Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No specific industry investment rating is provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints - The threat of the US to strike Iran has led to an upward oscillation in international oil prices [1]. - This week, the average weekly prices of Brent and WTI crude oil futures were $68.6 and $63.4 per barrel respectively, up $3.8 and $3.2 from last week [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 1. Crude Oil Weekly Data Briefing - The data sources include Bloomberg, WIND, EIA, TSA, Baker Hughes, and Dongwu Securities Research Institute [8][9]. 2. This Week's Performance Review of the Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector - **2.1 Performance of the Petroleum and Petrochemical Sector**: Information on the sector's performance and the performance of sub - industries, as well as the performance of the sector and the Shanghai - Shenzhen 300 Index, is presented, but specific data is not provided in the text [11][18]. - **2.2 Performance of Listed Companies in the Sector**: - The report provides the latest prices, total market values, and price changes in the past week, month, three months, one year, and since the beginning of 2026 for multiple listed companies such as CNOOC, PetroChina, and Sinopec [23]. - A valuation table shows the stock prices, total market values, net profits attributable to the parent company, PE, and PB of these companies from 2024 to 2027 [25]. 3. Crude Oil Sector Data Tracking - **3.1 Crude Oil Prices**: It includes the prices and price differences of Brent, WTI, Russian Urals, and ESPO crude oils, as well as the relationships between the US dollar index, LME copper price, and WTI crude oil price [29][31][40]. - **3.2 Crude Oil Inventory**: Analyzes the correlations between US commercial crude oil inventory and oil prices, the weekly destocking speed of US commercial crude oil and the increase or decrease of Brent oil prices, and presents the total, commercial, strategic, and Cushing crude oil inventories in the US [43][44][49]. - **3.3 Crude Oil Supply**: Covers US crude oil production, the number of active oil rigs, and the number of active fracturing fleets, as well as their relationships with oil prices [63][64][66]. - **3.4 Crude Oil Demand**: Focuses on US refinery crude oil processing volume, refinery operating rates, Shandong refinery seasonal operating rates, and the operating rates of major refineries in China [71][73][75]. - **3.5 Crude Oil Import and Export**: Details the import, export, and net import volumes of US crude oil and crude oil and petroleum products [79][81]. 4. Refined Oil Sector Data Tracking - **4.1 Refined Oil Prices**: Analyzes the relationship between international oil prices and domestic gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene prices and price differences, as well as the price differences between crude oil and refined oil in the US, Europe, and Singapore [86][109][114]. - **4.2 Refined Oil Inventory**: Presents the inventories of gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene in the US and Singapore [124][128][136]. - **4.3 Refined Oil Supply**: Covers the production volumes of gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene in the US [144][145]. - **4.4 Refined Oil Demand**: Focuses on the consumption volumes of gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene in the US and the number of airport security checks for passengers [148][149][153]. - **4.5 Refined Oil Import and Export**: Details the import, export, and net export volumes of gasoline, diesel, and aviation kerosene in the US [161][167][168]. 5. Oil Service Sector Data Tracking - It shows the average daily fees of self - elevating drilling platforms and semi - submersible drilling platforms in the industry [176][181].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the oil and petrochemical sector, with the sector outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by +8.40% this week [10]. Core Insights - Geopolitical factors remain the primary driver in the current oil market, with significant attention on the potential for conflict between the US and Iran. The market is pricing in a geopolitical risk premium of approximately $8-10 per barrel related to Iran [15][17]. - The report anticipates that if the situation with Iran does not escalate into a full-blown conflict, oil prices may revert to supply-demand fundamentals, potentially leading to a price decline [15][17]. - The report highlights that the recent cold wave and reduced production in Kazakhstan have slowed the accumulation of global inventories, with expectations of a return to a higher accumulation rate in the coming weeks [17][18]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The oil and petrochemical sector has shown a weekly increase of +7.95%, with specific indices such as the oil and gas resources index rising by +7.79% and the oil and gas extraction services index by +7.96% [10][11]. Oil Sector - As of January 29, WTI crude oil was priced at $65.42, up by $6.06, while Brent crude was at $72.57, up by $6.60. The EIA reported a decrease in commercial crude oil inventories by 2.295 million barrels [16][17]. - The report notes that US crude oil production stands at 13.696 million barrels per day, with a decrease in net imports by 61.8% [16]. Refining Sector - The average operating rate of domestic refineries was reported at 80.02%, with a slight increase of 1.24 percentage points from the previous week. The average refining margin for major refineries was 659.83 yuan per ton, down by 101.65 yuan per ton [16]. Polyester Sector - The PX-Naphtha spread has increased to approximately $340 per ton, with PTA processing fees at 374.32 yuan per ton. The report indicates a decline in profitability for polyester products, with average profit levels for various types of polyester showing negative margins [16]. Olefins Sector - The average price for ethylene in the domestic market was reported at 5769 yuan per ton, a slight decrease of 0.33%. The propylene market saw an increase in average transaction prices to 6400 yuan per ton, up by 3.64% [16].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the oil and petrochemical sector, with the sector outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by +8.40% this week [10]. Core Insights - The oil market is experiencing a rapid increase in prices due to geopolitical risks, particularly concerning Iran's potential actions in the Strait of Hormuz, with a risk premium estimated at $8-10 per barrel [15][16]. - The overall supply remains in excess, with previous supportive factors like cold weather and reduced production in Kazakhstan starting to stabilize [15]. - The report highlights a mixed performance across various segments of the petrochemical industry, with oil and gas resources showing a +7.79% increase, while the polyester index decreased by -1.82% [10]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The petrochemical sector has outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with various indices showing significant weekly changes, including the oil and gas extraction service index at +7.96% and the refining and chemical index at +6.75% [10][11]. Oil Market - As of January 29, WTI crude oil closed at $65.42, up $6.06 from the previous week, while Brent crude closed at $72.57, up $6.60 [16]. - The EIA reported a decrease in commercial crude oil inventories by 2.295 million barrels, with a notable drop in gasoline inventories as well [16]. Refining Sector - The average operating rate of domestic refineries increased to 80.02%, with a slight rise in gasoline demand due to seasonal travel [16]. - The average refining margin for major refineries was reported at 659.83 yuan per ton, down 101.65 yuan from the previous period [16]. Polyester Sector - The PX-Naphtha spread has risen to approximately $340 per ton, with PTA processing fees reported at 374.32 yuan per ton [15]. - The report notes a decline in profitability for various polyester products, with average profit levels for POY150D at -21.03 yuan per ton [15]. Olefins Market - The average price for ethylene in the domestic market was reported at 5769 yuan per ton, a slight decrease of 0.33% from the previous week [15]. - Propylene prices in Shandong increased by 225 yuan per ton, reflecting a 3.64% rise [15].

Core Viewpoint - The oil service engineering sector experienced a decline of 3.38% on January 30, with Keli Co., Ltd. leading the losses. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4117.95, down 0.96%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14205.89, down 0.66% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The oil service engineering sector saw significant individual stock movements, with notable declines in Keli Co., Ltd. by 14.39% and Qianeng Hengxin by 12.83% [2]. - The trading volume for Keli Co., Ltd. was 138,000 shares, with a transaction value of 773 million yuan [2]. - The overall sector had a net outflow of 1 billion yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 656 million yuan [2][3]. Group 2: Individual Stock Analysis - Keli Co., Ltd. closed at 51.80 yuan, experiencing a drop of 14.39% with a trading volume of 138,000 shares [2]. - Qianeng Hengxin closed at 31.33 yuan, down 12.83%, with a trading volume of 457,200 shares [2]. - The stock of Huibo Yin fell by 6.14%, closing at 4.13 yuan, with a trading volume of 143,670 shares [2]. Group 3: Fund Flow Analysis - Major funds showed a net outflow from several stocks, including Keli Co., Ltd. with a net outflow of 75.27 million yuan [3]. - Retail investors showed a positive net inflow in stocks like Huibo Yin, with a net inflow of 58.99 million yuan [3]. - The stock of Haiyou Development had a net inflow of 18.4 million yuan from retail investors, despite a major fund outflow [3].

Macro and Strategy - The fixed income investment strategy for February 2026 focuses on convertible bonds, suggesting a "Top Ten Convertible Bonds" portfolio, with an emphasis on growth sectors and defensive allocations in power and banking [7] - The report highlights that the small-cap growth style outperformed the large-cap value in January, with significant increases in resource sectors, while the market's valuation levels indicate potential for upward movement [7] - The report anticipates a continuation of the "spring excitement" market trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index expected to break through 4200 points, driven by increased retail investment as high-interest savings mature [7] Industry and Company Mechanical Industry - SpaceX aims for complete reuse of its Starship rockets in 2026, which could reduce space access costs by 99%, while Tesla plans to sell humanoid robots to the public by the end of 2027 [11][12] - The report emphasizes the long-term investment opportunities in commercial aerospace and humanoid robotics, particularly focusing on supply chain companies involved in rocket manufacturing and AI infrastructure [12][13] Energy Sector - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) expects capital expenditures of approximately RMB 8.44 billion for 2026, focusing on equipment investment and technology upgrades, with a positive outlook on its operational performance [24] - The report predicts that international oil prices will stabilize and rise slightly, with CNOOC's business structure continuously optimizing, leading to improved profit margins [24] Battery Materials - Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd. anticipates a 42% increase in net profit for 2025, driven by strong sales of lithium cobalt oxide and ongoing advancements in solid-state battery materials [25][26] - The company is expanding its production capacity for high-performance battery materials and is actively developing new materials for electric vehicles and energy storage [27] Insurance Sector - Ping An Insurance is focusing on enhancing its liability business and value transformation, which is expected to improve its valuation amid easing real estate risks [28][29] - The report maintains profit forecasts for Ping An from 2025 to 2027, with expected earnings per share of RMB 7.72, 8.57, and 9.26, respectively, indicating a positive outlook for the company's valuation recovery [29] Sportswear Industry - The sportswear market is experiencing a bifurcation, with high-end brands driving growth in apparel while footwear prices are under pressure, leading to a decline in sales for many brands [18][19] - The report highlights that domestic brands are facing significant price competition, with performance varying widely across different product categories [20][21]

Market Overview - The Federal Reserve maintained the federal funds rate target range at 3.5%-3.75%, aligning with market expectations[9] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 27,827, down 2.58% for the day but up 8.57% year-to-date[3] - The S&P 500 index closed at 6,978, with a slight decrease of 0.01% for the day and a year-to-date increase of 1.94%[3] Stock Performance - Gold prices surged, with spot gold exceeding $5,280 per ounce, marking a monthly increase of over 22%[9] - Semiconductor stocks saw significant gains, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rising by 2.34%[9] - Major tech stocks showed mixed results, with Intel up 11.04% and Microsoft down 6% post-earnings report[9] Sector Highlights - Oil stocks continued to rise, with Shanghai Petrochemical gaining over 5% due to geopolitical tensions driving oil prices up by 3%[9] - New consumer concept stocks performed well, with a snack retail chain soaring 69% on its debut[9] - Airline stocks faced pressure, with China Southern Airlines down 6.83% due to rising operational costs[9] Economic Indicators - The U.S. dollar index fell to 95.51, the lowest since February 2022, contributing to the rise in gold prices[9] - The Japanese yen strengthened, impacting export-related stocks negatively, with Toyota down 3.24%[13] - The Bank of Japan raised its policy rate to 0.75%, the highest in 30 years, indicating a cautious approach to future rate hikes[13]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][20]. Core Insights - The company is expected to have a capital expenditure of approximately RMB 8.44 billion by 2026, focusing on equipment investment, technology upgrades, R&D, and base construction, indicating a positive development trajectory [2][18]. - The company is a domestic leader in the oil service industry, with an optimized business structure and an expected gradual increase in gross profit margin. The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are RMB 4.098 billion, RMB 4.274 billion, and RMB 4.560 billion, respectively, with earnings per share of RMB 0.86, RMB 0.90, and RMB 0.96 [3][20]. Summary by Relevant Sections Company Overview - The company has made significant progress since the "14th Five-Year Plan" and is well-positioned for future growth [2]. Market Conditions - The Brent crude oil price is expected to fluctuate between USD 55-65 per barrel by 2026, influenced by geopolitical tensions and the high costs of new wells in the U.S. shale oil sector [3][8]. - The marine oil and gas sector is identified as a key area for development, with capital expenditures expected to remain high [9][17]. Financial Projections - The company anticipates a drilling ship utilization rate exceeding 90% and an overall equipment utilization rate reaching historical highs by 2025. Key operational metrics are expected to continue improving in 2026 [19][20]. - The projected revenue growth rates for 2025-2027 are 2%, 12%, and 12%, respectively, with net profit growth rates of 4%, 31%, and 4% [24].

证券之星消息，1月29日油服工程板块较上一交易日上涨7.69%，科力股份领涨。当日上证指数报收于 4157.98，上涨0.16%。深证成指报收于14300.08，下跌0.3%。油服工程板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日油服工程板块主力资金净流入7416.32万元，游资资金净流入2.28亿元，散户资 金净流出3.02亿元。油服工程板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入 (元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600968 海油发展 | | 1.31亿 | 10.08% | -2249.86万 | -1.73% | -1.08 Z | -8.34% | | 600339 中油工程 | | 1.14 Z | 10.36% | -2758.69万 | -2.50% | -8690.59万 | -7.86% | | 920088 科力股份 | | 1.06亿 | 11.75% | 1652.53万 | 1.84% | 1 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [1][20]. Core Insights - The company is expected to have a capital expenditure of approximately RMB 8.44 billion by 2026, focusing on equipment investment, technology upgrades, R&D, and base construction, indicating a positive development trajectory [2][18]. - The Brent crude oil price is projected to fluctuate between USD 55-65 per barrel by 2026, influenced by geopolitical tensions and the high costs of new shale oil wells in the U.S. [3][8]. - The company is increasing its investment in equipment construction and technology R&D, which is expected to enhance operational efficiency and profitability [3][19]. - As a leading player in the oil service industry, the company is optimizing its business structure, with an anticipated gradual increase in gross profit margins and net profits projected at RMB 40.98 billion, RMB 42.74 billion, and RMB 45.6 billion for 2025-2027 [3][20]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has made significant progress since the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a comprehensive development outlook [2]. Market Conditions - The international oil price is expected to rise slightly due to geopolitical factors, with the U.S. shale oil production facing high operational costs [3][8]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of RMB 40.98 billion, RMB 42.74 billion, and RMB 45.6 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with earnings per share projected at RMB 0.86, RMB 0.90, and RMB 0.96 [3][20]. Investment Strategy - The company is committed to enhancing its operational efficiency through lean cost management and continuous investment in technology, which is expected to yield positive results in the coming years [18][19].

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a narrow range of consolidation with resource stocks showing a broad-based increase, as of January 28, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.49% to 4160.01 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.09% [1] - The total trading volume in A-shares reached 1.93 trillion yuan [1] Economic Indicators - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 377.5 billion yuan at a fixed rate of 1.4%, with a net injection of 14 billion yuan for the day [2] Energy Sector Insights - The National Energy Administration reported that by the end of 2025, the cumulative installed power generation capacity in China is expected to reach 3.89 billion kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%. Solar power capacity is projected to reach 1.2 billion kilowatts, up 35.4%, while wind power capacity is expected to reach 640 million kilowatts, up 22.9% [3] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission emphasized the importance of central enterprises in strategic security and public service, promoting professional integration and innovation [3] Commodity Market Performance - International gold prices surpassed $5,200 per ounce, leading to a surge in the gold and non-ferrous metal sectors, with several companies, including China Gold and Sichuan Gold, hitting their daily price limits [3] - International oil prices reached a new high, with the oil and gas sector performing strongly, particularly China National Offshore Oil Corporation, which saw a price increase of over 7% [3] Sector Performance - The oil sector led with an average increase of 5.18%, followed by non-ferrous metals at 4.54% and coal at 2.52%. In contrast, the healthcare sector saw a decline of 2.02% [4] Company Insights - **Sinopec Oilfield Service**: Benefiting from the "increasing reserves and production" policy, the company is expected to maintain high capital expenditure from its parent company, providing support for workload and profitability [8] - **Zhongman Petroleum**: The company is expected to continue good performance due to rapid growth in oil and gas production [8] - **China National Offshore Oil Corporation**: The company shows resilience in performance during oil price downturns, with a focus on both oil and gas and renewable energy businesses [8] - **CNOOC Oilfield Services**: As a leader in offshore oil and gas equipment, the company is expected to enjoy valuation premiums due to steady growth in oilfield technology and ongoing expansion in deep-sea technology [8]