Core Viewpoint - The U.S. financial sector experienced a significant decline following President Trump's call for a 10% cap on credit card interest rates, raising concerns about the profitability of banks and credit card companies [1][2] Group 1: Impact on Credit Card Companies - Credit card-related stocks saw notable declines, with Bread Financial (BFH.US) dropping over 10%, Synchrony Financial (SYF.US) down more than 8%, and First Capital Credit (COF.US) falling over 6.4% [1] - Analysts indicated that the proposed interest rate cap would directly compress the credit card spread, challenging business models that rely on high rates to cover risk costs [1] - If the 10% cap is implemented, credit card businesses could face overall losses, particularly affecting subprime credit cards [2] Group 2: Impact on Large Banks - Major banks such as Bank of America (BAC.US), Citigroup (C.US), and JPMorgan Chase (JPM.US), which have significant exposure to credit card operations, also saw their stock prices decline [1] - Analysts noted that Citigroup has the highest exposure in credit card business, followed by JPMorgan Chase, which was reflected in their stock performance [2] - The financial sector is expected to remain volatile in the short term, with future movements dependent on the likelihood of Trump's affordability proposal advancing in Congress [2]

U.S. banks and financial institutions on Monday pushed back against President Donald Trump's proposed cap on credit card interest rates, citing new data that showed it would result in millions of Ame... ...

Core Viewpoint - US stock market indices, including the Dow Jones and S&P 500, reached historical highs despite a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell by the US Department of Justice. President Trump has called for a cap on credit card interest rates at 10% [1][7]. Market Performance - The Dow Jones increased by 86.13 points (0.17%) to 49,590.20, the Nasdaq rose by 62.56 points (0.26%) to 23,733.90, and the S&P 500 gained 10.99 points (0.16%) to 6,977.27. During the session, the Dow reached a peak of 49,633.35 and the S&P 500 hit 6,986.33, both marking intraday historical highs [3][9]. - The market opened lower but rebounded, driven by gains in Walmart and certain tech stocks, recovering from a drop of nearly 500 points in the Dow [3][9]. Sector Movements - Bank stocks generally declined, with Citigroup down 3%, JPMorgan and Bank of America each down about 2%, and Capital One falling 6%. This was influenced by Trump's statement that financial institutions failing to comply with the proposed credit card interest rate cap could face legal consequences [10]. - Walmart's stock rose by 2% due to optimism about its inclusion in the popular Invesco QQQ Trust ETF, which tracks the Nasdaq 100 index. This retail giant led gains in the consumer sector, which may benefit from Trump's push to lower credit card rates and rising oil prices [12]. Economic Indicators - Market focus is shifting towards the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, with expectations that it may come in below 3%. Analysts suggest that the overall economic growth is strong, contributing to positive market sentiment [5][11]. - There is a general expectation that the Federal Reserve will pause further interest rate cuts in its upcoming meeting to assess inflation trends and economic developments [11]. Analyst Insights - Rob Williams, Chief Investment Strategist at Sage, downplayed the significance of the investigation into Powell, suggesting it is merely noise and that the focus should remain on economic data [10]. - Jim Lebenthal, Chief Market Strategist at Cerity Partners, indicated that the investigation's impact on interest rates and inflation is likely to be long-term rather than immediate. He noted that favorable market conditions and anticipated strong earnings reports are supporting market growth [11]. Stock Ratings - Palantir's stock rose by 1% following an upgrade from Citigroup, contributing to a positive trend in some tech stocks, including AMD and Oracle [13].

The major lenders on Wall Street will start the fourth-quarter earnings season this week while shareholders monitor their financial reports to understand the direction of the sector for 2026. JPMorgan... ...

Key Takeaways Bank stocks fell Monday after President Donald Trump said over the weekend that credit card interest rates should be capped at 10% for at least a year.How a cap would be put in place and why for only a year remains unclear. A number of banking and financial stocks slumped Monday morning after President Donald Trump over the weekend suggested capping credit card interest rates. Trump posted on social media late Friday that Americans are being "ripped off" by interest rates of 20% to 30%, a ...

Core Viewpoint - XCF is advancing its long-term growth strategy through the development of its SAF production platform, starting with the construction of New Rise Reno 2 [1] Company Developments - The planned construction of New Rise Reno 2 marks a significant step in XCF's strategy to enhance its production capabilities in sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) [1] - Bank of America has been engaged to assist XCF in structuring potential debt financing for the New Rise Reno 2 project, indicating a proactive approach to securing funding [1]

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America (BAC) is expected to report strong fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, with revenue growth driven by trading and net interest income (NII) despite some challenges from interest rate cuts [1][2]. Financial Performance - BAC's nine-month performance was solid, with impressive trading numbers and growth in NII, leading to a projected revenue of $27.32 billion for Q4, indicating a 7.8% year-over-year growth [2][10]. - The consensus estimate for earnings has been revised 1% lower to 95 cents, reflecting a 15.9% increase from the prior-year quarter, supported by higher NII and a solid capital markets business [3]. Estimate Revision Trend - Current earnings estimates for Q4 2025 are 0.95, down from 0.96 a week ago, while estimates for the next quarter and the current year remain stable [5]. - BAC has a history of earnings surprises, having outperformed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the last four quarters with an average surprise of 8.47% [5][6]. Factors Impacting Q4 Performance - NII is expected to be between $15.6 billion and $15.7 billion for Q4, suggesting an 8% year-over-year growth, despite recent Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [9]. - Loan demand has been robust, particularly in commercial, industrial, real estate, and consumer loans, which is expected to support BAC's performance [8]. Investment Banking (IB) and Trading Income - IB fees are projected to be "flattish to a little bit down" from last year, with a consensus estimate of $1.62 billion, indicating a 2% decline [13]. - Trading revenues are expected to rise by 23.3% year-over-year, driven by market volatility and increased client activity, with total sales and trading revenues estimated at $5.06 billion [15]. Expenses and Asset Quality - Non-interest expenses are anticipated to be around $17.3 billion for Q4, reflecting a 3.6% year-over-year increase due to expansion and digitization efforts [16]. - The provision for credit losses is estimated at $1.33 billion, with non-performing loans expected to increase by 6.6% year-over-year [17][18]. Stock Performance and Valuation - BAC shares gained 6.6% in Q4, outperforming the S&P 500, but lagging behind JPMorgan and Citigroup [22]. - The stock is trading at a price-to-tangible book (P/TB) ratio of 2.01X, below the industry average of 3.18X, indicating it is currently undervalued [25]. Strategic Outlook - The company is focusing on aggressive branch expansion and technology investments to drive future NII growth, with an expected growth rate of 6-7% for 2026 [29][30]. - Management's commentary on NII guidance and IB outlook during the upcoming earnings call will be crucial for investors [31].

北京时间1月12日晚，美股周一低开。银行股价下挫。此前特朗普要求将信用卡利率上限设定为10%并 维持一年。美国司法部对美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔展开刑事调查，标志着美国总统特朗普向央行施压 的行动进入新的、更紧张的阶段。 周一早间，花旗集团、摩根大通、美国银行、第一资本等经营信用卡业务的银行股价下挫。此前特朗普 表示，若金融机构不响应其要求将信用卡利率上限设定为10%并维持一年，则将构成违法行为。 批评人士担心，特朗普的降低信用卡利率上限计划，虽然其目的在于降低消费者的负担，但结果可能适 得其反，因为它将限制银行放贷，从而损害消费者利益以及银行盈利能力。 美国司法部针对美联储主席鲍威尔展开刑事调查，标志着特朗普与美联储的对峙进入新的、更紧张阶 段。 在这种背景下，投资者大多降低了风险敞口。周一早间，衡量市场恐慌程度的芝加哥期权交易所波动率 指数（Cboe Volatility Index，VIX）走高，反映出随着鲍威尔遭调查的消息传出，交易员在期权市场增 加了避险头寸。 美联储鲍威尔在周日晚间一段不同寻常的直接视频声明中证实，联邦检察官已就他关于美联储办公楼翻 修项目向参议院银行委员会所作证词展开刑事调查。 鲍 ...

This week will show just how good 2025 was for the big banks. JPMorgan Chase will lead off bank earnings season on Tuesday morning, followed by Bank of America, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo on Wednesday. Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley will finish the week's big bank lineup on Thursday. Here's what to watch for. Expectations are lofty Following a year in which rising asset prices and market volatility once again favored the high-end of the k-shaped economy, analysts are forecasting record annual profits ...

Group 1 - Bank of America is set to release its fourth-quarter earnings on January 14, with analysts expecting earnings of 96 cents per share, an increase from 82 cents per share in the same period last year [1] - The consensus estimate for Bank of America's quarterly revenue is $27.62 billion, up from $25.35 billion reported in the previous year [1] - On January 7, 2026, TD Cowen analyst Steven Alexopoulos raised the price target for BAC stock from $64 to $66, maintaining a Buy rating [3] Group 2 - Bank of America announced the redemption of $3 billion in fixed/floating rate senior notes due January 2027 [2] - Shares of Bank of America fell 0.6% to close at $55.85 on the day of the announcement [2] - Goldman Sachs analyst Richard Ramsden increased the price target for BAC from $58 to $64 while maintaining a Buy rating on January 6, 2026 [3]