Core Insights - Emerson reported solid financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025, with a 5% increase in quarterly cash dividend and a share repurchase authorization of up to 50 million shares [1][3][4] Financial Performance - Net sales for Q4 2025 reached $4,855 million, a 5% increase from Q4 2024's $4,619 million, while total net sales for fiscal year 2025 were $18,016 million, up 3% from $17,492 million in 2024 [2][16] - Underlying orders growth was 4% in Q4 2025, compared to 6% in Q4 2024, indicating a slight slowdown [2] - GAAP earnings per share increased by 15% to $1.12 in Q4 2025 from $0.97 in Q4 2024, and for the full year, it rose 43% to $4.03 from $2.82 [2][16] Margin and Earnings - Pretax earnings for Q4 2025 were $796 million, up from $679 million in Q4 2024, with a margin increase from 14.7% to 16.4% [2][16] - Adjusted segment EBITA for Q4 2025 was $1,333 million, reflecting a margin improvement to 27.5% from 26.2% in Q4 2024 [2][16] Management Commentary - The CEO highlighted the successful integration of AspenTech and the completion of the Test & Measurement integration, achieving $200 million in run-rate cost synergies [3] - The company is positioned to benefit from long-term secular trends, supporting mid-single-digit underlying orders growth for three consecutive quarters [3] 2026 Outlook - For fiscal year 2026, Emerson anticipates net sales growth of approximately 5.5% and adjusted earnings per share between $6.35 and $6.55 [4][5] - The company plans to return approximately $2.2 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends [4]

Industry Overview - Robotics companies are leading innovation, enhancing efficiency and productivity in sectors like manufacturing, healthcare, and logistics, with the global robotics market expected to experience significant growth driven by technological advancements and increasing automation demand [1][2] - The integration of hardware, software, and AI in robotics allows for the development of intelligent machines capable of performing complex tasks autonomously or semi-autonomously [2] Investment Potential - The high growth potential in the robotics sector promises substantial returns for investors, while also addressing labor shortages and improving task precision, which can lead to reduced operational costs and enhanced quality [2] - Despite the promising landscape, the investment environment is fraught with risks, including high R&D costs, regulatory challenges, market volatility, and societal impacts of automation [3] Recommended Stocks - Five robotics stocks are recommended for investment in the last two months of 2025: UiPath Inc. (PATH), Emerson Electric Co. (EMR), Trimble Inc. (TRMB), Omnicell Inc. (OMCL), and Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc. (LECO), all carrying a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) [4][7] Company Highlights - **UiPath Inc. (PATH)**: Expected revenue growth of 10.1% and earnings growth of 22.6% for the current year, with an 18.1% improvement in earnings estimates over the past 60 days [9] - **Emerson Electric Co. (EMR)**: Anticipates revenue growth of 4.9% and earnings growth of 8.4% for the current year, with a slight 0.2% increase in earnings estimates over the last 60 days [11] - **Trimble Inc. (TRMB)**: Expected revenue decline of 4.4% but earnings growth of 4.9% for the current year, with a 3.1% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 60 days [13] - **Omnicell Inc. (OMCL)**: Projected revenue growth of 0.1% and earnings growth of 8.2% for the current year, with a 4.7% increase in earnings estimates over the last seven days [15] - **Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc. (LECO)**: Expected revenue growth of 5.2% and earnings growth of 4.5% for the current year, with a 0.6% improvement in earnings estimates over the last 30 days [18]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the effectiveness of investing in dividend growth stocks and reinvesting dividends as a strategy for long-term wealth growth [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The individual investor has explored various investment styles over 25 years, concluding that dividend growth stocks are a reliable method for wealth accumulation [1] - The investor operates a blog focused on S&P Dividend Aristocrats and other dividend growth stocks, indicating a commitment to sharing knowledge in this area [1] Group 2: Investment Vehicles - The investor has experience with a range of investment vehicles, including stocks, options, ETFs, treasury notes, and mutual funds, showcasing a diverse investment background [1]

Core Insights - Emerson Electric Co. (EMR) is expected to report earnings and revenue growth for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, with revenues estimated at $4.88 billion, reflecting a 5.7% increase year-over-year [1] - The consensus estimate for earnings is $1.62 per share, indicating a 9.5% increase from the previous year, with a slight upward revision of 0.6% in the last 30 days [2] Revenue Performance - The Intelligent Devices segment is projected to see a revenue increase of 4.5% year-over-year to $3.4 billion, driven by strong performance in the final control business and recovery in the Discrete Automation business across North America and Asia, Middle East & Africa [3] - The Software and Control segment is expected to grow by 11.4% year-over-year to $1.5 billion, supported by momentum in the Control Systems & Software business and recovery in the Test & Measurement unit across the Americas and Europe [4] - Emerson anticipates underlying sales to rise approximately 5-6% year-over-year in the fiscal fourth quarter [5] Strategic Acquisitions - In March 2025, Emerson acquired the remaining shares of AspenTech, enhancing its automation portfolio and software-defined control capabilities [6] - The company completed the buyout of National Instruments for $8.2 billion in October 2023, strengthening its global automation presence and expanding into high-growth markets such as semiconductors, transportation, and aerospace [6] Cost and Margin Considerations - Rising costs and expenses due to higher input costs and restructuring actions are likely to impact EMR's margin performance [7] - Foreign currency headwinds from substantial international operations may also affect margins and profitability [7] Earnings Prediction - The current Earnings ESP for Emerson is -0.80%, indicating a lower likelihood of an earnings beat, as the Most Accurate Estimate is $1.60 per share, below the consensus estimate of $1.62 [8]

Core Insights - Emerson Electric Co. is a global technology and engineering company with a market cap of $78.6 billion, providing solutions across various sectors including industrial, commercial, and residential markets [1] Stock Performance - The stock has underperformed the broader market in 2025, with a 12.6% increase, but has outperformed over the past year with a 28% rise compared to the S&P 500 Index's 16.3% YTD gains and 17.7% returns over the past year [2] - Compared to the Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLI), EMR has lagged behind its 17.7% gains in 2025 but outperformed XLI's 14.5% returns over the past year [3] Financial Results - Following the release of mixed Q3 results, Emerson's stock dropped 4.7%, primarily due to net sales of $4.6 billion missing expectations by 60 basis points, although this figure represented a nearly 4% year-over-year increase [4] - The company reported strong profitability and cash flows, with adjusted EPS increasing 6.3% year-over-year to $1.52, surpassing consensus estimates by 66 basis points, and generated free cash flows of $970 million during the quarter [4] Future Outlook - For the full fiscal 2025, analysts expect an adjusted EPS of $6, reflecting a 9.3% year-over-year increase, with a solid earnings surprise history as the company has exceeded bottom-line estimates in the past four quarters [5] - Among 24 analysts covering EMR, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," consisting of 15 "Strong Buys," one "Moderate Buy," seven "Holds," and one "Moderate Sell" [5] - A month ago, the outlook was slightly more optimistic with 16 analysts recommending "Strong Buy" [6] Analyst Ratings - On October 15, JP Morgan analyst Stephen Tusa maintained a "Neutral" rating on EMR and raised the price target from $135 to $151 [7]

Core Insights - Emerson Electric Co. (NYSE:EMR) is recognized as one of the 13 most undervalued dividend stocks according to Wall Street analysts [1] - RBC Capital has raised its price target for Emerson Electric to $155 from $154, maintaining an Outperform rating ahead of Q3 earnings [3] - The company is noted for its strong dividend track record, with a 67-year history of dividend growth and a current yield of 1.55% [5] Company Overview - Emerson Electric is a technology and software firm that provides automation solutions, engineering services, and software across various industries, including process and hybrid sectors [2] Market Drivers - Long-term drivers such as electrification, reshoring, and growth in datacenter and AI infrastructure are expected to support steady mid-cycle growth and solid earnings visibility [4] - The datacenter sector is highlighted as the strongest area, while municipal water follows, with residential construction, HVAC, and chemicals identified as weaker markets [4] Dividend Information - The company offers a quarterly dividend of $0.5275 per share, contributing to its reputation for a strong dividend growth streak [5]

Core Insights - Emerson Electric Co. has experienced poor momentum over the last three months, receiving a D+ momentum grade for the period [1] Valuation Methods - Various methods exist for sell-side analysts to determine a company's "fair" value, including DCF, multiples approach, and reverse valuation [1] - The DCF method requires precise assumptions, which can lead to biases, while the multiples approach assumes peer companies are fairly priced, a notion often unsupported by historical data [1] - Reverse valuation starts from the market price and discount rate, revealing the free cash flow assumptions embedded in the price, providing a direct reality check on market beliefs [1] Free Cash Flow Analysis - A Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) model is utilized to assess what truly belongs to shareholders, calculated as Earnings + Amortization – CAPEX – average acquisition cost = FCFE [1] - The analysis disregards working capital and debt changes, focusing on three key numbers: earnings, amortization, and investments [1] Forecasting Approach - The H-model is applied for forecasts, featuring a 10-year two-stage growth fade with terminal growth equal to the risk-free rate, represented by the 10-year government bond yield [1] - All cash flows are discounted using the cost of equity, calculated as RFR × beta + 5% ERP, resulting in a clear picture of the business's true worth [1]

Core Insights - Emerson Electric Co. has experienced poor momentum over the last three months, receiving a D+ momentum grade for the period [1] Valuation Methods - Various methods exist for sell-side analysts to determine a company's "fair" value, including DCF, multiples approach, and reverse valuation [1] - The DCF method requires precise assumptions, which can introduce bias, while the multiples approach assumes peer companies are fairly priced, a notion often unsupported by historical data [1] - Reverse valuation starts from the market price and discount rate, revealing the free cash flow assumptions embedded in the price, providing a direct reality check on market beliefs [1] Free Cash Flow Analysis - A Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) model is utilized to assess what truly belongs to shareholders, calculated as Earnings + Amortization – CAPEX – average acquisition cost = FCFE [1] - The analysis disregards working capital and debt changes, focusing on three key figures: earnings, amortization, and investments [1] Forecasting Approach - The H-model is applied for forecasts, featuring a 10-year two-stage growth fade with terminal growth equal to the risk-free rate, represented by the 10-year government bond yield [1] - All cash flows are discounted using the cost of equity, calculated as RFR × beta + 5% ERP, resulting in a clear picture of the business's true worth [1]

Core Viewpoint - Emerson Electric (EMR) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which significantly influence stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Impact - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in earnings estimates, which are strongly correlated with stock price movements, particularly due to institutional investors adjusting their valuations based on these estimates [4][6]. - For Emerson Electric, the recent increase in earnings estimates suggests an improvement in the company's underlying business, likely leading to a rise in stock price [5][10]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with a proven track record of Zacks Rank 1 stocks generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - The upgrade of Emerson Electric to Zacks Rank 2 places it in the top 20% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating strong potential for market-beating returns in the near term [9][10]. Earnings Estimate Revisions for Emerson Electric - Emerson Electric is projected to earn $6.00 per share for the fiscal year ending September 2025, with no year-over-year change, but the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased by 0.7% over the past three months [8].

Group 1 - Emerson Electric (EMR) is currently ranked 2 (Buy) in the Zacks Rank, indicating a positive outlook for the stock [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for EMR's full-year earnings has increased by 0.7% over the past three months, reflecting stronger analyst sentiment [4] - Year-to-date, EMR has gained approximately 8.5%, outperforming the average return of 6.1% for the Industrial Products sector [4] Group 2 - Emerson Electric is part of the Manufacturing - Electronics industry, which consists of 15 companies and is currently ranked 64 in the Zacks Industry Rank [6] - Stocks in the Manufacturing - Electronics industry have gained about 12.6% year-to-date, indicating that EMR is slightly underperforming its industry [6] - Mitsui & Co. (MITSY), another stock in the Industrial Products sector, has a year-to-date return of 20.8% and is ranked 1 (Strong Buy) [5]