作者 | 源Sight 王言 Canada Goose加拿大鹅的处境更艰难了。 近日，有媒体援引知情人士消息称，加拿大鹅控股股东贝恩资本(Bain Capital)正在考虑出售其所持股份。2013年，贝恩资本收购了加拿大鹅控股权，并于 2017年推动公司上市。 截至今年3月底，贝恩资本持有加拿大鹅60.5%的多重投票股份，这一类别的股票投票权为普通股的10倍，使其在总投票权中的占比达到55.5%。不过，上 述知情人士表示，目前出售事宜尚处于初步探讨阶段，尚不确定是否会促成实际交易。 而在1个月前，加拿大鹅才在中国宣布一项重要人事任命。6月5日，加拿大鹅任命谢霖（Celine Xie）为中国区总裁，全面负责中国内地市场的直营业务， 并向加拿大鹅亚太区总裁Jonathan Sinclair汇报工作。而这已经是从2022年以来，加拿大鹅第三次更换中国区总裁。 如今，加拿大鹅面临的市场竞争也在加剧，羽绒服行业的高奢侈品牌已经不再只有加拿大鹅，Moncler、Mackage、Nobis和Moose Knuckles等品牌也加速 扩张。 在朝着全球性奢侈品牌转型的进程中，加拿大鹅走到了一个新的十字路口。 业绩压力 过去的 ...

Group 1 - Bain Capital, the controlling shareholder of Canada Goose, is considering selling its stake in the company, which it acquired in 2013 and took public in 2017 [2][4] - Canada Goose reported a revenue increase of 1.1% year-on-year to $1.3484 billion and a net profit of $94.8 million for the fiscal year 2025, maintaining growth despite a challenging consumer environment [2][5] - The company has seen significant revenue growth in the Asia-Pacific market, with a 15.2% increase in the fourth quarter and a 7.9% increase in the Greater China region [5][7] Group 2 - Canada Goose's revenue growth rates for the fiscal years 2022, 2023, and 2024 were 21.54%, 10.84%, and 9.6% respectively, indicating a slowdown due to declining global luxury consumption and rising operational costs [7] - The company appointed Celine Xie as the president of its China operations, marking the third change in leadership for this position since 2022, reflecting a commitment to strengthening its local leadership team [7] - Following the news of Bain Capital's potential sale, Canada Goose's stock price rose by 2.13% to $12.93 per share, with a year-to-date increase of 31.27% [9]

Core Viewpoint - Canada Goose (GOOS) has shown strong stock performance, with a 17.5% increase over the past month and a 34.2% gain since the start of the year, outperforming the Zacks Retail-Wholesale sector and the Zacks Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry [1] Financial Performance - Canada Goose has consistently beaten earnings estimates, reporting EPS of $0.23 against a consensus estimate of $0.16 in its last earnings report [2] - For the current fiscal year, Canada Goose is expected to post earnings of $0.88 per share on $1 billion in revenues, reflecting a 10% change in EPS and a 2.89% change in revenues [3] - The next fiscal year projections indicate earnings of $1.04 per share on $1.04 billion in revenues, representing year-over-year changes of 18.75% and 4.14%, respectively [3] Valuation Metrics - Canada Goose trades at 15.4X current fiscal year EPS estimates, below the peer industry average of 18X, and has a trailing cash flow multiple of 7.8X compared to the peer group's average of 7.5X [7] - The stock has a PEG ratio of 0.85, positioning it favorably among value investors [7] Zacks Rank and Style Scores - Canada Goose holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) due to rising earnings estimates, making it a strong candidate for investors [8] - The company has a Value Score of A, a Growth Score of A, and a Momentum Score of D, resulting in a combined VGM Score of A [6] Competitive Landscape - Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) is a notable peer with a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) and a Value Score of B, indicating a competitive position within the industry [9] - URBN reported a 43.21% earnings surprise in the last quarter and is expected to post earnings of $4.96 per share on revenue of $6.02 billion for the current fiscal year [10]

Core Viewpoint - Canada Goose (GOOS) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][2]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in earnings estimates, which are strongly correlated with near-term stock price movements [3][5]. - Institutional investors utilize earnings estimates to determine the fair value of stocks, leading to buying or selling actions that affect stock prices [3]. Canada Goose's Earnings Outlook - The upgrade for Canada Goose reflects an improvement in its underlying business, with rising earnings estimates expected to drive the stock price higher [4]. - For the fiscal year ending March 2026, Canada Goose is projected to earn $0.88 per share, unchanged from the previous year, but the Zacks Consensus Estimate has increased by 1.7% over the past three months [7]. Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [6]. - Canada Goose's upgrade to Zacks Rank 1 places it in the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks, indicating strong potential for near-term price appreciation [9].

Canada Goose’s controlling shareholder Bain Capital is considering a sale of its stake in the luxury parka-maker https://t.co/GtVG4YqVTP ...

Group 1 - The trading history of Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (NYSE: GOOS) since its IPO in 2017 shows a significant decline from all-time highs of approximately $70 set in 2018 [1] - The stock has experienced a dismal performance since reaching its peak, indicating potential challenges for the company [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide specific financial metrics or future projections for Canada Goose Holdings Inc. [1]

Group 1 - Canada Goose is part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, which includes 209 individual stocks and currently holds a Zacks Sector Rank of 10 [2] - Canada Goose has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a positive outlook based on earnings estimates and revisions, with a 2.9% increase in the consensus estimate for full-year earnings over the past quarter [3] - Year-to-date, Canada Goose has returned approximately 16%, significantly outperforming the average gain of 2.6% for the Retail-Wholesale group [4] Group 2 - Canada Goose belongs to the Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, which consists of 39 companies and currently ranks 187 in the Zacks Industry Rank, with an average loss of 15.2% for the industry this year [6] - Sportsman's Warehouse, another stock in the Retail-Wholesale sector, has returned 23.8% year-to-date and also holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [4][5] - Investors should continue to monitor Canada Goose and Sportsman's Warehouse for their strong performance in the Retail-Wholesale sector [7]

Group 1 - Canada Goose (GOOS) has reached a key level of support and recently crossed above the 20-day moving average, indicating a short-term bullish trend [1] - The 20-day simple moving average (SMA) is a popular trading tool that helps smooth out short-term price trends and provides trend reversal signals [2][3] - GOOS has moved 27.4% higher over the last four weeks, and it is currently rated as a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) stock [5] Group 2 - Positive earnings estimate revisions support the bullish case for GOOS, with no estimates decreasing in the past two months and one estimate increasing [5] - Investors are encouraged to monitor GOOS for potential gains due to its key technical level and favorable earnings revisions [6]

Company Performance - Canada Goose (GOOS) shares decreased by 3.84% to $11.02, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 1.13% [1] - Over the last month, Canada Goose's shares increased by 26.21%, outperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector's loss of 1.63% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.55% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Analysts expect Canada Goose to report earnings of -$0.61 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 5.17% [2] - The consensus estimate for quarterly revenue is $66.96 million, which represents a 3.99% increase from the previous year [2] Annual Forecast - Zacks Consensus Estimates project earnings of $0.88 per share and revenue of $1 billion for the year, indicating changes of +10% and +2.89% respectively compared to the previous year [3] - Recent analyst estimate revisions suggest optimism regarding Canada Goose's business and profitability [3] Analyst Ratings - The Zacks Rank system, which evaluates estimated changes, currently ranks Canada Goose at 2 (Buy) [5] - Over the past month, there has been a 1.74% increase in the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate [5] Valuation Metrics - Canada Goose has a Forward P/E ratio of 13.1, which is lower than the industry average Forward P/E of 17.13 [6] - The company has a PEG ratio of 0.73, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 1.92 [6] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, which includes Canada Goose, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 168, placing it in the bottom 32% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

Group 1 - Advance Auto Parts (AAP) is a notable stock within the Retail-Wholesale group, which consists of 209 companies, currently ranked 10 in the Zacks Sector Rank [2][4] - AAP has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a favorable outlook based on earnings estimate revisions and improving earnings outlooks [3][4] - Year-to-date, AAP has returned 11%, significantly outperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector's average return of 3.4% [4] Group 2 - AAP is part of the Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry, which includes 7 companies and is currently ranked 90 in the Zacks Industry Rank [6] - The Automotive - Retail and Wholesale - Parts industry has gained an average of 11.8% year-to-date, indicating that AAP is slightly underperforming its industry [6] - In contrast, Canada Goose (GOOS), another outperforming stock in the Retail-Wholesale sector, has returned 13.5% year-to-date and is part of the Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, which has declined by 13.1% this year [5][7]