简式权益变动报告书 | 上市公司： | 北京光线传媒股份有限公司 | | --- | --- | | 上市地点： | 深圳证券交易所 | | 股票简称： | 光线传媒 | | 股票代码： | 300251 | | 信息披露义务人： | 杭州阿里创业投资有限公司 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 注册地址： | 杭州市滨江区网商路 号 | 699 | 1 | 号楼 | 3 | 楼 | 301 | | | 室 | | | | | | | | 通讯地址： | 杭州市余杭区文一西路 | 969 | 号 | C 区 | C3 | 楼 | 12 | | | 楼 | | | | | | | | 股份权益变动性 | | | | | | | | | | 股份减少 | | | | | | | | 质： | | | | | | | | 签署日期：二〇二四年十二月十日 信息披露义务人声明 一、本报告书系依据《中华人民共和国公司法》《中华人民共和国证券法》 《上市公司收购管理办法》《公开发行证券的公司信息披露内容与格式准则第 15 号—— ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company, Light Media [2]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 1.442 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 53.37%. However, the third quarter saw a significant decline in revenue to 108 million yuan, down 67.85% year-on-year, with a net loss of 12 million yuan [4]. - The company's film and television content business is progressing steadily, but investment returns have negatively impacted overall performance. Despite the challenges, the core business remains profitable when excluding investment losses [4]. - The company has a rich pipeline of films and has launched its film base, with several upcoming releases scheduled for Q4 2024, including "The Heart of Qiao Yan" and "Victory in Hand" [4]. - Profit forecasts have been adjusted, with expected net profits for 2024-2026 at 543 million, 1.027 billion, and 1.181 billion yuan, respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 48.8, 25.8, and 22.4 times based on the current stock price [4]. Financial Summary - For 2023, the company is projected to achieve a revenue of 1.546 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 104.7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 418 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 158.6% [3]. - The gross margin is forecasted to be 39.9% in 2023, with an expected increase to 48.3% by 2025 [3]. - The return on equity (ROE) is anticipated to rise from 4.8% in 2023 to 10.1% by 2025 [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 1.44 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 53%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 460 million yuan, up 25% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 430 million yuan, an increase of 24% year-on-year. The net cash flow from operating activities reached 640 million yuan, a significant increase of 323% year-on-year [4] - In Q3 2024, the company experienced a decline in total revenue to 110 million yuan, down 68% year-on-year, with a net loss attributable to the parent company of 11.89 million yuan, a decrease of 107% year-on-year. This decline was primarily due to the release of only one film during the quarter compared to multiple films in the same period last year [5] - The company has a rich pipeline of animated films, with key projects such as "Little Qian," "Nezha's Devil Child," and "The Stars of the Three Kingdoms" awaiting release dates. Additionally, several other film and TV projects are in various stages of production [6][7] Financial Performance and Forecast - The company expects total revenue from its film business to be 1.12 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year decrease of 13%, followed by a significant increase of 64.5% in 2025. The revenue from the television business is projected to be 300 million yuan in 2024, with a slight decline in subsequent years [7][10] - The overall revenue forecast for the company is 1.74 billion yuan in 2024, 2.49 billion yuan in 2025, and 2.65 billion yuan in 2026, with year-on-year growth rates of 12.8%, 42.8%, and 6.3% respectively [8][10] - The company’s net profit is expected to reach 508 million yuan in 2024, 962 million yuan in 2025, and 1.003 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding growth rates of 21.6%, 89.4%, and 4.3% [8][13] Valuation - The company is valued using both PE and PB methods, with a projected PE range of 30-35 times for 2025, leading to a reasonable value range of 9.90-11.55 yuan per share. The PB valuation suggests a range of 9.93-11.59 yuan per share for 2025. The combined reasonable value range is estimated to be between 9.92 yuan and 11.57 yuan per share [9][12]

Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q3 2024 revenue was 107 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 67.85%, with net profit attributable to the parent company turning to a loss of -12 million yuan and non-GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company turning to a loss of -28 million yuan [1] - The company's summer film releases underperformed expectations, with the main film "From the 21st Century Safe Withdrawal" achieving a cumulative box office of 112 million yuan as of November 4, 2024 [2] - The company has a rich pipeline of high-quality live-action and animated films, with expectations for performance release in 2025 [2] - TV/web series projects are gradually being launched, and artist management and content-related businesses are progressing in an orderly manner [3] - The company's 2024-2026 net profit attributable to the parent company forecast has been revised down from 1.02/1.18/1.31 billion yuan to 0.54/1.02/1.29 billion yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of approximately 47/25/20 times for 2024-2026 [3] Financial Performance - 2024 Q3 revenue: 107 million yuan, down 67.85% YoY [1] - 2024 Q3 net profit attributable to the parent company: -12 million yuan [1] - 2024 Q3 non-GAAP net profit attributable to the parent company: -28 million yuan [1] - 2024 Q3 investment losses: approximately 24.44 million yuan [1] - Cumulative box office for "From the 21st Century Safe Withdrawal" as of November 4, 2024: 112 million yuan [2] - Cumulative box office for "Qiao Yan's Heart" as of November 4, 2024: 134 million yuan [2] Film and TV Projects - Summer 2024 film releases underperformed expectations [2] - Upcoming film releases: "Sure Win" scheduled for November 15, 2024 [2] - Rich pipeline of live-action films: "Little People", "Her Little Pear Vortex", "Transparent Lovers", "Moduo's Mystery Adventure", "Moerdaoga", "Forty-Four Astringent Persimmons" [2] - Animated films in development: "Little Nie", "Nezha: The Devil's Child", "Three Kingdoms' Starry Sky", "Go to Your Island", "Big Fish & Begonia 2", "Longing", "Shuo Feng", "Non-Human", "Zhuolu", "Journey to the West: The Great Sage's Uproar", "Jiang Ziya 2", "Tea Ah Middle School 2", "Yesterday Once More 2" [2] - TV/web series projects: "Fuyu An" aired on Tencent Video and Mango TV on July 31, 2024, "Shanhe Zhen" in post-production, "Chunri Yan" and "My Dating List" in development [3] Financial Forecasts - 2024-2026 revenue forecast: 1.81/2.55/3.06 billion yuan [1] - 2024-2026 net profit attributable to the parent company forecast: 0.54/1.02/1.29 billion yuan [3] - 2024-2026 EPS forecast: 0.18/0.35/0.44 yuan per share [1] - 2024-2026 P/E ratios: 47/25/20 times [3] Market Data - Closing price: 9.01 yuan [5] - 52-week low/high: 6.43/10.91 yuan [5] - P/B ratio: 2.97 times [5] - Market cap: 26.43 billion yuan [5] - Circulating A-share market cap: 25.11 billion yuan [5] Financial Ratios - 2024-2026 gross margin: 40.41%/51.39%/53.42% [9] - 2024-2026 net margin attributable to the parent company: 29.95%/40.03%/42.10% [9] - 2024-2026 ROE: 5.90%/10.00%/11.21% [10] - 2024-2026 ROIC: 5.57%/10.01%/11.30% [10] Balance Sheet and Cash Flow - 2024-2026 total assets: 10.59/11.91/13.45 billion yuan [9] - 2024-2026 total liabilities: 1.39/1.69/1.95 billion yuan [9] - 2024-2026 operating cash flow: 431/870/1,121 million yuan [10] - 2024-2026 net cash increase: 248/763/1,014 million yuan [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for the company, with a target price of 10.8 RMB [1][3] Core Views - Q3 performance was below expectations due to investment losses, with revenue of 108 million RMB (YoY -68%) and a net loss attributable to the parent company of 12 million RMB (YoY -107%) [1] - The company has a rich pipeline of upcoming films, including "Nezha 2," "Little Qian," and "The Seventeenth Article," which are expected to drive future performance [1] - AI technology is expected to enhance the efficiency of animation film production and amplify the value of the company's IP portfolio, including "Nezha," "Jiang Ziya," and "Big Fish & Begonia" [1] Financial Performance - 24Q3 revenue was 108 million RMB, a 68% YoY decrease, with a net loss attributable to the parent company of 12 million RMB (YoY -107%) [1] - The company's 2024/25/26 net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 565/1,058/1,191 million RMB, with YoY growth rates of 35%/87%/13% [1] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 44/24/21 for 2024/25/26 [1] Product Pipeline - Q4 2024 will see the release of several films, including "Qiao Yan's Heart" (expected box office of 152 million RMB) and "Sheng Quan Zai Wo" [1] - In 2025, the company plans to release animated films such as "Nezha 2," "Little Qian," and "The Starry Sky of the Three Kingdoms," as well as live-action films like "The Seventeenth Article" and "Three-Body" [1] Valuation - The target market capitalization is 31.73 billion RMB, with a target price of 10.8 RMB, based on a 2025 PE ratio of 30x [1] - Comparable companies include Bona Film Group, Wanda Film, and China Film, with a focus on relative valuation [1] Industry Insights - AI is expected to significantly improve the efficiency of animation film production, potentially increasing the company's production capacity and enhancing the value of its IP portfolio [1]

北京光线传媒股份有限公司 证券代码：300251 证券简称：光线传媒 公告编号：2024-059 北京光线传媒股份有限公司 关于控股股东部分股份质押延期购回的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、股东部分股份质押延期购回的基本情况 二、备查文件 中国证券登记结算有限责任公司证券质押及司法冻结明细表。 1. 本次部分股份质押延期购回的基本情况 光线控股本次办理的股份质押延期购回，不会改变其持有、质押本公司股份 的数量，为其自身资金安排需要，不涉及新增融资。 2. 股东股份累计质押情况 截至公告披露日，光线控股及其一致行动人所持质押股份情况如下： 股东 名称 持股数量 持股 比例 累计质押 数量 合计占 其所持 股份比 例 合计占 公司总 股本比 例 已质押股份情况 未质押股份情况 已质押股份 限售和冻 结、标记合 计数量 占已质 押股份 比例 未质押股 份限售和 冻结合计 数量 占未质 押股份 比例 光线 1,097,132,788 37.40% 353,465,000 32.22% 12.05% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 北京光线传媒 ...

%% %% 丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨光线传媒（300251.SZ） [Table_Title] Q3 业绩受投资业务拖累，关注重点动画电影定 档节奏 | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------| | 报告要点 | | | [Table_Summary] 光线传媒披露 2024 三季报，公司 24 前三季度实现营收 14.42 亿，同比增长 53.37% ，实现归 | | 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高超 SAC：S0490516080001 SFC：BUX177 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 光线传媒（300251.SZ） cjzqdt11111 资料来源：Wind 相关研究 [Table_Title Q3 业绩受投资业务拖累，关注重点动画电影定 2] 档节奏 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 光线传媒披露 2024 三季报，公司 ...

2024 年 11 月 1 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 方博云 S0350521120002 fangby@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] 重磅影片储备丰富，关注《哪吒 2》定 档情况 ——光线传媒（300251）2024Q3 业绩点评 最近一年走势 | --- | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------|-----------|-------|------------------| | 相对沪深 300 \n表现 | 表现 \n1M | 3M | 2024/10/31 \n12M | | 光线传媒 | -0.7% | 14.5% | 13.8% | | 沪深 300 | -3.2% | 13.0% | 8.9% | | 市场数据 | | | 2024/10/31 | | 当前价格（元） | | | 8.84 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | | | 6.43-10.91 | | 总市值（百万） | | | 25,933.10 | | 流通市值（百万） | | | 24,639.05 | | 总股本（万股） | | ...

光线传媒（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 300251） | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------|---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

Financial Performance - The company's revenue for Q3 2024 was ¥107,655,243.69, a decrease of 67.85% compared to the same period last year[2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2024 was -¥11,890,802.42, a decline of 107.18% year-on-year[2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was -¥27,813,312.12, down 117.43% from the previous year[2]. - Operating revenue increased by 53.37% year-to-date compared to the same period last year, primarily due to increased income from film and television productions[7]. - Total operating revenue for the period reached ¥1,441,787,169.08, a significant increase of 53.6% compared to ¥940,076,900.42 in the previous period[15]. - Operating profit for the period was ¥572,488,016.03, up 37.5% from ¥416,559,652.75 in the prior year[16]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders of the parent company was ¥460,878,000.71, representing a 25.1% increase from ¥368,468,961.15 in the same period last year[16]. - The company reported a total comprehensive income of ¥414,895,067.82, compared to ¥384,416,387.26 in the previous year, reflecting a growth of 7.9%[16]. Cash Flow and Assets - The operating cash flow for the year-to-date period reached ¥638,742,100.95, a significant increase of 322.80% year-on-year[5]. - Cash flow from operating activities generated ¥638,742,100.95, a substantial rise from ¥151,074,277.10 in the previous year[17]. - Cash inflow from operating activities totaled ¥1,714,069,571.18, significantly higher than ¥966,841,745.46 in the previous year[17]. - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to approximately CNY 2.00 billion from CNY 2.48 billion, a decline of about 19.4%[12]. - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period decreased to 1,996,826,086.70 CNY from 2,140,254,734.36 CNY, reflecting a net decrease of 484,031,770.73 CNY[18]. - The total current assets increased to approximately CNY 4.85 billion from CNY 4.54 billion, reflecting a growth of about 6.8%[12]. - The non-current assets totaled approximately CNY 5.31 billion, down from CNY 5.39 billion, indicating a decrease of about 1.5%[13]. Liabilities and Equity - The company's total liabilities amounted to approximately CNY 1.24 billion, showing a slight decrease from CNY 1.25 billion in the previous period[13]. - The total equity attributable to the parent company increased to approximately CNY 8.90 billion, up from CNY 8.68 billion, representing a growth of about 2.5%[14]. - The equity attributable to shareholders at the end of the reporting period was ¥8,901,458,656.14, up 2.57% from the previous year[2]. Investments and Costs - Investment income decreased by 107.86% year-to-date compared to the same period last year, primarily due to changes in earnings from joint ventures[7]. - Operating costs increased by 36.57% year-to-date compared to the same period last year, mainly due to higher costs associated with film and television productions[7]. - R&D expenses increased by 34.67% year-to-date compared to the same period last year, attributed to increased spending on research and development[7]. - The company’s investment in certain funds has been negatively impacted by market fluctuations, but the core business remains profitable[6]. Shareholder Information - The number of common shareholders at the end of the reporting period was 53,701[8]. - The largest shareholder, Light Media Holdings Co., Ltd., holds 37.40% of the shares, totaling 1,097,132,788 shares[9]. Future Outlook and Projects - The company has several upcoming film releases, including "Victory in Hand" on November 15, 2024, and has a pipeline of multiple projects in various stages of production[5]. - The PPP project in Yangzhou has commenced operations, with the company leveraging its project management experience to support its development[6]. - The company is actively developing its artist management and content-related businesses, enhancing the value of its talent pool[6]. Miscellaneous - The company did not undergo an audit for the third quarter report, indicating that the figures are unaudited[18]. - The company has adopted new accounting standards starting from 2024, which may impact future financial reporting and analysis[18].