施投入，累计在充换电领域投入超180亿 元，拥有超2100项相关专利，推动换电站从一代到四代持续进化，全栈核心技术的自研能力成为换电网 络迭代的核心支撑。 赋能产业升级与能源转型 蔚来1亿次换电的完成，是国内充换电基础设施建设提速的缩影，更是新能源汽车产业与能源行业深度 融合的体现。 ● 本报记者 龚梦泽 换电模式规模化成行业共识 中国证券报记者获悉，蔚来第1亿次换电于2月6日22时33分18秒在嘉兴海宁完成，这一数字的背后，是 ...

以下文章来源于泽平宏观商学 ，作者泽平宏观商学 泽平宏观商学 . 前沿科技企业实战研学 读万卷书行万里路 2025 年 12 月 用心打造最有品质的实战研学。读万卷书，行万里路。把教室搬到世界上最优秀的企业， 请最优秀的企业家和科学家讲课。顺势而为，把握机遇。正心正念，坚持做长期正确的 事！ 我们期待与更多的企业家朋友们携手同行，共赴 2026 实战研学之旅！ 泽 ZEP 平 INGM 宏 ACR 观 O RE 商 SEAR 学 CH 1-6月日程安排 · 斯坦福大学、伯克利大学 3月27日-28日 苏州 追觅科技、魔法原子、灵猴机器人 闭门投研会-2026 Al 的中国力量(一) 3月29日 上海 长三角校友会 4月20日-21日 香港 2026 香港 Web3 嘉年华 复星财富、HashKey、港交所 5月22日-23日 1151 11:47:50 深圳 华为、新凯来、江波龙、莫界科技 闭门投研会—2026 Al 的中国力量(二) 6月26日-27日 型成 11月4日-11日 洛杉矶、拉斯维加斯、旧金山 CES、英伟达、特斯拉 谷歌、罗宾汉、playground 2月27日 北京 国内头部智驾科技企业 人 ...

Core Insights - The overall retail sales of passenger cars in January decreased by 13.9% year-on-year, with a total of 1.544 million units sold. The retail sales of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 596,000 units, representing a penetration rate of 38.6%, down 3 percentage points from the previous year [1][11]. Retail Market Overview - In January, the retail sales of self-owned fuel passenger cars were 250,000 units, up 17% year-on-year, while self-owned NEVs sold 226,000 units, marking a significant increase of 115%. NEVs accounted for 47.5% of self-owned exports, indicating growing international influence [2]. - The retail sales of self-owned brands totaled 890,000 units, down 18% year-on-year, with a domestic market share of 57.5%, a decrease of 3.5 percentage points [2]. - Mainstream joint venture brands sold 470,000 units, down 4% year-on-year, with German brands increasing their market share to 19.8%, up 1.4 percentage points [2]. Production and Wholesale Analysis - In January, the production of passenger cars was 2.003 million units, down 4.4% year-on-year. The wholesale volume was 1.973 million units, a decrease of 6.2% year-on-year [4]. - The wholesale of self-owned brands was 1.326 million units, down 8%, while luxury car wholesale increased by 4% to 228,000 units [4]. - The overall wholesale landscape is changing, with some mid-tier companies showing strong performance, such as SAIC-GM-Wuling and NIO [4]. New Energy Vehicle Insights - The production of NEVs reached 938,000 units, a slight decrease of 0.6% year-on-year, while wholesale sales were 864,000 units, down 3.3% [5][6]. - NEV retail sales were 596,000 units, down 20% year-on-year, with conventional fuel vehicles selling 948,000 units, down 10% [7]. - NEV exports reached 286,000 units, a remarkable increase of 103.6%, accounting for 49.6% of total passenger car exports [11][12]. Market Trends and Future Outlook - The new energy vehicle market is expected to face challenges in February due to the impact of the Spring Festival, which may lead to lower sales volumes [16]. - The transition from merely selling cars to exporting entire industrial chains is anticipated, indicating a shift towards quality growth in the automotive export sector [17].