淡季维持累库趋势，但库存处于历史低位 [Table_Industry] 钢铁 ——钢铁行业周度更新报告 | | | --- | [Table_Invest] 评级： 增持 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 李鹏飞(分析师) | 010-83939783 | lipengfei2@gtht.com | S0880519080003 | | 刘彦奇(分析师) | 021-23219391 | liuyanqi@gtht.com | S0880525040007 | | 魏雨迪(分析师) | 021-38674763 | weiyudi@gtht.com | S0880520010002 | | 王宏玉(分析师) | 021-38038343 | wanghongyu@gtht.com | S0880523060005 | 本报告导读： 需求有望逐步触底；供给端即便不考虑供给政策，目前行业微利时间已经较长，供 给的市场化出清已开始出现，我们预期钢铁行业基本面有望逐步修复。而若供给政 策落地，行业供给的收缩速度更快，行 ...

钢铁周报 20260208 铁矿基本面共振，价格趋势下行 glmszqdatemark | 重点公司盈利预测、估值与评级 | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | 简称 | 股价 | | EPS（元） | | | PE（X） | | 评级 | | | | （元） | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | | 000932.SZ | 华菱钢铁 | 6.12 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.66 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 推荐 | | 600019.SH | 宝钢股份 | 7.10 | 0.49 | 0.56 | 0.62 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 推荐 | | 600282.SH | 南钢股份 | 5.46 | 0.46 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 推荐 | | 301160.SZ | 翔楼新材 | 62.49 | 2.01 | 2.70 | 3.66 | 31 | ...

钢铁周报 20260208 铁矿基本面共振，价格趋势下行 glmszqdatemark | 重点公司盈利预测、估值与评级 | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | 简称 | 股价 | | EPS（元） | | | PE（X） | | 评级 | | | | （元） | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | | 000932.SZ | 华菱钢铁 | 6.12 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.66 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 推荐 | | 600019.SH | 宝钢股份 | 7.10 | 0.49 | 0.56 | 0.62 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 推荐 | | 600282.SH | 南钢股份 | 5.46 | 0.46 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 推荐 | | 301160.SZ | 翔楼新材 | 62.49 | 2.01 | 2.70 | 3.66 | 31 | ...

证券代码：301160 证券简称：翔楼新材 公告编号：2026-004 苏州翔楼新材料股份有限公司 关于 2023 年限制性股票激励计划 第二个归属期归属结果暨股份上市公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 1、本次归属日：2026年2月10日 2、本次符合归属条件的激励对象人数：39人，本次第二类限制性股票拟归 属的第二类限制性股票数量：1,435,498股(调整后），占目前公司股本总额的 1.28% 3、本次第二类限制性股票上市流通日为2026年2月10日，本次归属的限制 性股票不设限售期 4、股份来源：公司向激励对象定向发行公司A股普通股股票 根据苏州翔楼新材料股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）2023 年第二次临时 股东会授权，公司于 2026 年 1 月 27 日召开第四届董事会第四会议，审议通过了 《关于 2023 年限制性股票激励计划第二个归属期归属条件成就的议案》。近日， 公司办理完成了 2023 年限制性股票激励计划第二个归属期归属股份的登记工作。 现将有关情况公告如下： 一、2023 年限制性股权激励计划实施情况概要 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel industry [5]. Core Insights - Demand is expected to gradually stabilize, while supply-side constraints are anticipated to continue, leading to a potential recovery in the steel industry's fundamentals. If supply policies are implemented, the contraction in supply may accelerate, facilitating a quicker industry upturn [3][4]. Summary by Sections Steel Market Overview - Steel prices have decreased, with the Shanghai rebar price dropping by 20 CNY/ton to 3240 CNY/ton, a decline of 0.61%. The total inventory of steel has increased by 1.70% to 12.7851 million tons [8][12]. - Apparent consumption of five major steel products was 8.0174 million tons, down 0.96% week-on-week but up 28.96% year-on-year [21]. - The production of five major steel products was 8.2317 million tons, an increase of 0.44% week-on-week [12][37]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - Approximately 60% of steel companies are currently operating at a loss, indicating a market-driven supply clearance is beginning to occur [4]. - The construction sector's demand for steel is expected to stabilize, while demand from infrastructure and manufacturing is projected to grow steadily [4]. Profitability and Production Margins - The average gross profit for rebar was 196.9 CNY/ton, down 11.7 CNY/ton from the previous week, while hot-rolled coil profit increased by 2.3 CNY/ton to 46.9 CNY/ton [39]. - The profitability rate of 247 steel companies was 39.39%, a decrease of 1.3% from the previous week [28]. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with leading technology and product structures, such as Baosteel and Hualing Steel, as well as low-cost firms like Fangda Special Steel and New Steel [4]. - It also highlights the potential of upstream resource companies like Hebei Resources and Erdos, which may benefit from a recovery in demand [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several steel companies, including Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel, and others, indicating a positive outlook for their performance [2][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights that raw material inventory replenishment is nearly complete, with a focus on changes in real estate policies. It notes that steel production and apparent consumption are stabilizing, with a narrowing year-on-year decline in demand [8][32]. - The report anticipates that steel mill profits may continue to recover due to improved margins from raw material cost reductions and potential easing of real estate regulations [8][32]. Summary by Sections Domestic Steel Market - As of January 30, 2026, steel prices have decreased, with rebar priced at 3,240 CNY/ton, down 20 CNY from the previous week. Hot-rolled and cold-rolled prices also saw declines [15][16]. - The total production of major steel products reached 8.23 million tons, with an increase in inventory levels [8][32]. Profitability Analysis - The report estimates weekly gross margins for rebar, hot-rolled, and cold-rolled steel to have changed by -17 CNY/ton, +3 CNY/ton, and -19 CNY/ton respectively, indicating fluctuations in profitability [8][32]. Production and Inventory - The total inventory of major steel products rose by 222,100 tons to 8.89 million tons, with a slight decrease in steel mill inventory [8][32]. - Apparent consumption of rebar was estimated at 1.764 million tons, reflecting a decrease of 91,200 tons week-on-week [8][32]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several companies based on their market position: 1. Leading companies in the general steel sector: Hualing Steel, Baosteel, Nanjing Steel 2. Specialty steel sector: Xianglou New Materials, CITIC Special Steel, Fangda Special Steel 3. Pipe manufacturers: Jiuli Special Materials, Youfa Group, Changbao Co. 4. Raw material companies with clear growth: Dazhong Mining (iron ore + lithium) and Fangda Carbon [8][32].

Market Overview - The special steel sector experienced a decline of 0.39% on January 29, with Changbao Co. leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1] Stock Performance - Notable stock performances in the special steel sector include: - CITIC Special Steel (000708) closed at 15.90, up 1.47% with a trading volume of 265,300 shares and a turnover of 419 million yuan [1] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) closed at 6.41, up 0.94% with a trading volume of 678,000 shares and a turnover of 439 million yuan [1] - Fushun Special Steel (600399) closed at 6.82, up 0.44% with a trading volume of 1,043,200 shares and a turnover of 721 million yuan [1] - Changbao Co. (002478) closed at 9.82, down 4.01% with a trading volume of 541,800 shares and a turnover of 546 million yuan [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The special steel sector saw a net outflow of 82.17 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 84.75 million yuan [2] - Detailed capital flow for selected stocks includes: - CITIC Special Steel had a net inflow of 47.09 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Changbao Co. experienced a net outflow of 21.95 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Retail investors contributed a net inflow of 50 million yuan to Changbao Co. [3]

Market Performance - The special steel sector increased by 1.53% on January 28, with Jiuli Special Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4151.24, up 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14342.9, up 0.09% [1] Stock Performance - Jiuli Special Materials (002318) closed at 35.43, up 7.36% with a trading volume of 206,200 shares and a transaction value of 698 million [1] - Other notable performers include: - Taiyuan Iron & Steel (000825) at 5.52, up 2.99% [1] - Fangda Special Steel (600507) at 6.35, up 2.25% [1] - Xining Special Steel (600117) at 2.98, up 1.36% [1] - Conversely, Changbao Co. (002478) and Jinzou Pipeline (002443) saw declines of 0.87% and 1.11%, respectively [1] Capital Flow - The special steel sector experienced a net outflow of 23.98 million from institutional investors and 18.07 million from retail investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 42.05 million [2] - The detailed capital flow for individual stocks indicates that Jiuli Special Materials had a net inflow of 21.80 million from institutional investors [3] - Other stocks with significant net inflows include: - Taiyuan Iron & Steel with 14.52 million [3] - Fangda Special Steel with 12.80 million [3] - Notably, Xining Special Steel had a net inflow of 6.99 million from institutional investors [3]

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 1月27日，翔楼新材发布公告称，公司2023年限制性股票激励计划第二个归属期条件成 就，39名激励对象可归属1，435，498股，占当前总股本1.28%，授予价10.98元/股，股份来源为定向增 发A股；董事会已审议通过，待完成登记后上市流通。 ...

每经头条（nbdtoutiao）——国际金价冲破5000美元！7年涨了280%，什么时候才见顶？专家：关键还 看美元，重点关注国际货币体系、降息和科技革命 （记者 曾健辉） 每经AI快讯，翔楼新材1月27日晚间发布公告称，公司第四届第四次董事会会议于2026年1月27日在公 司会议室以现场结合通讯方式召开。会议审议了《关于调整2023年限制性股票激励计划授予价格、授予 数量的议案》等文件。 ...