证 券 研 究 报 告 交通运输行业周报（20260202-20260208） 聚焦：春运火热开启；千问"春节 30 亿免单"，即 推荐（维持） 时零售竞争再加码 ❑ 一、聚焦：春运火热开启；千问"春节 30 亿免单"，即时零售竞争再加码 1、2 月 2 日，马年春运火热开启。春运第 1-5 天，民航客运量均值 231.3 万人 次，同比+5.5%，铁路客运量均值 1179.2 万人次，同比-0.7%。近 7 日民航国 内旅客量同比+6.2%，客座率同比+1.7%；民航跨境旅客量同比+6.0%，客座率 同比+1.9%；民航国内全票价（含油）同比+5.1%，跨境全票价同比-2.0%。 投资建议：继续推荐航空板块机会：1）供给"硬核"约束：预计我国飞机引 进或呈现中期低增速，未来 3 年飞机复合增速 3%左右。2）需求：航空或为内 需方向优选领域，国际线继续恢复+服务消费拉动国内出行需求，预计旅客人 数增长达到 5%左右。3）高客座率下的高价格弹性或一触即发。重点推荐：看 好中国国航、南方航空、中国东航三大航弹性释放；继续看好国内支线市场龙 头华夏航空，迎来可持续经营拐点；看好低成本航空龙头春秋航空，凭借低成 本 ...

春运旺季向好持续看好航空，油运上行可期提示投资机会 交通运输 证券研究报告/行业定期报告 2026 年 02 月 07 日 | 评级： 增持（维持） | | | 重点公司基本状况 | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 简称 | 股价 | | | EPS | | | | | PE | | | 评级 | | 分析师：杜冲 | | | （元） | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | | 执业证书编号：S0740522040001 | | 南方航空 | 8.22 | -0.23 | -0.09 | 0.30 | 0.44 | 0.54 | -35.74 | -91.33 | 27.22 | 18.87 | 15.09 | 买入 | | | | 中国东航 | 6.30 | -0.37 | - ...

记者从河北省唐山市海洋口岸和港航管理局获悉，2025年，唐山港全港完成外贸货物吞吐量38156万 吨，同比增长2.59％。 2月5日，轮船靠泊在唐山港（601000）京唐港区的集装箱码头装货（无人机照片）。 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a stable outlook for the port industry, with a focus on infrastructure and domestic demand supporting the industry fundamentals [7][8]. Core Insights - The growth rate of cargo and container throughput in Chinese ports is slowing down, influenced by GDP and import-export growth deceleration. Coastal ports dominate in terms of throughput, with significant differentiation in growth rates among major ports [8][9]. - Since 2018, investment in inland waterway transportation has consistently exceeded that of coastal ports, leading to structural overcapacity in coastal ports. However, there remains a demand for terminal upgrades, optimization of port layouts, and channel construction, with a clear trend towards larger and more specialized port berths [8][9]. - The overall revenue of sampled port enterprises is steadily increasing, with strong operational cash flow capabilities. Future capital expenditures are expected to remain substantial due to increased financing driven by port-related project investments [8][9]. - The report anticipates that global economic growth will remain low, with uncertainties surrounding trade policies potentially impacting China's foreign trade. However, domestic demand is expected to expand, providing some support for port throughput [8][9]. Industry Overview Macroeconomic Environment - In 2025, China's economy is projected to stabilize, with domestic demand expected to support cargo throughput at ports. The economic policies are characterized by a multi-dimensional collaborative approach, focusing on stabilizing growth and enhancing domestic consumption [9][10]. - The port industry is highly sensitive to macroeconomic cycles, with the performance of cargo and container throughput closely linked to economic conditions and foreign trade developments [10][11]. Industry Policies and Regulatory Environment - The government has introduced various policies to guide the development of smart, green, safe, and efficient ports, aiming to enhance the competitive capabilities of ports through a market-oriented pricing system [11][12]. - Recent policies emphasize the integration of rail-water transport and the construction of a modern comprehensive transportation system, with significant investments expected in port infrastructure [11][12]. Industry Operating Conditions - The throughput growth of Chinese ports has shown signs of slowing down, with a notable differentiation in growth rates among major coastal ports. In 2024, the total cargo throughput reached 1,759.5 million tons, growing by 3.7% [16][20]. - Container throughput growth has also slowed, with a total of 33.2 million TEUs in 2024, reflecting a 7.0% increase [17][20]. Financial Performance - Sampled port enterprises have shown steady revenue growth, with total revenue reaching 643.36 billion yuan in the first nine months of 2025, maintaining a stable operational performance [34][36]. - The cash flow from operating activities has been strong, with a cash income ratio exceeding 100%, indicating that cash flow can meet capital expenditure needs [36][39]. Debt Levels - The total debt of sampled port enterprises has increased, with a total debt of 1,162.86 billion yuan by September 2025, primarily for new terminal construction and upgrades [41][43]. - The short-term debt ratio is moderate, with a significant portion of financing coming from bank loans and bond issuances [41][43]. Debt Repayment Capacity - Most sampled port enterprises face manageable short-term repayment pressures, with strong long-term repayment capabilities. However, some enterprises have heavier debt burdens and historical personnel liabilities that require attention [44][45]. Bond Market Performance - The report notes a decrease in bond issuance rates for port enterprises, with a total of 180 bonds issued in 2025, reflecting a 7.57% increase in issuance scale [48][49].

从河北省唐山市海洋口岸和港航管理局获悉，2025年，唐山港全港完成外贸货物吞吐量38156万吨，同 比增长2.59％。 ...

（记者 张明双） 免责声明：本文内容与数据仅供参考，不构成投资建议，使用前请核实。据此操作，风险自担。 每日经济新闻 每经AI快讯，唐山港2月4日晚间发布公告称，公司于2026年2月4日收到建投交通发来的《股东增持计 划实施完毕暨增持股份结果的告知函》，建投交通已完成相关增持计划。自2025年3月11日至2026年2月 3日，建投交通以集中竞价交易方式合计增持公司股份约1.24亿股，占公司总股本的2.08%，累计增持金 额约为4.99亿元。相关权益变动属于增持，不触及要约收购，不会导致公司控股股东及实际控制人发生 变化。相关增持计划已在增持期限内实施完毕，且已达到增持计划的下限要求。 每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——特朗普的"完美人选"颠覆美联储？解码凯文·沃什的"新政构想"：左手放水 右手抽水，要靠AI驯服通胀，拒做美债"大买家" ...

格隆汇2月4日丨唐山港(601000.SH)公布，公司于2026年2月4日收到建投交通发来的《股东增持计划实 施完毕暨增持股份结果的告知函》，建投交通已完成本次增持计划。自2025年3月11日至2026年2月3 日，建投交通以集中竞价交易方式合计增持公司股份1.24亿股，占公司总股本的2.08%，累计增持金额 为4.99亿元（不含交易费用）。本次权益变动属于增持，不触及要约收购，不会导致公司控股股东及实 际控制人发生变化。本次增持计划已在增持期限内实施完毕，且已达到增持计划的下限要求。 ...

证券代码：601000 证券简称：唐山港 公告编号：2026-003 唐山港集团股份有限公司 关于持股 5%以上股东增持计划实施完毕 暨增持股份结果公告 本公司董事会、全体董事及相关股东保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、 误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 一、增持主体的基本情况 增持主体名称 河北建投交通投资有限责任公司 已披露增持计划情况：唐山港集团股份有限公司（以下简称公司）于 2025 年 3 月 1 日披露《唐山港集团股份有限公司关于持股 5%以上股东 增持计划的公告》，基于对公司长期投资价值的认可及对公司未来持续 稳健发展的信心，为提振投资者信心，促进资本市场稳定发展，公司 持股 5%以上股东河北建投交通投资有限责任公司（以下简称建投交通） 计划自增持计划公告披露之日起 12 个月内，通过上海证券交易所系统 以集中竞价方式增持公司股份，增持股份实施金额不低于 25,000 万元 且不超过 50,000 万元。本次增持计划不设价格区间，建投交通将根据 公司股票价格波动情况及资本市场整体趋势，择机实施增持计划。 增持计划的实施结果：公司于 2026 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the shipping industry, highlighting the upward potential in both oil and dry bulk markets [7]. Core Insights - Geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and Iran, have led to an increase in VLCC freight rates, with the Clarksons VLCC-TCE index rising to $116,000, a week-on-week increase of 17% [10][11]. - The BDI index has shown resilience during the off-season, closing at 2148 points, up 21.9% week-on-week, with significant increases in various vessel types [23][24]. Summary by Sections Oil Shipping - The ongoing tensions in the Middle East have resulted in a significant rise in VLCC freight rates, particularly on the Middle East to China route, which saw a 27% increase to $127,000 per day [10][11]. - The market fundamentals are weakening, with a slowdown in cargo availability and a lack of new cargo in the US Gulf market, leading to a decline in overall market activity [10][11]. Dry Bulk Shipping - The BDI index has shown a remarkable performance during the off-season, with a year-on-year increase of 89% in January, averaging 1759 points [24]. - The strong performance of the BCI index, which increased by 121% year-on-year, is attributed to supply constraints and steady demand from Brazil and West Africa [24]. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes the potential for upward trends in both oil and dry bulk markets, recommending companies such as China Merchants Energy Shipping and COSCO Shipping Energy [27]. - For dry bulk, the report suggests companies like Haitong Development and Pacific Shipping, citing favorable supply and demand dynamics [28]. Industry Data Tracking - Recent data shows a year-on-year increase of 8.3% in domestic air passenger volume, with average ticket prices rising by 4.3% [29]. - The SCFI index has decreased by 10% week-on-week, indicating a decline in container shipping rates [50].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the sector [1]. Core Insights - Geopolitical factors are driving up VLCC freight rates, with the Clarksons VLCC-TCE index rising to $116,000 per day, a week-on-week increase of 17%. The Middle East to China route is reported at $127,000 per day, up 27% week-on-week [1][10]. - The BDI index is showing resilience during the off-season, closing at 2148 points, a week-on-week increase of 21.9%. The average BDI for January is reported at 1759 points, a year-on-year increase of 89% [2][23][24]. Summary by Sections Oil Transportation - The ongoing tensions between the US and Iran have led to an increase in VLCC freight rates, with the market showing signs of weakness as the supply of cargo from the Middle East is tapering off [1][10]. - The Brent crude oil futures price has risen to $69.83 per barrel, a 9.6% increase since January 22, driven by concerns over potential disruptions in Middle Eastern oil supply [2][11]. Dry Bulk Transportation - The BDI index has shown strong performance despite seasonal trends, with significant increases in various sub-indices: BCI up 35.8%, BPI up 8.1%, BSI up 4.0%, and BHSI up 3.0% week-on-week [2][23]. - The report highlights that the supply side is constrained due to recent storms affecting shipping schedules, while demand remains robust due to favorable weather conditions for iron ore exports from Brazil [3][24]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for both oil and dry bulk markets, recommending companies such as China Merchants Energy and COSCO Shipping for oil transportation, and Haitong Development and Pacific Shipping for dry bulk [7][28]. - The report emphasizes the importance of performance elasticity and dividend value in the transportation sector, particularly in aviation and shipping [7][62].