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This Fast-Growing Stock-Split Stock Just Trounced Estimates Again. Is It Too Late to Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2024-10-28 22:17
Core Viewpoint - Deckers has demonstrated strong growth in its latest earnings report, with significant revenue increases and positive market reactions following its recent stock split [3][4][6]. Financial Performance - Total revenue increased by 20.1% to $1.31 billion, surpassing estimates of $1.2 billion [4]. - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) revenue rose by 19.9% to $397.7 million, while wholesale revenue grew by 20.2% to $913.7 million [4]. - Hoka brand sales surged by 34.7% to $570.9 million, and international revenue increased by 33% to $457.4 million [5]. - Ugg brand revenue reached $689.9 million, up 13% year-over-year [5]. - Gross margin improved by 250 basis points to 55.9%, contributing to a 36% increase in operating income to $305.1 million [6]. Earnings and Guidance - Earnings per share rose from $1.14 to $1.59, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.24 [7]. - The company raised its revenue forecast to $4.8 billion, indicating a 12% growth, which is below the consensus estimate of $4.82 billion [7]. - The earnings forecast was adjusted to a range of $5.15 to $5.25, compared to estimates of $5.35 [7][8]. Market Position and Outlook - Deckers' stock has increased over 500% in the last five years, with Hoka and Ugg as category leaders [10]. - The company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 32, with expectations of beating conservative guidance [10]. - The upcoming holiday season is crucial, with improving consumer sentiment and falling interest rates likely to boost spending [11].
Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Deckers (DECK) Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2024-10-26 01:31
Core Insights - Deckers (DECK) reported revenue of $1.31 billion for the quarter ended September 2024, marking a year-over-year increase of 20.1% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same period was $1.59, compared to $1.14 a year ago, reflecting a significant growth [1] - The reported revenue exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.2 billion by 9.58%, while the EPS also surpassed the consensus estimate of $1.22 by 30.33% [1] Financial Performance Metrics - UGG brand net sales totaled $628.71 million, showing a year-over-year increase of 13% [2] - HOKA brand net sales reached $516.65 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 34.7% [2] - Other brands experienced a decline in net sales, totaling $31.08 million, which is a year-over-year decrease of 15.7% [2] - Sanuk brands saw a significant drop in net sales, with a year-over-year change of -48.2% [2] Stock Performance - Over the past month, Deckers' shares have returned -3.3%, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's increase of 1.4% [2] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market in the near term [2]
Hoka and UGG owner's shares race ahead — leaving rival Nike in the dust
New York Post· 2024-10-25 16:56
Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor's shares increased over 10% after raising its annual forecast, anticipating strong demand for its Hoka and UGG brands during the holiday season [1][2] - The company reported a nearly 35% increase in Hoka sales to $570.9 million and a 13% increase in UGG sales to $689.9 million [1][2] - Deckers raised its annual sales expectations to a 12% increase to $4.8 billion, surpassing the previous forecast of a 10% increase to $4.7 billion [1] Financial Performance - Deckers reported a net sales increase of 20.1% to $1.3 billion, exceeding expectations of $1.2 billion [2] - The adjusted profit per share was $1.59, above estimates of $1.23 [2] Market Position and Strategy - Analysts noted Deckers' strong market position and healthy brand portfolio, which is expected to drive long-term growth [1] - The rise in running clubs has benefited Hoka, increasing its visibility in retail spaces like Dick's Sporting Goods and Nordstrom [1] - Increased marketing investments are viewed as a strategic decision to support top-line growth [1]
Deckers Outdoor Q2: Continues To Surprise, But Stock Is Priced To Perfection
Seeking Alpha· 2024-10-25 16:44
Group 1 - Deckers Outdoor Corporation reported fiscal Q2 2025 results with a 20% increase in top-line growth, driven by Hoka's growth of over 30% [1] - The market reacted positively to the results, with the stock opening higher [1] Group 2 - The analysis emphasizes a long-only investment strategy, focusing on operational aspects and long-term earnings potential rather than market-driven dynamics [1] - The approach suggests that only a small fraction of companies should be considered for buying at any given time, with most recommendations being holds [1]
Hoka Shoes Sales Surge, Driving Deckers Outdoor's Earnings and Stock Higher
Investopedia· 2024-10-25 15:16
Core Insights - Soaring demand for Hoka brand shoes significantly contributed to Deckers Outdoor's better-than-expected earnings and revenue for the second quarter, resulting in a notable increase in stock price [1] - Hoka sales increased by nearly 35% year-over-year, while Ugg brand sales rose by 13% [2] - The company has raised its full-year revenue outlook, anticipating approximately 12% growth to $4.8 billion, up from a previous estimate of 10% growth to $4.7 billion [2] Financial Performance - Deckers Outdoor reported second-quarter fiscal 2025 diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.59, with revenue rising 20.1% year-over-year to $1.31 billion, both surpassing analysts' expectations [1] - Hoka sales reached $579.9 million, reflecting a 34.7% increase, while Ugg sales amounted to $689.9 million, marking a 13% rise [2] - Domestic revenue grew by 14.2% to $853.9 million, and international revenue surged by 33% to $457.4 million [2] Market Reaction - Following the earnings report, Deckers shares increased over 12% to $170.41 in early trading, with a year-to-date gain of more than 50% [2]
Footwear Stock Surges on Strong Hoka Sales
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2024-10-25 14:41
Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corp (NYSE: DECK) reported better-than-expected fiscal second-quarter earnings and revenue, leading to a surge in stock price and an increase in full-year guidance [1] - Strong demand for the Hoka brand significantly contributed to the positive results, prompting six analysts to raise their price targets for the stock [1] - The stock rose by 12.2% to $170.63, marking its fifth consecutive quarter of post-earnings gains and a year-to-date increase of 53.5% [1] Stock Performance - Deckers Outdoor stock is currently trading at its highest levels since mid-June, supported by the ascending 200-day moving average, which has captured pullbacks since early August [1] - The options market is active, with 17,000 calls and 6,488 puts exchanged, representing 3.5 times the average daily options volume [1] - The most popular options include the weekly 10/25 185-strike call and the 172.50-strike call, with new positions being sold to open at the latter [1] Volatility Insights - The stock's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is 96 out of 100, indicating that it has tended to exceed options traders' volatility expectations over the past year [2]
Is Deckers Stock a Buy After Its Beat-And-Raise Quarter?
Kiplinger.com· 2024-10-25 14:32
Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor (DECK) has reported strong fiscal second-quarter results, exceeding revenue and earnings expectations, and has raised its full-year profit forecast [1][3]. Financial Performance - For the three months ending September 30, Deckers' revenue rose by 20.1% year-over-year to $1.3 billion, with the Hoka brand experiencing a significant growth of 34.7% to $570.9 million [1]. - Earnings per share (EPS) increased by 39.5% from the previous year to $1.59, surpassing Wall Street's expectations of $1.24 per share [1]. - The company reported a 21% revenue growth in the first half of the fiscal year, driven by Hoka's 32% increase and UGG's 13% growth, along with a 28% rise in international sales [2]. Outlook - Deckers has raised its full-year revenue forecast to approximately $4.8 billion, reflecting an expected increase of about 12%, with EPS projected to be between $5.15 and $5.25 [3]. - The CEO indicated that the brands are well-positioned for the holiday season and are on track to meet the increased outlook for the fiscal year [3]. Market Sentiment - Deckers' stock has appreciated by 53% since the beginning of 2024, with analysts projecting further upside potential [4]. - The average analyst target price for DECK stock is $187.97, suggesting an implied upside of about 10% from current levels, with a consensus recommendation of "Buy" [4]. - Truist Securities has a bullish outlook with a "Buy" rating and a price target of $205, citing strong product resonance and innovation pipelines as key growth drivers [4][5].
Deckers Stock Soars 14% as the Footwear Specialist Crushes Sales and Earnings Expectations and Raises Annual Guidance (Again)
The Motley Fool· 2024-10-25 13:38
Core Insights - Deckers Brands reported strong financial results for Q2 of fiscal 2025, exceeding Wall Street expectations, with shares rising 13.6% in after-hours trading [1] - The company has raised its fiscal 2025 guidance for both revenue and earnings, marking the second consecutive quarter of upward revisions [1][7] Financial Performance - Q2 fiscal 2025 revenue reached $1.31 billion, a 20% increase from $1.09 billion in Q2 fiscal 2024 [2] - Operating income rose to $305.1 million, up 36% from $224.6 million year-over-year [2] - Net income increased to $242.3 million, also a 36% rise compared to $178.5 million in the previous year [2] - Earnings per share (EPS) grew by 39% to $1.59 from $1.14 in the same quarter last year [2] Margin and Cash Position - Gross margin improved to 55.9%, up from 53.4% in the prior year [3] - Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the quarter were $1.23 billion, significantly up from $823.1 million year-over-year, with no long-term debt [3] Brand Performance - HOKA brand sales surged to $570.9 million, a 35% increase year-over-year, driving significant growth for the company [4] - UGG brand sales reached $689.9 million, reflecting a 13% increase [4] - Teva brand sales were $22.0 million, up 2%, while Sanuk and other brands saw declines of 48% and 16%, respectively [4] Distribution and Geography - Direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales were $397.7 million, a 20% increase, while wholesale sales also grew by 20% to $913.7 million [5] - Domestic sales totaled $853.9 million, a 14% increase, while international sales rose 33% to $457.4 million [5] Management Commentary - CEO Stefano Caroti emphasized strong consumer demand for HOKA and UGG products and a commitment to growth through innovation and a consumer-first approach [6] Updated Guidance - Revenue guidance for fiscal 2025 has been raised to a 12% year-over-year increase, now expected to reach $4.8 billion, up from a previous estimate of 10% growth [7] - EPS guidance has been adjusted to a range of $5.15 to $5.25, reflecting a growth of 6% to 8% [7]
Markets Mixed Again; DECK, SKX Beat After the Bell
ZACKS· 2024-10-24 23:01
Company Performance - Deckers Outdoor (DECK) reported fiscal Q2 earnings of $1.59 per share on revenues of $1.31 billion, exceeding Zacks consensus estimates of $1.22 per share and $1.20 billion in revenue, leading to an 8% increase in shares [2] - Skechers (SKX) achieved Q3 earnings of $1.26 per share and record-high revenues of $2.35 billion, surpassing expectations of $1.15 per share and $2.32 billion in revenue, resulting in a 13.5% rise in shares [3] Economic Indicators - The S&P Manufacturing PMI improved to 47.8 from an expected 47.5, while the Services PMI remained at 55.3, indicating moderate economic activity [4] - New Home Sales for September were reported at 738K, exceeding the estimate of 720K and the previous month's 709K, suggesting a positive sentiment influenced by lower mortgage rates [4] Market Overview - The stock market showed mixed results, with the Dow down 140 points (-0.33%) primarily due to a 6% drop in IBM shares following a mixed Q3 report, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose by 0.21% and 0.76% respectively [1]
Deckers (DECK) Surpasses Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-10-24 22:16
Company Performance - Deckers reported quarterly earnings of $1.59 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.22 per share, and up from $1.14 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 30.33% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $1.31 billion for the quarter ended September 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 9.58%, compared to $1.09 billion in the same quarter last year [1] - Over the last four quarters, Deckers has consistently surpassed consensus EPS and revenue estimates [1] Stock Performance - Deckers shares have increased approximately 35.5% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 21.5% [2] - The current Zacks Rank for Deckers is 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the market in the near future [4] Earnings Outlook - The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $2.53 on revenues of $1.71 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $5.30 on revenues of $4.79 billion [4] - The trend of estimate revisions for Deckers is currently mixed, which may change following the recent earnings report [4] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, to which Deckers belongs, is currently ranked in the top 17% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook [5] - Another company in the same industry, Lulu's Fashion Lounge Holdings, Inc., is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.07 per share, with revenues projected at $77 million, down 7.4% year-over-year [5]