Core Viewpoint - Analysts project Emerson Electric (EMR) will report quarterly earnings of $1.41 per share, reflecting a 2.2% year-over-year increase, with revenues expected to reach $4.35 billion, a 4.2% increase from the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised upward by 0.1% in the past 30 days, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price performance [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts estimate 'Net Sales- Intelligent Devices- Total' at $2.96 billion, a 4% increase from the prior-year quarter [5]. - 'Revenue- Software And Control- Control Systems & Software' is projected to be $1.00 billion, reflecting a significant 45.5% increase year-over-year [5]. - The consensus for 'Net Sales- Intelligent Devices- Final Control' is $1.03 billion, indicating a 5.4% increase from the previous year [6]. - 'Net Sales- Intelligent Devices- Measurement & Analytical' is expected to reach $1.01 billion, a 3.6% increase from the prior-year quarter [6]. - 'Net Sales- Intelligent Devices- Safety & Productivity' is projected at $314.19 million, a 0.7% increase year-over-year [7]. - 'Net Sales- Software And Control- Total' is expected to be $1.42 billion, reflecting a 5.1% increase from the previous year [7]. - 'Net Sales- Software and Control- Test & Measurement' is forecasted to reach $417.58 million, a 16.3% year-over-year increase [8]. - 'Net Sales- Intelligent Devices- Discrete Automation' is projected at $602.84 million, indicating a 3.9% increase from the prior year [8]. EBIT Estimates - Analysts expect 'EBIT- Intelligent Devices- Final Control' to reach $244.13 million, compared to $236.00 million in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'EBIT- Intelligent Devices- Measurement & Analytical' is projected at $259.68 million, down from $285.00 million in the previous year [9]. - The average prediction for 'EBIT- Intelligent Devices- Discrete Automation' is $127.41 million, up from $98.00 million year-over-year [9]. - 'EBIT- Software and Control- Total' is expected to be $200.75 million, compared to $195.00 million in the same quarter last year [10]. Stock Performance - Emerson Electric shares have increased by 11.8% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite, which rose by 0.8% [11].

Group 1 - Emerson Electric Co. is recognized as one of the 13 Best Dividend Kings to buy in 2026, indicating strong dividend performance and stability [1] - JPMorgan has raised its price target for Emerson Electric to $157 from $150 while maintaining a Neutral rating, reflecting a more favorable outlook for growth-related names in the electrical equipment sector [2] - The company reported fourth-quarter revenue that fell below expectations, with uneven demand for its automation equipment, highlighting challenges in its transition to a more automation-focused business [2] Group 2 - To address long-term automation demand, Emerson has been active in streamlining its portfolio and investing in growth areas, including a significant acquisition of AspenTech valued at approximately $15.1 billion [3] - Despite mixed demand for automation, Emerson's measurement and analytical devices segment has performed well, driven by steady demand from the chemical, oil, and gas markets [4] - Emerson Electric Co. operates as a global technology and software company, providing solutions across various industries worldwide [4]

Industry Overview - The Zacks Manufacturing - Electronics industry is experiencing stable demand due to the electronic services end market, increased adoption of advanced manufacturing technologies, and product innovation efforts [1] - A surge in e-commerce activities is expected to further support the industry's growth [1] Industry Challenges - A slowdown in the manufacturing sector and supply-chain issues are negatively impacting the performance of some industry participants [2] - The manufacturing sector has contracted for ten consecutive months, with the Manufacturing PMI at 47.9% in December, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity [6] Industry Trends - Demand across key end markets remains stable despite manufacturing slowdowns, with electronics manufacturers benefiting from the integration of advanced electronic components [4] - Companies are increasingly investing in digitization to enhance operational productivity, product quality, and reduce costs [5] Industry Performance - The Zacks Manufacturing - Electronics industry has underperformed compared to the broader sector and the S&P 500, growing 5.4% over the past year, while the sector rose 10.3% and the S&P 500 increased by 19.4% [10] Current Valuation - The industry is currently trading at a forward 12-month Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of 22.27X, which is above the sector's P/E of 21.68X but below the S&P 500's P/E of 23.38X [13] Notable Companies - **Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL)**: Engaged in manufacturing custom-engineered equipment, benefiting from strong project activity in electric utility and industrial markets, with shares up 55.2% in the past year [18][19] - **Emerson Electric Co. (EMR)**: Offers a range of products and services, experiencing solid momentum in the Final Control business, with shares gaining 18.9% in the past year [22][23] - **Eaton Corporation plc (ETN)**: A diversified power management company benefiting from rising demand in AI-data centers, with shares down 3.7% over the past year but up 5.6% in the past month [26][27] - **EnerSys (ENS)**: Focused on industrial batteries, well-positioned due to strong momentum in aerospace and defense markets, with shares rising 19.2% in the past year [30][31]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses Emerson Electric's stock performance and previous rating, indicating a Hold rating when the stock was priced at approximately $122 per share nearly a year ago [1]. Company Summary - Emerson Electric's stock was last covered following their Q1 2025 earnings report, with a noted trading price of about $122 per share [1].

Core Viewpoint - Emerson Electric Co. (EMR) is characterized as a "buy-and-forget" business, indicating its stable and less volatile nature in the market [1]. Group 1: Company Analysis - The analysis focuses on high-quality companies that can outperform the market over the long run due to their competitive advantages, referred to as economic moats [1]. - The emphasis is on companies located in Europe and North America, without restrictions on market capitalization, covering both large-cap and small-cap companies [1]. - The author has an academic background in sociology, holding a Master's Degree with a focus on organizational and economic sociology, which may influence the analytical perspective [1].

Core Viewpoint - Emerson is set to report its first quarter results on February 3, 2026, with a conference call scheduled for the same day to discuss the results [1]. Group 1: Company Information - Emerson is a global automation leader headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, focused on delivering solutions for demanding technology challenges [3]. - The company is engineering the autonomous future, enabling customers to optimize operations and accelerate innovation [3]. Group 2: Investor Relations - Interested parties can listen to the live conference call and view presentation slides by visiting the Investors area of Emerson's website [2]. - A replay of the conference call will be available for three months following the webcast on the same website [2]. - Emerson uses its Investor Relations website to disclose information of interest to investors and comply with disclosure obligations under Regulation FD [4].

Core Viewpoint - Emerson Electric Co. is poised to report its fiscal Q1 earnings for 2026, with analysts projecting a profit increase, reflecting a positive outlook for the company [1][2]. Financial Performance - Analysts expect Emerson to report a profit of $1.41 per share for fiscal Q1 2026, which is a 2.2% increase from $1.38 per share in the same quarter last year [2]. - For the full fiscal year 2026, ending in September, the expected profit is $6.44 per share, representing a 7.3% increase from $6 per share in fiscal 2025 [3]. - EPS is projected to grow further to $6.98 in fiscal 2027, indicating an 8.4% year-over-year growth [3]. Stock Performance - Over the past 52 weeks, Emerson's shares have increased by 19.6%, outperforming the S&P 500 Index's return of 17.5%, but lagging behind the State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's 21.7% increase [4]. - On January 5, shares closed up 5.2% following an upgrade from UBS Group AG, which raised its price target to $168, citing expectations for accelerated earnings growth [5]. Analyst Ratings - The overall rating for Emerson's stock is "Moderate Buy," with 16 out of 25 analysts recommending "Strong Buy," one suggesting "Moderate Buy," seven indicating "Hold," and one advising "Moderate Sell" [6]. - The mean price target for Emerson is $153.92, suggesting a potential upside of 7% from current levels [6].

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve Board has announced the leadership appointments for its 12 regional banks for the current year [1] Group 1: Leadership Appointments - Lal Karsanbhai, CEO of Emerson Electric Co, has been appointed as the chair of the St. Louis Fed [1] - Tim Sweeney, CEO of Liberty Mutual Insurance, has been appointed as the deputy chair of the Boston Fed [1]

Summary of the UBS Multi-Industry Outlook for 2026 Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **US Electrical Equipment & Multi-Industry** sector, projecting a strong performance in 2026, similar to the previous year where the XLI index rose by **18%** compared to the S&P's **16%** [3][71]. Core Insights - **Earnings Growth**: Multi-Industry companies are expected to grow earnings by **12%** on average in 2026, with limited risk of valuation de-rating, which should lead to higher equity values [3][15]. - **AI Infrastructure Spending**: Anticipated to increase by **60%** over the next two years, with a **33%** growth specifically in 2026. This spending is a key driver of equity values and order backlogs for many Multi-Industry companies [8][20]. - **Macro Economic Factors**: Lower interest rates combined with increased AI infrastructure spending may lead to further multiple expansion in 2026, although there are risks of inflation and overheating in 2027 and beyond [5][40]. Stock Recommendations - **Upgrades**: DOV and EMR have been upgraded to "Buy" due to optimism regarding non-AI capex spending. DOV is expected to see organic growth after two years of challenges [6][10]. - **Downgrade**: ETN has been downgraded to "Neutral" due to limited margin expansion opportunities and a lack of positive revisions in the near term [6][13]. Financial Health Indicators - **Consumer and Corporate Balance Sheets**: U.S. household net worth is at a record **$176 trillion**, with liabilities at **11.9%** of net worth, below the long-term average of **14.5%**. This indicates strong financial health and limits stress on equity values [40][43]. - **Corporate Balance Sheets**: Net equity for U.S. corporates reached **$68 trillion** as of Q3 2025, the highest ever, suggesting strong capital deployment opportunities [46][47]. Capital Expenditure Insights - **Hyperscaler Capex**: Continued growth in data center capacity investment is expected, with a **35%** increase in planning stages noted in Q3 compared to Q1, implying an additional **$1.7 trillion** of capex [20][21]. - **Non-Hyperscaler Capex Recovery**: There is potential for recovery in non-AI capex, particularly in industrial and manufacturing sectors, which could benefit from favorable tax policies [26][33]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - **Gradual Recovery**: Companies are beginning to see signs of gradual recovery in industrial business, with positive sentiments from distribution channels and improved order volumes [32]. - **Consensus Earnings Forecast**: The consensus for earnings growth remains modest, with median EPS growth rates of **11-12%** for EE/MI companies over the next two years, reflecting a cautious outlook [71][72]. Additional Considerations - **Residential HVAC Market**: Limited growth potential is anticipated in residential HVAC shipments over the next three years due to excess shipments during 2020-2024 [59][63]. - **LTL Shipments**: Monitoring of less-than-truckload (LTL) volumes is crucial as they serve as early indicators of industrial activity, which remains weak due to high exposure to housing markets [53][54]. This comprehensive outlook indicates a positive trajectory for the Multi-Industry sector in 2026, driven by robust AI infrastructure spending and strong balance sheets, despite some caution regarding broader economic conditions and specific market segments.

Core Insights - Emerson has been awarded the title of '2026 Industrial IoT Company of the Year' at the 10th annual IoT Breakthrough Awards, highlighting its leadership in industrial IoT innovation [1][3] - The company’s acquisition of Aspen Technology in 2025 has positioned it as a global automation leader with a comprehensive technology portfolio that includes intelligent devices, secure control systems, and enterprise optimization software [1][2] Group 1 - Emerson's industrial IoT technology stack supports critical industries such as energy, liquefied natural gas, power, life sciences, chemicals, aerospace, and semiconductors, enabling them to operate with speed, safety, reliability, and confidence [2][3] - The company is advancing automation through a new software-defined and data-centric platform that facilitates modernization, faster technology deployment, and AI-driven optimization, paving the way for autonomous operations [2][3] Group 2 - Emerson's focus on growth drivers includes digital transformation, electrification, energy security, and near-shoring, which are essential for addressing global challenges [3] - This recognition marks the seventh time Emerson has received the 'Industrial IoT Company of the Year' award, previously being honored for 'Industrial Innovation of the Year' and 'Analytics Platform of the Year' [3][4] - The IoT Breakthrough Awards program received over 4,000 nominations this year, underscoring the competitive landscape and Emerson's consistent excellence in innovation [3][4]