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Why I'm Not Buying monday.com Shares Just Yet
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-12 16:08
Core Insights - monday.com Ltd. is evolving from a project-tracking tool into a comprehensive work operating system that integrates projects, sales (CRM), developer tools, and customer service, making it increasingly competitive against rivals [1] Company Overview - The company is focusing on creating a cohesive platform where different functionalities work seamlessly together, enhancing user experience and operational efficiency [1] Market Position - As monday.com expands its capabilities, it is becoming more challenging for competitors to keep pace, indicating a strengthening market position [1]
monday.com Q2: I'm Making This My Largest Software Holding
Seeking Alpha· 2025-08-12 14:43
Company Overview - monday.com Ltd. (NASDAQ: MNDY) is gaining market share, which has led to a positive rating of the stock as a Buy [1] Investment Strategy - The investment strategy of a boutique family office fund focuses on sustainable, growth-driven companies that aim to maximize shareholder equity [1] - The fund's objective is to meet growth-oriented goals while investing capital [1] Leadership and Expertise - Amrita, who leads the investment strategy for the family fund, has a background in high-growth supply-chain start-ups and venture capital [1] - Her experience includes maximizing returns for clients during the pandemic through effective user acquisition strategies [1] Financial Literacy - A cornerstone of the work is to democratize financial literacy and simplify complex macroeconomic concepts for better understanding [1] - The newsletter, The Pragmatic Optimist, has been recognized as a top finance newsletter, indicating a strong focus on portfolio strategy and valuation [1]
MNDY Stock Has a Case of the Mondays—Buy Before the Rebound
MarketBeat· 2025-08-11 22:36
Core Viewpoint - Monday.com's recent stock price decline is viewed as a temporary reaction to less-than-ideal news, influenced by high short interest, and does not reflect the company's long-term potential [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company reported a solid Q2 with revenue growth of nearly 27% year-over-year, outperforming MarketBeat's consensus by over 100 basis points [4][6]. - Q2 results showed a sequential slowdown in growth, but the overall performance was better than expected, with Q3 guidance meeting market expectations [3][4]. - The full-year revenue growth forecast has been improved to approximately 26%, which is 200 basis points above the consensus [4]. Client and Business Growth - Client growth increased by 8%, while existing business saw an 11% rise, particularly driven by the company's largest client groups, which grew by 36% and 46% respectively [5]. Margin and Earnings - The adjusted operating margin contracted by 100 basis points, with adjusted EPS at $1.09, reflecting a 16% year-over-year increase, which is significantly better than market expectations [6]. Stock Forecast and Valuation - Current stock price is $174.13, with a 12-month price forecast of $341.27, indicating a potential upside of 95.99% [7]. - The stock is trading below analysts' low-end estimates, suggesting a minimum upside of 50% and potential for a 75% gain at consensus [9]. Institutional Support - Institutions own about 75% of the stock, providing a solid support base, with buying activity noted as of mid-Q3 2025 [8]. - Analysts are increasing coverage and price targets, indicating strong sentiment and deep value in the stock [8]. Price Support Levels - The stock has shown strong support near the $200 level, with historical price upswing patterns indicating potential for a rebound and new long-term highs within a few quarters [10].
Monday.com Stock Plummets Despite Strong Q2 Report
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-08-11 18:18
Core Viewpoint - Shares of Monday.com Ltd experienced a significant decline despite reporting strong second-quarter earnings and raising full-year guidance, indicating market concerns over external factors impacting performance [1][2]. Financial Performance - Monday.com reported second-quarter earnings of $1.09 per share on revenue of $299 million, surpassing expectations [1]. - The company raised its full-year guidance, reflecting confidence in its growth prospects [1]. Market Reaction - The stock price fell by 26.4% to $182.55, marking its worst single-day drop since February 2022 [2]. - Year-to-date, shares are down 22.5%, reversing a previous surge of nearly 30% earlier in the year following a strong fourth-quarter report [2]. Analyst Sentiment - Among 24 firms covering the stock, 22 rated it a "buy" or better, indicating overall positive sentiment [3]. - However, options traders have shown increased bearish sentiment, as evidenced by a high put/call volume ratio [3]. Options Activity - Options trading volume is significantly elevated, running at 40 times the intraday average, with over 9,000 calls and 7,000 puts traded [4]. - The August 180 call option is the most popular, with new positions being opened [4].
Monday.com shares plummet on cautious guidance despite Q2 beat
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-08-11 16:42
Group 1 - Proactive provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The news team covers medium and small-cap markets, as well as blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - Proactive's content includes insights across various sectors such as biotech, pharma, mining, natural resources, battery metals, oil and gas, crypto, and emerging technologies [3] Group 2 - Proactive is committed to adopting technology to enhance workflows and content production [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring all content is edited and authored by humans [5]
Gold Down Over 2%; Monday.com Shares Tumble After Q2 Results
Benzinga· 2025-08-11 16:28
Company Performance - Monday.com (MNDY) shares dipped around 27% after posting second-quarter results, despite reporting a quarterly revenue growth of 27% year-on-year to $299.01 million, which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $293.54 million [2] - The adjusted EPS of Monday.com was $1.09, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of 86 cents [2] - For fiscal third-quarter 2025, Monday.com expects revenue between $311.00 million and $313.00 million, slightly above the analyst consensus estimate of $312.95 million, with an adjusted operating margin of 11%-12% [3] Market Movements - Equillium, Inc. (EQ) shares surged 115% to $1.0650 after announcing up to $50 million in financing through a securities purchase agreement [9] - TEGNA Inc. (TGNA) shares rose 29% to $19.67 following reports of Nexstar's acquisition talks [9] - International Money Express, Inc. (IMXI) shares increased by 63% to $15.08 after Western Union announced plans to acquire Intermex for $500 million [9] - Owens & Minor, Inc. (OMI) shares fell 25% to $5.29 due to worse-than-expected second-quarter earnings [9] - Thumzup Media Corporation (TZUP) shares dropped 34% to $10.25 after announcing a $50 million confidentially marketed public offering at $10 per share [9] - Safety Shot, Inc. (SHOT) shares decreased by 44% to $0.6388 following a strategic alliance announcement [9]
Why Monday.com Stock Plunged Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-08-11 16:06
Beating on both top and bottom lines, Monday.com reported Q2 2025 revenue of $299 million and diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.09. Analysts had expected the company to report sales of $293.6 million and EPS $0.86. Investors, however, seem to be concerned about the guidance management issued. For one thing, the company projects 2024 sales of $1.22 billion to $1.23 billion, representing year-over-year growth of about 26%. Should the company achieve this guidance, it would represent a notable slackening ...
monday.com(MNDY) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-11 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q2 2025 was $299 million, reflecting a 27% year-over-year growth [12][5] - Non-GAAP operating margin for Q2 was 15%, indicating improved efficiency [5] - Net income increased to $58.3 million in Q2 2025 from $49.3 million in Q2 2024 [14] - Adjusted free cash flow for Q2 was $64.1 million, with a margin of 21% [16] - The company ended the quarter with $1.59 billion in cash and cash equivalents, up from $1.53 billion at the end of Q1 [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The enterprise segment was the fastest-growing, achieving a record number of new customers paying over $100,000 annually [8] - Monday CRM reached $100 million in annual recurring revenue, highlighting strong demand for its customizable platform [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Overall Net Dollar Retention (NDR) was 111% in Q2, expected to remain stable throughout FY 2025 [12][18] - Gross margin for Q2 was 90%, with expectations to remain in the high 80s range in the medium to long term [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its AI capabilities, introducing features like Monday Magic, Monday Vibe, and Monday Sidekick to enhance user engagement [7] - A new Chief Marketing Officer and Chief Customer Officer have been appointed to drive growth and improve customer experience [9][10] - The company plans to continue investing in R&D and sales to capture market opportunities, with a headcount growth target of approximately 30% for FY 2025 [16][104] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the demand environment, particularly in the enterprise segment, despite some softness in the downmarket due to Google algorithm changes [28][29] - The company anticipates that the investments made in 2025 will yield higher growth and operating leverage in the following years [60][62] Other Important Information - The company is targeting over $1 billion in free cash flow from FY 2023 to FY 2026 [16] - The upcoming Investor Day on September 17 will showcase the company's progress and long-term vision [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about enterprise growth and executive changes - Management acknowledged the importance of new executive hires in driving enterprise momentum and improving customer retention [22] Question: Demand environment and spending trends - Management noted strong demand in the upmarket segment, with some temporary softness in the downmarket due to Google changes [28][29] Question: Billings and NDR outlook - Management clarified that calculated billings are an imperfect measure and emphasized the stability of NDR at 111% [31] Question: Sales hiring and productivity - Management confirmed that sales hiring is in line with expectations and will continue into the second half of the year [36] Question: CRM growth and customer acquisition - Management highlighted the significant milestone of reaching $100 million in CRM ARR and noted that customer count is not the only indicator of progress [40][110] Question: Impact of Google changes on customer acquisition - Management stated that the impact from Google changes is minor and manageable, with ongoing optimizations in marketing strategies [51][78] Question: Strategic priorities regarding cash reserves - Management emphasized a focus on organic growth while considering potential M&A opportunities [117]
monday.com(MNDY) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-11 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q2 reached $299 million, reflecting a 27% year-over-year growth [11] - Non-GAAP operating margin improved to 15%, indicating enhanced efficiency [4] - Net income increased to $58.3 million from $49.3 million in the same quarter last year [13] - Adjusted free cash flow for Q2 was $64.1 million, with a margin of 21% [14] - The company ended the quarter with $1.59 billion in cash and cash equivalents, up from $1.53 billion at the end of Q1 [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The enterprise segment is the fastest-growing, achieving a record number of new customers paying over $100,000 annually [7] - Monday CRM reached $100 million in annual recurring revenue, highlighting strong demand for its customizable platform [7] - Research and development expenses were $59.2 million, representing 20% of revenue, up from 16% year-over-year [13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Overall net dollar retention (NDR) was stable at 111% for Q2, expected to remain stable throughout fiscal year 2025 [11] - The company noted some softness in the downmarket due to changes in Google's algorithm, but overall demand remains strong [27][28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its AI capabilities, with significant user engagement in AI-driven actions [5] - New executive appointments, including a Chief Marketing Officer and a Chief Customer Officer, aim to enhance go-to-market strategies and customer retention [8][9] - The company plans to continue investing in product development and sales to capture growth opportunities [102] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the second half of the year despite some challenges in the downmarket [28] - The company is optimistic about the impact of new executive leadership on enterprise growth and customer retention [21][76] - Future guidance reflects a cautious but positive outlook, with expectations for revenue growth of 24% to 25% year-over-year for fiscal year 2025 [15] Other Important Information - The company is preparing for its Investor Day on September 17, which will showcase its progress and long-term vision [9] - Adjusted free cash flow for the full year is expected to be between $320 million and $326 million, with a margin of 26% to 27% [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about enterprise growth and new product adoption - Management acknowledged the importance of new executive hires in driving enterprise growth and improving customer retention [21] Question: Demand environment and spending trends - Demand remains strong, particularly in the enterprise segment, despite some softness in the downmarket due to Google algorithm changes [27][28] Question: Billings and NDR outlook - Management clarified that calculated billings are not the best measure of business health, emphasizing ARR growth instead [30] Question: Sales hiring and productivity - The company is ramping up hiring in sales and marketing, focusing on both enterprise and new product specialists [36][38] Question: CRM business performance - The CRM segment is seeing significant growth, with a focus on acquiring larger customers and increasing average contract value [110] Question: Impact of Google changes on customer acquisition - Management noted that while there is some impact on customer acquisition, it is manageable and not significantly affecting overall performance [53][84] Question: Strategic priorities regarding cash reserves - The company prioritizes organic growth but is also considering M&A opportunities to enhance its product offerings [117] Question: Focus on larger enterprise opportunities - The company is targeting larger multi-thousand seat opportunities while maintaining commitment to mid-market and SMB segments [122]
Monday.com (MNDY) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-08-11 13:11
分组1 - Monday.com reported quarterly earnings of $1.09 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.84 per share, and showing an increase from $0.94 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +29.76% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $299.01 million for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.00%, and up from $236.11 million year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Monday.com has consistently surpassed consensus EPS and revenue estimates [2] 分组2 - The stock has gained approximately 5.4% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has increased by 8.6% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.86 on revenues of $312.58 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $3.79 on revenues of $1.22 billion [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Internet - Software is in the top 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the sector [8]