Rivian Automotive(RIVN)
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Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) Price Prediction and Forecast 2026-2030 for January 13
247Wallst· 2026-01-13 12:05
Core Viewpoint - Rivian Automotive's stock has experienced volatility, with a recent decline of 2.74% over the past five trading sessions, following a 4.90% drop previously, and a nearly 15% pullback from its six-month high, although it remains up 41.96% year-over-year [1][2]. Financial Performance - Rivian reported Q3 earnings on November 4, 2025, beating revenue expectations with $1.56 billion against an expected $1.5 billion, but missed on EPS with 65 cents versus the expected 72 cents [2]. - Institutional ownership stands at 56.26%, with Amazon being the largest holder, owning over 158 million shares [2]. - Historical financial data shows Rivian's revenues and net income from 2021 to 2023, with revenues increasing from $55 million in 2021 to $4.434 billion in 2023, while net income remains negative [7]. Production and Capacity - Rivian is working on a new plant in Georgia, expected to open in 2028, and has partnered with Google Maps for a new navigation system for its vehicles [3]. - The company is currently delivering around 13,000 vehicles per quarter and producing 9,000 new G2 vehicles per quarter, aiming for a total production of 57,000 units in 2024 [10]. Cost Management and Profitability - Rivian's next-generation R1 vehicles are designed to reduce component costs by 20% and improve assembly line speed by 30%, with a projected 45% material cost reduction for the R2 line by 2026 [9]. - The company targets positive adjusted EBITDA by 2027, with long-term goals of achieving a 25% gross margin and a 10% free cash flow margin [11]. Market Position and Valuation - Rivian's stock is currently valued at under 3 times sales, compared to Tesla's historical valuation of close to 10 times sales during its early years [12][13]. - The company faces significant competition in the EV market, impacting its valuation and investor sentiment compared to Tesla, which had fewer competitors in its early years [20]. Stock Forecast - Analysts project Rivian's stock price to reach $14.57 by 2026, representing a potential downside of 23.91% from current levels, with a long-term estimate of $44.85 per share by 2030, indicating a potential upside of 128.94% [16][18].
Wolfe Research Downgrades Rivian on Rising Cash Burn Risks
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-01-12 21:58
Core Viewpoint - Rivian Automotive has been downgraded to Underperform from Peer Perform by Wolfe Research, with a price target set at $16, citing a challenging risk-reward profile and deteriorating fundamentals [1] Group 1: Financial Projections - Wolfe Research forecasts an EBITDA loss of $2.1 billion for Rivian in 2026, which is worse than the consensus expectation of a $1.76 billion loss [2] - The firm anticipates that free cash flow burn will exceed $4 billion, driven by increased capital expenditures, operating costs, and working-capital pressures [2] Group 2: Demand and Product Outlook - There is a noted downside risk to near-term demand for Rivian's R2 model, with expected volumes heavily skewed towards the fourth quarter of 2026 [3] - Unlike Tesla, Rivian is perceived to lack near-term autonomy or AI-related catalysts, with significant technology launches not expected until late 2026 [3]
Did an Outdated Procedure Cause Rivian's 20K R1 Vehicle Recall?
ZACKS· 2026-01-12 17:35
Core Insights - Rivian Automotive, Inc. is recalling 19,641 R1 vehicles due to a rear suspension issue that may have resulted from improper reassembly during prior service [1][8] Group 1: Recall Details - The recall affects specific R1 models from the 2022-2025 model years, including 7,031 R1S SUVs and 12,610 R1T pickup trucks [2] - Rivian will replace the rear toe link bolts at no cost to the vehicle owners [2] - The outdated service procedure used from April 1, 2022, to March 10, 2025, may lead to toe link separation, increasing the risk of a crash [3][8] Group 2: Incident Reports - As of the filing date, there has been one reported incident related to this issue, which involved a single-vehicle crash resulting in minor injuries [3] Group 3: Repair and Notification - Rivian plans to repair the affected vehicles using an updated service process, with owner notifications scheduled to begin on February 24, 2026 [4] Group 4: Market Performance - Rivian has outperformed the Zacks Automotive-Domestic industry over the past six months, with RIVN shares gaining 50.7% compared to the industry's 40% growth [7] Group 5: Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 loss per share has widened by 2 cents in the past 30 days, while the estimate for 2026 loss per share has widened by a penny in the past week [10] - Rivian appears overvalued based on its price/sales ratio, trading at a forward sales multiple of 3.46, above the industry's 3.35 [11]
20,000 Reasons to Consider Selling Rivian Stock Here
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-12 17:28
Core Insights - Rivian Automotive is recalling nearly 20,000 units of its R1S and R1T electric vehicles in the U.S. due to an issue with toe links, with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration overseeing the recall process [1][2] - The recall is prompted by a risk associated with earlier service procedures, despite only one incident reported, leading to potential financial implications for the company [2] - Rivian has a market capitalization of $23.5 billion and emphasizes vertical integration by producing its own motors, batteries, and software [3][4] Company Operations - Rivian specializes in designing, developing, and manufacturing premium electric vehicles, with its primary production facility located in Normal, Illinois [3] - The company is focused on sustainability and adventure, producing flagship models like the R1T electric pickup truck and R1S SUV [3] - Rivian is also building commercial fleets, notably for Amazon, and plans to open a second U.S. plant in Georgia to enhance production capacity [4] Financial Performance - RIVN stock has performed well, gaining 38% over the past 52 weeks and 47% over the last six months, although it is currently down 15% from its 52-week high of $22.69 [5][6] - The stock's solid performance is attributed to optimism surrounding the upcoming launch of the R2 vehicle and a joint venture with Volkswagen valued at $5.8 billion [5] - Rivian received a $1 billion equity tranche from Volkswagen in June 2025 as part of this partnership [5]
Rivian Hires Greg Revelle as Chief Customer Officer
Businesswire· 2026-01-12 14:27
IRVINE, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) today announced the appointment of Greg Revelle to Chief Customer Officer (CCO) of Rivian. Revelle joins Rivian from Revatek, a startup he founded dedicated to enhancing the off-grid outdoor experience through innovative energy storage. He has also held leadership roles at Kohl's, Best Buy, AutoNation and Expedia, in addition to being a current board member at Cars.com. Beginning today, Revelle will oversee the entirety of the customer jour. ...
3 Reasons to Buy Rivian Stock in 2026
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-10 17:53
Core Viewpoint - Rivian Automotive is facing significant challenges in the electric vehicle (EV) market but may be on the verge of a turnaround due to potential market dynamics and growth in software and services [1][10] Industry Overview - The U.S. EV industry is currently struggling, with overall sales dropping 41% in November, influenced by the end of the $7,500 tax credit and relaxed emissions standards for gasoline vehicles [3] - Ford Motor Company's recent pivot away from EVs, including a $19.5 billion asset writedown and cancellation of electric models, may create an opportunity for Rivian to capture market share in the electric pickup truck segment [4][5] Company Performance - Rivian's third-quarter earnings showed a 78% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.56 billion, driven by a 324% surge in software and services revenue, which accounted for 27% of total revenue [9] - Despite the revenue growth, Rivian is still experiencing significant cash burn, with operating losses of $983 million in the third quarter [10] Future Prospects - Rivian could benefit from reduced competition in the electric pickup truck market and a shift towards high-margin software and services, which may help reignite growth [2][10] - The partnership with Volkswagen to develop software and electric architecture could unlock economies of scale and attract interest from other automakers [6][7][8]
Here's Why I Wouldn't Touch Rivian With a 10-Foot Pole
The Motley Fool· 2026-01-10 11:53
Core Viewpoint - Rivian's status as a luxury electric vehicle (EV) maker is detrimental as consumer preferences shift towards used cars and entry-level new vehicles, leading to a significant decline in stock value since its IPO in 2021 [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - Rivian's stock has decreased by approximately 80% since its IPO, indicating severe market underperformance compared to competitors like Tesla [1] - The current market capitalization of Rivian is $24 billion, with a current stock price of $19.22 [5] - Vehicle deliveries dropped sharply from 14,183 in Q4 2024 to 9,745 in Q4 2025, reflecting a broader trend of declining production and delivery numbers year over year [6] Group 2: Impact of EV Tax Credit - The expiration of the U.S. EV tax credit on September 30, 2025, has negatively impacted sales across the industry, including Rivian [4] - Despite a reported 78% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3, this was largely due to a rush of buyers before the tax credit expired, and subsequent deliveries fell sharply, indicating that this growth was not sustainable [7] Group 3: Business Model Challenges - Over 70% of Rivian's total sales come from automobile sales, which are expected to decline, thereby also affecting the growth of its software revenue [8] - The company's luxury positioning is a disadvantage as consumers are increasingly seeking more affordable vehicle options amid tightening budgets [9]
Goldman Sachs Hikes Rivian (RIVN) to $18 as Focus Shifts to R2 Platform, Autonomous Driving Progress
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-08 14:12
Rivian Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) is one of the most buzzing stocks to invest in according to hedge funds. On January 5, Goldman Sachs raised the firm’s price target on Rivian to $18 from $16 with a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm highlighted that Rivian’s Q4 2025 deliveries reached 9.7K, which was a slight miss compared to the firm’s estimates. This was also a 26% sequential decline and a 31% drop year-over-year. Goldman Sachs now expects investor attention to center on the R2 platform and the c ...
Rivian recalls nearly 20,000 US vehicles over improperly reassembled toe link
Reuters· 2026-01-08 08:16
Core Viewpoint - Rivian Automotive is recalling 19,641 previously serviced R1S and R1T electric vehicles in the U.S. due to incorrectly assembled rear toe links [1] Group 1 - The recall affects a total of 19,641 electric vehicles [1] - The issue is related to the rear toe link assembly, which has been identified as incorrectly assembled [1] - The recall is being conducted in accordance with the U.S. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration's regulations [1]