Ciena(CIEN)

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Ciena Poised For Growth On Cloud Demand, But Analysts Warn About Margin Pressure, Tariff Costs
Benzinga· 2025-06-06 19:19
Core Insights - Ciena Corp. reported a quarterly revenue growth of 23.6% to $1.13 billion, surpassing analyst expectations of $1.09 billion, but the adjusted EPS of 42 cents fell short of the consensus estimate of 52 cents [1] - The adjusted gross margin decreased by 250 basis points to 41%, while the adjusted operating margin increased by 140 basis points to 8.2% [1] Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Rosenblatt analyst Mike Genovese maintained a Neutral rating on Ciena and reduced the price target from $85 to $78, citing concerns over margins due to customer and product mix [2] - Needham analyst Ryan Koontz reiterated a Buy rating with a price target of $90, expressing optimism about Ciena's technology and market position despite mixed fiscal second-quarter results [2][8] Revenue and Margin Insights - Genovese noted that the gross margin was impacted by a heavy sales mix of new line systems, which typically have lower margins initially [3] - Ciena's Cloud and Service Provider DCI markets are expected to drive multi-year growth above 8% to 11%, with potential revenue growth exceeding this range before the end of fiscal 2025 [4] Future Projections - Genovese projected fiscal 2025 revenue of $4.58 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.24, while Koontz projected revenue of $4.57 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.25 [6][9] - Both analysts highlighted that the fiscal second-half guidance indicates higher revenue growth but lower gross margin and EPS than previously expected [6] Market Dynamics - The strong performance in the Cloud segment, which grew 88% year-over-year, contributed to Ciena's outperformance, although new products with lower gross margins are increasing in mix faster than anticipated [7] - Increased tariff costs are expected to impact gross profit by approximately $10 million per quarter, raising concerns about potential worsening conditions [7] Competitive Landscape - The outlook for Datacom companies and Telecom- and DCI-exposed names remains positive, as Ciena's gross margin issues are considered company-specific [5] - Koontz views the stock pullback as a buying opportunity, anticipating continued share gains and emerging intra-data center opportunities in fiscal 2027 [8]
CIEN Stock Tanks 13% on Q2 Earnings Miss, AI Demand Drives Sales Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-06-06 14:36
Core Insights - Ciena Corporation reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of 42 cents for Q2 fiscal 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 19.2%, but up from 27 cents in the prior year [1][8] - Quarterly revenues increased by 23.6% year over year to $1.13 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.8% and reaching the high end of management's guidance [2][8] - The company achieved record direct cloud provider revenues of over $400 million, representing 38% of total revenues and an 85% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand in AI infrastructure investments [3] Financial Performance - Adjusted gross margin fell to 40.2% due to tariffs and product mix affecting profitability [8] - Non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA expanded by 36% to $116.7 million [11] - Net cash flow from operating activities was $156.9 million, significantly up from $58.5 million in the prior year [12] Segment Performance - Networking Platforms revenues rose 28.1% year over year to $866.3 million, while Platform Software and Services revenues remained flat at $85.4 million [5] - Global Services revenues increased by 8.5% year over year to $146.2 million [6] - Non-telco customer revenues accounted for 54% of total revenues, with two customers contributing 23.9% of the top line [9] Regional Performance - Revenues in the Americas totaled $833.8 million, up 25.8% year over year, while Europe, the Middle East, and Africa generated $191.6 million, up 23% [6] Guidance and Outlook - For Q3 fiscal 2025, Ciena expects revenues between $1.13 billion and $1.21 billion, with adjusted gross margin in the low-40% range [13] - The company updated its full-year revenue growth outlook to approximately 14%, up from the previous estimate of 8-11% [14] - Adjusted operating expenses are projected to average $360-$370 million per quarter for the year [15]
Ciena Delivers Growth, But Not Value
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-06 13:55
Core Insights - Ciena Corporation (NYSE: CIEN) provides essential hardware, software, and automation tools that facilitate the movement of large volumes of data across global networks with minimal lag, playing a critical role in maintaining internet stability [1] Company Overview - Ciena's products are utilized by telecom companies and hyperscalers, indicating its significant presence in the telecommunications and data management sectors [1]
Ciena(CIEN) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2025-06-05 18:41
Revenue Growth - Revenue increased by 23.6% to $1.1 billion in Q2 fiscal 2025 compared to $910.8 million in Q2 fiscal 2024[104] - Total revenue for the first six months of fiscal 2025 increased by 12.8% to $2.2 billion compared to $1.9 billion in the same period last year[107] - Total revenue for the quarter ended May 3, 2025, was $1,125,878 million, representing a 23.6% increase compared to $910,826 million for the same quarter in 2024[118] Segment Performance - Optical Networking revenue grew by 38.1% to $773.6 million in Q2 fiscal 2025, driven by sales to cloud provider customers[109] - Blue Planet Automation Software and Services segment revenue increased by 93.6% to $27.9 million in Q2 fiscal 2025[109] - Global Services segment revenue increased by 8.5% to $146.2 million in Q2 fiscal 2025, with notable growth in installation and deployment services[109] - Americas region revenue rose by 25.8% to $833.8 million in Q2 fiscal 2025, accounting for 74.1% of total revenue[113] - Optical Networking sales increased by $245.5 million, driven by sales of the 6500 RLS and coherent pluggables to cloud provider customers[114] - Americas revenue increased by $248.4 million, primarily from increased sales to cloud providers and communications service providers[119] Research and Development - Research and development spending represented 18.5% of revenue, totaling $407.5 million in the first half of fiscal 2025, a 6.5% increase from the previous year[103] - Research and development expenses increased by $19.5 million, mainly due to higher employee-related compensation costs[124] - The company continues to innovate in WaveLogic coherent modem technology to capture market opportunities driven by AI[103] Profitability and Margins - Gross profit increased by $64.2 million, with a gross margin decrease of 250 basis points, reflecting decreased product and services margins[120] - Gross profit on products increased by $57.7 million, but product gross margin decreased by 200 basis points to 40.6%[123] - Networking Platforms segment profit increased by $37.1 million, attributed to higher sales volume despite lower product margins[129] Operating Expenses and Income - Total operating expenses for the quarter increased by 7.0% to $419,996 million compared to $392,626 million in the prior year[121] - Interest and other income, net decreased by $3.9 million, primarily due to foreign exchange impacts, resulting in a 33.3% decrease for the quarter ended May 3, 2025 compared to the same quarter in 2024[132] - Provision for income taxes increased by $9.2 million, reflecting a 1,125.2% increase for the quarter ended May 3, 2025 compared to the same quarter in 2024[132] Cash Flow and Liquidity - Cash from operations generated $260.7 million during the first six months of fiscal 2025, with net income adjusted for non-cash charges amounting to $226.9 million[138][140] - Total cash, cash equivalents, and investments in marketable debt securities increased by $13.9 million, totaling $1.346 billion as of May 3, 2025[137] - The principal sources of liquidity included $1.3 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and investments, along with an unused $300 million revolving credit facility[134] - The company expects to satisfy its working capital needs and capital expenditures through cash from operations and other liquidity sources over the next 12 months[133] Efficiency Metrics - Days sales outstanding (DSOs) decreased from 92 to 89, indicating improved cash collection efficiency[142] - Inventory turns increased from 1.7 to 2.4, reflecting better inventory management[142] Currency and External Factors - Currency fluctuations had an adverse effect on revenue reported in U.S. Dollars of approximately $3.0 million, or 0.3%, compared to the second quarter of fiscal 2024[116] - Interest expense decreased by $2.2 million, primarily due to lower interest rates on floating rate debt[132]
Crude Oil Moves Higher; Ciena Posts Downbeat Earnings
Benzinga· 2025-06-05 18:31
Market Overview - U.S. stocks traded mostly lower, with the Dow Jones falling 0.06% to 42,400.42, NASDAQ down 0.40% to 19,381.93, and S&P 500 decreasing 0.27% to 5,954.96 [1] - Communication services shares increased by 0.4%, while consumer discretionary stocks fell by 1.5% [1] Company Earnings - Ciena Corp reported a quarterly revenue growth of 23.6% year-on-year to $1.13 billion, exceeding analyst expectations of $1.09 billion, but adjusted EPS of 42 cents missed the consensus estimate of 52 cents [2] Stock Movements - Planet Labs PBC shares surged 51% to $6.03 after a first-quarter sales beat and raised FY26 sales guidance [8] - Liminatus Pharma, Inc shares increased 64% to $20.86 after regaining Nasdaq compliance [8] - Owens & Minor, Inc shares rose 17% to $7.78 following the termination of its Rotech Healthcare acquisition [8] - ChargePoint Holdings, Inc shares dropped 23% to $0.6829 after a first-quarter sales miss and lower second-quarter sales guidance [8] - REGENXBIO Inc shares fell 16% to $8.49 after announcing new data from a clinical trial [8] - PVH Corp shares decreased 17% to $66.92 after cutting FY25 guidance and issuing lower second-quarter adjusted EPS guidance [8] Commodity Prices - Oil prices increased by 0.8% to $63.34, while gold prices decreased by 0.8% to $3,373.80 [5] - Silver prices rose 3.1% to $35.735, and copper prices increased by 0.7% to $4.9215 [5] International Markets - European shares were mostly higher, with the eurozone's STOXX 600 rising 0.16% and Spain's IBEX 35 Index increasing by 0.73% [6] - Asian markets closed higher, with Japan's Nikkei down 0.51%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index up 1.07%, China's Shanghai Composite gaining 0.23%, and India's BSE Sensex increasing by 0.55% [7]
Compared to Estimates, Ciena (CIEN) Q2 Earnings: A Look at Key Metrics
ZACKS· 2025-06-05 14:31
Core Insights - Ciena reported $1.13 billion in revenue for the quarter ended April 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 23.6% and a surprise of +2.78% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.1 billion [1] - The EPS for the same period was $0.42, compared to $0.27 a year ago, but fell short of the consensus estimate of $0.52, resulting in an EPS surprise of -19.23% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Total Networking Platforms revenue was $866.30 million, exceeding the estimated $829.74 million, reflecting a +28.1% change year-over-year [4] - Total Global Services revenue reached $146.20 million, slightly above the $144.17 million estimate, with an +8.5% year-over-year change [4] - Software and Services revenue totaled $113.40 million, below the $117.98 million estimate, but still showing a +13.6% increase year-over-year [4] - Networking Platforms revenue from Routing and Switching was $92.70 million, underperforming the estimated $103.56 million, with a -20.2% change year-over-year [4] - Optical Networking revenue was $773.60 million, surpassing the $723.28 million estimate, indicating a +38.1% year-over-year increase [4] - Total Products revenue was $898.58 million, exceeding the estimated $874.35 million, reflecting a +28.1% change year-over-year [4] - Blue Planet Automation Software and Services revenue was $28 million, above the $25.43 million estimate, showing a significant +94.4% year-over-year increase [4] - Platform Software and Services revenue was $85.40 million, below the $100.05 million estimate, with no change year-over-year [4] - Services revenue reached $227.30 million, slightly above the $222.76 million estimate, with an +8.5% year-over-year change [4] Profitability Metrics - Gross profit from Products was $348.60 million, slightly below the $356.09 million estimate [4] - Gross profit from Services was $104.24 million, exceeding the $100.18 million estimate [4] Stock Performance - Ciena's shares have returned +14.4% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.2% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [3]
Ciena(CIEN) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-06-05 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q2 2025 was $1,130,000,000, at the high end of guidance, reflecting strong demand across customer segments and geographic regions [6][16] - Adjusted gross margin was 41%, consistent with guidance, impacted by product mix and tariffs [16][17] - Adjusted operating margin was 8.2%, with adjusted net income of $61,000,000 and adjusted EPS of $0.42 [18] - Cash from operations was $157,000,000, with approximately $1,350,000,000 in cash and investments at the end of the quarter [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue from cloud providers reached over $400,000,000, accounting for 38% of total revenue, growing 85% year over year [6][7] - The optical business performed well, with 24 new WaveLogic six Extreme customers added, totaling 49 customers [19] - Blue Planet achieved record quarterly revenue of just under $30,000,000, reflecting successful transformation efforts [15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Orders in Q2 were significantly greater than revenue, with cloud provider orders expected to double in fiscal 2025 compared to the previous year [8][9] - Service provider investments in high-speed infrastructure are becoming more durable, with growth seen across core optical transport, routing, and switching [13] - MOFIN activity reached an all-time record in the first half of fiscal 2025, indicating strong support for the nexus between service providers and cloud providers [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding its market opportunity within data centers, emphasizing high-speed connectivity as critical [15][16] - The strategy includes deploying a full portfolio of products to address growing demand, particularly in AI infrastructure [9][10] - The company aims to maintain a competitive advantage through its WaveLogic technology, which is expected to lead the market for 18 to 24 months [9] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in continued growth driven by strong demand dynamics and favorable market conditions [15][24] - The company anticipates a revenue growth of approximately 14% for fiscal 2025, with adjusted gross margins expected at the lower end of the previously assumed range [24][22] - Management acknowledged the dynamic tariff environment but expects the net effect on the bottom line to be immaterial going forward [22][104] Other Important Information - The company repurchased approximately 1,200,000 shares for $84,000,000 during the quarter, with plans to repurchase approximately $330,000,000 in total for the fiscal year [18] - The upcoming retirement of CFO Jim Moylan was acknowledged, marking the end of his 18-year tenure with the company [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the linearity of orders with cloud customers this quarter? - Management noted strong order flows in Q1 that continued and accelerated in Q2, with both service providers and cloud players showing sustained momentum [30][31] Question: What are the assumptions for growth in cloud versus telco for the year? - Management indicated that scaling demand would likely lead to increased backlog entering fiscal 2026, with strong visibility into future orders [56][58] Question: Can you provide details on the contributions from top customers? - The largest customer was a cloud provider at approximately 13.4% of revenue, with the second being AT&T at 10.4% [46][52] Question: How do you view the sustainability of cloud growth beyond fiscal 2025? - Management expressed confidence in the sustainability of cloud growth, citing a broadening application base and increasing engagement from various cloud providers [49][50] Question: What is the outlook for gross margins given the product mix? - Management acknowledged that product mix impacts gross margins, but they remain confident in achieving mid-40s percentage gross margins in the long term [34][86] Question: Can you elaborate on the MOFIN opportunities and pipeline? - Management reported strong MOFIN activity globally, indicating significant traction in North America and Europe, alongside ongoing projects in India [88][90]
Ciena (CIEN) Q2 Earnings Miss Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-06-05 13:15
Group 1: Earnings Performance - Ciena reported quarterly earnings of $0.42 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.52 per share, but showing an increase from $0.27 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -19.23% [1] - The company posted revenues of $1.13 billion for the quarter ended April 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.78%, compared to year-ago revenues of $910.83 million [2] - Over the last four quarters, Ciena has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates four times [2] Group 2: Stock Performance and Outlook - Ciena shares have lost about 1.1% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 1.5% [3] - The company's earnings outlook, including current consensus earnings expectations for upcoming quarters, will be crucial for stock performance [4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the coming quarter is $0.60 on $1.11 billion in revenues, and $2.50 on $4.44 billion in revenues for the current fiscal year [7] Group 3: Industry Context - The Communication - Components industry, to which Ciena belongs, is currently in the bottom 43% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges for stock performance [8] - Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can impact investor decisions [5]
Ciena(CIEN) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-06-05 11:35
Ciena Corporation Fiscal Q2 2025 Earnings Presentation Period ended May 3, 2025 June 5, 2025 © Ciena Corporation 2025. All rights reserved. Proprietary Information. Forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures You are encouraged to review the Investors section of our website, where we routinely post press releases, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings, recent news, financial results, supplemental financial information, and other announcements. From time to time, we exclusively post material ...
Ciena(CIEN) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Results
2025-06-05 11:05
Revenue Performance - Ciena reported revenue of $1.13 billion for fiscal Q2 2025, a 23.6% increase from $910.8 million in fiscal Q2 2024[2][6]. - Total revenue for the quarter ended May 3, 2025, was $1,125,878,000, representing a 23.5% increase from $910,826,000 in the same quarter of 2024[15]. - Americas region generated $833.8 million in revenue, representing 74.1% of total revenue, up from $662.9 million in the prior year[7]. - Two customers accounted for 23.9% of total revenue in fiscal Q2 2025[10]. Profitability - GAAP net income for fiscal Q2 2025 was $9.0 million, or $0.06 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $(16.8) million, or $(0.12) per diluted share, in the same quarter last year[3][4]. - Adjusted (non-GAAP) net income for fiscal Q2 2025 was $60.7 million, or $0.42 per diluted share, up from $39.4 million, or $0.27 per diluted share, in fiscal Q2 2024[3][4]. - Net income for the quarter was $8,969,000, compared to a net loss of $16,849,000 in the same quarter of the previous year, marking a significant turnaround[15]. - GAAP diluted net income per potential common share for Q2 2025 was $0.06, compared to a loss of $0.12 in Q2 2024[21]. Expenses and Margins - The gross margin decreased to 40.2% in fiscal Q2 2025 from 42.7% in fiscal Q2 2024[6]. - Operating expenses increased by 7.0% to $420.0 million in fiscal Q2 2025, compared to $392.6 million in the prior year[6]. - Research and development expenses for the quarter were $214,868,000, an increase of 10% from $195,380,000 in the prior year[15]. - Share-based compensation expense increased to $48,024 in Q2 2025 from $40,211 in Q2 2024[23]. Cash Flow and Investments - Cash and investments totaled $1.35 billion, with cash flow from operations amounting to $156.9 million[10]. - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period were $949,771,000, slightly up from $934,863,000 at the end of the previous reporting period[17]. - The company reported a net cash provided by operating activities of $260,669,000 for the six months ended May 3, 2025, down from $324,549,000 in the same period of 2024[19]. Balance Sheet - Total assets increased to $5,659,366,000 from $5,641,337,000, reflecting a growth of 0.3%[17]. - Total liabilities increased to $2,882,987,000 from $2,825,199,000, representing a rise of 2%[17]. - Average days' sales outstanding (DSOs) were 87, with accounts receivable net balance at $929.8 million[10]. Stock Repurchase - Ciena repurchased approximately 1.2 million shares of common stock for an aggregate price of $84.3 million during the quarter[4]. - The company repurchased $168,197,000 of common stock under its repurchase program during the six months ended May 3, 2025[19]. Adjusted Metrics - Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 2025 reached $116,683, compared to $85,819 in Q2 2024, reflecting a 36.0% growth[23]. - Adjusted (non-GAAP) gross profit for Q2 2025 was $461,083, with a gross profit percentage of 41.0%, down from 43.5% in Q2 2024[21]. - Adjusted (non-GAAP) income from operations was $91,591 for Q2 2025, up from $62,611 in Q2 2024, indicating a 46.3% increase[21].