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MSCI(MSCI) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-28 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, the company achieved organic revenue growth of over 10%, adjusted EBITDA growth of over 13%, and adjusted EPS growth of almost 12% for the quarter and nearly 14% for the full year [6][7] - The total run rate reached over $3.3 billion, growing 13%, with total asset-based fees (ABF) run rate of $852 million, growing 26%, and recurring subscription run rate of over $2.4 billion, growing over 9% [8][9] - The company has delivered 11 consecutive years of double-digit adjusted EPS growth [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the Index segment, Q4 was the best quarter ever for new recurring subscription sales, with a growth rate of 18% [9] - Analytics posted the second-best Q4 on record for new subscription sales, with subscription run rate growth of over 8% [19] - Private Capital Solutions saw recurring sales growth of 86%, supported by innovative new products [9][20] - Sustainability and climate new subscription sales were lower than last year's levels, particularly in the Americas [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total ETF and non-ETF AUM linked to MSCI indices reached approximately $7 trillion, driven by record inflows into clients' ETF products linked to MSCI indices, especially in Europe [9] - Equity ETFs linked to MSCI indexes captured a record $67 billion of inflows during Q4, totaling $204 billion for the full year [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging AI to enhance its capabilities across various product lines, including analytics and custom index creation [11][35] - MSCI aims to have a fully integrated company where each product line benefits from and contributes to every other product line, amplifying financial growth [23][24] - The company is committed to delivering long-term targets of low double-digit revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA growth of low to mid-teens [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to capitalize on favorable long-term secular trends and the momentum across product lines and client segments [6][11] - The company is seeing significant opportunities in high-growth client segments, particularly among hedge funds and wealth managers [11][13] - There is optimism regarding the recovery of ESG-related sales in Europe, although challenges remain in the Americas [70] Other Important Information - The company repurchased nearly $958 million of its shares in Q4 at an average price of about $560 per share, reflecting strong conviction in its prospects [7] - Baer Pettit, the president, announced his retirement, effective March 1, which may impact future leadership dynamics [25][26] Q&A Session Summary Question: AI Adoption and Growth Impact - Management highlighted that AI has been integrated into various operations and products, enhancing efficiency and client service [31][35] Question: International Flows and Sales Opportunities - Management confirmed that there has been a significant uptick in activity in Europe and EMEA, with subscription run rates now higher than in the Americas [42][43] Question: Private Assets and Trends - The company noted strong sales in Private Capital Solutions, driven by new offerings and increased client interest [48][49] Question: Free Cash Flow Dynamics - Management discussed the impact of higher cash taxes and interest expenses on free cash flow, while projecting strong double-digit collection growth [54][56] Question: ESG Market Recovery - Management indicated that recovery in Europe is underway, albeit slower than desired, while challenges persist in the U.S. market [67][70]
MSCI(MSCI) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-28 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, the company achieved organic revenue growth of over 10%, adjusted EBITDA growth of over 13%, and adjusted EPS growth of almost 12% for the quarter and nearly 14% for the full year [6][7] - The total run rate reached over $3.3 billion, growing 13%, with total asset-based fees (ABF) run rate of $852 million, growing 26%, and recurring subscription run rate of over $2.4 billion, growing over 9% [8][9] - The company has delivered 11 consecutive years of double-digit adjusted EPS growth [7] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The index business had its best quarter ever for new recurring subscription sales, with a growth rate of 18% [8] - In analytics, the company posted its second-best Q4 on record for new subscription sales, with subscription run rate growth of over 8% [19] - Private Capital Solutions saw recurring sales growth of 86%, supported by innovative new products [9][19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total ETF and non-ETF AUM linked to MSCI indices reached approximately $7 trillion, driven by record inflows into clients' ETF products, particularly in Europe [9] - Equity ETFs linked to MSCI indexes captured a record $67 billion of inflows during Q4, totaling $204 billion for the full year [17] - The company observed significant uptick in activity in Europe and EMEA, with subscription run rate in EMEA now higher than in the Americas [39] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging AI to enhance its capabilities across various product lines, including analytics and custom index creation [10][31] - MSCI aims to have a fully integrated company where each product line benefits from and contributes to every other product line, amplifying financial growth [22] - The company will no longer maintain product line-specific long-term targets to better reflect its focus on integrated growth [23] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to capitalize on favorable long-term secular trends and the resilience of its all-weather franchise [6][7] - The company is optimistic about the recovery in Europe and the potential for growth in sustainability and climate solutions, despite current challenges [66][70] - Management highlighted the importance of adapting to emerging risks and opportunities beyond traditional ESG factors, including AI and supply chain disruptions [10][70] Other Important Information - The company repurchased nearly $958 million of its shares at an average price of about $560 per share in Q4 [7] - Baer Pettit, the president, announced his retirement, effective March 1, and will be succeeded by Alvise Munari and Jorge Mina [24][26] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Discussion on AI adoption and its impact on growth - Management highlighted that AI has been integrated into various operations and product lines, with significant projects aimed at enhancing analytics and custom index capabilities [30][31][34] Question: Insights on international flows and pricing opportunities - Management confirmed that there has been a significant uptick in activity in Europe and EMEA, with subscription run rates exceeding those in the Americas, indicating a positive trend in international flows [39][40] Question: Performance of private assets and future trends - Management noted strong sales in Private Capital Solutions, driven by new offerings and a positive outlook for growth in this segment [46][49] Question: Free cash flow dynamics and projections - Management discussed expected increases in cash taxes and interest expenses impacting free cash flow in 2026, but emphasized strong underlying business dynamics [51][54][56] Question: Recovery in ESG market and future expectations - Management indicated that while recovery in Europe is underway, the U.S. market remains challenging, but there is potential for growth in sustainability solutions [66][70]
MSCI(MSCI) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-01-28 17:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, the company achieved organic revenue growth of over 10%, adjusted EBITDA growth of over 13%, and adjusted EPS growth of almost 12% for the quarter and nearly 14% for the full year [4][5] - The company has delivered 11 consecutive years of double-digit adjusted EPS growth [5] - The total run rate reached over $3.3 billion, growing 13%, with total asset-based fees (ABF) run rate of $852 million, growing 26%, and recurring subscription run rate of over $2.4 billion, growing over 9% [6][8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The index business had its best quarter ever for new recurring subscription sales, with a growth rate of 18% [6][8] - In analytics, the company posted its second-best Q4 on record for new subscription sales [8] - Private Capital Solutions saw recurring sales growth of 86%, supported by innovative new products [8][11] - Wealth managers achieved nearly 11% subscription run rate growth, including 15% recurring sales growth [11] - Active asset managers experienced recurring net new sales growth of 13%, primarily driven by index products [12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total ETF and non-ETF AUM linked to MSCI indices reached approximately $7 trillion, driven by record inflows into clients' ETF products linked to MSCI indices, particularly in Europe [8] - Equity ETFs linked to MSCI indexes captured a record $67 billion of inflows during Q4, totaling $204 billion for the full year [15] - The company noted significant uptick in activity in Europe and EMEA, with subscription run rates in EMEA now higher than in the Americas [40] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging AI to enhance its capabilities across various product lines, including analytics and custom index creation [10][31] - MSCI aims to have a fully integrated company where each product line benefits from and contributes to every other product line, amplifying financial growth [20][22] - The company is committed to delivering long-term targets of low double-digit revenue growth and adjusted EBITDA growth of low to mid-teens [21][22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to capitalize on favorable long-term trends and the resilience of its all-weather franchise [4][5] - The company is optimistic about the recovery in international flows and the potential for pricing power in the future [39][40] - Management highlighted the importance of adapting to emerging risks and opportunities beyond traditional ESG factors, including AI and supply chain disruptions [9][68] Other Important Information - The company repurchased nearly $958 million of its shares in Q4 at an average price of about $560 per share, reflecting strong conviction in its prospects [5] - The company is undergoing a technology-powered transformation with a total embrace of AI, which is expected to enhance the value of its tools for clients [10][34] Q&A Session Summary Question: AI Adoption and Growth Impact - Management discussed the extensive use of AI in operations and product development, highlighting its potential to enhance client insights and operational efficiency [29][30][31][34] Question: International Flows and Pricing Opportunities - Management confirmed that there has been a significant uptick in activity in Europe and EMEA, with positive implications for new sales and pricing strategies [39][40] Question: Private Assets Growth and Trends - Management noted strong sales in Private Capital Solutions and emphasized the ongoing investment in innovative products to capture market opportunities [46][49] Question: Free Cash Flow Dynamics - Management explained the expected increase in cash taxes and interest expenses impacting free cash flow, while projecting strong double-digit collection growth [51][53][56] Question: ESG Market Recovery - Management indicated that recovery in Europe is underway, albeit slower than desired, and highlighted the shift towards analyzing emerging non-traditional risks [64][66][68]
What's Going On With MSCI Stock Wednesday? - MSCI (NYSE:MSCI)
Benzinga· 2026-01-28 16:36
Core Insights - MSCI Inc. reported quarterly results that exceeded Wall Street expectations, driven by steady subscription momentum and stronger asset-linked fees, which enhanced profitability [1] Quarterly Metrics - Adjusted earnings per share for the fourth quarter were $4.66, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $4.57 [2] - Quarterly sales reached $822.528 million, exceeding the expected $819.352 million, with operating revenues increasing by 10.6% and organic operating revenue growth at 10.2% [2] - Recurring subscription revenues grew by 7.8%, while asset-based fees rose by 20.7%, reflecting strong market-driven inflows and valuations [2] Operating Performance - Operating income was reported at $463.6 million, a 14.4% increase, with the operating margin expanding to 56.4% from 54.5% [3] - Adjusted EBITDA totaled $512.002 million, up from $452.254 million a year ago, with the adjusted EBITDA margin increasing to 62.2% from 60.8% [3] - The total run rate as of December 31, 2025, was $3.3016 billion, marking a 13.0% increase, and the retention rate improved to 93.4% from 93.1% year-over-year [3] Employee and Cash Flow Metrics - As of December 31, 2025, the company employed 6,268 individuals, reflecting a 2.2% increase [4] - Capital expenditures were $36.3 million, while net cash provided by operating activities rose by 16.4% to $501.1 million, primarily due to higher cash collections [4] - Free cash flow for the fourth quarter increased by 17.8% to $464.8 million, with cash and equivalents totaling $515.3 million [4] Strategic Milestones - The company achieved its 11th consecutive year of double-digit adjusted EPS growth and recorded a peak asset-based-fee run rate driven by inflows into ETF products linked to its indexes [5] - MSCI is focusing on emerging client segments and leveraging AI to enhance the value of its solutions, positioning itself as a critical intelligence layer in global investing [6] Dividend Declaration - The MSCI Board of Directors declared a cash dividend of $2.05 per share for the first quarter of 2026, payable on February 27 [7] Financial Outlook - For full-year 2026, the company guided operating expenses between $1.49 billion and $1.53 billion, with adjusted EBITDA expenses projected at $1.305 billion to $1.335 billion [8] - Interest expenses are expected to range from $274 million to $280 million, with depreciation and amortization forecasted at $185 million to $195 million [8] - The effective tax rate is anticipated to be between 18% and 20%, with planned capital expenditures of $160 million to $170 million [8] - Projected net cash provided by operating activities is between $1.64 billion and $1.69 billion, translating into free cash flow of $1.47 billion to $1.53 billion for the year [9] Stock Performance - MSCI shares increased by 3.48% to $601.98 at the time of publication [9]
MSCI(MSCI) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-01-28 16:00
Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Presentation January 28, 2026 © 2026 MSCI Inc. All rights reserved. 2 → This earnings presentation contains forward- looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including without limitation, MSCI's Full-Year 2026 guidance and MSCI's long-term targets. These forward-looking statements relate to future events or to future financial performance and involve underlying assumptions, as well as known and unknown risks, uncertainties an ...
MSCI (MSCI) Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates
ZACKS· 2026-01-28 13:55
MSCI (MSCI) came out with quarterly earnings of $4.66 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4.62 per share. This compares to earnings of $4.18 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +0.86%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this maker of software tools to help portfolio managers make investment decisions would post earnings of $4.37 per share when it actually produced earnings of $4.47, delivering a su ...
MSCI(MSCI) - 2025 Q4 - Annual Results
2026-01-28 11:46
Financial Performance - Operating revenues for Q4 2025 were $822.5 million, an increase of 10.6% compared to Q4 2024[5] - Adjusted EPS for Q4 2025 was $4.66, up 11.5% year-over-year, while diluted EPS decreased by 2.3% to $3.81[5] - Operating income for Q4 2025 was $463.6 million, up 14.4%, with an operating margin of 56.4%[9] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $512.0 million, a 13.2% increase, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 62.2%[13] - Net income for Q4 2025 was $284,669,000, a decrease of 6.8% from $305,515,000 in Q4 2024[72] - Total operating revenues for Q4 2025 reached $822,528,000, reflecting a 10.6% increase from $743,509,000 in Q4 2024[74] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $512,002,000, up 13.2% from $452,254,000 in Q4 2024[74] - Net income for the year ended December 31, 2025, was $1,202,305, compared to $1,109,128 in 2024, reflecting an increase of about 8.4%[70] - Free cash flow for the year ended December 31, 2025, was $1.458585 billion, an increase from $1.386509 billion in 2024, with a forecast of $1.470 billion to $1.530 billion for 2026[87] Revenue Breakdown - Recurring subscription revenues increased by 7.5%, and asset-based fees rose by 20.7% in Q4 2025[5] - New recurring subscription sales grew by 11.7%, with an organic recurring subscription Run Rate growth of 7.7%[5] - Sustainability and Climate segment revenues were $90.3 million, up 5.9%, driven by growth in recurring subscriptions related to Ratings and Climate products[22] - The Index segment's operating revenues reached $479.1 million, a 14.0% increase, with organic operating revenue growth also at 14.0%[15] - Total operating revenues for All Other – Private Assets reached $70.9 million, an increase of 8.4% year-over-year, driven by growth in recurring subscriptions[23] - Recurring subscriptions contributed $70.3 million to operating revenues, up 9.4% from the previous year, with organic operating revenue growth at 6.6%[23] Cash and Debt Management - Cash and cash equivalents stood at $515.3 million, with a target minimum cash balance of $225.0 million to $275.0 million for operational purposes[26] - Total outstanding debt was $6.2 billion, with a total debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 3.3x, within the target range of 3.0x to 3.5x[27] - Capital expenditures (Capex) for the quarter were $36.3 million, while net cash provided by operating activities increased by 16.4% to $501.1 million[29] - The company declared a cash dividend of $2.05 per share for Q1 2026, with approximately $134.7 million in dividends paid in Q4 2025[31] Future Guidance - Full-Year 2026 guidance includes operating expenses of $1,490 to $1,530 million and free cash flow of $1,470 to $1,530 million[34] - The company anticipates consolidated adjusted EBITDA expenses for 2026 to be between $1.305 billion and $1.335 billion[85] Customer Metrics - The annualized retention rate is derived by subtracting the cancellation rate from 100%, providing insight into customer loyalty and subscription stability[55] - The total retention rate improved to 93.4% for the three months ended December 31, 2025, up from 93.1% in 2024[79] Asset Management - Total assets as of December 31, 2025, amounted to $5,702,459, an increase from $5,445,439 in 2024, showing a growth of approximately 4.7%[71] - Long-term debt increased to $6,202,286 as of December 31, 2025, compared to $4,510,816 in 2024, indicating a significant rise in leverage[71] - Deferred revenue as of December 31, 2025, was $1,231,776, up from $1,123,423 in 2024, indicating growth in future revenue recognition[71] - Approximately three-fifths of the assets under management (AUM) are invested in securities denominated in currencies other than the U.S. dollar, which may impact revenue due to foreign currency fluctuations[68] Capital Expenditures - Total capital expenditures for the year ended December 31, 2025, were $129.861 million, with capitalized software development costs at $90.542 million[87]
MSCI Reports Financial Results for Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025
Businesswire· 2026-01-28 11:45
Core Insights - MSCI Inc. reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, achieving double-digit adjusted EPS growth for the 11th consecutive year and a record asset-based-fee run rate driven by ETF inflows [3][5][12]. Financial Performance - Operating revenues for Q4 2025 were $822.5 million, a 10.6% increase from Q4 2024, with organic operating revenue growth at 10.2% [5][7]. - Operating income rose to $463.6 million, up 14.4%, with an operating margin of 56.4% [9][12]. - Net income decreased by 6.8% to $284.7 million, while diluted EPS was $3.81, down 2.3% [12][67]. - Adjusted EPS increased by 11.5% to $4.66, and adjusted EBITDA was $512.0 million, up 13.2% [12][67]. Revenue Breakdown - Recurring subscription revenues increased by 7.5%, and asset-based fees rose by 20.7% [7][14]. - The Index segment saw operating revenues of $479.1 million, up 14.0%, driven by higher asset-based fees and recurring subscription revenues [13][14]. - The Analytics segment reported operating revenues of $182.3 million, a 5.5% increase, while the Sustainability and Climate segment's revenues were $90.3 million, up 5.9% [17][20]. Run Rate and Retention - Total run rate as of December 31, 2025, was $3,301.6 million, a 13.0% increase, with a retention rate of 93.4% [6][7]. - The Index run rate was $1.9 billion, up 16.2%, while the Analytics run rate was $757.4 million, up 8.4% [16][18]. Expenses and Capital Allocation - Total operating expenses were $358.9 million, up 6.1%, primarily due to higher compensation and benefits costs [7][8]. - Free cash flow for Q4 2025 was $464.8 million, up 17.8% [27]. - The company repurchased $2.47 billion worth of shares and paid $134.7 million in dividends during Q4 2025 [28][29]. Guidance for 2026 - MSCI provided guidance for full-year 2026, projecting operating expenses between $1,490 million and $1,530 million, and free cash flow between $1,470 million and $1,530 million [31][32].
U.S. Markets Brace for Fed Decision and Tech Earnings Amidst Premarket Gains
Stock Market News· 2026-01-28 11:10
Market Overview - U.S. stock markets are experiencing a pivotal moment with anticipation surrounding the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision and earnings reports from major technology companies [1] - Premarket trading shows a mixed but generally upward trend, with S&P 500 Futures up 0.3% to 7,028.75 points and Nasdaq 100 Futures up 0.6% to 26,228.75 points, while Dow Jones Futures remain flat at 49,159.0 points [2] Semiconductor Industry - U.S. chip stocks are seeing notable gains, with Nvidia increasing by 1.7%, AMD rising by 1.4%, and Intel climbing 4.6%, reflecting strong investor confidence in AI and advanced computing [3] Major Market Indexes - The S&P 500 Index closed at a record high of 6,978.60 points, a 0.41% increase, driven by strength in chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks, particularly Micron Technology, which announced a $24 billion investment in Singapore [4] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at 49,003.41 points, down 0.83%, primarily due to weakness in the healthcare sector, with UnitedHealth Group forecasting a revenue decline for 2026 [5] - The Nasdaq Composite Index closed up 0.91% at 23,817.10 points, reaching a 2.75-month high, with nearly 30% year-over-year growth attributed to AI advancements [6] Upcoming Market Events - The Federal Reserve is expected to hold its key interest rate steady within the 3.5%-3.75% target range, following three consecutive rate cuts in late 2025, with a focus on the labor market and consumer spending [7] - Major earnings reports are anticipated from tech giants Meta Platforms and Microsoft, which will provide insights into the technology sector's health and AI investments [13] Company News - Infosys announced a strategic AI-focused collaboration, indicating ongoing investment in AI solutions [14] - Boeing's CEO outlined a turnaround plan after six consecutive annual losses, addressing operational challenges [14] - HSBC is scaling back its M&A and equities businesses in Europe, the UK, and the Americas to focus on Asian operations [14] - JetBlue Airways reported a significant Q4 loss and provided weaker-than-expected revenue guidance, raising concerns about profitability [14] - RTX Corporation delivered higher-than-expected Q4 results, showcasing strong growth across its business segments [14]
印尼股市崩跌触发熔断!MSCI暂停指数调整并发出降级警告
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2026-01-28 09:57
周三,明晟公司(MSCI Inc.)对印尼股市的可投资性提出质疑,并警告其或被下调至前沿市场评级,受此消息影响,印尼股市暴跌。 印尼雅加达综合指数在停牌30分钟恢复交易后,跌幅一度扩大至8.8%,最终大幅收跌7.4%,报8,320.56点,创2025年4月8日以来最大单 日跌幅。此次抛售潮的导火索,是明晟宣布将立即暂停多项指数调整举措(包括纳入新成分股),直至印尼监管机构解决上市公司股权 高度集中的相关问题。 AI播客:换个方式听新闻 下载mp3 音频由扣子空间生成 印尼证券交易所运营商周三向记者表示,其正致力于满足明晟对提高市场透明度的要求,并将与明晟协商达成共识。该交易所上市部门 董事伊・格德・尼奥曼・耶特纳(IGede Nyoman Yetna)透露,交易所还计划就合理的流通股比例向市场参与者征求意见。 若印尼未能在5月前在透明度提升方面取得足够进展,明晟将重新评估该国的市场准入评级——此举可能导致印尼所有企业在明晟新兴市 场指数中的权重被下调,甚至可能被直接降级为前沿市场。 在截至1月23日的一周,海外投资者净卖出价值1.92亿美元的印尼本土股票,这是16周以来的首次资金净流出,且抛售潮本周仍在持续。 ...