Core Viewpoint - The semiconductor industry is expected to recover in 2025, with significant revenue growth driven by rising storage prices and increasing demand from data centers, leading to improved performance for major chip manufacturers [3][4]. Group 1: Semiconductor Sales and Growth - Global semiconductor sales are projected to reach $791.7 billion in 2025, a 25.6% increase from $630.5 billion in 2024, with further growth expected towards $1 trillion in 2026 [3]. - The recovery is attributed to strong demand from emerging technologies such as AI, IoT, 6G, and autonomous driving [3]. Group 2: Chip Design and IDM - Texas Instruments (TI) is expected to achieve approximately $17.68 billion in revenue for 2025, reflecting a 13% year-over-year growth, with significant contributions from industrial and automotive sectors [6]. - STMicroelectronics (ST) anticipates a revenue decline of 11% to around $11.8 billion, with Q4 showing slight improvement driven by personal electronics [8]. - NXP's revenue is projected at $12.27 billion, down 3%, with automotive and industrial sectors remaining stable [10]. - Renesas reported a revenue drop of 2% to 1.3212 trillion yen, marking its first loss in six years due to significant impairment losses [12]. - Microchip Technology expects growth in both year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter sales, with a projected revenue of $1.186 billion for Q3 2026 [12]. - Qorvo's revenue exceeded expectations at $993 million, with an 8.4% year-over-year increase [12]. - Infineon's revenue is projected at €14.662 billion, down 2%, but with strong demand in AI driving growth [14]. Group 3: Memory Chips - Samsung's revenue is expected to reach 333.6059 trillion won (approximately $233.8 billion), a 10.9% increase, with the semiconductor division achieving 130.1 trillion won in revenue [29]. - SK Hynix anticipates a record revenue of 97.15 trillion won (approximately $681.6 billion), a 47% increase year-over-year [31]. - Micron's revenue is projected to rise from $25.11 billion to $37.38 billion, with HBM chip capacity sold out for 2026 [33]. - GigaDevice expects a revenue increase of approximately 25% to 9.203 billion yuan [35]. Group 4: Wafer Foundry - TSMC's revenue is projected to reach approximately 3.8 trillion new Taiwan dollars (around $122.42 billion), a 31.6% increase, with advanced processes contributing significantly [47]. - UMC expects a slight revenue increase of 2.3% to 237.55 billion new Taiwan dollars, with a focus on mature process technologies [49]. - SMIC anticipates a record revenue of $9.3268 billion, a 16.2% increase, with improved profitability driven by increased wafer sales [51]. Group 5: Testing and Packaging - ASE Group's revenue is expected to reach 645.388 billion new Taiwan dollars, an 8.4% increase, with advanced packaging services contributing significantly [57]. - Amkor's revenue is projected at $6.71 billion, a 6% increase, with strong performance in advanced packaging and computing business [59]. Group 6: Equipment - ASML's total net sales are expected to reach €32.667 billion, a 15.6% increase, with a record order backlog reflecting strong demand for AI-related technologies [61]. - Lam Research anticipates a record year with significant growth driven by advanced process technologies [63]. Group 7: Distribution - WPG Holdings expects a revenue of 999.12 billion new Taiwan dollars, a 13.4% increase, driven by AI and high-performance computing demand [66]. - WPG's revenue is projected to exceed 1 trillion new Taiwan dollars, marking a significant milestone [68].

Seedance 2.0 走向更广阔平台，使用频次、深度有望长期提升。该模型的核心 使用方式简单易操作，用户在豆包 App 对话框找到新增的"Seedance 2.0"入 口，输入提示词即可生成 5 秒或 10 秒视频；也可选择"分身视频"功能，完成真 人活体验证后创建个人专属视频分身，解锁更多创意玩法，不过目前暂不支持上 传真人图片作为视频主体参考，若要使用真人形象需本人验证或取得授权。 Seedance 2.0 具备多项核心能力，支持原声音画同步、多镜头长叙事、多模态可 控生成，可接受文本、图片等多模态输入，搭配提示词和参考图就能生成带完整 原生音轨的多镜头视频；模型能自动解析叙事逻辑，让生成镜头序列的角色、光 影、风格与氛围保持高度统一，还解决了传统 AI 视频人物突变、音画不同步等行 业痛点。 在使用频次、深度有望长期提升的趋势下，重视多模态给算力端的重要拉动。 分析师：吕伟 分析师：郭新宇 执业证书：S0590525110033 执业证书：S0590525110034 邮箱：lvwei_yj@glms.com.cn 邮箱：guoxinyu@glms.com.cn 事件：2026 年 2 月 12 日 ...

郭晨凯 制图 上证指数2025年2月5日以来走势图 沪指蛇年上涨25.58% 机构判断节后科技主线有望回归 ◎记者 费天元 东方证券研报认为，中芯国际AI、存储、中高端应用相关的订单呈现增加态势，展望未来，公司有望 凭借在BCD、模拟、存储、MCU、中高端显示驱动等细分领域中的技术储备与领先优势，在本轮行业 发展周期中保持有利位置。 另有多家存储芯片企业2025年业绩预喜。根据业绩预告，模组龙头江波龙预计2025年净利润为12.5亿元 至15.5亿元，同比增长151%至211%；德明利预计2025年实现净利润6.5亿元至8亿元，同比增长85%至 128%。佰维存储、朗科科技等均预告业绩大幅增长或实现扭亏。 除存储芯片外，昨日计算机设备、养殖等2025年业绩向好板块均获得资金关注，相关龙头公司股价上 扬。展望后市，3月开始上市公司年报进入密集披露期，机构普遍提示聚焦绩优方向。 中信证券研报表示，根据业绩预告，2025年A股上市公司业绩预喜比例扩大，科技、金融、周期是最大 亮点，整体呈现"科技驱动、外需支撑、金融压仓"的结构性特征。其中，基础化工、电子、医药、有色 金属、机械等行业业绩超预期个股数量领先，汽车、电 ...

机构：光大证券 研究员：付天姿/董馨悦 事件：4Q25营收超预期，1Q26指引偏谨慎。4Q25收入24.89亿美元，YoY+12.8%，QoQ+4.5%，超过此 前公司23.8~24.3亿美元指引区间的上限，超过市场预期的24.2亿美元。其中，晶圆出货量YoY+26.3%， QoQ+0.6%；晶圆ASP YoY-10.8%，QoQ+0.8%。4Q25毛利率19.2%，YoY-3.4pct，QoQ-2.8pct，符合公 司18%~20%的指引区间，略低于市场预期的20%，主要系折旧上升。4Q25净利润2.03亿美元，YoY- 24.9%，QoQ-35.5%，其中4Q归母净利润1.73亿美元，非控制性权益0.31亿美元，YoY-81.3%，QoQ- 75.3%。2025全年盈利水平修复。2025年实现营收93.27亿美元，创历史新高，YoY+16.2%；毛利率 21%，YoY+3.0pct。2025年归母净利润6.85亿美元，YoY+39.1%。1Q26指引相对谨慎。1Q26指引收入环 比持平，对应YoY+10.7%；指引毛利率18%~20%，低于市场预期的20.9%。2026全年指引方面，公司预 计营收同比增速 ...

智通财经APP讯，中芯国际(00981)发布公告，于2026年2月13日，非本公司董事因行使根据2014以股支 薪奖励计划(于2013年6月13日获采纳)所授予的受限制股份单位而发行的普通股股份1.66万股。 ...

近五日涨跌: 0.99% (原标题：中芯国际(00981)因行使根据2014以股支薪奖励计划所授予的受限制股份单位而发行1.66万股) 智通财经APP讯，中芯国际(00981)发布公告，于2026年2月13日，非本公司董事因行使根据2014以股支薪奖励计划(于2013年6月13日获采纳)所授 予的受限制股份单位而发行的普通股股份1.66万股。 相关ETF 港股通科技ETF基金 (产品代码: 159101) ★ 跟踪：经估值汇率调整后的国证港股通科技指数 市盈率： 29.54倍 资金流向: 最新份额为35.1亿份,增加 了300.0万份,净申赎274.6 厅元。 估值分位:21.24% 恒生科技指数ETF (产品代码: 513180) ★ 跟踪：恒生科技指数 近五日涨跌:0.99% 资金流向: 最新份额为740.8亿份, 增 加了8.1亿份,净申赎5.7亿 元。 港股通互联网ETF基 金 (产品代码: 520910) 资金流向: 最新份额为7.4亿份,增加 了0.0份, 净申赎0.0元。 估值分位:18.04% 恒牛互联网ETF (产品代码：513330) ★ 跟踪: 恒生互联网科技业指数 近五日涨跌: -0. ...

FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 中芯國際集成電路製造有限公司 呈交日期： 2026年2月13日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | | 00981 | 說明 | 港股 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | 事件 | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 ...

如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | | 00981 | 說明 | 港股 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | 事件 | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 | 每股發行/出售價 (註4) | | 已發行股份總數 | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數 目 | | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份（不包括庫存股 份）數目百分比 (註3) | 庫存股份數目 | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Neutral" rating for Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (SMIC) [1] Core Insights - UBS has raised the revenue forecast for SMIC for 2026 to 2029 by 4% to reflect greater domestic opportunities and improved supply-demand dynamics, but has lowered the profit forecast by 8% to 18% due to higher depreciation burdens [1] - The target price is set at HKD 76, based on a projected price-to-book ratio of 3.3 times over the next 12 months, with a long-term return on equity of 11.3% [1] - SMIC's net profit for the last quarter increased by 4.5% quarter-on-quarter, exceeding previous guidance of a 0% to 2% increase and market expectations of a 1.3% increase, driven by slight growth in wafer shipments and average selling prices [1] - The gross margin was reported at 19.2%, aligning with the guidance range of 18% to 20%, but below the market expectation of 20% [1] Revenue and Capacity Outlook - With the 8-inch chip capacity utilization exceeding 100% and the 12-inch chip capacity nearing full operation, management forecasts that capital expenditures this year will remain at USD 8.1 billion, with a projected capacity increase of 40k wafers per month for 12-inch capacity by year-end to meet strong domestic demand from fabless companies [1] - SMIC aims to focus on expanding in areas with tight supply, such as BCD chips, memory, and memory-related products [1] - Management predicts that sales will remain flat in the first quarter, with a gross margin expected to be between 18% and 20%, and sales growth anticipated to exceed the industry average for the year [1] Depreciation and Margin Pressure - The report indicates that due to ongoing business expansion, management expects depreciation expenses to increase by 30% year-on-year this year, maintaining high levels into next year, which will further pressure gross margins [2] - UBS currently forecasts a gross margin of 20% for the first quarter and 21.2% for the entire year, with depreciation pressure expected to be offset by a more favorable pricing environment [2]

Investment Rating - The semiconductor industry is rated as "stable improvement" for the next 12 to 18 months, with potential for upward adjustments based on demand growth from automotive electronics and artificial intelligence [5][7]. Core Insights - The semiconductor industry in China is expected to benefit from effective industrial support policies, accelerating domestic substitution processes, and a stable upward trend in credit quality [5][8]. - The competition in the semiconductor industry remains a key national focus, with ongoing support for high-end breakthroughs and supply chain management [7][9]. - The recovery of the semiconductor industry is driven by the mild recovery in consumer electronics and rapid development in automotive electronics and artificial intelligence [19][24]. - The global semiconductor sales reached approximately $697.18 billion in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 11.22%, indicating a new recovery cycle after a previous downturn [20][24]. - The domestic semiconductor market in China is projected to reach $210.88 billion in 2025, growing by 14.68% year-on-year, driven by AI and automotive electronics [24]. Industry Fundamentals Analysis - The semiconductor industry is supported by a comprehensive policy framework that includes national and local government initiatives aimed at enhancing self-sufficiency and technological breakthroughs [9][10]. - The production of integrated circuits in China reached 484.3 billion units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 87.28%, with exports also showing significant growth [11][24]. - The industry is characterized by a high degree of concentration, with the top ten chip design companies holding over 65% of the market share globally, predominantly led by U.S. firms [30][31]. Credit Performance of Industry Enterprises - The overall financial performance of the semiconductor industry has improved, with revenue, profit, and operating cash flow showing growth, while debt levels remain manageable [29]. - The industry has not experienced any bond extensions or defaults, indicating a stable credit environment [29]. - The chip design sector has seen rapid growth, particularly in AI chip manufacturers, which have outperformed other segments [31].