GREEN BAY, Wis.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Schneider National, Inc. (NYSE: SNDR), a premier multimodal provider of transportation, intermodal and logistics services, today announced a planned leadership transition designed to ensure continuity and position the company for its next phase of growth. Mark Rourke, who has served as Schneider's President and Chief Executive Officer since 2019, will assume the role of Executive Chairman of the Board of Directors effective July 1, 2026. In this new capacity, R. ...

Core Viewpoint - Schneider National (SNDR) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended December 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) estimated at $0.21, reflecting a 5% increase, and revenues projected at $1.45 billion, up 8.6% from the previous year [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to be released on January 29, and the stock price may rise if the actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.32% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a slight positive adjustment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that the Most Accurate Estimate for Schneider National is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -4.11%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Schneider National was expected to post earnings of $0.21 per share but only achieved $0.12, resulting in a surprise of -42.86% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Schneider National has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [14]. Comparison with Industry Peers - C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW), another player in the Zacks Transportation - Services industry, is expected to report earnings of $1.12 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 7.4%, with revenues projected at $3.96 billion, down 5.4% [18][19]. - C.H. Robinson has a higher Most Accurate Estimate leading to an Earnings ESP of +0.33% and a Zacks Rank of 3, suggesting a likely earnings beat [19][20].

Core Viewpoint - The focus is on long-only investment strategies that evaluate companies from an operational and buy-and-hold perspective, emphasizing long-term earnings power and competitive dynamics rather than market-driven price actions [1]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy - The investment approach prioritizes operational aspects and the long-term potential of companies, suggesting that most recommendations will be holds rather than buys [1]. - A very small fraction of companies are deemed suitable for purchase at any given time, indicating a selective investment strategy [1]. Group 2: Market Sentiment - Hold articles are intended to provide valuable information for future investors and introduce a level of skepticism in a generally bullish market environment [1].

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Valuation and Financial Performance - Schneider National, Inc. (SNDR) is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio (P/S-F12M) of 0.80X, which is lower than the industry average of 1.46X, indicating an attractive valuation [1][7] - The company has a Value Score of B, suggesting it is undervalued compared to its peers [1] Capital Expenditures and Financial Flexibility - Schneider has seen a decline in capital expenditures, with net capital expenditures of $380.3 million in 2024, down from $573.8 million in 2023, and a revised guidance for 2025 of around $300 million [4] - The company ended Q3 2025 with cash and cash equivalents of $194.1 million, significantly higher than its current debt of $12.4 million, indicating strong financial flexibility [5] Shareholder Returns - Schneider has consistently paid dividends, totaling $55.7 million in 2022, $63.6 million in 2023, and $66.6 million in 2024, with $50.3 million returned to shareholders year-to-date as of September 30, 2025 [8] - The company has a share repurchase program approved for $150 million, with $103.9 million spent to repurchase 4.1 million Class B shares, which enhances shareholder value [9] Stock Performance - Schneider's stock has increased by 31.2% over the past three months, outperforming the transportation-services industry, which saw a 7.8% increase [10] Earnings Guidance and Challenges - The company has lowered its 2025 adjusted earnings per share guidance to approximately 70 cents from a previous range of 75-95 cents due to rising insurance-related costs and macroeconomic uncertainties [7][19] - Ongoing inflation and supply-chain disruptions are negatively impacting operating expenses and overall profitability [14][19] Market Sentiment and Analyst Revisions - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Schneider's earnings has been revised downward for Q4 2025 and full-year 2025 and 2026, indicating a lack of confidence among analysts [16] - The current Zacks Rank for Schneider is 4 (Sell), reflecting the negative sentiment surrounding the stock [19]

Core Viewpoint - BofA analyst Ken Hoexter raised the price target on Schneider National (SNDR) to $28 from $26 while maintaining a Neutral rating on the shares, indicating a cautious outlook despite a slight increase in the price target [1] Financial Estimates - The firm adjusted its Q4 EPS estimate for Schneider National down to 19 cents from 21 cents, which is below both the company's and Street targets [1] - For FY25 and FY26, the EPS estimates were lowered by 2% and 7% respectively, reflecting a more conservative outlook [1] Market Conditions - The analysis notes sluggishness in November before a projected rise in spot rates in December, suggesting a challenging market environment in the short term [1] - Despite the lowered EPS estimates, the price target was raised due to an improved outlook for rates leading into 2026 [1]

Core Insights - Schneider National, Inc. is celebrating the one-year anniversary of its acquisition of Cowan Systems, LLC, which has led to significant enhancements in its Dedicated operations [1] - The acquisition has allowed Schneider to leverage Cowan's regional expertise, lightweight equipment, and innovative solutions, resulting in increased capacity and efficiency for shippers across the nation [1] Company Developments - Over the past twelve months, Schneider has expanded its Dedicated operations significantly [1] - The integration of Cowan's capabilities has contributed to delivering more efficient logistics services [1]

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Summary of Schneider National FY Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Schneider National (NYSE: SNDR) - **Industry**: Transportation Logistics - **Business Segments**: - **Truckload**: $2.5 billion, with 70% in dedicated configurations, focusing on longer contracts and deeper customer relationships [9][10] - **Intermodal**: $1 billion-$3 billion, asset-based with ownership of chassis and containers, partnerships with Union Pacific, CSX, and CPKC [9][10] - **Logistics**: $1 billion-$1.2 billion, including brokerage and new offerings like Power Only [10] Market Dynamics - **Current Freight Market**: - Demand has been stable but not dramatically improving; August and September were sub-seasonal [16][17] - Customers are cautious due to government uncertainties, leading to reduced volumes in consumer products [18] - **Regulatory Environment**: - Changes in regulations are being enforced differently, impacting supply dynamics [22][23] - Concerns about shadow capacity and the need for supply rationalization [22][23] Intermodal Market Insights - **Rail Merger Impact**: - Union Pacific and Norfolk Southern merger could create a more competitive environment; Schneider is optimistic about potential benefits [46][51] - Performance has improved, with a 10% year-over-year growth in the third quarter [48] Dedicated Market Dynamics - **Market Trends**: - Focus on specialty equipment and long-term contracts; pipeline activity has increased significantly [56][58] - Private fleets have grown disproportionately compared to for-hire services, but a correction is expected [56] Financial Outlook - **2026 Projections**: - Optimism for a more constructive environment due to fiscal and monetary stimulus, with expectations for mid to slow single-digit increases in contracts [75][76] - Focus on organic growth, capital deployment for dedicated and intermodal segments, and potential acquisitions [93][94] Technology and Automation - **AI and Automation**: - Schneider is investing in automation to improve efficiency and reduce costs; initiatives include using AI for low-value tasks [81][86] - A target of $40 million in annual savings has already been surpassed, indicating effective cost management [90][92] Shareholder Value - **Share Buybacks**: - Schneider views its stock as undervalued and is considering share purchases as part of its strategy [96] Key Takeaways - Schneider National is adapting to a dynamic freight market with a focus on dedicated and intermodal services - Regulatory changes and market conditions are influencing supply and demand dynamics - The company is leveraging technology to enhance operational efficiency and is optimistic about future growth prospects in 2026