A 股证券代码：688385 证券简称：复旦微电 公告编号：2026- 002 港股证券代码：01385 证券简称：上海复旦 上海复旦微电子集团股份有限公司 2025 年年度业绩预告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或 者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 一、本期业绩预告情况 （一）业绩预告期间 2025 年 1 月 1 日至 2025 年 12 月 31 日。 归属于母公司所有者的扣除非经常性损益的净利润：46,415.11 万元。 （二）业绩预告情况 经上海复旦微电子集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）财务部门初步测 算： （1）预计 2025 年度营业收入约为人民币 393,000.00 万元至 403,000.00 万元，与上年同期相比，将增加 33,977.62 万元至 43,977.62 万元，同比增加 9.46%至 12.25%。 （2）预计 2025 年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润约为人民币 19,000.00 万元至 28,300.00 万元，与上年同期相比，将减少 38,259.51 万元 到 28,959.51 万元，同 ...

Market Overview - The semiconductor sector experienced a slight increase of 0.02% on January 23, with Zhenlei Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4136.16, up by 0.33%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14439.66, up by 0.79% [1] Top Gainers in Semiconductor Sector - Tanguo Technology (688270) saw a closing price of 215.93, with a significant increase of 20.00% and a trading volume of 306,400 shares, resulting in a transaction value of 6.166 billion [1] - Hangyu Micro (300053) closed at 22.96, up by 13.10%, with a trading volume of 1,644,800 shares and a transaction value of 3.686 billion [1] - Biyi Micro (688045) closed at 53.16, increasing by 12.72%, with a trading volume of 85,500 shares and a transaction value of 451 million [1] Top Losers in Semiconductor Sector - Jingchen Co. (688123) closed at 164.00, down by 7.87%, with a trading volume of 123,800 shares and a transaction value of 2.062 billion [2] - Mingwei Electronics (688699) closed at 55.07, decreasing by 6.53%, with a trading volume of 112,200 shares and a transaction value of 624 million [2] - Liandong Technology (301369) closed at 128.15, down by 5.79%, with a trading volume of 18,900 shares and a transaction value of 24.7 million [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The semiconductor sector experienced a net outflow of 9.034 billion from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 7.113 billion [2] - Speculative funds recorded a net inflow of 1.921 billion [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Tanguo Technology (688270) had a net inflow of 5.91 billion from institutional investors, while it faced a net outflow of 4.03 billion from speculative funds [3] - Ziguang Guowei (002049) saw a net inflow of 3.13 billion from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 1.79 billion from speculative funds [3] - Wenta Technology (600745) recorded a net inflow of 2.71 billion from institutional investors, while speculative funds experienced a net outflow of 1.52 billion [3]

每经AI快讯，1月23日，复旦微电(688385.SH)公告称，预计2025年归属于上市公司股东的净利润为1.90 亿元至2.83亿元，比上年同期减少50.58%至66.82%。业绩变动原因：FPGA及MCU营收增长，但非挥发 存储器营收下降；战略备货导致存货跌价损失增加约2.5亿元，研发费用增加约1.8亿元。 ...

2025年，半导体行业的景气度呈现出明显的结构性分化，下游应用需求差异显著。公司营业收入实现增 长，毛利率保持稳定，毛利较上年同期增加约人民币2亿元至2.6亿元。FPGA产品在有线无线通信、卫 星通信、视频图像、工业控制、人工智能以及特种高可靠等领域具有较好应用，公司产品竞争力较强， 营收增长；安全与识别芯片各子线产品市场表现各异，在RFID与传感芯片的带动下整体营收小幅增 长；非挥发存储器市场竞争激烈，全年营收有所下降；MCU芯片受益于良好的市场布局和稳定的产品 质量，在车规市场和白色家电市场出货较上年快速增长。 格隆汇1月23日丨复旦微电(688385.SH)公布，预计2025年度营业收入约为人民币393,000.00万元至 403,000.00万元，同比增加9.46%至12.25%。预计2025年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润约为人民 币19,000.00万元至28,300.00万元，同比减少66.82%至50.58%。预计2025年度归属于母公司所有者的扣 除非经常性损益的净利润约为人民币12,500.00万元到18,500.00万元，同比减少73.07%至60.14%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Fudan Microelectronics anticipates a significant decline in net profit for 2025, projecting a decrease of 50.58% to 66.82% year-on-year, primarily due to structural changes in the semiconductor industry and varying demand across downstream applications [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company expects net profit attributable to shareholders to be between 190 million and 283 million yuan for 2025, with a decrease in net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses projected between 125 million and 185 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 60.14% to 73.07% [1] - Despite the anticipated decline in net profit, the company reports an increase in operating revenue and a stable gross margin, with gross profit rising approximately 200 million yuan to 260 million yuan compared to the previous year [1] Group 2: Business Segment Performance - FPGA products have shown strong applications in various fields such as communication, satellite, video imaging, industrial control, artificial intelligence, and high-reliability sectors, contributing to revenue growth [1] - The performance of security and identification chips varies across sub-segments, with overall revenue experiencing slight growth driven by RFID and sensor chips [1] - The non-volatile memory market faces intense competition, leading to a decline in annual revenue, while MCU chips benefit from a solid market presence and increased shipments in automotive and white goods sectors [1] Group 3: Cost and Expense Factors - The company has implemented a strategic inventory stocking approach to ensure stable delivery to customers amid uncertainties in the international environment and fluctuations in the integrated circuit supply chain, which has improved supply chain security but also led to increased inventory impairment losses of approximately 250 million yuan [1] - R&D expenses have risen by about 180 million yuan due to efforts to enhance product competitiveness and supply chain resilience, alongside the impact of changing international trade conditions affecting capitalized R&D projects [1] - A reduction in value-added tax credits and government subsidies for R&D has resulted in a decrease in other income by approximately 90 million yuan [1]

复旦微电公告，预计2025年度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润约为人民币1.9亿元至2.83亿元，与上年 同期相比，将减少3.83亿元到2.9亿元，同比减少66.82%至50.58%。预计2025年度营业收入约为人民币 39.3亿元至40.3亿元，与上年同期相比，将增加3.4亿元至4.4亿元，同比增加9.46%至12.25%。 ...

Group 1 - The core focus is on the domestic AI industry chain, particularly the performance of the Huabao AI ETF (589520), which has shown a price increase of 0.29% and has been trading at a premium, indicating strong buying interest [1][7] - NVIDIA's CEO Jensen Huang emphasized the need for massive infrastructure investment in AI, estimating that over $1 trillion will be invested in AI-native startups by 2025, highlighting AI applications as a critical layer in the AI ecosystem [2][9] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China projected that by 2025, the number of AI companies in China will exceed 6,000, with the core industry scale expected to surpass 1.2 trillion yuan, and intelligent computing power reaching 1590 EFLOPS [3][10] Group 2 - The Huabao AI ETF's index covers four major segments: application software, terminal applications, terminal chips, and cloud chips, reflecting a shift from reliance on foreign technology to self-sufficiency in the AI industry [5][11] - The ETF's top holdings include leading domestic companies in GPUs, ASICs, and AI applications, with nearly 70% of the top ten holdings concentrated in these sectors, indicating a strong offensive strategy [12][13] - The current dynamics in the AI industry are marked by significant developments, including the launch of new policies promoting "AI + manufacturing," which is expected to drive a new wave of AI application growth [3][10]

Core Viewpoint - The Hang Seng Technology Index increased by 1%, while the Hang Seng Index rose by 0.72%, indicating a positive market sentiment towards technology stocks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Technology Index saw a rise of 1% [1] - The Hang Seng Index experienced an increase of 0.72% [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - Chip stocks showed strong performance, with兆易创新 (Zhaoyi Innovation) rising by 9% [1] - 英诺赛科 (InnoCare) increased by over 6% [1] - ASMPT saw a rise of nearly 6% [1] - 华虹半导体 (Huahong Semiconductor) gained 4% [1]

Industry Overview - RFID (Radio Frequency Identification) is experiencing a golden development period driven by both scenario expansion and technological upgrades, with a global market size expected to exceed 160 billion yuan by 2025, maintaining an annual growth rate of over 14%, and China's market growing even faster at over 20% [1][2] - The core bottleneck is the insufficient supply of specialized chips, with a domestic high-end chip localization rate of only 40%, and ultra-high frequency tag chips still reliant on imports [1][2] - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with AI empowerment becoming a key differentiator; leading companies are building barriers through vertical integration and technological innovation [1][2] Core Listed Companies Analysis 1. **$Yuan Wang Gu (002161) - RFID Absolute Leader** - Core advantage: The first RFID listed company in China, with over 50% market share in railway vehicle number recognition systems and deep layouts in retail, library, and logistics sectors [1][2] - Latest development: Plans to raise 691 million yuan for RFID production lines, chip process upgrades, and AIoT innovation centers, enhancing capabilities in large storage, encryption, high sensitivity, and wide temperature range chips [1][2] - Financial performance: Expected gross margin of 41.51% in 2024 (up 2.17 percentage points year-on-year), with a low net margin and still in loss after deducting non-recurring items; AI integration is anticipated to unlock value reassessment [3][4] 2. **$Fudan Microelectronics (688385) - Chip Design Leader** - Core advantage: Leading in RFID chip design in China, with rapid growth in security and identification chip businesses; antenna etching process reduces PET substrate waste below industry average [3][4] - Market position: Competing with international giants in the ultra-high frequency tag chip market, with product performance close to brands like NXP [3][4] - Technical highlights: Chip process transitioning from 90nm to 65nm, with power consumption reduced by over 40% and storage capacity increased by 50% [3][4] 3. **$Sichuan Medical (300078) - Smart Medical Segment Leader** - Core advantage: Leading in medical RFID solutions, embedding electronic tags in medical consumables and smart shelves, serving international clients like ZARA [3][4] - Growth logic: Accelerated medical informationization and smart hospital construction are driving the implementation of high-value RFID application scenarios [3][4] 4. **Other Key Enterprises** - **Dongxin Peace (002017)**: Focused on smart cards/RFID tags with a production capacity of 1.5 billion pieces, strong advantages in ticket management and anti-counterfeiting traceability [3][4] - **Aerospace Information (600271)**: Engaged in tax informationization and RFID, holding a 5.8% market share in ticket management with a vertically integrated layout [3][4] - **Xiamen Xinda (000701)**: Involved in RFID and supply chain, with a stock price increase of 5.9% in the last 30 days and a 1.66% rise since 2026 [3][4] Investment Logic and Key Insights 1. **Four Major Investment Themes** - **Chip Localization**: Shortage of specialized chips, supported by policies and technological breakthroughs driving import substitution, benefiting companies like Fudan Microelectronics and Yuan Wang Gu [2][3] - **AIoT Integration**: AI empowerment enhances RFID data processing capabilities, benefiting Yuan Wang Gu (AI innovation center) and Sichuan Medical [2][3] - **Scenario Expansion**: Retail digitalization, Industry 4.0, and smart medical needs are expected to explode, benefiting Yuan Wang Gu, Sichuan Medical, and Dongxin Peace [2][3] - **Vertical Integration**: Full industry chain layout reduces costs and enhances risk resistance, benefiting Yuan Wang Gu and Aerospace Information [2][3] 2. **Key Technical Breakthroughs** - Core function upgrades include large storage capacity (to address data volume surges), data encryption (for privacy protection), high sensitivity (to improve recognition accuracy), and wide temperature range operation (to adapt to industrial/outdoor scenarios) [2][3] - Cost reduction path: Scale production has reduced the unit cost of UHF tags to 0.21-0.25 yuan, which is 30% lower than the industry average [2][3] - AI integration direction: Combining RFID data with machine learning to achieve smart inventory management and predictive maintenance, among other value-added services [4] Focused Analysis - Yuan Wang Gu stands out as the industry leader with benefits from capital increase, expansion, and AI empowerment, with stable cash flow from the railway market supporting transformation and growth opportunities in consumer IoT [4] - Fudan Microelectronics showcases strong chip design capabilities, benefiting from domestic substitution; Sichuan Medical operates in a high-growth medical niche with significant earnings elasticity [4] - Configuration strategy: Short-term focus on the progress of capital increase and AI project advancement; long-term layout on the dual dividends of scenario expansion and chip localization, while avoiding low-value enterprises engaged in pure price competition [4]

Group 1 - SMIC (688981) is the largest and most advanced wafer foundry in mainland China, mastering 14nm FinFET technology and maintaining the highest capacity in 28nm mature process domestically, providing foundry services for storage chips [1][40] - The company has received multiple rounds of funding from the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund, playing a key role in breaking overseas dependence in the domestic storage chip manufacturing sector [1][41] - SMIC also participates in setting multiple industry standards in the domestic semiconductor manufacturing field, consolidating its core voice in the industry chain [1][41] Group 2 - North Huachuang (002371) is a leading semiconductor equipment company in Beijing, providing a full range of equipment for storage chip manufacturing, including etching machines and cleaning machines [2][40] - The company has successfully entered the supply chains of domestic storage manufacturers like Yangtze Memory Technologies and Changxin Memory Technologies, breaking the monopoly of foreign manufacturers [2][41] - With the accelerated expansion of domestic storage chip capacity, North Huachuang's equipment orders continue to grow, and it is establishing new production bases in Tianjin and Yixing [2][41] Group 3 - Hua Hong Semiconductor (688347) focuses on specialty process wafer foundry and is a key player in the domestic storage chip sector, specializing in mature processes like 90nm and 55nm [3][40] - The company provides stable foundry services for domestic storage chip design companies and is expanding its specialty process production lines with support from the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund [3][41] - Hua Hong has also achieved IATF16949 certification for automotive-grade storage chip processes, enhancing its capabilities in the automotive sector [3][41] Group 4 - Zhongwei (688012) is a global leader in semiconductor etching equipment, with its 5nm etching equipment already in commercial application [4][40] - The company has entered the supply chains of major domestic storage manufacturers and has also penetrated the supply chains of international giants like TSMC and Micron [4][41] - Zhongwei's R&D team comprises over 70% of its workforce, and it holds more than a thousand patents, continuously increasing its market share in the etching equipment sector [4][41] Group 5 - Zhaoyi Innovation (603986) is a leading domestic NOR Flash company, ranking among the top three globally, and is one of the few domestic companies involved in DRAM chip design [5][40] - The company has achieved mass production of 19nm DRAM chips, filling a technology gap in the domestic market, and has established deep cooperation with Changxin Memory Technologies [5][41] - Zhaoyi Innovation has received support from the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund, focusing its R&D investments on high-end storage chips [5][41] Group 6 - Shengyi Technology (600183) is a leading domestic copper-clad laminate manufacturer, playing a crucial role in the localization of basic materials for the storage chip industry [6][40] - The company has entered the supply chains of major domestic storage packaging companies and provides raw materials to international giants like Samsung and SK Hynix [6][41] - Shengyi is expanding its production capacity in Shaanxi and Jiangsu, with its performance steadily growing alongside the increasing demand for domestic storage chips [6][41] Group 7 - Lanke Technology (688008) is a global leader in memory interface chips, with a market share exceeding 40% for DDR4/DDR5 memory interface chips [7][40] - The company has developed solutions for DDR5 memory interfaces in collaboration with Changxin Memory Technologies, promoting the commercialization of domestic storage modules [7][41] - Lanke's R&D investments focus on cutting-edge fields, extending its product layout into storage control chips [7][41] Group 8 - Shennan Circuits (002916) is a leading domestic printed circuit board manufacturer, focusing on high-end PCB and packaging substrate manufacturing [8][40] - The company has developed storage packaging substrates that meet high reliability and density requirements, entering the supply chains of major domestic storage manufacturers [8][41] - Shennan is also expanding its high-end packaging substrate production lines in Wuxi to further meet the needs of the storage industry [8][41] Group 9 - Jiangbolong (301308) is a leading domestic storage module company, focusing on promoting the application of domestic storage chips in various fields [9][40] - The company has established deep cooperation with domestic storage chip manufacturers and has launched products equipped with domestic storage chips [9][41] - Jiangbolong has acquired the global storage brand Lexar to leverage its overseas channels, increasing its international market presence [9][41] Group 10 - Xian Yicai-U (688783) is a key player in the domestic silicon wafer sector, focusing on the production of 12-inch polished wafers and epitaxial wafers [10][40] - The company has achieved mass production of 12-inch wafers, breaking the monopoly of foreign manufacturers [10][41] - Xian Yicai has received multiple rounds of investment from the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund, continuously releasing production capacity [10][41] Group 11 - Tuo Jing Technology (688072) is a leading domestic thin film deposition equipment manufacturer, with a market share exceeding 60% for PECVD equipment in domestic storage chip manufacturing [11][40] - The company has entered the supply chains of major domestic storage manufacturers and has also supplied equipment to overseas storage companies [11][41] - Tuo Jing's R&D investment exceeds 30%, continuously launching new equipment suitable for advanced 3D NAND processes [11][41] Group 12 - Shengmei Shanghai (688082) is a leading domestic semiconductor cleaning equipment manufacturer, developing advanced cleaning technologies for storage chip manufacturing [12][40] - The company has entered the supply chains of major domestic storage manufacturers and has also penetrated the supply chains of international giants [12][41] - Shengmei is building a new production base in Shanghai to further meet the equipment needs of storage chip manufacturers [12][41] Group 13 - Huarun Micro (688396) is a leading domestic power semiconductor company, providing packaging and testing services for storage chips [13][40] - The company has expanded its production lines for power semiconductors and storage packaging in Chongqing, enhancing its capabilities in the storage sector [13][41] - Huarun Micro's industrial-grade storage chips have achieved AEC-Q100 certification, enabling them to enter the automotive electronics market [13][41] Group 14 - Changchuan Technology (300604) is a leading domestic semiconductor testing equipment manufacturer, focusing on testing equipment for storage chips [14][40] - The company has entered the supply chains of major domestic storage manufacturers and has received investment from the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund [14][41] - Changchuan has acquired Singapore's STI company to enhance its competitiveness in the storage testing field [14][41] Group 15 - Changdian Technology (600584) is a global leader in semiconductor packaging and testing, providing high-end packaging services for domestic storage chip design companies [15][40] - The company has established R&D centers in Singapore and South Korea, taking on packaging orders from international giants [15][41] - Changdian has received support from the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund, continuously expanding its advanced packaging capacity [15][41]