BMO Capital将Nextera Energy的目标价从89美元上调至93美元，维持"跑赢大市"评级。(格隆汇) ...

新纪元能源去年宣布将重启爱荷华州的杜安阿诺德核电站，为谷歌数据中心供电。该公司表示目前有能 力在现有核电站址新增6GW新核电技术以满足数据中心需求，同时也在考虑通过绿地项目开发先进核 电。 智通财经APP获悉，在周二业绩公布后的财报电话会议上，新纪元能源(NEE.US)表示正考虑扩大核电站 规模，为数据中心供电，并透露已进入为额外9GW服务器仓库供电的深入谈判阶段。 凯彻姆还称，公司预计今年将在其佛罗里达州受监管公用事业业务范围内，宣布与大型用电客户(通常 是数据中心)的合作。 财报显示，新纪元能源第四季度净利润从去年同期的12亿美元增至15.4亿美元，每股收益为0.73美元， 上年同期为0.58美元；调整后每股收益0.54美元，较华尔街共识预期高出1美分；营收同比增长20%至65 亿美元，但低于分析师预期。 公司重申2026财年调整后每股收益指引为3.92-4.02美元，并维持预期：到2032年前调整后每股收益年复 合增长率将保持8%以上，且该趋势预计将延续至2032-2035年期间。所有预测均基于2025年全年调整后 每股收益3.71美元。 首席执行官约翰·凯彻姆表示，新纪元能源正从其位于威斯康星州和新罕 ...

Core Insights - NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings of 54 cents per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 53 cents by 1.9% and reflecting a year-over-year increase of 1.9% [1][8] - The company's GAAP earnings per share for the fourth quarter were 73 cents, compared to 58 cents in the same period last year [1] Revenue Performance - NEE's operating revenues for the fourth quarter were $6.5 billion, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.52 billion by 0.33%, but showing a year-over-year improvement of 20.7% [2] Segment Results - Florida Power & Light Company (FPL) generated revenues of approximately $4.27 billion, a 10.8% increase from the prior year's $3.86 billion, with earnings of 46 cents per share compared to 41 cents in the previous year [3] - NextEra Energy Resources reported revenues of $2.18 billion, up from $1.45 billion year-over-year, with earnings of 20 cents per share compared to 22 cents in the year-ago quarter [3] - Corporate and Other segment had operating revenues of $111 million, up from $82 million in the prior year, but reported an operating loss of 12 cents per share, wider than the previous year's loss of 10 cents [4] Growth Drivers - FPL's growth was driven by ongoing business investments, with capital expenditures of around $2.1 billion in the quarter and total capital investments of $8.9 billion for the full year [5] - NextEra Energy Resources added 3.6 gigawatts (GW) to its backlog, bringing the total backlog to 29.8 GW, with over 3.6 GW of new projects placed into service as of January 27, 2026 [6] Financial Update - As of December 31, 2025, NEE had cash and cash equivalents of nearly $2.81 billion, up from $1.49 billion a year earlier, while long-term debt increased to $89.56 billion from $72.4 billion [7] - Cash flow from operating activities in 2025 was $12.48 billion, down from $13.26 billion in 2024 [7] Future Guidance - NEE reaffirmed its 2026 adjusted earnings per share guidance of $3.92 to $4.02 and expects a compound annual growth rate in adjusted earnings per share of over 8% through 2032 [9] - The company aims to add 76,600-107,600 megawatts (MW) of renewable power projects to its portfolio from 2026 to 2032 and anticipates growing dividends per share at approximately 10% annually through 2026 [10]

Core Viewpoint - NextEra Energy reported strong operational and financial performance for 2025, with a focus on growth in renewable energy, large-load customer demand, and strategic investments to support Florida's energy needs through a new rate agreement with Florida Power & Light (FPL) [1][4][6]. Financial Performance - NextEra delivered adjusted EPS of $3.71 for 2025, representing an increase of over 8% from 2024, and expects adjusted EPS for 2026 to be in the range of $3.92 to $4.02, targeting the high end of that range [3][7]. - The company reiterated its long-term financial framework, projecting adjusted EPS growth at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8%+ through 2032 and maintaining dividend growth expectations of approximately 10% per year through 2026 and 6% per year from 2026 to 2028 [2][7]. Investment and Growth Strategy - FPL has secured a four-year rate agreement with an allowed midpoint return on equity (ROE) of 10.95% and plans to invest between $90 billion and $100 billion through 2032 to support growth while maintaining affordability for customers [1][6]. - FPL's typical retail bill is over 30% lower than the national average, with expectations for residential bills to rise about 2% annually from 2025 to 2029, which is below the current inflation rate of around 3% [7]. Renewable Energy and Storage - NextEra Energy Resources grew its backlog to approximately 30 GW, adding about 13.5 GW, and placed 7.2 GW into service in 2025, with storage representing nearly one-third of the backlog [5][12]. - The company has secured solar panels and domestic batteries through 2029, ensuring supply chain stability for its projects [13]. Large-Load Demand - FPL has seen significant interest from large-load customers, totaling over 20 GW, with advanced discussions on about 9 GW that could begin being served as soon as 2028 [9][10]. - The large load tariff is designed to provide competitive pricing while protecting existing customers from infrastructure costs associated with new large-load demands [9]. Infrastructure and Development - NextEra Energy Transmission has secured $8 billion in regulated capital and has been selected to develop a $1.7 billion high-voltage transmission line to enhance power flow across the region [14]. - The company is advancing the recommissioning of the Duane Arnold nuclear plant and exploring opportunities at Point Beach and Seabrook Station, with a focus on nuclear capacity [16][17]. Technology Initiatives - NextEra is partnering with Google Cloud for an enterprise AI transformation initiative called "REWIRE," with plans to launch an AI-enabled product focused on field operations and grid reliability [19].

Core Insights - NextEra Energy (NEE) reported $6.5 billion in revenue for Q4 2025, a year-over-year increase of 20.7% [1] - The EPS for the same period was $0.54, slightly up from $0.53 a year ago, with an EPS surprise of +1.89% [1] - The revenue reported was a slight miss of -0.33% compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.52 billion [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Florida Power & Light (FPL) operating revenues were $4.27 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $3.94 billion by analysts, reflecting a +10.8% year-over-year change [4] - NextEra Energy Resources (NEER) reported operating revenues of $2.12 billion, which was below the estimated $2.75 billion, but showed a significant +46.2% increase compared to the previous year [4] - Operating income for FPL was $1.51 billion, surpassing the estimated $1.28 billion [4] - NEER's operating income was $191 million, significantly lower than the average estimate of $959.97 million [4] - Corporate & Other segment reported an operating loss of $112 million, worse than the estimated loss of $52.5 million [4] Stock Performance - NextEra shares have returned +6.5% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +0.4% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating potential for outperformance in the near term [3]

Group 1: Earnings Reports Overview - Earnings season is likened to traveling, with excitement leading to overwhelming moments when results are released [1] - The focus is on monitoring a wide range of earnings reports, not just the high-profile companies [2] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - **Celestica Inc (CLS)**: The stock is off its record high of $363.40 but has shown a positive trend with a 100-day moving average increase. It has posted four consecutive post-earnings gains, with an implied earnings deviation of 14.7% [4][6] - **Nucor Corp (NUE)**: The company benefits from tariff dynamics and increased demand in the infrastructure sector. Its implied earnings deviation is 3.5%, which is below its two-year historical average [6] - **NextEra Energy (NEE)**: As the largest electric utility by market capitalization, it has seen muted post-earnings moves, indicating a focus on dividends rather than volatility. The implied earnings deviation is 5.0% [7] - **UnitedHealth Group (UNH)**: The first major health insurer to report, with recent price action being flat. Historical volatility has been influenced by an earnings miss in April 2025, with an implied earnings deviation of 5.3% [8][13]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - NextEra Energy reported full-year adjusted earnings per share of $3.71, an increase of over 8% from 2024, slightly exceeding previous guidance [4] - The company expects to grow adjusted earnings per share at a compound annual growth rate of 8%+ through 2032 and maintain the same growth rate from 2032 to 2035, based on the 2025 earnings [4][33] - For the full year 2025, NextEra Energy's adjusted earnings per share from the corporate and other segment decreased by $0.12 year-over-year, primarily due to higher interest costs [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Florida Power & Light (FPL) reported earnings per share increased by $0.21 compared to 2024, driven by regulatory capital employed growth of approximately 8.1% [27] - FPL's capital expenditures for 2025 totaled approximately $8.9 billion, with a reported return on equity for regulatory purposes expected to be around 11.7% [27][28] - Energy Resources added approximately 13.5 GW to its backlog, including a record quarter of 3.6 GW, and placed 7.2 GW of projects into commercial operations, marking a record for a single year [13][31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - FPL's retail sales increased by 1.7% year-over-year on a weather-normalized basis, driven by strong customer growth, adding over 90,000 customers in the fourth quarter of 2025 [29] - Florida's economy is robust, with an annual gross domestic product of approximately $1.8 trillion, making it the 15th largest economy globally [29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - NextEra Energy is focused on executing its strategic plan with over 12 growth opportunities, emphasizing the need for more energy infrastructure in the U.S. [6] - FPL plans to invest between $90 billion and $100 billion through 2032 to support Florida's growth while keeping customer bills low [7] - The company is advancing its gas transmission business and has secured approximately $5 billion in new projects since 2023 [10][12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to meet growing power demand and highlighted the importance of being a proven energy infrastructure builder [4][25] - The management team noted that the current economic environment presents significant opportunities for growth, particularly in renewable energy and battery storage [15][24] - The company is also leveraging artificial intelligence to enhance operations and improve grid reliability [24] Other Important Information - NextEra Energy has secured solar panels and battery storage to meet development expectations through 2029, providing a competitive advantage [14][15] - The company has a strong balance sheet and is well-positioned to support large-scale energy projects, particularly for hyperscalers [19][21] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does Google's acquisition of Intersect fit with NextEra's partnership with Google? - Management stated that the acquisition has no impact on their partnership, emphasizing NextEra's strong position and flexibility in energy development compared to smaller developers [36][39] Question: What are the gating items for large load agreements in Florida? - Management indicated that customers are waiting for legislative outcomes regarding water usage and other local requirements before moving forward with agreements [73][75] Question: What does success in 2026 look like for NextEra? - Management outlined that success would involve meeting development expectations and making significant announcements regarding large load projects in Florida [49][51]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - NextEra Energy reported full-year adjusted earnings per share of $3.71, an increase of over 8% from 2024, slightly exceeding previous guidance [4] - The company expects to grow adjusted earnings per share at a compound annual growth rate of 8%+ through 2032 and maintain the same growth rate from 2032 to 2035 [4][33] - FPL's earnings per share increased by $0.21 compared to 2024, driven by regulatory capital employed growth of approximately 8.1% [27] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - FPL's capital expenditures for 2025 totaled approximately $8.9 billion, with $2.1 billion spent in the fourth quarter [27] - Energy Resources added approximately 13.5 GW to its backlog, including a record quarter of 3.6 GW since the last call [31] - Energy Resources reported full-year adjusted earnings growth of approximately 13% year-over-year, with contributions from new investments increasing by $0.47 per share [30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - FPL's retail sales increased by 1.7% year-over-year on a weather-normalized basis, driven by strong customer growth, adding over 90,000 customers in the fourth quarter [29] - Florida's economy is robust, with a GDP of approximately $1.8 trillion, making it the 15th largest economy globally [29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - NextEra Energy is focused on executing its strategic plan with over 12 growth opportunities, emphasizing the need for more energy infrastructure in the U.S. [6] - FPL expects to invest between $90 billion and $100 billion through 2032 to support Florida's growth while keeping customer bills low [7] - The company aims to grow its electric and gas transmission business to $20 billion of total regulated and invested capital by 2032, representing a 20% compound annual growth rate off a 2025 base [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to meet growing power demand and highlighted the importance of being a proven energy infrastructure builder [4][25] - The management team noted that 2025 was about laying groundwork, while 2026 will focus on execution, particularly in Florida [51] Other Important Information - NextEra Energy has secured solar panels and battery storage to meet development expectations through 2029, providing permitting protection [14][15] - The company has entered a strategic technology partnership with Google Cloud to leverage AI for enhancing operations and grid reliability [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does Google's acquisition of Intersect fit with NextEra's partnership with Google? - Management stated that the acquisition has no impact on their partnership, emphasizing NextEra's strong position and flexibility in energy development compared to smaller developers [36][39] Question: What is the status of data center siting opposition in Florida? - Management indicated that there are constructive legislative efforts underway in Florida that will support data center development and protect customer interests [42][44] Question: What are the expectations for announcements related to the 15 GW target? - Management clarified that the 15 GW target is part of an origination channel and that they expect to make significant announcements in 2026 regarding large load customers [50][52] Question: What is the status of nuclear recontracting in Wisconsin? - Management noted strong interest in Point Beach and emphasized a careful approach to marketing open capacity while considering local demand for data centers [64][65]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - NextEra Energy reported full-year adjusted earnings per share of $3.71, an increase of over 8% from 2024, slightly exceeding previous guidance [4][32] - The company expects to grow adjusted earnings per share at a compound annual growth rate of over 8% through 2032 and maintain the same growth rate from 2032 to 2035, based on the 2025 earnings base [4][33] - NextEra Energy's consolidated results showed a decrease of $0.12 per share in adjusted earnings from the corporate and other segment year-over-year, primarily due to higher interest costs [32] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Florida Power & Light (FPL) achieved a full-year earnings per share increase of $0.21 compared to 2024, driven by regulatory capital employed growth of approximately 8.1% [26] - FPL's capital expenditures for 2025 totaled approximately $8.9 billion, with a reported return on equity for regulatory purposes expected to be around 11.7% [26][27] - Energy Resources added approximately 13.5 GW to its backlog, including a record quarter of 3.6 GW, and placed 7.2 GW of projects into commercial operations, marking a record for a single year [12][31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - FPL's retail sales increased by 1.7% year-over-year on a weather-normalized basis, attributed to strong customer growth, adding over 90,000 customers in the fourth quarter of 2025 [29] - Florida's economy is robust, with an annual GDP of approximately $1.8 trillion, making it the 15th largest economy globally [28][29] - The state is projected to surpass 26 million residents by 2040, with expectations of adding 1.5 million new jobs by 2034 [9][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - NextEra Energy is focused on executing its strategic plan with over 12 growth opportunities, emphasizing the need for more energy infrastructure in the U.S. [5] - FPL's new four-year rate agreement allows for significant infrastructure investments, targeting $90 billion to $100 billion through 2032 [6] - The company aims to grow its electric and gas transmission business to $20 billion of total regulated and invested capital by 2032, reflecting a 20% compound annual growth rate off a 2025 base [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to meet growing power demand and highlighted the importance of being a reliable energy infrastructure builder [4][25] - The management team noted that the current economic environment presents significant opportunities for growth, particularly in renewable energy and battery storage [14][25] - The company is leveraging a strategic partnership with Google Cloud to enhance its AI capabilities, which is expected to drive operational efficiencies and innovation [24][25] Other Important Information - NextEra Energy's customer supply and trading business contributed positively to results, driven by increased origination activity and higher margins [30] - The company has secured solar panels and battery storage to meet development expectations through 2029, ensuring a robust supply chain [13][14] - The acquisition of Symmetry Energy Solutions enhances NextEra's ability to deliver a broad range of solutions for customers across the U.S. [23] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does Google's acquisition of Intersect fit with NextEra's partnership with Google? - Management stated that the acquisition has no impact on their partnership, emphasizing NextEra's unique position and capabilities compared to smaller developers [36][40] Question: What are the current legislative developments in Florida regarding data centers? - Management indicated that there are constructive legislative efforts underway that will support data center development and protect customer interests [41][42] Question: What are the expectations for announcements related to large load in Florida? - Management expects to make announcements regarding large load in 2026, driven by strong interest and ongoing discussions with customers [51][76] Question: What is the status of nuclear recontracting in Wisconsin? - Management noted significant interest in Point Beach and emphasized a careful approach to marketing open capacity while considering local demand [64][66] Question: Will NextEra participate in the PJM backstop auction? - Management indicated that regulatory certainty is needed before committing capital to new investments in PJM, but they are monitoring developments closely [68][70]

Industry Overview - The Utility-Electric Power industry is focused on generating and delivering electricity to millions of customers in the U.S., with a strong shift towards cleaner fuel sources and reduced carbon emissions, supported by government initiatives [1] - The industry is investing in grid modernization and infrastructure improvements to enhance resilience against natural disasters like hurricanes, which helps in reducing outages and restoring power more quickly [1] Trends Impacting the Industry - Interest rates have decreased from a range of 5.25-5.50% to 3.75-4.00%, which is beneficial for utilities that rely on capital markets for financing infrastructure investments [4] - The share of U.S. electricity generation from renewables is projected to rise from 23% in 2025 to 28% in 2027, driven by growth in solar and wind capacity, aided by the Inflation Reduction Act [5] - Electricity consumption in the U.S. is expected to increase by 1% in 2026 and 3% in 2027, with prices for electricity also projected to rise across industrial, commercial, and residential sectors [6] Industry Performance - The Utility-Electric Power industry has outperformed the S&P 500 and its own sector over the past 12 months, gaining 24.2% compared to the sector's 21% and the S&P 500's 16.5% [10] - The industry's Zacks Rank is 87, placing it in the top 36% of over 244 Zacks industries, indicating positive near-term prospects [8][9] Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 13.24X, compared to the S&P 500's 18.9X and the Utility sector's 12.48X, with historical trading ranges between 12.27X and 21.31X over the past five years [13] Investment Opportunities - NextEra Energy plans to invest over $74 billion through 2029 to modernize infrastructure and increase clean energy generation, with a long-term earnings growth forecast of 8.08% and a dividend yield of 2.67% [19][20] - Ameren Corporation expects to deploy over $26.3 billion in capital from 2025 to 2029, with a long-term earnings growth estimate of 8.52% and a dividend yield of 2.78% [23][24] - Alliant Energy anticipates long-term capital expenditures of $13.4 billion from 2026 to 2029, with a long-term earnings growth forecast of 7.15% and a dividend yield of 3.04% [27][28] - Pinnacle West Capital has a capital investment plan of $8 billion for 2026-2028, with a long-term earnings growth estimate of 3.56% and a dividend yield of 3.95% [31][32]