经济观察网远东传动（002406）(002406.SZ)近期发布业绩预告，预计2025年归属净利润同比增长 25.06%至41.96%。同时，公司股东户数已连续13期下降，筹码趋于集中。 业绩经营情况 公司项目推进 公司等速项目二期扩能计划正在有序推进，部分从德国进口的高端设备已于2025年11月起进场调试。该 项目旨在满足新能源汽车等增长需求，后续进展可能影响产能。 行业政策与环境 公司业务受益于商用车市场增长，特别是新能源商用车和出口细分领域。根据业绩预告，2025年重卡销 量同比增长26%，行业景气度可能持续影响公司订单。 以上内容基于公开资料整理，不构成投资建议。 公司已于2026年1月20日发布业绩预告，预计2025年全年归属净利润为1.48亿元至1.68亿元，同比增长 25.06%至41.96%。正式年度报告计划在2026年内披露，这将提供更详细的财务和经营数据。 股东人数情况 截至2026年1月31日，公司股东户数为57,320户，较1月20日减少5,386户，环比下降8.59%，这已是连续 第13期下降。筹码集中趋势可能反映投资者结构变化。 ...

证券日报网讯2月3日，远东传动（002406）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2026年1月30日， 公司股东人数为57320户。 ...

证券日报网讯1月22日，远东传动（002406）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2026年1月20日， 公司股东人数为62706户。 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Outperform the Market" for the automotive industry [5] Core Insights - The automotive industry in China is expected to achieve record production and sales in 2025, driven by policies encouraging vehicle trade-ins and the release of new models [5] - The passenger vehicle market is showing steady growth, with production and sales surpassing 30 million units in 2025, and domestic brands capturing nearly 70% of the market share [5] - The commercial vehicle market is recovering, with production and sales exceeding 4 million units, particularly strong performance in the new energy heavy truck segment [5] - New energy vehicles (NEVs) are experiencing rapid growth, with production and sales reaching approximately 1.66 million units in 2025, accounting for nearly 50.8% of domestic sales [5] - The report highlights two main investment themes: the acceleration of L3 level autonomous driving commercialization and the transition of automotive technology towards robotics and liquid cooling systems [5] Industry Performance Review - As of January 20, 2026, the automotive (CITIC) industry index increased by 4.07%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index by 2.15 percentage points [10] - Over 75% of automotive stocks saw an increase in value, with notable performers including Jiaoyun Co., Saifu Technology, and Siliang Zhidu [16] - The automotive sector's PE (TTM) is at 34.4 times, ranking 15th among 30 CITIC primary industries, while the PB (LF) is at 2.7 times, ranking 80th percentile [19] Key Data Tracking Industry Overview - In 2025, the total production and sales of automobiles reached 34.53 million and 34.40 million units, respectively, marking a year-on-year increase of 10.4% and 9.4% [27] Passenger Vehicles - Passenger vehicle production and sales for 2025 reached 30.27 million and 30.10 million units, with year-on-year growth of 10.2% and 9.2% [41] Commercial Vehicles - Commercial vehicle production and sales for 2025 totaled 4.26 million and 4.30 million units, reflecting year-on-year increases of 12% and 10.9% [56] New Energy Vehicles - New energy vehicle production and sales reached 1.66 million and 1.65 million units in 2025, with a market share of 47.9%, up 7.01 percentage points year-on-year [67]

Core Viewpoint - Far East Transmission is expected to achieve a net profit of 148 million to 168 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.06% to 41.96%, driven by industry recovery and the company's efforts [1] Group 1: Company Performance - The company forecasts a non-net profit of 120 million to 140 million yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year increase of 46.65% to 71.09% [1] - The significant growth in non-net profit compared to net profit indicates a substantial enhancement in the company's main business profitability and improved profit quality, suggesting stronger sustainability in growth [1] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The domestic commercial vehicle market is showing a notable growth trend, with production and sales expected to reach 4.261 million and 4.296 million units respectively in 2025, marking year-on-year increases of 12% and 10.9% [2] - The growth in the commercial vehicle market is closely linked to national infrastructure investment and policies promoting new energy vehicles, which have stimulated demand [3] Group 3: Competitive Position - Far East Transmission is a leading manufacturer of non-uniform transmission shafts in China, maintaining a dominant market share in the industry [1] - The company has focused on technological innovation and smart manufacturing, enhancing product competitiveness and expanding market share [2] - The establishment of a self-controlled industrial chain, particularly in the development of universal joint products, has improved product consistency and quality, further strengthening the company's market position [2]

Group 1: Economic Outlook - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised China's economic growth forecast for 2025 by 0.2 percentage points to 5% and has also upgraded the 2026 growth expectations [3] Group 2: Government Announcements - The State Council Information Office will hold two press conferences on January 20, focusing on the implementation of the Central Economic Work Conference and the role of proactive fiscal policy in promoting high-quality economic development [3] - A press conference on January 21 will discuss the achievements in industrial and information technology development by 2025 [3] Group 3: Regulatory Developments - The Civil Aviation Administration of China introduced a revised Civil Aviation Law, encouraging the development of general aviation and establishing a supportive infrastructure network [4] Group 4: Company News - Yidian Tianxia will resume trading on January 20, not involving GEO business [7] - Tianjian Technology may face delisting risk warnings [7] - Huichuan Technology plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [7] - Far East Transmission expects a net profit increase of 25.06% to 41.96% in 2025 [7] - Guilin Tourism anticipates a profit of 11 million yuan in 2025, reversing losses [7] - ST Yuanzhi forecasts a net profit increase of 396.77% to 507.16% in 2025 [7] - Runfeng Co. expects a net profit increase of 128.85% to 159.95% in 2025 [8] - Xiangcai Securities anticipates a net profit of 553 million yuan in 2025, a 157% increase [8] - Haoshanghao expects a net profit increase of 115.64% to 175.35% in 2025 [8] - Hunan Yuneng forecasts a net profit increase of 93.75% to 135.87% in 2025 [8] - Libang Instruments expects a net profit increase of 75% to 105% in 2025 [8] - Chengdu Huamei anticipates a net profit increase of 74.35% to 108.73% in 2025 [8] - Jihong Co. expects a net profit increase of 50% to 60% in 2025 [8] - Guotou Securities anticipates a net profit of 3.4 billion yuan in 2025, a growth of over 35% [8] - Dinglong Co. expects a net profit increase of 34.44% to 40.2% in 2025 [8] - Ruimaite anticipates a net profit increase of 22.28% to 51.24% in 2025 [8] - Nanfang Energy expects a profit of 300 million to 360 million yuan in 2025, reversing losses [8] - Xianglu Tungsten Industry anticipates a profit of 125 million to 180 million yuan in 2025, reversing losses [8] - Feiwo Technology expects a profit of 32 million to 45 million yuan in 2025, reversing losses [8] - Yitong Century anticipates a profit of 8 million to 12 million yuan in 2025, reversing losses [8] - A controlling shareholder of Aotai Bio has proposed a share buyback of 100 million to 200 million yuan [8]

Key Points - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised China's economic growth forecast for 2025 by 0.2 percentage points to 5% and has also adjusted the growth expectations for 2026 [3] - The National Development and Reform Commission will hold a press conference on January 20 to discuss the implementation of the central economic work conference and the "14th Five-Year Plan" [3] - The Ministry of Finance will also hold a press conference on the same day to discuss the role of proactive fiscal policy in promoting high-quality economic and social development [3] - The Supreme People's Procuratorate has emphasized the need to use legal power to support high-quality development and maintain economic and financial security [3] - The Civil Aviation Administration of China has introduced a new Civil Aviation Law that encourages the development of general aviation and aims to create a supportive infrastructure network [4] - There are rumors about the existence of fake accounts participating in Hong Kong stock IPOs, which have been dismissed as unfounded by market experts [5] - The Loan Prime Rate (LPR) is set to be adjusted on January 20, with the current 1-year LPR at 3% and the 5-year LPR at 3.5% [5] Company News - Yidian Tianxia will resume trading on January 20, not involving GEO business [7] - Tianjian Technology may face delisting risk due to trading issues [7] - Huichuan Technology is planning to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [7] - Far East Transmission expects a net profit increase of 25.06% to 41.96% in 2025 [7] - Guilin Tourism anticipates a profit of 11 million yuan in 2025, marking a turnaround [7] - ST Yuanzhi expects a net profit increase of 396.77% to 507.16% in 2025 [7] - Runfeng Co. anticipates a net profit increase of 128.85% to 159.95% in 2025 [7] - Xiangcai Securities expects a net profit of 553 million yuan in 2025, a 157% increase [7] - Haoshanghao expects a net profit increase of 115.64% to 175.35% in 2025 [7] - Hunan Yuneng anticipates a net profit increase of 93.75% to 135.87% in 2025 [7] - Libang Instruments expects a net profit increase of 75% to 105% in 2025 [7] - Chengdu Huamei anticipates a net profit increase of 74.35% to 108.73% in 2025 [7] - Jihong Co. expects a net profit increase of 50% to 60% in 2025 [7] - Guotou Securities expects a net profit of 3.4 billion yuan in 2025, a growth of over 35% [8] - Dinglong Co. anticipates a net profit increase of 34.44% to 40.2% in 2025 [8] - Ruimaite expects a net profit increase of 22.28% to 51.24% in 2025 [8] - Nanfang Energy expects a profit of 300 million to 360 million yuan in 2025, marking a turnaround [8] - Xianglu Tungsten Industry expects a profit of 125 million to 180 million yuan in 2025, marking a turnaround [8] - Feiwo Technology expects a profit of 32 million to 45 million yuan in 2025, marking a turnaround [8] - Yitong Century expects a profit of 8 million to 12 million yuan in 2025, marking a turnaround [8] - Aotai Bio's controlling shareholder has proposed a share buyback of 100 million to 200 million yuan [8]

Group 1 - The company has provided a voluntary performance forecast for the period from January 1, 2025, to December 31, 2025, indicating a positive outlook for its financial performance [1] - The company expects significant growth in the domestic commercial vehicle market, particularly in the new energy commercial vehicle and export segments, with the heavy truck market projected to reach total sales of 1.137 million units in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 26% [1] - The company has focused on its core business, enhancing product quality and expanding market share through technological innovation and smart manufacturing, which has strengthened its competitive position in the drive shaft sector for commercial vehicles and construction machinery [1] Group 2 - The performance forecast is based on preliminary calculations by the company's finance department, with final financial data to be confirmed in the 2025 annual report [2]

智通财经APP讯，远东传动(002406.SZ)披露2025年度业绩预告，公司预计归属于上市公司股东的净利润 1.48亿元至1.68亿元，同比增长25.06%至41.96%;扣除非经常性损益后的净利润1.2亿元至1.4亿元，同比 增长46.65%至71.09%。 ...

远东传动（002406）(002406.SZ)披露2025年度业绩预告，公司预计归属于上市公司股东的净利润1.48亿 元至1.68亿元，同比增长25.06%至41.96%;扣除非经常性损益后的净利润1.2亿元至1.4亿元，同比增长 46.65%至71.09%。 ...