BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC)

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Analysts Estimate BlackRock TCP (TCPC) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2025-02-20 16:06
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for BlackRock TCP despite higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates to influence stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - BlackRock TCP is expected to report earnings of $0.36 per share, reflecting an 18.2% decrease year-over-year, while revenues are projected to be $65.59 million, a 29% increase from the previous year [3]. - The earnings report is scheduled for release on February 27, 2025, and could lead to stock price movement depending on whether results exceed or fall short of expectations [2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2.78% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for BlackRock TCP is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -5.56%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, with a positive reading being a strong indicator of an earnings beat [7][8]. - BlackRock TCP's current Zacks Rank is 4, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, BlackRock TCP was expected to earn $0.40 per share but only achieved $0.36, resulting in a -10% surprise [12]. - The company has not surpassed consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters [13]. Industry Comparison - Carlyle Secured Lending, another player in the Zacks Financial - SBIC & Commercial Industry, is expected to report earnings of $0.44 per share, a 21.4% decline year-over-year, with revenues projected at $36.31 million, down 18.1% [17]. - Carlyle Secured Lending has an Earnings ESP of 0.57% and a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating a higher likelihood of beating consensus EPS estimates [18].
BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-11-06 19:09
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted net income for Q3 2024 was $0.36 per share, with an annualized net investment income (NII) return on average equity at approximately 14%, at the high end of historical levels [10][42] - The Board declared a fourth quarter dividend of $0.34 per share, implying a dividend coverage of 106% based on Q3 adjusted NII [10][11] - Net realized losses for the quarter were $31.4 million, primarily due to restructurings of investments in Pluralsight and McAfee [44][25] - Net unrealized gains totaled $19.2 million, reflecting reversals of previously unrealized losses from the same restructurings [45][25] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Loans on non-accrual status decreased from 4.9% to 3.8% of portfolio fair value, indicating a positive trend despite remaining higher than historical levels [14][13] - The weighted average annual effective yield of the performing debt portfolio was 13.4%, down from 13.7% in the previous quarter [40] - The portfolio comprised investments in 156 companies, with a total fair market value of approximately $1.9 billion [41] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The weighted average interest rate on debt outstanding at the end of the quarter was 5.4% [46] - Unfunded loan commitments to portfolio companies were approximately $100 million, representing 5% of total investments [46] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to focus on the core middle market, emphasizing less competition and attractive pricing [49] - A disciplined approach to capital deployment is maintained, with a focus on credit-first downside protection [48] - The company is optimistic about the potential for M&A activity to increase, which could provide opportunities for investment and refinancing [33][30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the recent rate cut provides relief to borrowers and may improve key indicators of portfolio health [32] - The company is actively monitoring portfolio companies regarding their performance in the context of higher rates and inflation [26] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term success of the company despite current challenges, emphasizing a strong capital position and robust investment pipeline [48][49] Other Important Information - The company has authorized a share repurchase program of up to $50 million [12] - Management changes were announced, with Phil Tseng succeeding Raj Vig as CEO and Chairman [9][28] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on NII return and its components - Management indicated that the NII return is at the higher end of historical levels, benefiting from elevated base rates, but expects some reversal [51] Question: Impact of management changes on strategy - Management clarified that the consolidation of the direct lending group aims to enhance collaboration and does not indicate a shift towards upper middle market investments [55] Question: Update on spillover position and special dividend rationale - Management explained that the decision for the special dividend was influenced by the need to manage excise tax implications while ensuring adequate capital allocation [64][65] Question: Expectations for prepayment activity - Management noted that prepayment activity can be episodic and difficult to predict, but conditions may favor an increase in prepayments moving forward [68][70] Question: Status of Amazon aggregator investments - Management reported that loans to Amazon aggregators comprise about 5.9% of the portfolio and expressed optimism about their long-term performance despite current challenges [75] Question: Challenges facing TCPC and future changes - Management emphasized a focus on managing non-accruals and restructurings, leveraging their historical experience to optimize outcomes [81] Question: Stock price concerns and stability of the company - Management reassured stakeholders about the stability of the team and the consistency of dividend payments, highlighting a long track record of meeting or exceeding dividend expectations [87][88]
BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2024-11-06 18:05
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------------------------------------------|-------|-------|-------|-------|-------| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. Investor presentation September 30, 2024 | | | | | | | | | | | | | Third Quarter 2024 Financial Highlights and Portfolio Overview Continued strong financial performance Diversified portfolio with an emphasis on less-cyclical businesses Flexible capital with available liquid ...
BlackRock TCP (TCPC) Misses Q3 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-11-06 15:30
Core Viewpoint - BlackRock TCP reported quarterly earnings of $0.36 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.40 per share, and showing a decline from $0.49 per share a year ago, indicating a -10% earnings surprise [1][2] Financial Performance - The company posted revenues of $70.93 million for the quarter ended September 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.61%, and up from $54.21 million year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, BlackRock TCP has not surpassed consensus EPS estimates [2] Stock Performance - BlackRock TCP shares have declined approximately 32.4% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 21.2% [3] Future Outlook - The company's earnings outlook will be crucial for investors, particularly in light of recent earnings expectations and revisions [4] - Current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.40 on revenues of $67.94 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.66 on revenues of $264.32 million [7] Industry Context - The Financial - SBIC & Commercial Industry, to which BlackRock TCP belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 27% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges for stock performance [8]
BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC) - 2024 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2024-11-06 13:05
Financial Performance - Net investment income for Q3 2024 was $33.9 million, or $0.40 per share, exceeding the regular dividend of $0.34 per share[2] - Adjusted net investment income for Q3 2024 was $30.8 million, or $0.36 per share, reflecting a 9.4% decrease from $28.3 million, or $0.49 per share in Q3 2023[4] - Total investment income for Q3 2024 was approximately $70.9 million, or $0.83 per share[11] - Net increase in net assets resulting from operations for Q3 2024 was $21.6 million, or $0.25 per share[13] - Total investment income for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $70,932,487, an increase of 30.9% compared to $54,210,941 for the same period in 2023[22] - Net investment income before taxes for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $33,877,641, up from $28,333,076 in the prior year, representing a growth of 19.0%[22] - Basic and diluted earnings per share for the three months ended September 30, 2024, were $0.25, compared to $0.22 for the same period in 2023[22] Dividends - The company declared a fourth quarter dividend of $0.34 per share and a special dividend of $0.10 per share, both payable on December 31, 2024[2] - For the three months ended September 30, 2024, approximately $0.7 million of cash distributions were reinvested through the new dividend reinvestment plan (DRIP)[17] Assets and Liabilities - Net asset value per share decreased to $10.11 as of September 30, 2024, down from $10.20 as of June 30, 2024[2] - Total assets as of September 30, 2024, amounted to $2,047,700,892, up from $1,698,772,353 at the end of 2023, indicating an increase of about 20.6%[21] - The net assets applicable to common shareholders as of September 30, 2024, were $865,636,898, an increase from $687,601,546 at the end of 2023, representing a growth of about 26%[21] - Total debt outstanding as of September 30, 2024, was $1,160,042,987, an increase from $985,200,609 as of December 31, 2023, representing a growth of approximately 17.7%[21] - Cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2024, were $104,181,765, down from $112,241,946 at the end of 2023, a decrease of approximately 7.5%[21] Investment Activity - Total acquisitions during Q3 2024 were approximately $72.8 million, while total investment dispositions were $139.2 million[2] - The total investments at fair value as of September 30, 2024, were $1,909,089,361, compared to $1,554,941,110 at the end of 2023, reflecting an increase of approximately 22.7%[21] - The company has a stock repurchase plan approved to acquire up to $50.0 million of its common stock, although no shares were repurchased during the three months ended September 30, 2024[18] Portfolio Quality - Debt investments on non-accrual status represented 3.8% of the portfolio at fair value as of September 30, 2024, down from 4.9% as of June 30, 2024[2] - The weighted average annual effective yield of the debt portfolio was approximately 13.4% as of September 30, 2024, compared to 13.7% as of June 30, 2024[8] - The net realized loss on investments for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $(31,425,777), compared to a loss of $(128,841) in the same period last year[22] - Total operating expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2024, were $37,054,846, a 43.5% increase from $25,877,865 in the same quarter of 2023[22] Management and Strategy - The company is focused on direct lending to middle-market companies and small businesses, aiming for high total returns through current income and capital appreciation[23] - BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. is externally managed by a wholly-owned, indirect subsidiary of BlackRock, Inc., ensuring professional management of its investment portfolio[23] - The company emphasizes principal protection in its investment strategy, which is crucial in the current economic environment[23]
BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC) - 2024 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2024-11-06 13:01
Financial Performance - Total assets as of September 30, 2024, increased to $2,047,700,892 from $1,698,772,353 as of December 31, 2023, representing a growth of approximately 20.6%[5] - Total investments at fair value reached $1,909,089,361, up from $1,554,941,110, indicating an increase of about 22.7%[5] - Net assets applicable to common shareholders rose to $865,636,898, compared to $687,601,546 at the end of 2023, reflecting a growth of approximately 26%[5] - The company reported a net asset per share of $10.11 as of September 30, 2024, down from $11.90 at the end of 2023[5] - Distributable earnings showed a loss of $382,528,734, worsening from a loss of $280,099,476 in the previous period[5] - Basic and diluted earnings per share for the three months ended September 30, 2024, were $0.25, compared to $0.22 for the same period in 2023, indicating an increase of 13.6%[7] - The company reported a net increase in net assets from operations of $21,632,960 for the three months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $12,822,932 in the prior year, marking a growth of 68.5%[7] - Net increase in net assets resulting from operations for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $(24,586,416), compared to $51,787,497 for the same period in 2023[4] Debt and Liabilities - Debt increased to $1,160,042,987 from $985,200,609, marking an increase of about 17.7%[5] - Interest payments increased to $49,362,618 from $38,487,722 year-over-year[4] - Total liabilities assumed in the merger amounted to $331,975,868[4] - Total debt investments amount to $1,867,740,000, representing 200.4% of Net Assets[21] - Total debt outstanding as of September 30, 2024, was $1,167,841,603, with total available capacity of $1,645,587,807[121] - The combined weighted-average interest rate on total debt increased from 4.29% as of December 31, 2023, to 5.43% as of September 30, 2024[123] Cash and Cash Equivalents - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $104,181,765 from $112,241,946, a decline of approximately 7.5%[5] - Total cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period were $104,181,765, up from $91,653,006 at the end of the previous year[4] Investment Income - Total investment income for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $70,932,487, an increase of 30.9% compared to $54,210,941 for the same period in 2023[7] - Net investment income before taxes for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $33,877,641, up from $28,333,076 in the prior year, representing a growth of 19.0%[7] Shareholder Returns - Dividends paid to shareholders for the three months ended September 30, 2024, totaled $29,100,986, consistent with the previous quarter[8] - Dividends paid to shareholders increased to $85,100,033 from $66,432,353 year-over-year[4] Mergers and Acquisitions - The company issued common stock in connection with a merger, resulting in an increase of $280,464,610 in total net assets[8] - The company acquired net assets in connection with the merger valued at $603,136,276, including $586,983,708 of investments[4][10] Investment Portfolio - The company has a total of 37 debt investments listed, indicating a diversified investment portfolio[12] - The company is actively managing its debt portfolio with a focus on high-yield investments[12] - The company has a significant investment in the construction and engineering sector, totaling $1,081,667[12] - The company has diversified its portfolio with investments in various sectors, including software and technology, to mitigate risks[19] Market Strategy and Outlook - The company is exploring new strategies for market expansion and product development, particularly in technology and healthcare sectors[15] - Future outlook includes potential market expansions and new product developments in the sectors represented by the debt investments[18] Valuation and Fair Value - The total fair value of Level 3 investments was $1,879,087,978, with significant unrealized losses of $(139,090,785) during the period[78] - The fair value of Equity Securities was $172,419,745, with a range of implied volatility between 45.0% and 75.0%[74] - The company’s investments are valued at least quarterly based on independent third-party sources, with less than 5% priced directly by the Valuation Designee[66] Regulatory and Compliance - The Company has elected to be treated as a regulated investment company (RIC) for U.S. federal income tax purposes, allowing it to avoid taxation on distributed income[58] - Approximately 16.9% of BlackRock TCP Capital Corp.'s total assets were classified as non-qualifying assets under Section 55(a) of the 1940 Act[33]
Down -17.15% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why You Should You Buy the Dip in BlackRock TCP (TCPC)
ZACKS· 2024-08-09 14:36
Group 1 - BlackRock TCP (TCPC) has experienced a significant downtrend, with a stock decline of 17.2% over the past four weeks due to excessive selling pressure [1] - The stock is currently in oversold territory, indicated by an RSI reading of 15.22, suggesting that the heavy selling may be exhausting itself and a rebound could occur [3] - Wall Street analysts have raised earnings estimates for TCPC, with a 0.4% increase in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, indicating potential price appreciation in the near term [4] Group 2 - TCPC holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, further supporting the potential for a turnaround [4]
BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC) - 2024 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-08-07 20:23
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted net investment income was $0.38 per share with an annualized net investment income return on average equity of approximately 14%, remaining at the high end of historical ranges [4][20] - The net asset value (NAV) declined by 8.4%, with non-accruals increasing from approximately 1.7% to 4.9% of fair value [5][11] - Net realized losses for the quarter were $35 million, while net unrealized losses totaled $52 million [12][21] - Available liquidity at the end of the quarter was $780 million, including $585 million in available capacity under the leverage program and $195 million in cash [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company invested $130 million in the second quarter, with $124 million in senior secured loans, reflecting a 40% increase in deployment activity compared to the previous year [14][15] - The weighted average annual effective yield of the portfolio decreased to 12.4% from 13.4% in the previous quarter [18] - 91% of the portfolio was invested in senior secured loans, with 81% in first lien loans [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a meaningful pickup in activity across its platform, driven by a return of M&A and refinancing activity [14] - The overall credit quality of the portfolio remains strong, with a weighted average internal risk rating of 1.5, slightly improved from 1.56 in the previous quarter [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on maintaining a disciplined approach to capital deployment, emphasizing credit-first downside protection and investing in the core middle-market [23] - The merger with BlackRock Investment Capital Corp is expected to improve access to capital, allowing the company to capitalize on new investment opportunities [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the increase in non-accruals but emphasized the overall strong health of the portfolio and ongoing efforts to resolve issues with impacted companies [5][23] - The company remains committed to maintaining a well-covered dividend and delivering attractive returns to shareholders [23] Other Important Information - The company raised $325 million of fixed-rate unsecured debt at an attractive rate of 6.95% in May 2024 [13] - The investment manager's support for the dividend is in place for four quarters post-merger, covering any shortfall below $0.32 of net investment income [46] Q&A Session Summary Question: How much did the increase in non-accruals affect EPS in the quarter? - The increase in non-accruals affected EPS by roughly $0.08 per share [24] Question: Were the non-accruals legacy TCPC or from the merger? - The portfolios were largely overlapping at the time of the merger, making it difficult to distinguish between legacy TCPC and BCIC positions [26] Question: What is the target range for leverage? - The regulatory net leverage is 1.13x, which is within the target range of 0.9x to 1.20x [22][27] Question: Why did the company decide to increase investments this quarter? - The increase in investments was not characterized as an acceleration but rather a normal deployment reflecting growth in existing portfolio companies [29][30] Question: Is there more industry concentration in the portfolio? - The company acknowledged the correlation in the Amazon aggregator space but does not see similar trends across other industries in the portfolio [32][34] Question: How many restructurings is the company driving? - The company is meaningfully involved in most restructurings, with a focus on being a significant voice in negotiations [37][38] Question: Are sponsors willing to support their companies? - Sponsor behavior is case-by-case, with some continuing to provide support while making rational decisions based on business performance [40] Question: How is the company managing current leverage levels? - The company views the current leverage as temporary and expects it to decrease significantly after using cash to pay down debt [43]
BlackRock TCP (TCPC) Meets Q2 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-08-07 14:20
BlackRock TCP (TCPC) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.42 per share, in line with the Zacks Consensus Estimate. This compares to earnings of $0.48 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. A quarter ago, it was expected that this investment company would post earnings of $0.45 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.45, delivering no surprise. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates just once. BlackRock TCP, which belongs ...
BlackRock TCP Capital (TCPC) - 2024 Q2 - Quarterly Results
2024-08-07 12:05
Exhibit 99.1 BlackRock. BLACKROCK TCP CAPITAL CORP. ANNOUNCES SECOND QUARTER 2024 FINANCIAL RESULTS INCLUDING NET INVESTMENT INCOME OF $0.42 PER SHARE; DECLARES THIRD QUARTER DIVIDEND OF $0.34 PER SHARE; 49 CONSECUTIVE QUARTERS OF DIVIDEND COVERAGE SANTA MONICA, Calif., August 7, 2024 - BlackRock TCP Capital Corp. ("we," "us," "our," "TCPC" or the "Company"), a business development company (NASDAQ: TCPC), today announced its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2024 and filed its Form 10- ...