Group 1 - Morgan Stanley has updated the risk-reward assessment for CNOOC Limited (02883) based on the actual performance from Q1 to Q3 of last year [1] - The forecast for earnings per share for last year has been raised by 2.5% due to better-than-expected drilling revenue, while the forecasts for 2026 and 2027 remain unchanged [1] - The daily rental rate increase forecast for semi-submersible platforms has been adjusted from 8% to 20% [1] Group 2 - Drilling revenue forecast for the group has been increased by 6% based on the updated assessments [1] - The target price has been raised by 2.44% to HKD 9.22, with a rating of "Overweight" maintained [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has updated the risk-reward assessment for CNOOC Limited (02883) based on the inclusion of the company's actual performance from Q1 to Q3 of last year, resulting in a 2.5% increase in the earnings per share forecast for the previous year, while maintaining the forecasts for 2026 and 2027 unchanged [1] Group 1 - The drilling revenue forecast for the company has been raised by 6% due to better-than-expected drilling income [1] - The daily rental rate increase forecast for semi-submersible platforms has been adjusted from 8% to 20% [1] - The target price has been raised by 2.44% to HKD 9.22, with a rating of "Overweight" [1]

Core Viewpoint - CNOOC Services has shown a positive stock performance with a year-to-date increase of 2.78% and a recent 5-day increase of 4.04%, indicating a stable market position in the oil and gas service sector [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, CNOOC Services reported a revenue of 34.854 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.54% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the same period was 3.209 billion yuan, which represents a significant year-on-year increase of 31.28% [2]. Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for CNOOC Services was 64,000, showing a decrease of 6.08% compared to the previous period [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 15.492 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 2.866 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3]. Stock Performance and Trading Activity - On January 6, CNOOC Services' stock price reached 14.43 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 2.21 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.52% [1]. - The stock experienced a net outflow of 5.6096 million yuan from major funds, with significant buying and selling activity recorded [1]. Shareholding Structure - The top circulating shareholder as of September 30, 2025, was China Securities Finance Corporation, holding 138 million shares, unchanged from the previous period [3]. - Other notable shareholders include招商优质成长混合 (LOF) and华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF, with varying changes in their holdings [3].

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has updated the risk-reward assessment for CNOOC Services, reflecting better-than-expected drilling revenues and adjusting earnings forecasts accordingly [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - The actual performance from Q1 to Q3 of the previous year has been incorporated into the model, leading to a 2.5% increase in the earnings per share forecast for the company [1] - The earnings forecasts for 2026 and 2027 remain unchanged despite the adjustments made for the previous year [1] Group 2: Revenue Projections - The daily rental rate increase forecast for semi-submersible platforms has been raised from 8% to 20% [1] - The drilling revenue forecast for the previous year has been increased by 6% [1] Group 3: Target Price and Rating - The target price for the company has been raised by 2.44% to HKD 9.22 [1] - The rating for the company is maintained at "Overweight" [1]

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年12月31日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中海油田服務股份有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年1月5日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 II. 已發行股份及/或庫存股份變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02883 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數目 | | 庫存股份數目 | | 已發行股份總數 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 1,811,124,000 | | 0 | | 1,811,124,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | 0 | | 0 | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 1,811,124,000 | | 0 | | 1,811,124,000 | | 2. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | ...

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a positive outlook for the mechanical industry in 2026, driven by structural transformation and a rebound in external demand [3][4] - The report introduces a "risk排雷" manual to proactively identify potential market misjudgments and challenges within various sectors [3][4] Industry Overview - The mechanical industry is expected to experience a cyclical reversal, with growth in engineering machinery, industrial gases, shipbuilding, photovoltaic equipment, and lithium battery equipment [6][8] - Key assumptions include continued government support for emerging technology industries and a stable macroeconomic recovery [11][16] Engineering Machinery - The engineering machinery sector is witnessing a cyclical upturn, with increased overseas market share and a gradual domestic renewal cycle [17] - Key growth drivers include global market expansion, improved domestic demand due to favorable macro policies, and a stabilizing domestic infrastructure and real estate market [17] Shipbuilding - The shipbuilding industry is on an upward trend, with demand supported by a variety of vessel types and improving profitability for shipyards [19] - The sector is expected to benefit from supply constraints driving up ship prices and a focus on high-end, large-scale, dual-fuel vessels [20] Export Chain - The export chain is optimistic about demand recovery, particularly in the U.S. market, with a focus on strategic exports and emerging markets [22] - Key assumptions include a favorable trade environment and ongoing industrial shifts towards resource-rich countries [22] Industrial Gases - The industrial gases sector is viewed positively, with expectations of volume and price increases leading to improved valuations [27] - The report highlights the importance of leading companies in the sector and recommends focusing on those with operational highlights in niche markets [30] Lithium Battery Equipment - The lithium battery equipment sector is expected to emerge from a downturn, with solid-state battery technology creating significant market opportunities [51] - The report anticipates a substantial increase in market size, projecting a growth from 2.06 billion in 2025 to 33.62 billion by 2030 [51] Wind Power Equipment - The wind power industry is projected to maintain high growth, particularly in offshore wind projects, with significant investments expected [63] - The report recommends focusing on leading manufacturers and components that support the offshore wind market [64] Testing and Inspection - The testing and inspection sector is expected to see upward momentum, driven by increasing demand and a trend towards consolidation among leading firms [71] - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on emerging fields and the long-term growth potential of comprehensive testing companies [71] Rail Transit Equipment - The rail transit equipment sector is expected to benefit from steady investment in fixed assets and high demand for passenger and freight transport [75] - The report highlights the potential for continued growth in the high-speed train sector and recommends key players in the industry [76] Oil Service Equipment - The oil service equipment sector is anticipated to thrive due to sustained demand driven by oil prices and energy security concerns [79] - The report suggests focusing on companies with strong technical barriers and those benefiting from domestic and international market opportunities [80]

Core Insights - The report highlights the significant demand for deep-sea resource exploration in China, driven by the need to secure energy and mineral supply amidst declining domestic resources and high foreign dependency [3]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The deep-sea technology sector encompasses three main application scenarios: production operations (including resource exploration, mining, and infrastructure), public services (such as environmental monitoring and national defense), and deep-sea consumption (like tourism) [1]. - Major listed companies in the industry include China Shipbuilding (600150.SH), China Ship Defense (600685.SH), Zhenhua Heavy Industries (600320.SH), CNOOC Services (601808.SH), China Marine Defense (600764.SH), Hailanxin (300065.SZ), and Zhongtian Technology (600522.SH) [1]. Group 2: Resource Dependency and Production - China's crude oil foreign dependency reached 73% in 2023, while natural gas dependency was at 41.9%. Over 10 mineral types have a foreign dependency exceeding 50%, indicating a critical need for domestic production through deep-sea exploration [3]. - The production of marine crude oil in China is projected to exceed 60% of total production by 2024, with output increasing from 51.62 million tons in 2016 to 65.5 million tons in 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3% [4]. - Marine natural gas production is expected to grow from 12.9 billion cubic meters in 2016 to 26.2 billion cubic meters by 2024, achieving a CAGR of 9.3% [7]. Group 3: Emerging Consumption Scenarios - Underwater tourism, characterized by non-diving experiences using submersibles and semi-submersibles, is emerging as a new consumption scenario within the marine tourism industry. This sector is enhanced by underwater photography and virtual reality technologies [8]. - The development of marine tourism is supported by initiatives in Hainan Free Trade Port, where coral reef protection areas are exploring sustainable development models that integrate marine museums and educational programs [8].

Trading Information Summary - On December 31, 2025, CNOOC Services (601808) closed at 14.04 yuan, with a slight increase of 0.07% and a turnover rate of 0.26% [1] - The total trading volume was 77,100 shares, with a total transaction value of 108 million yuan [1] - On the same day, the main funds experienced a net outflow of 8.5382 million yuan, accounting for 7.89% of the total transaction value [2] - Retail investors saw a net inflow of 2.3752 million yuan, representing 2.2% of the total transaction value [1] Company Announcement Summary - On December 29, 2025, CNOOC Services entered into a new financial product agreement with the Bank of China, Yanjiao Branch, using 1 billion yuan of its own funds to purchase two structured deposit products [1] - This follows previous agreements made on December 17 and December 25, 2025, with the Bank of China, Tianjin Ocean Branch, and Yanjiao Branch, totaling 2 billion yuan in financial products [1] - The combined transactions require disclosure but are exempt from shareholder approval, aimed at enhancing returns on idle funds [1]

Group 1 - The "Three Oil Giants" refer to China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC), Sinopec Limited, and China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC), which are the main state-owned enterprises in China's oil exploration, extraction, refining, and supply sectors [1] - A total of 35 personnel changes occurred across 9 listed companies controlled by Sinopec, CNPC, and CNOOC, with 6 companies experiencing changes at the chairman, general manager, and vice chairman levels [3] - Sinopec saw significant personnel changes, including the resignation of Chairman Ma Yongsheng and the appointment of Liu Qiang as General Manager and Vice Chairman [4][5] Group 2 - CNPC experienced personnel adjustments with 14 changes across 3 listed companies, including the resignation of Vice Chairman Hou Qijun and President Huang Yongzhang, with Ren Lixin appointed as the new President [13][14] - CNOOC had 4 personnel changes, including the resignation of Chairman Wang Dongjin and the appointment of Zhang Chuanjiang as the new Chairman [20][21] - The personnel changes reflect a broader trend of leadership transitions within major state-owned enterprises in China's oil and gas sector [3][19]

Core Viewpoint - The oil service engineering sector experienced a decline of 0.43% on December 31, with Junyou Co., Ltd. leading the losses. The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.09%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.58 [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The closing price of Junyou Co., Ltd. was 7.40, reflecting a decrease of 3.77% with a trading volume of 171,200 shares and a transaction value of 12.7 million [2]. - The oil service engineering sector saw a net outflow of 83 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 63.74 million yuan [2]. Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - Qianeng Hengxin closed at 18.48, with an increase of 1.48% and a trading volume of 38,900 shares, resulting in a transaction value of 71.43 million [1]. - The stock of Zhongman Petroleum closed at 23.05, down by 1.91%, with a trading volume of 84,600 shares and a transaction value of 195 million [2]. - The stock of Huibo Yin closed at 3.19, down by 1.54%, with a trading volume of 247,500 shares and a transaction value of 7.88 million [2]. Group 3: Fund Flow Analysis - The main funds showed a net outflow of 751,820 yuan from Junyou Co., Ltd., while retail investors had a net inflow of 1,015,780 yuan [3]. - The main funds experienced a net outflow of 812,200 yuan from Keli Co., Ltd., with retail investors showing a net outflow of 167,080 yuan [3]. - The stock of Zhongyou Engineering had a net outflow of 95,510 yuan from main funds, while retail investors had a net inflow of 4,810 yuan [3].