Alpha Metallurgical Resources(AMR)
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Is Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) Stock Undervalued Right Now?
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-03-07 15:46
Core Viewpoint - Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) is currently identified as a strong buy stock with attractive valuation metrics, indicating it may be undervalued in the market [2][4]. Valuation Metrics - AMR has a P/E ratio of 8.58, significantly lower than the industry average of 11.13, suggesting it is undervalued [2]. - The stock's P/B ratio stands at 3.59, compared to the industry's average P/B of 5.14, further indicating its attractive valuation [2]. - AMR's P/S ratio is 1.43, while the industry average is 2.26, reinforcing the notion of being undervalued [3]. - The P/CF ratio for AMR is 5.68, which is substantially lower than the industry's average of 20.17, highlighting its solid cash flow outlook [3]. Historical Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, AMR's Forward P/E has fluctuated between a high of 13.15 and a low of 3.66, with a median of 6.60 [2]. - The P/B ratio for AMR has ranged from a high of 4.26 to a low of 1.31, with a median of 2.01 over the past year [2]. - AMR's P/CF ratio has varied between a high of 6.75 and a low of 1.46, with a median of 2.95 in the last 12 months [3].
2 Highly Ranked Stocks to Buy After Massive Earnings Beats
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-02-29 00:56
Currently belonging to the Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) list, Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) and LendingTree’s (TREE) stock look appealing after blasting their fourth quarter earnings expectations this week.Let’s briefly review Alpha Metallurgical Resources and LendingTree’s quarterly reports to see why now is a good time to buy these highly-ranked stocks.AMR Q4 Earnings Review Providing metallurgical products to the steel industry Alpha Metallurgical Resources is one of the most profitable miners and ...
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (AMR) Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue?
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-02-27 15:16
Have you been paying attention to shares of Alpha Metallurgical (AMR) ? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 11.8% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $446.03 in the previous session. Alpha Metallurgical has gained 30.5% since the start of the year compared to the -6.5% move for the Zacks Basic Materials sector and the -14.9% return for the Zacks Mining - Miscellaneous industry.What's Driving the Outperformance?The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it ...
Alpha Metallurgical Resources(AMR) - 2023 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-02-26 17:52
Start Time: 10:00 January 1, 0000 10:34 AM ET Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (NYSE:AMR) Q4 2023 Earnings Conference Call February 26, 2024, 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Andy Eidson - CEO Todd Munsey - EVP and CFO Jason Whitehead - President and COO Dan Horn - EVP and Chief Commercial Officer Emily O'Quinn - SVP, IR and Communications Conference Call Participants Lucas Pipes - B. Riley Securities Nathan Martin - Benchmark Company Operator Greetings, and welcome to the Alpha Metallurgical Resources ...
Are Basic Materials Stocks Lagging Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) This Year?
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-02-26 15:41
The Basic Materials group has plenty of great stocks, but investors should always be looking for companies that are outperforming their peers. Is Alpha Metallurgical (AMR) one of those stocks right now? By taking a look at the stock's year-to-date performance in comparison to its Basic Materials peers, we might be able to answer that question.Alpha Metallurgical is one of 236 companies in the Basic Materials group. The Basic Materials group currently sits at #15 within the Zacks Sector Rank. The Zacks Secto ...
Alpha Announces Financial Results for Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023
Prnewswire· 2024-02-26 12:30
Posts fourth quarter net income of $176.0 million, or $12.88 per diluted share Announces Adjusted EBITDA of $266.3 million for the quarter Continues progress on buyback program, with approximately $1.1 billion returned to shareholders since program inception Announces changes to company's board of directors BRISTOL, Tenn., Feb. 26, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. (NYSE: AMR), a leading U.S. supplier of metallurgical products for the steel industry, today reported financial results ...
Alpha Metallurgical Resources(AMR) - 2023 Q4 - Annual Results
2024-02-25 16:00
Financial Performance - Q4 2023 net income of $176.0 million, or $12.88 per diluted share, compared to $93.8 million, or $6.65 per diluted share, in Q3 2023[1][6] - Q4 2023 Adjusted EBITDA of $266.3 million, up from $153.9 million in Q3 2023[1][6] - Net income for Q4 2023 was $176.0 million, down from $220.7 million in Q4 2022, a 20.3% decrease[29] - Basic income per common share for Q4 2023 was $13.35, compared to $13.86 in Q4 2022, a 3.7% decline[29] - Net income for the year ended December 31, 2023, was $721.956 million, compared to $1.448545 billion in 2022[32] - Adjusted EBITDA for the year ended December 31, 2023, was $1.033111 billion, down from $1.740612 billion in 2022[35] Coal Sales and Revenues - Met segment coal sales realization increased to $183.76 per ton in Q4 2023 from $154.73 per ton in Q3 2023[6] - Coal revenues for Q4 2023 were $957.1 million, compared to $821.1 million in Q4 2022, representing a 16.6% increase[29] - Total revenues for Q4 2023 reached $959.9 million, up from $823.4 million in Q4 2022, a 16.6% growth[29] - Non-GAAP coal revenues for the three months ended December 31, 2023, were $837.588 million, with a sales realization of $182.72 per ton[36] - Tons sold in the three months ended December 31, 2023, were 4.584 million, with coal revenues contributing $954.181 million[36] - Coal revenues for the three months ended December 31, 2023, were $957,127 thousand, with a GAAP coal margin of $237,487 thousand[37] - Non-GAAP coal margin for the same period was $294,581 thousand, with a per ton margin of $64.26[37] - Coal revenues for the three months ended September 30, 2023, were $738,998 thousand, with a non-GAAP coal sales realization per ton of $152.48[39] - Coal revenues for the three months ended December 31, 2022, were $821,142 thousand, with a GAAP coal margin of $238,938 thousand[42] - Non-GAAP coal margin for the three months ended December 31, 2022, was $280,932 thousand, with a per ton margin of $72.39[42] - Coal revenues for 2023 totaled $3,456,630 thousand, with Met coal contributing $3,406,643 thousand and All Other coal contributing $49,987 thousand[43] - Non-GAAP coal revenues for 2023 were $3,017,620 thousand, with a sales realization per ton of $176.76[43] - Coal revenues for 2022 totaled $4,092,987 thousand, with Met coal contributing $4,018,515 thousand and All Other coal contributing $74,472 thousand[45] - Non-GAAP coal revenues for 2022 were $3,563,924 thousand, with a sales realization per ton of $217.60[45] Cost of Coal Sales - Met segment cost of coal sales rose to $119.00 per ton in Q4 2023 from $109.95 per ton in Q3 2023[10] - 2024 guidance: Met segment cost of coal sales per ton projected between $110.00 to $116.00[21] - Non-GAAP cost of coal sales for the three months ended December 31, 2023, was $543.007 million, with a cost per ton of $118.46[36] - Non-GAAP cost of coal sales for the three months ended September 30, 2023, was $461,780 thousand, with a per ton cost of $109.30[39] - Non-GAAP cost of coal sales for the three months ended December 31, 2022, was $434,300 thousand, with a per ton cost of $111.90[41] - Non-GAAP cost of coal sales per ton in 2023 was $110.72, with Met coal at $111.67 per ton and All Other coal at $80.84 per ton[43] - Non-GAAP cost of coal sales per ton in 2022 was $105.53, with Met coal at $108.22 per ton and All Other coal at $59.19 per ton[45] Shareholder Returns and Liquidity - Share repurchase program: $1.1 billion returned to shareholders since inception, with 6.6 million shares repurchased at an average price of $164.87 per share[14] - Total liquidity as of December 31, 2023, was $287.3 million, including $268.2 million in cash and cash equivalents[13] - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $268.2 million as of December 31, 2023, from $301.9 million in 2022, an 11.2% drop[30] - Total cash and cash equivalents and restricted cash at the end of 2023 was $384.125 million, compared to $355.394 million at the end of 2022[33] Capital Expenditures and Investments - 2024 capital expenditures guidance: $210 to $240 million[21] - Capital expenditures in 2023 increased to $245.373 million, up from $164.309 million in 2022[32] Operational Metrics - 2024 guidance: Metallurgical coal shipments expected between 15.5 to 16.5 million tons, with 35% committed and priced at an average of $171.33 per ton[19][20] - Tons sold for the three months ended December 31, 2023, were 4,584 thousand, with a GAAP coal margin per ton of $51.81[37] - Tons sold for the three months ended September 30, 2023, were 4,225 thousand, with a non-GAAP coal sales realization per ton of $152.48[39] - Tons sold for the three months ended December 31, 2022, were 3,881 thousand, with a GAAP coal margin per ton of $61.57[42] - Total tons sold in 2023 were 17,072, with Met coal accounting for 16,543 tons and All Other coal accounting for 529 tons[43] - Total tons sold in 2022 were 16,378, with Met coal accounting for 15,478 tons and All Other coal accounting for 900 tons[45] Balance Sheet and Financial Position - Total assets as of December 31, 2023, were $2.406 billion, up from $2.312 billion in 2022, a 4.1% increase[30] - Trade accounts receivable increased to $509.7 million as of December 31, 2023, from $407.2 million in 2022, a 25.2% rise[30] - Total liabilities decreased to $832.1 million as of December 31, 2023, from $882.7 million in 2022, a 5.7% reduction[30] - Retained earnings grew to $1.969 billion as of December 31, 2023, from $1.275 billion in 2022, a 54.4% increase[31] - Treasury stock increased to $1.189 billion as of December 31, 2023, from $649.1 million in 2022, an 83.3% rise[31] Cash Flow - Q4 2023 operating cash flow increased to $199.4 million from $157.2 million in Q3 2023[11] - Net cash provided by operating activities in 2023 was $851.159 million, down from $1.484005 billion in 2022[32] Depreciation and Amortization - Depreciation, depletion, and amortization for production in 2023 was $42.325 million, compared to $33.295 million in 2022[36] - Accretion on asset retirement obligations in 2023 was $6.371 million, up from $3.721 million in 2022[36] Coal Margins - GAAP coal margin for 2023 was $930,801 thousand, with a margin per ton of $54.52[44] - Non-GAAP coal margin for 2023 was $1,127,490 thousand, with a margin per ton of $66.04[44]
Alpha Metallurgical Resources(AMR) - 2023 Q4 - Annual Report
2024-02-25 16:00
Coal Production and Sales - In 2023, met coal accounted for approximately 95% of the company's coal revenues, with long-term relationships established with domestic customers [47]. - The company produced approximately 14.8 million tons of met coal in 2023, representing 20% of the total U.S. met coal production of 72.4 million tons [56]. - Coal export revenues accounted for approximately 74% of the company's total coal revenues for the year ended December 31, 2023 [163]. - Metallurgical coal (met coal) represented about 95% of the company's coal revenues for the year ended December 31, 2023 [164]. - Thermal coal accounted for approximately 5% of the company's coal revenues for the year ended December 31, 2023, primarily sold to U.S. electric power generators [180]. - Approximately 66% of the company's thermal coal tons sold were shipped internationally in 2023 [56]. - Export coal sales to Asia accounted for approximately 46% of export coal revenues in 2023, down from 53% in 2022 [46]. - Approximately 21% of thermal coal sales volume was delivered under long-term contracts in 2023, a decrease from 54% in 2022 [49]. Regulatory and Environmental Compliance - The Clean Air Act and comparable state laws impose direct and indirect impacts on coal mining operations, including permitting requirements and emission control requirements [90]. - The company must comply with the Surface Mining Control and Reclamation Act (SMCRA), which establishes standards for mining, environmental protection, and reclamation [81]. - The company is subject to increasingly stringent regulatory and administrative requirements for coal mining permits, which may lead to being "permit-blocked" due to past or ongoing violations [84]. - The company has certain procedures in place to comply with environmental and safety regulations, but cannot guarantee complete compliance at all times [74]. - The SEC is working to finalize regulations to standardize climate-related disclosures, which may impact the company's operations and reporting requirements [73]. - The EPA proposed to revise the primary annual standard for PM2.5 from 12.0 µg/m3 to a range of 9.0 to 10.0 µg/m3, with the final revision set at 9.0 µg/m3 [93]. - The EPA's regulations may impose additional emissions control requirements on customers in the electric generation, steelmaking, and coke industries [94]. - The company is subject to numerous federal, state, and local environmental laws, which could affect operational costs and regulatory compliance [137]. - Legal challenges to the Clean Water Act (CWA) and its jurisdiction have created uncertainty for coal mining operations, affecting compliance and permitting [122]. - The EPA's recent amendments to the definition of "waters of the United States" conform to the Supreme Court's decision in Sackett, impacting regulatory requirements [127]. Financial Performance and Risks - A sustained period of low coal prices could materially adversely affect the company's operating results, cash flows, and the value of coal reserves [163]. - The company faces risks from competition within the coal industry, which may adversely affect its ability to sell coal and put downward pressure on prices [170]. - The concurrent loss of several large customers could significantly reduce the company's revenues and profitability [169]. - The company is subject to risks associated with obtaining financing and services due to policies of financial institutions regarding fossil fuel producers [168]. - Changes in international trade agreements and foreign competition may impact the financial condition and business of the company's customers [171]. - The ongoing military conflict between Russia and Ukraine has caused significant market disruptions, leading to increased volatility in commodity prices, including coal [176]. - Downturns in the global economy and financial markets have historically resulted in extreme volatility in securities prices and diminished liquidity, adversely affecting coal demand and pricing [173]. - The tightening of credit in financial markets could negatively impact customers' ability to obtain financing, leading to decreased demand and lower coal prices [174]. - The company faces increasing regulatory costs due to stringent environmental, health, and safety regulations, which could materially affect production costs and competitive position [186]. Operational Challenges - The company faces a significant shortage of skilled labor, which is impacting operating efficiency and increasing labor costs [225]. - The company relies on third-party suppliers for mining materials and equipment, facing a shortage of skilled employees in the industry [53]. - The company holds a 65.0% ownership interest in the DTA coal export terminal, which is critical for fulfilling customer coal quality requirements [220]. - 89% of the company's coal volume was transported by rail, making it vulnerable to disruptions in rail services [219]. - Increased transportation costs could adversely affect the company's ability to maintain production profitability and reduce overall demand for coal [222]. - The company relies on a limited number of suppliers for mining equipment and materials, making it vulnerable to supply chain disruptions and cost increases [235]. Environmental Liabilities and Costs - As of December 31, 2023, the company accrued $205.4 million for reclamation liabilities and mine closures, including $38.9 million of current liabilities [75]. - The company recorded $2.0 million of expense related to the Abandoned Mine Land Fund fees for both 2023 and 2022, with the current fee being $0.224 per ton on surface-mined coal and $0.096 per ton on deep-mined coal [86]. - The company's posted third-party surety bond amount was approximately $177.1 million as of December 31, 2023, compared to $165.6 million in 2022, primarily securing reclamation and lease obligations [88]. - The company may face significant liabilities under the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation and Liability Act (CERCLA) for hazardous substance contamination [135]. - The new Biological Opinion from the Office of Surface Mining (OSM) could complicate the permitting process for mining operations, potentially increasing costs [131]. - The company faces challenges in obtaining and renewing necessary permits for operations, which could reduce production and profitability [199]. Future Outlook and Strategic Considerations - Future legislation and regulations may require substantial increases in equipment and operating costs, affecting the company's competitive position in the coal industry [73]. - Climate change initiatives and GHG emissions reduction regulations could significantly reduce coal demand and the value of coal assets [188]. - The company assesses market conditions for met and thermal coal to determine the best approach for its reserves, with a potential shift from met to thermal coal impacting revenues [238]. - Timely development or acquisition of economically recoverable coal reserves is crucial for the company's business success [239]. - Future growth depends on acquiring additional economically recoverable coal reserves, with challenges in developing new mines or expanding existing ones [241]. - The ability to mine coal reserves cost-effectively is essential, with potential inaccuracies in estimating reserve sizes and qualities affecting profitability [240].
Letting Winners Run - Steven Cress On Alpha Picks' Outperformance
Seeking Alpha· 2024-02-16 17:15
Core Insights - Seeking Alpha's Alpha Picks portfolio has achieved a return of 114% since its launch on July 1, 2022, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which is up 32% during the same period [2][3][12] Alpha Picks Overview - Alpha Picks is a quantamental portfolio that selects two stocks per month from Seeking Alpha's Quant Strong Buys, focusing on mispriced securities with strong fundamentals [3][4] - The selection process involves analyzing approximately 400 Strong Buys to identify the top two stocks based on five core metrics: value, growth, profitability, analyst EPS revisions, and momentum [5][8] Performance Metrics - The portfolio includes stocks that have shown exceptional performance, with seven stocks up over 100%, including Super Micro Computer, which is up 1,000% since its recommendation [12][18] - Other notable performers include Modine Manufacturing (up 283%), M/I Homes (up 232%), and Alpha Metallurgical Resources (up 193%) [12][21] Stock Selection Criteria - Stocks must be U.S. common stocks or ADRs, have a market capitalization greater than $500 million, and a stock price above $10 to qualify for selection [5][6] - Once a stock is recommended, it will not be recommended again for a full year, ensuring a diverse portfolio [6][7] Trading Strategy - The strategy allows for a long-term approach, where stocks that double in value may only have half their position sold if they drop to a hold rating after 180 days [9][11] - The portfolio maintains transparency with performance tracking and alerts for rating changes [4][7] Dividend Considerations - Approximately 14 out of 30 stocks in the portfolio pay dividends, with yields often exceeding those of the S&P 500, providing an additional benefit to investors [20][21] Market Trends and Outlook - The Magnificent Seven tech stocks have seen significant gains, with a combined increase of 111% in 2023, driven by a flight to safety and interest in AI technologies [23][24] - As the market stabilizes and interest rates potentially decrease, there may be a rotation towards mid-cap and small-cap stocks, benefiting the Alpha Picks portfolio [25][26] Recent Performance - In the latest quarter, nearly all companies in the Alpha Picks portfolio exceeded analyst expectations, contributing to strong performance in January [26][27]
PPG Unveils ADJUSTRITE for Commercial Body Shop Productivity
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-02-09 13:16
Product Development - PPG Industries Inc. has launched the PPG ADJUSTRITE Repair Management tool, enhancing the PPG AdjustRite commercial estimating system to boost productivity in commercial vehicle repairs [1] - The tool features a mobile-friendly design, providing technicians with a time clock system and automated tracking of labor hours per repair order, while shop managers gain insights from productivity indicators and efficiency statistics [1] Market Position - The PPG AdjustRite system is recognized as the leading estimating platform among commercial vehicle dealers, independent collision repair businesses, fleet repair units, independent adjusters, and insurance companies [2] - It utilizes a comprehensive database of truck components and repair data to generate reliable estimates based on actual vehicle model specifications, covering the entire repair process [2] Financial Performance - PPG's adjusted earnings per share rose to $1.53 in Q4 2023 from $1.22 in the same quarter last year, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.50 [4] - The company's revenues increased approximately 4% year over year to $4,350 million in Q4 2023, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4,266.5 million [4] - For Q1 2024, PPG anticipates adjusted EPS in the range of $1.80-$1.87, and for the full year 2024, it expects adjusted EPS between $8.34-$8.59 [4] Stock Performance - PPG shares have increased by 9.8% over the past year, compared to a 19.6% rise in its industry [4]