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EQT(EQT) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-18 16:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, EQT generated $2.5 billion of free cash flow, significantly outperforming both consensus and internal expectations, with NYMEX natural gas prices averaging approximately $3.40 per million BTU for the year [9][17] - The company exited the year with net debt of just under $7.7 billion, including $425 million of working capital usage during the quarter [17] - Free cash flow attributable to EQT in the fourth quarter was nearly $750 million, approximately $200 million above consensus expectations [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Production consistently exceeded expectations throughout 2025, driven by compression project outperformance and robust well productivity, with compression projects generating a 15% greater than expected base production uplift [7][8] - Average well cost per lateral foot was 13% lower year-over-year and 6% below internal forecasts, while per unit lease operating expenses (LOE) were nearly 15% below expectations and approximately 50% lower than the peer average [8][9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The natural gas market has tightened significantly, with winter to date being 5% colder than normal, driving significant demand and reducing inventories below the 5-year average [21] - Eastern storage levels are now 13% below the 5-year average, indicating a structural demand growth in the market [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - EQT's strategy focuses on capital efficiency and cost structure while making smart investments at the right time to maximize per-share value creation [6] - The company plans to allocate the first $600 million of post-dividend free cash flow to high-return growth projects in 2026, including compression projects and strategic leasing [15][16] - EQT is investing in infrastructure to connect low-cost natural gas supply to demand centers, emphasizing the need for more pipeline infrastructure [11][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the importance of reliability and operational strength during extreme weather events, such as Winter Storm Fern, which showcased the company's integrated operations [10][27] - The company anticipates generating approximately $6.5 billion in Adjusted EBITDA and $3.5 billion in Free Cash Flow attributable to EQT in 2026, with a projected cumulative free cash flow of over $16 billion over the next five years [15][16] Other Important Information - EQT's position as the second-largest marketer of natural gas in the U.S. is expected to have recurring positive impacts on financial performance due to persistent price volatility [8] - The company is focused on maintaining a disciplined maintenance capital program while investing in growth projects to strengthen its platform [14][15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you provide insight into the trend in your portfolio breakeven and sustaining capital for 2026? - Management indicated that the levered breakeven cost structure is around $2.20 and is rapidly decreasing as debt is repaid [32] Question: Can you quantify the uplift associated with Winter Storm Fern and lessons learned? - Management noted that uptime during the storm was 97.2%, showcasing a two-times factor outperformance compared to peers, and emphasized the importance of being opportunistic during volatility [36][38] Question: How do you see your strategic growth CapEx evolving over the next couple of years? - Management highlighted a focus on Mountain Valley projects and emphasized the importance of creating structural demand for volumes before considering upstream growth [52][56] Question: What is your gas sales strategy in light of market volatility? - Management explained that they aim to sell a significant portion of gas at first-of-month pricing to de-risk operations while maintaining flexibility to capture value during volatile periods [60][66] Question: When do you expect to see growth emerge in your production? - Management suggested that sustainable upstream growth discussions may begin around 2027, contingent on infrastructure development and demand visibility [81]
EQT(EQT) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-18 16:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2025, the company generated $2.5 billion of free cash flow, significantly outperforming both consensus and internal expectations, with NYMEX natural gas prices averaging approximately $3.40 per million BTU for the year [8][16] - The company exited the year with net debt of just under $7.7 billion, including $425 million of working capital usage during the quarter [16] - The company expects to generate approximately $6.5 billion in Adjusted EBITDA and $3.5 billion in Free Cash Flow for 2026, which includes the impact of approximately $600 million in growth investments [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Production consistently exceeded expectations throughout 2025, driven by compression project outperformance and robust well productivity, with compression projects generating a 15% greater than expected base production uplift [6][8] - Operating costs and capital spending beat expectations, with average well costs per lateral foot coming in 13% lower year-over-year and 6% below internal forecasts [7][8] - The cumulative benefits of marketing optimization resulted in over $200 million of free cash flow uplift relative to guidance [6] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The natural gas market has tightened significantly, with winter to date being 5% colder than normal, driving significant demand and reducing inventories below the 5-year average [19][20] - Eastern storage levels are now 13% below the 5-year average, indicating a tightening market [20] - The company anticipates both 2026 and 2027 prices rising further to ensure inventories remain within a comfortable range due to growing LNG exports [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on capital efficiency and cost structure while making smart investments at the right time to maximize per-share value creation [5] - The 2026 plan includes a disciplined maintenance capital program and the allocation of the first $600 million of post-dividend free cash flow to high-return growth projects [12][14] - The company is investing in infrastructure projects like the Clarington Connector pipeline and compression projects to strengthen its platform and capture premium pricing [24][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the importance of natural gas infrastructure for the reliability of the U.S. energy system, advocating for more pipeline infrastructure to meet demand [10] - The company is well-positioned to fund high-return infrastructure growth projects and continue its track record of base dividend growth [18] - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to capture an outsized share of incremental demand due to its resource base and infrastructure investments [23] Other Important Information - The company recently elected to purchase additional interest in MVP Mainline and MVP Boost, expected to fund approximately $115 million of the total consideration for the acquisition [11] - The company’s operational performance during Winter Storm Fern showcased its integrated model and ability to respond effectively to extreme weather events [9][26] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Can you provide an idea of your portfolio breakeven and sustaining capital for 2026? - Management indicated that the levered breakeven cost structure is around $2.20, which is rapidly decreasing as debt is repaid [30][31] Question: Can you quantify the uplift associated with Winter Storm Fern and lessons learned? - Management noted that uptime during the storm was 97.2%, outperforming Appalachian peers, and emphasized the importance of being opportunistic during volatility [35][36] Question: How do you see your strategic growth CapEx evolving over the next couple of years? - Management stated that the focus is on Mountain Valley projects, with a goal to create more opportunities across the integrated platform [48][49] Question: How does the company balance growth in the current environment? - Management emphasized responding to demand rather than chasing price signals, with a focus on building infrastructure to meet future demand [65][66]
EQT Q4 Earnings Top Estimates on Higher Realized Gas-Equivalent Prices
ZACKS· 2026-02-18 15:55
Financial Performance - EQT Corporation reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings from continuing operations of 90 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 73 cents and up from 67 cents in the prior year [1] - Adjusted operating revenues increased to $2,094 million from $1,821 million in the prior-year quarter, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2,064 million [1] Production and Sales - Sales volume increased to 609 billion cubic feet equivalent (Bcfe) from 605 Bcfe in the year-ago quarter, beating the estimate of 598 Bcfe [3] - Natural gas sales volume was 572 Bcf, up from 566 Bcf in the year-ago quarter, exceeding the estimate of 561 Bcf [3] - Total liquid sales volume decreased to 6,127 thousand barrels (MBbls) from 6,552 MBbls in the prior year, missing the projection of 6,145 MBbls [3] Commodity Prices - The average realized price was $3.44 per thousand cubic feet of natural gas equivalent (Mcfe), up from $3.01 year over year [4] - The average natural gas price, including cash-settled derivatives, was $3.32 per Mcf, an increase from $2.86 [4] - The natural gas sales price was $3.76 per Mcf, higher than $2.97 recorded a year ago [4] - The oil price was $44.98 per barrel compared to $54.75 in the prior year [5] Expenses - Total operating expenses were $1,372 million, up from $843 million in the prior-year quarter [6] - Gathering expenses totaled 10 cents per Mcfe, up from 9 cents year over year [6] - Transmission expenses stood at 40 cents per Mcfe, down from 41 cents recorded a year ago [6] - Lease operating expenses amounted to 11 cents per Mcfe, higher than 9 cents in the corresponding period of 2024 [6] - Selling, general and administrative expenses came in at 18 cents per Mcfe, flat year over year [6] Cash Flow - Adjusted operating cash flow totaled $1.55 billion in the reported quarter, up from $1.23 billion a year ago [7] - Free cash flow amounted to $857 million, an increase from $588 million in the corresponding period of 2024 [7] Capital Expenditure and Balance Sheet - Total capital expenditure was $655 million, higher than $583 million reported a year ago [9] - As of December 31, 2025, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $111 million and net debt worth $7.69 billion [9] Guidance - For the first quarter of 2026, EQT expects total sales volume to be between 560 Bcfe and 610 Bcfe [10] - Total sales volume is forecasted to be in the range of 2,275-2,375 Bcfe for 2026 [10] - Total maintenance capital expenditures are projected to be between $515 million and $590 million, with growth capital expenditures anticipated to be between $120 million and $145 million in the first quarter [10]
EQT(EQT) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-02-18 15:00
Investor Presentation Fourth Quarter 2025 Results TRUST • TEAMWORK • HEART • EVOLUTION 1 February 17, 2026 Cautionary Statements The Securities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved, probable and possible reserves that a company anticipates as of a given date to be economically and legally producible and deliverable by application of development projects to known accumulations. This presentation contains certain terms and estima ...
EQT Corporation: Valuation, Fundamentals May Power Upside, But Consider Technical Caution
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-18 13:00
Group 1 - The stock price of EQT Corporation has remained relatively flat over the past seven months, yielding a 3% return, which supports the previous buy rating [1] - The analyst has been involved in the logistics sector for nearly two decades and has experience in stock investing and macroeconomic analysis for almost ten years [1] - The focus of the analyst includes ASEAN and NYSE/NASDAQ stocks, particularly in sectors such as banks, telecommunications, logistics, and hotels [1] Group 2 - The analyst has diversified investments across various industries and market capitalizations, holding some stocks for retirement and others for trading profits [1] - The analyst entered the US market in 2020 and has been trading for four years, gaining insights from Seeking Alpha [1] - The analyst has holdings in US banks, hotels, shipping, and logistics companies, similar to their investments in the ASEAN market [1]
Lithium Chile Receives US $5 Million Deposit Toward Sale of Salar de Arizaro Project, Argentina
Thenewswire· 2026-02-18 13:00
Core Viewpoint - Lithium Chile Inc. has received a US $5,000,000 deposit from China Union Holdings Limited as part of the sale of its Arizaro project, indicating strong commitment from the buyer to complete the transaction [1][2][3]. Transaction Details - The deposit is held in trust and is a condition for closing the transaction, which is scheduled for June 2026, pending satisfaction of remaining conditions [2][3]. - The company is actively working on regulatory, technical, and closing matters to meet the conditions for the transaction [3]. Chilean Developments - The new government in Chile, set to take office on March 1, 2026, is expected to prioritize regulatory efficiency and responsible resource development, which could benefit Lithium Chile's projects [4]. - The company has previously secured a Special Lithium Operating Contract for its Coipasa project, demonstrating its capability to navigate Chile's regulatory environment [4]. Company Overview - Lithium Chile Inc. holds a portfolio of 11 properties covering 106,136 hectares in Chile and 29,245 hectares in Argentina, with significant advancements made in the Arizaro project [5].
EQT (EQT) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say
ZACKS· 2026-02-18 00:30
Core Insights - EQT Corporation reported a revenue of $2.09 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, marking a 15% increase year-over-year and a surprise of +1.47% over the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.06 billion [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter was $0.90, compared to $0.69 in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of +22.67% against the consensus estimate of $0.73 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - The average natural gas price, including cash settled derivatives, was $3.32, exceeding the average estimate of $3.16 [4] - The average sales price for natural gas was $3.76, compared to the estimated $3.42, while the average sales price for oil was $44.98, slightly below the estimated $45.41 [4] - Total sales volume for natural gas was 572,231.00 MMcf, surpassing the average estimate of 563,644.60 MMcf, and oil sales volume was 585.00 MBBL, exceeding the estimate of 462.98 MBBL [4] - Operating revenues from pipeline and other sources were $170.04 million, above the average estimate of $147.4 million, reflecting a year-over-year change of +1.8% [4] - Operating revenues from the sales of natural gas, natural gas liquids, and oil reached $2.1 billion, compared to the estimated $1.96 billion, representing a +28.2% change year-over-year [4] - Total natural gas and liquids sales, including cash settled derivatives, were $2.09 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $1.92 billion and showing a year-over-year increase of +15% [4] - Natural gas sales, including cash settled derivatives, amounted to $1.9 billion, compared to the average estimate of $1.74 billion [4] Stock Performance - EQT shares have returned +16.2% over the past month, contrasting with a -1.4% change in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), indicating potential underperformance relative to the broader market in the near term [3]
EQT(EQT) - 2025 Q4 - Annual Results
2026-02-17 21:31
EQT Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results and Provides 2026 Guidance PITTSBURGH, February 17, 2026 -- EQT Corporation (NYSE: EQT) today announced financial and operational results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025 as well as financial and operational guidance for 2026. Fourth Quarter Results: Fourth Quarter and Recent Highlights: 2026 Outlook: President and CEO Toby Z. Rice stated, "EQT delivered outstanding performance across the board in 2025, exceeding production forecasts, achieving ...
EQT Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results and Provides 2026 Guidance
Prnewswire· 2026-02-17 21:30
Core Insights - EQT Corporation reported strong financial and operational results for Q4 and full year 2025, with significant increases in production, cash flow, and reserves, while providing optimistic guidance for 2026 [1][2][3] Financial Performance - Q4 2025 total sales volume reached 609 Bcfe, a slight increase from 605 Bcfe in Q4 2024, with an average realized price of $3.44 per Mcfe, up from $3.01 [1] - Full year 2025 total sales volume was 2,382 Bcfe, compared to 2,228 Bcfe in 2024, with an average realized price of $3.19 per Mcfe, up from $2.74 [2] - Net income attributable to EQT for Q4 2025 was $677 million, compared to $418 million in Q4 2024, and for the full year, it was $2,039 million, significantly up from $231 million in 2024 [1][2] - Free cash flow attributable to EQT for Q4 2025 was $744 million, up from $580 million in Q4 2024, and for the full year, it was $2,503 million, compared to $684 million in 2024 [2] Operational Highlights - Proved reserves increased by 7% year-over-year to 28.0 Tcfe, with a total standardized measure of discounted future net cash flows of $21 billion [1][2] - The company achieved record operational efficiencies, including the fastest quarterly completions pace and the most lateral footage drilled in 24 and 48 hours [1] - Production uptime during Winter Storm Fern was approximately twice as good as peers in Appalachia, demonstrating resilience in challenging conditions [1] 2026 Guidance - The company expects to exit 2026 with approximately $4.7 billion in net debt and projects free cash flow of around $3.5 billion for the year [1][2] - Production forecast for 2026 is set between 2,275 and 2,375 Bcfe, with maintenance capital expenditures estimated at $2,070 to $2,210 million [1][2] - Growth capital expenditures for 2026 are planned at $580 to $640 million, focusing on high-return infrastructure projects [1][2] Strategic Moves - EQT increased its ownership in the Mountain Valley Pipeline (MVP) from approximately 49% to 53% through a $115 million acquisition [1][3] - The company has increased its hedge percentage for 2026 from 7% to 25%, with collars set at average floor and ceiling prices of $3.94 and $5.70 per MMBtu, respectively [1]
Could AES Acquisition Change EQT Corporation’s (EQT) Future Prospects?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-13 16:17
Group 1 - EQT Corporation (NYSE:EQT) is identified as one of the 10 undervalued growth stocks for the next 5 years, with a potential acquisition interest in AES Corporation by EQT and BlackRock's Global Infrastructure Partners [1] - Ongoing discussions between EQT and BlackRock regarding the acquisition of AES could lead to a finalized agreement within weeks, although no final decision has been made yet [2] - EQT Corporation is engaged in the transportation, gathering, and production of natural gas, providing services to utilities, marketers, and industrial customers in the Appalachian Basin [4] Group 2 - RBC Capital analyst Scott Hanold has reaffirmed a Hold rating on EQT Corporation with a price target of $62, indicating an 11.6% upside potential from current levels [3]