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China Stocks Sink After Tariff Threats
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-02-28 15:19
Group 1: Trade Tensions Impact - Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have escalated, causing volatility in financial markets and a decline in U.S.-listed Chinese stocks [1] - President Trump plans to impose an additional 10% tariff on all Chinese imports effective March 4, prompting China to announce retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - JD.com Inc's stock is down 3.3% at $41.14, but remains 18.1% higher year-to-date, with recent resistance near the $170 level [2] - Li Auto Inc's stock is down 5% at $30.33, yet is still 28% higher in 2025, close to its nearly 12-month high of $33.12 from February 26, although it is down over 35% year-over-year [3] Group 3: Trading Activity - JD.com stock's intraday options activity is relatively quiet, while Li Auto stock is seeing increased trading volume with 1,915 calls and 3,853 puts traded, indicating heightened interest [4] - The most active contract for Li Auto is the weekly 2/28 30-strike put, suggesting traders may be hedging against potential further declines [4]
JD.com Jumps 56.9% in 6 Months: How Should Investors Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-02-26 16:01
Core Viewpoint - JD.com has demonstrated significant stock performance, with a 56.9% increase over the past six months, outperforming key indices and competitors [1][4]. Financial Performance - JD.com's Q3 2024 net revenues rose by 5.1% year-over-year to RMB260.4 billion (US$37.1 billion), surpassing analyst expectations [4]. - Non-GAAP net income attributable to ordinary shareholders increased by 23.9% to RMB13.2 billion (US$1.9 billion), resulting in a net margin of 5.1%, up from 4.3% a year earlier [4]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 revenues is projected at $166.43 billion, indicating a 6.22% year-over-year growth, while earnings estimates suggest a 7.73% growth [6]. Share Repurchase Program - JD.com has completed a $3 billion share repurchase program and initiated a new $5 billion program set to run through August 2027, reflecting management's confidence in the company's intrinsic value [5]. Supply Chain and Market Position - The company's success is attributed to its focus on supply chain capabilities and logistics infrastructure, which has been pivotal in China's trade-in program for home appliances [8]. - The general merchandise category, especially supermarket items, saw an 8% year-over-year revenue increase, with active customer engagement metrics showing double-digit growth [9]. User Ecosystem Enhancements - JD.com is enhancing its user ecosystem with new features, including a gift-giving option and upgrades to the JD PLUS membership program, which now offers lifestyle services and expanded shipping options [10][11]. - JD PLUS members spend an average of 10 times more than non-members annually and increase their spending by 150% after subscribing [11]. Valuation and Competition - JD.com is trading at a forward 12-month P/E of 8.9X, significantly lower than the industry average of 24.13X, indicating a potential investment opportunity despite concerns about China's economic growth [12]. - The company is expanding into high-margin segments like fashion and beauty, with investments of RMB3 billion and RMB1 billion, respectively, to compete with Alibaba's Tmall [15]. - JD Logistics has partnered with Alibaba's Taobao and Tmall platforms, allowing merchants to utilize JD's logistics services, which could enhance JD's logistics revenues [16]. Investment Outlook - Despite JD.com's strong performance and valuation, a cautious approach is recommended for new investors due to recent stock appreciation and uncertainties in China's economic recovery [17][18]. - Current shareholders may justify holding their positions based on JD's strong fundamentals and ongoing share repurchases [18]. - The timing of new investments should consider potential market volatility in 2025, when the effects of government stimulus and strategic investments may become clearer [18].
JD.com (JD) Soars 5.1%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-02-21 17:25
Group 1 - JD.com shares increased by 5.1% to close at $41.19, with trading volume significantly higher than usual, contrasting with a 0.2% gain over the past four weeks [1] - The company is leveraging strong supply chain capabilities, extensive logistics infrastructure, and improved user experience to enhance cost efficiency, user engagement, and market expansion, especially in lower-tier markets [2] - JD.com is projected to report quarterly earnings of $0.90 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 20%, with expected revenues of $45.96 billion, up 6.6% from the previous year [3] Group 2 - The consensus EPS estimate for JD.com has remained stable over the last 30 days, indicating that stock price movements may not sustain without trends in earnings estimate revisions [4] - JD.com holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating a neutral outlook within the Zacks Internet - Commerce industry [4]
JD.com to Report Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Financial Results on March 6, 2025
GlobeNewswire· 2025-02-20 10:00
BEIJING, Feb. 20, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- JD.com, Inc. (NASDAQ: JD and HKEX: 9618 (HKD counter) and 89618 (RMB counter)), a leading supply chain-based technology and service provider, today announced that it plans to release its unaudited fourth quarter and full year 2024 financial results on Thursday, March 6, 2025, before the U.S. market opens. JD.com’s management will hold a conference call at 7:00 am, Eastern Time on March 6, 2025, (8:00 pm, Beijing/Hong Kong Time on March 6, 2025) to discuss the fourt ...
JD.com, Inc. (JD) Recently Broke Out Above the 20-Day Moving Average
ZACKS· 2025-02-17 15:35
Core Viewpoint - JD.com, Inc. is showing potential for short-term gains as it has crossed above the 20-day moving average, indicating a bullish trend [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The 20-day moving average serves as a significant trading tool, smoothing out price fluctuations and providing trend reversal signals [1][2]. - JD.com has recently reached a key level of support, which is crucial for short-term traders [1]. Performance Metrics - Over the past four weeks, JD.com has experienced a gain of 6.1% [3]. - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting that the stock may continue to rise [3]. Earnings Estimates - Positive revisions in earnings estimates have been noted, with no downward revisions in the past two months and two upward revisions for the current fiscal year [3]. - The consensus estimate for JD.com has also increased, reinforcing the bullish outlook [3][4].
JD.com, Inc. (JD) Rises But Trails Market: What Investors Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-02-13 23:51
Company Performance - JD.com, Inc. ended the latest trading session at $39.59, reflecting a +0.71% adjustment from the previous day's close, which lagged behind the S&P 500's gain of 1.04% [1] - The company's stock has increased by 11.14% over the past month, outperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 8.48% and the S&P 500's gain of 3.92% [1] Upcoming Earnings - JD.com, Inc. is projected to report earnings of $0.90 per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 20% [2] - The consensus estimate for revenue is $45.96 billion, representing a 6.61% increase from the prior-year quarter [2] Analyst Estimates - Recent adjustments to analyst estimates for JD.com, Inc. reflect the changing nature of near-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating analyst optimism about the company's business and profitability [3] Zacks Rank and Valuation - JD.com, Inc. currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), with the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate having increased by 1.81% in the past month [5] - The company is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 8.82, which is a discount compared to the industry's average Forward P/E of 21.71 [6] - JD.com has a PEG ratio of 0.28, while the Internet-Commerce industry has an average PEG ratio of 1.13 [6] Industry Context - The Internet-Commerce industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 74, placing it in the top 30% of over 250 industries [7] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]
Got $1,000? 2 Stocks to Buy Now While They're on Sale
The Motley Fool· 2025-02-06 08:05
Group 1: Roku - Roku is a leading brand in streaming with over 85 million households using its platform, offering both free ad-supported and premium content [2] - The stock has doubled since its low in 2022 but remains below its peak, with revenue and streaming households growing at double-digit rates year-over-year [3][6] - Trailing-12-month free cash flow increased by 56% to $157 million, indicating potential for healthy profits as the business grows [3] - International markets are driving growth in household usage, but monetization in these markets lags behind the U.S., suggesting future revenue per user and margin improvements [4] - Operating expenses decreased by 17% year-over-year, narrowing operating losses from $688 million in the first nine months of 2023 to $179 million year-to-date through Q3 2024 [5] - The stock trades at a price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 3.08, in line with the S&P 500 average, with potential for further increases as revenue continues to grow and losses narrow [6] Group 2: JD.com - JD.com is a leading e-commerce operator in China, with its share price affected by a weak economy and sales growth, currently trading at just 9 times 2025 earnings estimates [7] - Revenue grew by 5% year-over-year in Q3, supported by an increase in the active customer base and improved shopping frequency [7] - The company's well-established supply chain and infrastructure, built over 20 years, are helping to control costs and improve margins, with adjusted net income growing nearly 30% year-over-year in Q3 [8] - JD.com has seen consistent gains in general merchandise for three consecutive quarters, with strong momentum in supermarkets and apparel, indicating a solid competitive position [9] - The company is returning excess cash to shareholders, having paid $1.2 billion in dividends last year and announcing a new $5 billion share repurchase program, suggesting the shares are undervalued [10]
Why JD.Com Is A No-Brainer At $40
Seeking Alpha· 2025-02-05 15:38
JD.com (NASDAQ: JD ) is ridiculously cheap right now. At $40 per share, the stock is priced like a struggling business, but the reality couldn’t be further from that. The company is making more money, cutting costs and aggressively buying back its own stock—yetMotti Sapir is an economist and financial analyst with over 15 years of experience in financial markets. He holds a degree in economics and has a talent for simplifying complex financial concepts into plain English. His focus is on uncovering market t ...
Is this Michael Burry stock a bargain?
Finbold· 2025-01-25 20:40
Core Viewpoint - Michael Burry, known for predicting the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis, has recently increased his investment in JD.com, indicating a positive outlook on the company and the Chinese technology sector [1][2]. Company Summary - Burry has doubled his stake in JD.com to 500,000 shares valued at $20 million, with the stock trading positively in recent months [2]. - JD.com has seen a return of over 70% in the past year, with a strong start to 2025, gaining 18% [2]. - The company is projected to achieve nearly 20% growth in 2025, supported by its focus on global partnerships and digital innovation [3]. - JD.com has established partnerships with Chilean brands to enhance sales of premium products, which is part of its strategy to reduce import costs and improve quality [3][4]. - The company has a diverse portfolio, including electronics and general merchandise, and is well-positioned for market expansion [4]. - JD.com achieved over 20% year-over-year shopper growth during the 2024 Singles Day promotion, showcasing its strong market position [6]. - The firm's AI-powered supply chain and logistics network enhances its manufacturing and delivery operations [6]. Analyst Sentiment - Analysts are optimistic about JD.com, with Jefferies raising its price target from $54 to $60 while maintaining a "Buy" rating, citing strong Q4 management as a growth driver [7]. - BOCOM International has also increased its Q4 2024 revenue and profit forecasts by 3% and 12%, respectively, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [8]. - China Merchants Securities projects a 9% year-on-year revenue increase for JD.com [8]. Valuation Insights - JD.com's Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is currently at 12.94, which is relatively low compared to its tech peers, suggesting it may be undervalued [9]. - Despite a 70% price increase over the past year, JD.com may still be trading below its true potential based on earnings, indicating it could be an attractive investment opportunity for long-term investors [10].
Wall Street Analysts Believe JD.com (JD) Could Rally 26.21%: Here's is How to Trade
ZACKS· 2025-01-22 15:56
Core Viewpoint - JD.com, Inc. (JD) has seen a 5.6% increase in share price over the past four weeks, closing at $38.50, with a mean price target of $48.59 indicating a potential upside of 26.2% [1] Price Targets and Analyst Estimates - The mean estimate consists of 17 short-term price targets with a standard deviation of $10.61, indicating variability among analysts; the lowest estimate is $28 (27.3% decline), while the highest is $70 (81.8% increase) [2] - A low standard deviation suggests a high degree of agreement among analysts regarding the stock's price movement direction, which can serve as a starting point for further research [7] Earnings Estimates and Analyst Sentiment - There is increasing optimism among analysts about JD's earnings prospects, as indicated by a strong consensus in revising EPS estimates higher, which correlates with potential stock price increases [9] - Over the last 30 days, one estimate has increased with no negative revisions, leading to a 2.1% rise in the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year [10] Zacks Rank and Investment Potential - JD currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), placing it in the top 5% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate factors, indicating strong potential for near-term upside [11] Conclusion on Price Targets - While consensus price targets may not reliably indicate the extent of JD's potential gains, they do provide a useful guide for the direction of price movement [12]