Core Insights - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. reported strong performance metrics for January 2026, highlighting significant growth in various trading activities and client metrics. Brokerage Highlights - The average commission per cleared commissionable order was $2.62, which includes exchange, clearing, and regulatory fees [4]. - The average order size for stocks was 899 shares, with an average commission of $1.97 [2]. - For equity options, the average order size was 6.7 contracts, with an average commission of $3.83 [2]. - Futures had an average order size of 2.9 contracts, with an average commission of $4.01 [2]. Client Metrics - Daily Average Revenue Trades (DARTs) reached 4.411 million, a 27% increase year-over-year and a 30% increase month-over-month [4]. - Ending client equity was $814.3 billion, reflecting a 38% increase from the previous year and a 4% increase from the previous month [4]. - Client margin loan balances stood at $91.2 billion, up 41% year-over-year and 1% month-over-month [4]. - Client credit balances totaled $162.6 billion, including $6.2 billion in insured bank deposit sweeps, marking a 35% increase year-over-year and a 2% increase month-over-month [4]. - The number of client accounts reached 4.539 million, a 32% increase year-over-year and a 3% increase month-over-month [4]. Trading Costs - The total cost of executing and clearing U.S. Reg.-NMS stocks for IBKR PRO clients was approximately 1.9 basis points of trade money, compared to a rolling twelve-month net cost of 2.6 basis points [5]. - The average commission per cleared commissionable order for IBKR PRO clients was $2.62 [4]. Trade Execution - The average U.S. Reg-NMS stock trade value was $21,785 in January [5]. - The rolling twelve months' average all-in cost of an IBKR PRO client U.S. Reg.-NMS stock trade was 2.6 basis points [6].

Market Reactions - The announcement of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair led to initial market volatility, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) dropping 139.16 points (0.28%) before recovering to close up 55.96 points (0.1%) at 49,071.56 [3][11] - The S&P 500 (SPX) experienced fluctuations, closing down 0.4% at 6,939.03 after earlier dipping as much as 1.1% [3][11] - The NASDAQ Composite (IXIC) ended the day down 0.7% at 23,685.12, marking a mixed market response overall [3][11] Commodity and Bond Market Impact - Gold prices fell over 4% to $5,115.60, while silver dropped nearly 13%, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [4] - The 10-year Treasury yield increased to 4.25% from 4.24%, reflecting changing bond market dynamics [4] Trade Policy Developments - President Trump's executive order on January 30, 2026, imposed tariffs on nations supplying oil to Cuba, causing immediate fuel shortages in Havana and raising concerns about a humanitarian crisis [7][8] - The price of WTI Crude Oil saw a slight decrease of 0.29% to $65.27, with potential long-term risk premiums of 8-15% anticipated due to supply constraints [8] Aviation Sector Reactions - The threat of a 50% tariff on Canadian-made aircraft, particularly affecting Bombardier, led to a 9% drop in Bombardier shares on January 30, 2026 [10] - The aviation sector reacted negatively to the announcement, with experts expressing skepticism about the tariffs' implementation but acknowledging the significant financial implications [10] Overall Market Trends - Despite the tumultuous events, the DJIA recorded its ninth consecutive month of gains, while the SPX ended January with its eighth positive month in nine [11] - The IXIC, however, closed lower for the month, breaking a seven-month winning streak, indicating varied performance across indices [11] - Trading volume on January 29, 2026, was notably high at 23.36 billion shares, suggesting active investor engagement amid policy uncertainty [12]

RT Morgan Krupetsky (@MorganKrupetsky)Stablecoins continue to quietly go mainstream.Interactive Brokers now supports @circle-issued USDC on Avalanche for brokerage account funding, enabled by @zerohashx.Clients can fund their @IBKR accounts using native, on-chain USDC (digital dollars), instantly, 24/7, including weekends, without waiting on bank wires or banking hours. This plugs directly into IBKR’s existing funding and settlement workflows.Why this matters:- IBKR serves ~4.4M client accounts across 170+ ...

Core Insights - Prediction markets are emerging as a significant growth area for fintech stocks, with platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket gaining regulatory approval to offer various event contracts [1][2]. Group 1: Webull - Webull's stock has experienced volatility since its SPAC merger, initially rising from around $12 to nearly $80 before declining significantly due to concerns about its ties to China [4][5]. - Despite stock struggles, Webull reported a 55% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 2025 and transitioned from a loss to positive net earnings, partly attributed to its partnership with Kalshi in prediction markets [6]. - Analysts predict a slight earnings decline for Webull in 2026, but the growth in prediction markets and trading volumes could lead to better-than-expected results [7]. Group 2: Robinhood - Robinhood's shares surged in 2025 but have recently slumped due to a drop in trading volumes, particularly in November [8][9]. - The company has entered the prediction markets through a partnership with Kalshi and announced an expansion of prediction contract types, generating investor optimism [9][10]. - Preliminary trading data suggests that the weakness in trading volumes may continue, prompting caution among investors [11]. Group 3: Interactive Brokers - Interactive Brokers has entered the prediction markets but focuses on political, economic, and climate events rather than sports, which may limit its impact compared to competitors [12][13]. - The company's ForecastTrader program targets a specific user base, and while it may not significantly drive stock performance, there are other positive indicators for the company [13]. - Analysts forecast earnings growth of 11.4% and 12.3% for 2026 and 2027, respectively, which could support the stock's valuation despite its high forward earnings multiple [14].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of identifying sustainable trends in short-term investing, highlighting that while trends can be profitable, ensuring their longevity is crucial for success [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) has shown a solid price increase of 6.8% over the past 12 weeks, indicating investor confidence in its potential upside [4]. - Over the last four weeks, IBKR's stock price has increased by 16.1%, suggesting that the upward trend is still intact [5]. - Currently, IBKR is trading at 92.8% of its 52-week high-low range, indicating a potential breakout opportunity [5]. Group 2: Fundamental Strength - IBKR holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, which are critical for near-term price movements [6]. - The stock has an Average Broker Recommendation of 1 (Strong Buy), reflecting strong optimism from the brokerage community regarding its near-term price performance [7]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The "Recent Price Strength" screen is a useful tool for investors seeking stocks with upward momentum supported by strong fundamentals [3]. - In addition to IBKR, there are other stocks that meet the criteria of the "Recent Price Strength" screen, providing additional investment opportunities [8].

Market Overview - Wall Street has started 2026 positively, continuing a strong rally from the past three years, with optimism that the upward trend in U.S. stock markets will persist despite trade concerns and geopolitical uncertainties [1] - The U.S. corporate sector shows solid performance, supported by robust GDP growth, decreasing inflation, and strong consumer spending [1] Stock Recommendations - Three stocks with a top Zacks Rank and double-digit returns year to date are recommended: Micron Technology Inc. (MU), Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR), and Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP), all holding a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) [2] Micron Technology Inc. (MU) - Micron Technology is a leader in the AI infrastructure boom, driven by strong demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) solutions and record sales in the data center market [5] - The growing adoption of AI servers is reshaping the DRAM market, increasing demand for high-capacity DIMMs and low-power server DRAM, which Micron is capitalizing on with its advanced DRAM technology and product roadmap [6] - Micron's diversification strategy has stabilized its revenue base by shifting focus from consumer electronics to more resilient sectors like automotive and enterprise IT, with expected revenue and earnings growth rates of 95.2% and over 100% for the current year [7][8] Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (IBKR) - Interactive Brokers is enhancing revenues through proprietary software development, lower compensation expenses relative to net revenues, and expanding its global footprint, particularly in emerging markets [10][11] - The company has an expected revenue growth rate of 3.7% and earnings growth rate of 7.3% for the current year, with a 4.9% improvement in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings over the last week [12] Microchip Technology Inc. (MCHP) - Microchip Technology is benefiting from increased AI investments, with strong sales growth in its Gen 4 and Gen 5 data center products, including the launch of a 3-nanometer-based PCIe Gen 6 switch [13][14] - The company is enhancing its offerings for AI and data center applications, which is expected to drive long-term top-line growth, with expected revenue and earnings growth rates of 4.9% and 15.3% for the current year [16]

RT BR (@somanyfigs)P/E ratios for forward annual earnings growth:$HOOD — 45x P/E for 15% growth$IBKR — 35x P/E for 10% growth$HYPE — 24x P/E (FDV-based) for 35% growthIn terms of growth-adjusted valuations, Hyperliquid is currently priced at an ~80% discount to Robinhood and IBKRIs the crypto risk premium really that high? ...

Core Insights - Interactive Brokers is experiencing significant growth as client activity in financial markets increases, with a record number of client accounts and trading activity [1][3][5] Company Performance - Interactive Brokers was admitted to the S&P 500 in August due to its rapid growth, with a current market capitalization exceeding $130 billion [2] - The company's stock surged by 45.6% last year, outperforming the S&P 500's 16.4% increase [2] - The company reported a record revenue of $6.2 billion in 2025, marking a 19.5% increase from the previous year [7] - Earnings per share reached $2.22, reflecting a 28.3% increase year-over-year [8] Client Metrics - The number of client accounts reached 4.4 million by the end of 2025, a 32% increase from the previous year [3] - Customer equity rose by 37% to $779.9 billion, indicating a strong increase in the total value of cash and securities held in client accounts [4] Trading Activity - Average daily transactions on the platform increased by 30% year-over-year, reaching 4.04 million transactions [5] - The value of outstanding margin loans increased by 40% to $90.2 billion, suggesting strong client confidence in the market [6] Revenue Breakdown - Commission revenue grew by 26.6% to $2.1 billion, driven by robust trading activity [12] - Net interest income increased by 13.2% to $3.5 billion, benefiting from the growth in interest-earning assets [12] Market Position - The stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 34.9, higher than the S&P 500's 26.6 and the Nasdaq-100's 32.6, indicating investor confidence in the company's growth potential [9] - The stock has already increased by 20% in January, outperforming the S&P 500's 1% gain [13]

Core Viewpoint - Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) shows a favorable earnings outlook with analysts raising their earnings estimates, indicating potential for continued stock momentum [1][3]. Estimate Revisions - The trend in estimate revisions reflects growing analyst optimism about the company's earnings prospects, which is expected to positively influence the stock price [2]. - For the current quarter, the earnings estimate is $0.57 per share, representing a +21.3% change from the previous year [7]. - The full-year earnings estimate stands at $2.35 per share, reflecting a +7.3% increase from the prior year [8]. - Over the past month, two estimates have increased while one has decreased, leading to a 5.38% rise in the consensus estimate for the current year [9]. Zacks Rank - Interactive Brokers has achieved a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) due to favorable estimate revisions, which historically correlate with strong stock performance [10]. - Stocks with Zacks Rank 1 and 2 have shown significant outperformance compared to the S&P 500 [10]. Stock Performance - Shares of Interactive Brokers have increased by 17.3% over the past four weeks, indicating investor confidence in the company's earnings growth prospects [11].

Group 1: Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 and a Momentum Score of A [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increased by 5.4% over the last 60 days [1] - Shares gained 11.7% over the last three months, outperforming the S&P 500's advance of 0.5% [1] Group 2: Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 and a Momentum Score of A [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increased by 4.6% over the last 60 days [2] - Shares gained 17.7% over the last three months, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's advance of 0.5% [2] Group 3: Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC) - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 and a Momentum Score of A [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings increased by 5.2% over the last 60 days [3] - Shares gained 12.1% over the last three months, also outperforming the S&P 500's advance of 0.5% [3]