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Garrett Motion: Deleveraging Progress Not Yet Reflected In Its Share Price
Seeking Alpha· 2024-09-21 10:48
An individual investor primarily focused on undercovered companies, with more than 50 companies on my watchlist. My areas include technology, software, electronics and the energy transition. I have been investing my personal capital for over 7 years in a broad range of companies globally. Through my years of analyzing countless companies, I have accumulated professional investment experience within my circle of competence. I have a Masters degree in Electrical Engineering and currently work as an automotive ...
Priority Technology: Mobile Payments And FCF Growth Indicate Undervaluation
Seeking Alpha· 2024-09-19 10:42
Priority Technology Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: PRTH ) will most likely benefit from the ongoing adoption of new mobile payments and alternatives to traditional payment options. In addition, further development of the network of partners, inorganic growth, and acquisition of new clients could bring further free London Stock Market Research is a service offered by an ex-investment banker from the city of London. After around 11 years in the industry, I decided to drop out, and made dollars out of what I learned ...
Teladoc Health: Some Negative Things, But One Aspect That Makes Me Feel Positive
Seeking Alpha· 2024-09-15 10:59
H i # P Solskin The Teladoc Health Investment Thesis Data by YCharts Teladoc Health (NYSE:TDOC) is one of the stocks that had a crazy run during COVID and then fell hard. In this case, Teladoc stock fell ~97% from its all-time high of $294. In other words, if Teladoc were to regain the all-time high, it would be a 36 bagger from the current level of $7.99. Exactly one year ago, I wrote an article about Teladoc because I believed the telemedicine sector had great potential and Teladoc is a leader in the sect ...
iQIYI: Undervalued Stock, And AI-Powered FCF Growth
Seeking Alpha· 2024-09-13 14:17
PM Images iQIYI, Inc. (NASDAQ:IQ) represents one of the largest streaming video platforms in China, and currently trades at multiyear lows. With a growing platform of users and most employees dedicated to research and development, IQ also revealed extensive use of artificial technologies to offer better video content as well as to enhance search capabilities. IQ does trade significantly undervalued as compared to other companies developing artificial technologies all over the world. In addition, there is th ...
Builders FirstSource: Rollup With High FCF Yield
Seeking Alpha· 2024-09-11 10:15
ArtistGNDphotography Builders FirstSource (NYSE: BLDR) is taking a page from AutoZone (AZO) playbook. Continue to run a business with a strong balance sheet, generate high free cash flow, and use an abundant of that cash flow to buy back shares at fair prices. Management has been executing on this strategy. VAL Builders FirstSource Inc (BLDR) Average Diluted Shares Outstanding (Annual) 129.00M 200,00M 175.00M 150.00M 2022 2023 Seeking AlphaQ. 8ep 1, 2024, 9:12 AM EDT Powered by YC H A R T S Data by Y Charts ...
BMW Offers Value: Trading At 8.7x FCF And 7% Dividend Yield
Seeking Alpha· 2024-09-03 10:11
Alexandr Baranov/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Bayerische Motoren Werke's (OTCPK:BMWYY) commercial momentum is under pressure as pricing headwinds and competitive dynamics are increasingly affecting profit margins - a trend that could sustain for the next few quarters, if not years. For context, in Q2 2024, BMW's EBIT margin fell to 8.4%, below the consensus expectation of 8.6% and significantly lower than the 9.2% margin recorded one year earlier. However, despite structural challenges, BMW's free cash ...
Guess?: Stock Repurchases, Ecommerce Efforts, M&A, And Cheap
Seeking Alpha· 2024-09-02 10:04
Flashpop/DigitalVision via Getty Images Guess?, Inc. (NYSE:GES) brings a proven business model tested in many markets outside the United States since 1981. The company is making relevant effort to enhance its ecommerce activities, and recently reported acquisitions like that of WHP Global and rag & bone. In my opinion, the financial figures reported in the last decade, which included positive net income growth and FCF growth, are the best indication of future business success potential. With very conservati ...
Ulta Beauty: Quality Business And No FCF Growth Priced In
Seeking Alpha· 2024-08-27 07:37
Investment Thesis - Ulta Beauty is the largest specialty beauty retailer in the US, capturing 9% of the $112 billion US beauty product market in 2023 [3] - The company has seen a deterioration in fundamentals since April 2023, with shares underperforming and trading at a rich valuation [2] - Despite challenges, the cash flow stream from 43 million Ultamate members is valued at approximately $18 billion, indicating limited downside and potential for a 30% return in the next year [2][16] Company Performance - Ulta operates nearly 1,400 stores across the US and has a digital store, with 95% of sales coming from Ulta Beauty Rewards members [3] - The company has historically delivered high sales growth, stable margins, and EPS growth, but recent performance has declined, particularly after disappointing F1Q23 earnings [4][5] - Management has indicated that consumer pressures, such as high credit card debt and inflation, have impacted demand across beauty categories [4][5] Market Dynamics - Ulta's sales growth has slowed, with a notable decline in comparable sales guidance for 2024, projecting 2-3% growth compared to a long-term target of 3-5% [12] - The competitive landscape has intensified, particularly with Sephora gaining market share through store expansions and partnerships [5][12] - The North American beauty market is expected to grow at a 6% CAGR from 2022 to 2027, providing a potential growth avenue for Ulta [12] Financial Analysis - A reverse DCF analysis suggests that market participants are pricing in near-zero growth for Ulta, with an implied FCF growth rate of 0-1% over the next 10 years [6][7] - The company has a capital-efficient business model, with Capex/Sales below 5%, and is expected to stabilize sales growth and operating margins in the second half of 2024 [11] - Management anticipates improvements in gross margins in 2H24, which could lead to positive surprises in performance [11][12] Future Outlook - The October Analyst Day is expected to provide new long-term targets for sales growth and operating margins, which could enhance investor confidence [11] - Ulta's loyalty program, with 43 million members, represents a significant asset that could support future revenue growth [9][10] - The company is positioned to potentially achieve long-term top-line growth of 5% per annum, supported by both domestic and international expansion efforts [12]
Texas Instruments: A Clear Path Toward FCF Growth
Seeking Alpha· 2024-08-25 14:07
Monty Rakusen Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN) is the oldest position in my stock portfolio, having owned it since mid-2020. Over the last five years, the company has not really impressed investors, matching the S&P 500 in total return, while the iShares Semiconductor Index (SOXX) more than doubled its performance (however, with higher volatility). TIs management scheduled an off-cycle capital management presentation last week (20th August 2024) to address a few key issues investors had with the company in re ...
First Commonwealth Financial (FCF) Upgraded to Strong Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2024-08-19 17:00
First Commonwealth Financial (FCF) appears an attractive pick, as it has been recently upgraded to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). This upgrade is essentially a reflection of an upward trend in earnings estimates -- one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices. The sole determinant of the Zacks rating is a company's changing earnings picture. The Zacks Consensus Estimate -- the consensus of EPS estimates from the sell-side analysts covering the stock -- for the current and following years is tracked ...