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达梦数据投价:国产数据库领军,乘信创之风启航丨证券计算机
中信证券经纪(香港)· 2024-06-03 12:59
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In 2023, the company's operating revenue reached 794 million, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.4% compared to 688 million in 2022 [4] - The net profit for 2023 was 296 million, showing a year-on-year increase of 10.1% from 269 million in 2022 [4] - The gross margin and net margin for 2023 were 95.81% and 37.28%, respectively, indicating strong profitability [4][23] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The software licensing business accounted for 91.65% of total revenue in 2023, up from 82.42% in 2020 [11][17] - The revenue from the core product, the Dameng Database Management System, constituted approximately 89.87% of software revenue in 2023 [11][17] - The company has diversified its revenue sources, with significant growth in the military sector, which saw a 98.11% year-on-year increase in 2022 [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The domestic database market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 26.1% from 2022 to 2027, driven by increasing enterprise business volume and data explosion [2] - The company has maintained a leading market share among domestic database vendors, with a 7% market share in the local deployment relational database market [2] - The demand from key sectors such as finance, energy, and telecommunications is expected to accelerate, with major state-owned enterprises beginning to issue tenders for domestic databases [2][12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage its three core competitive advantages: high autonomy, technical leadership, and high compatibility to capture market opportunities [3] - The strategic focus is on expanding from government sectors to various industries, enhancing its product offerings to meet high-performance requirements [2][12] - The company plans to continue investing in R&D and sales to capitalize on the opportunities presented by the domestic replacement trend [22] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the acceleration of domestic replacement in the database market, anticipating strong growth in mid-term performance [1][2] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for secure and reliable database solutions amid the ongoing digital transformation [2] - Management acknowledged potential risks, including slower-than-expected progress in domestic replacement and increased market competition [3] Other Important Information - The company has a stable shareholding structure with significant state-owned enterprise involvement, which aids in market expansion [8] - The workforce has grown significantly, from 697 employees in 2019 to 1474 in 2023, reflecting the company's commitment to enhancing its capabilities [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the company's growth prospects in the database market? - The company is expected to benefit from the rapid growth of the domestic database market, with projections indicating a CAGR of 26.1% from 2022 to 2027 [2] - The management highlighted the importance of expanding into various industries beyond government sectors to sustain growth [12] Question: How does the company plan to address competition in the market? - The company aims to leverage its high autonomy and technical capabilities to differentiate itself from traditional database vendors [3] - Management noted that the focus on product compatibility with existing systems, particularly Oracle, will be crucial in attracting new clients [3]
环球市场动态
中信证券经纪(香港)· 2024-06-03 09:30
Commodities and Resource Sector - Crude oil, copper, tin, phosphate rock, and manganese ore are expected to perform well under supply constraints, with copper prices hitting record highs in H1 2024 [2] - Long-term supply constraints are likely to keep prices of crude oil, copper, and tin at elevated levels, while periodic shortages may drive up prices of phosphate rock and manganese ore [2] - Crude oil and copper prices are supported by both financial and supply-demand factors, benefiting from inflation and interest rate adjustments [2] - Crude oil price is forecasted to range between $80-90/barrel, and copper price between $9,500-12,000/ton in H2 2024 [2] - Recommended stocks include CNOOC (883 HK), PetroChina (857 HK), Sinopec (386 HK), China Oilfield Services (2883 HK), Zijin Mining (2899 HK), CMOC (3993 HK), MMG (1208 HK), and China Nonferrous Mining (1258 HK) [2] Asia-Pacific Market - USD-denominated bonds saw accelerated issuance in the primary market, with over $2.9 billion issued, mainly from financial and local government financing platforms [4] - Secondary market remained stable, with real estate sector declining, while high-beta tech stocks performed well, driven by investments from Saudi sovereign wealth funds [4] Equity Market Performance - In the Hong Kong market, energy (+1.7%) and healthcare (+1.4%) sectors led gains, while technology and consumer sectors declined [6] - In the A-share market, communication services (+0.6%) outperformed, while energy (-0.7%) and materials (-0.6%) sectors lagged [7] - Notable stock movements included Time Universal (2310 HK) surging 190.9%, while Tiancai Holdings (3882 HK) dropped 31.3% [6] Global Market Trends - US PCE inflation in April showed the smallest monthly increase this year, while Eurozone CPI rose 2.6% YoY in May [12] - OPEC+ extended voluntary production cuts of 2 million barrels/day into Q3 2024, with gradual phase-out over the next 12 months [12] - Nvidia announced plans to launch Blackwell Ultra chips in 2025 and the next-gen AI platform Rubin in 2026 [12] China's Manufacturing and Economic Indicators - China's May manufacturing PMI fell to 49.5, below the seasonal average, indicating a slowdown in manufacturing recovery [31] - Equipment manufacturing remained strong, while raw material manufacturing showed signs of recovery [31] - Services PMI has been below the five-year seasonal average for three consecutive months, reflecting a slowdown in service sector recovery [31] Gold and Silver Outlook - Gold prices hit record highs in H1 2024, with silver prices also rising rapidly [48] - Loose liquidity expectations and geopolitical tensions are expected to support gold prices in H2 2024, with a forecasted range of $2,200-2,400/ounce [48] - Silver prices are expected to benefit from a narrowing gold-silver ratio and widening supply-demand gap, with a forecasted range of $27-35/ounce [48] New Energy Vehicle Sector - NEV penetration is expected to continue rising in H2 2024, driven by new models and price reductions [57] - Domestic NEV sales in Q1 2024 reached 2.089 million units, up 31.8% YoY, with full-year sales forecasted at 12.32 million units, up 29.8% YoY [57] - Global NEV sales are expected to reach 18.27 million units in 2024, up 25% YoY, with BYD (002594 CH) recommended as a key player [57] Technology and Innovation - Apple's Vision Pro is expected to lead the spatial computing era, with MR sales projected to reach millions by 2026 [38] - AI glasses equipped with GPT and Gemini models are expected to launch in 2024, with sales potentially reaching 100 million units by 2032 [38] - Li Ning (2331 HK) showcased innovative products and technologies, reinforcing its position as a leader in product innovation [41]
黄金珠宝行业2023年年报、2024Q1总结暨下半年投资策略
中信证券经纪(香港)· 2024-05-31 09:21
短期呢其实量就是门店的数量单店的吨数等等这些其实是发挥了更大的一个作用质这一块呢短期来讲有点难因为近代的快速上涨其实打破了一个比较良性的这么一个又提升量又提升质的这么一个过程 然后重点事件的公司呢那个周大生、曹鸿基、老宋强以及包括蔡柏还有大幅和中国黄金我们有一定的这个排序那么关于去年的情况那个有几个重要的点跟大家我先简要的提一下那首先呢就是去年的这个根据行业协会 中国珠宝玉石首市的销售额是8200亿然后同比增长了14%应该说这样一个增速还是非常非常不错的尤其是去年的刚开始疫情管控放开的时候品牌商、加盟商、商场三方一起让利然后消费者的需求 受抑制之后的一个恢复所以当时是长得非常好的然后到了下半年到了年底也增长的是不错的那么这14%的增长这8200亿里边就是黄金首饰的销售金额是5180亿占比呢是26% 占比是63%在全行业的就是黄金饰品占比是63%然后我们看的头部的这些品牌他们的黄金饰品的占比普遍是在75到85之间是主力的区间全行业来讲就是要稍微再低一点大概是63那么黄金饰品的增长是26% 然后我们知道整个行业在8210增长了14%其实黄金饰品的26%乘以63%就是它对于整体的增速的贡献率其实是16.6%也就意味 ...
环球市场动态
中信证券经纪(香港)· 2024-05-31 04:00
环球市场动态 2024 年 5 月 31 日 关 注 人 行 卖 出 国 债 操作的可能性 人民银行 5 月 30 日提及未来可能的卖出国债操作,此前市场对于人行买卖国债的关注点更多聚焦在超长期特 别国债发行过程中买入国债操作,对人行卖出国债操作的关注较少。实际上在央行在其主管媒体《金融时报》 中曾提到 "未来央行开展国债操作也会是双向的"。双向的国债买卖操作,是人行买卖国债与一些发达经济 QE 操作的不同之处,而有收有放的流动性管理也更加符合对冲政府债券发行高峰对流动性产生的扰动。对于后续 央行买卖国债的操作,有卖有买或是后续的常态,核心需要关注买卖的期限分布。 重点新闻:美国下修一季度 GDP 增速和 PCE 通胀;美国 4 月二手房签约量指数跌至四年低点;特朗普在封口 费案中的重罪指控全部成立;欧元区 5 月份经济信心指数改善;据悉 OPEC+力争在周末敲定减产协议,期限 可能延长到 2025 年;中国 7 月 1 日起将对航空航天结构件及发动机制造相关装备等实施出口管制;据报道中 国人行准备在必要时卖出包括国债在内的低风险债券;中国财政部召开会议要求进一步规范财政权力运行;据 悉美国政府限制英伟达和 ...
环球市场动态
中信证券经纪(香港)· 2024-05-31 02:00
近年来,印度经济在新兴经济体中表现突出,要素改革是核心逻辑。自莫迪上台以来,印度要素改革持续推进, 工业化 "补课" 成效初显且有一定持续性,未来财政投入仍有空间。中印两国友好关系历史悠久,尽管近年来 偶有波折,但持续对话下双边关系总体稳定。未来印度工业化 "补课" 或持续拉动自中国进口的需求,可关注 电气设备和机械等资本品,钢铁和铝等上游工业金属原材料,以及化学品、塑料和玻璃等工业中间产品。印度 同时有望成为全球大宗商品需求新引擎,可关注印度对煤炭、原油、铁矿石以及精炼铜的需求拉动。 资料来源:相关公司、中信证券 风险等级:由低至高分 1 至 5 级 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------------------|---------------------------|----------------|---------|-------|------------------------------------------------------| | 指数 | 亚太主要指数 \n收盘点位 | 1 日涨跌 (%) | | | 主要 ...
股指期货基础知识及权益风险对冲策略
中信证券经纪(香港)· 2024-05-30 13:24
欢迎参加中信证券第六期私募业务百宝箱无主期货的专题讲解这里是中信证券股票销售交易部私募与一般机构业务线本业务线专业服务于私募及一般机构客群提供卖方研究等综合军商服务如果各位投资人有业务需求欢迎垂询那我们私募百宝箱包括了私募基金管理人权生命周期的各项专业金融服务其中覆盖投研服务资产托管 行政外包交易支持股票衍生品融资融券资本引介等全链条服务今天我们是请到了中兴期货研究所股指研究员洪一舟老师为大家带来股指期货基础知识以及权益风险对冲的交易策略那么接下来我们就把时间交给洪老师好的谢谢主持人各位投资者大家下午好我是中兴期货研究所权益及其全策略所的洪一舟 那么在今天的分享当中的话我们会给各位投资者简单来介绍一下中国股指期货市场它的一些简单的一些基础概况包括我们在交易的时候会面临的一些问题以及我们在具体实践当中应该怎么去利用股指期货来对冲我们的一个资产组合那么整个PPT的内容的话会分为两部分首先第一个部分的话我们会简单介绍一下就是中银索它的一个情况 以及我们如果要去做交易的话需要注意哪些内容然后第二部分的话我们会来简单介绍一下就是实际当中我们要做对冲的话需要做哪些步骤以及我们应该怎么完成这样的一个对冲的一个策略那么首先来 ...
海直交流纪要
中信证券经纪(香港)· 2024-05-30 01:10
Summary of the Conference Call Minutes Company Overview - The company operates in the general aviation industry, specifically focusing on helicopter operations and low-altitude economy services. It has four self-owned A1 level general airports located in Shenzhen, Tianjin, Zhanjiang, and Hainan, with runways over 600 meters [1]. Key Points and Arguments Airport Operations and Profitability - Operating a general airport independently is typically unprofitable; profitability relies on business development [2]. - The company primarily focuses on helicopter operations, with approximately 70% of its business related to offshore oil services [2]. Fleet and Aircraft Models - As of March 26, the company has a fleet of 93 helicopters, including advanced models like the S92 and AW139 [2]. - The choice of aircraft models is closely linked to operational scenarios, and the company is currently observing the eVTOL (electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing) market, considering partnerships with mainstream manufacturers [2]. eVTOL Development and Infrastructure - The company has established multiple take-off and landing points, with a hub in Shenzhen, and is assessing the market for eVTOL infrastructure development [3]. - The company is exploring new business opportunities in the low-altitude economy, particularly in downstream services [4]. Pricing and Contracting - The pricing model for rescue and offshore oil services is based on a fixed monthly rental plus flight hours, which aligns with industry standards [5]. - The company has a significant reliance on offshore oil services, which account for 70% of its revenue, with contracts renegotiated every three to five years [6]. Role in Low-Altitude Economy - The company operates as a full-scenario, licensed operator in the low-altitude economy, providing customized services that integrate manned and unmanned flight operations [7]. - The company is well-positioned in Shenzhen, which is a demonstration zone for low-altitude economy development, benefiting from a robust drone industry cluster [9]. Regulatory Environment and Market Entry - The company emphasizes the high entry barriers for new regional operators due to stringent regulations and the need for comprehensive operational systems [8]. - The company is involved in pilot projects for unmanned aerial vehicle traffic management, with regulations expected to be announced by the Civil Aviation Administration [13]. Financial Management and Dividends - The company plans to increase its dividend payout from 26.5% in 2023, with future market management strategies being developed [10]. Future of eVTOL Operations - The company sees potential in collaborating with eVTOL manufacturers, although many are hesitant to engage in operational roles at this stage [11]. - The economic viability of eVTOL in tourism is still under evaluation, with no established cost models yet [12]. Air Traffic Management Policies - Recent policy changes have relaxed regulations for low-altitude operations, but the specifics of traffic management and navigation remain under exploration [14]. Additional Important Information - The company is actively engaging with the market and regulatory bodies to adapt to evolving conditions in the low-altitude economy and eVTOL sectors, indicating a proactive approach to future growth opportunities [4][9].
电力体制改革进展与展望
中信证券经纪(香港)· 2024-05-29 16:20
大家好欢迎参加中信政权电力提问 本次会议为中信证券摆名单会议仅限受邀客户参会未经中信证券和演讲嘉宾书面许可任何机构和个人不得以任何形式将会议内容和相关信息对外公布、转发、转载、传播、复制、编辑、修改等 好的谢谢小助手的介绍各位现场投资人大家下午好我是中研政策研究部政策组的豆子豪跟我在一起的还有我的同事李云翰博士今天我们主要还是围绕着电改给各位领导汇报一下电改的一个细的方向就是咱们电力信货市场后面的一个改革的内容但在这个之前我觉得因为现在大家对于电改还是比较关注的所以针对于整个电改的观点 大概做一个系统的汇报其实大家对于电改相对来说比较关注主要也是因为今年5月23号的时候总书记在山东召开的企业和专家座谈会上专门找到了咱们火箭头的领导去汇报了电力体制改革相关的内容包括其实之前5月21号的时候国家发表委员会也是印发了电力市场运行的基本规则 所以说其实相对来说大家短期对电改这个板块或者这个大的方向大家感兴趣会比较多一些而且最近的这个股价的表现也相对来说比较不错而且因为它涉及到板块也相对来说比较多那其实我们这边说电改电改一定是要解决问题那电改解决的问题是什么呢那在过去的时候我们电改解决的可能是一些树配电价呀这些主要原因 ...
海光信息深度解读
中信证券经纪(香港)· 2024-05-28 08:36
本次会议为中信证券摆名单会议,仅限受邀客户参会,未经中信证券和演讲加持 好的各位尊敬的投资人下午好 感谢大家参加我们中英证券组织的这个关于海关信息的深度报告解读的电话会我是中英记者杨泽源我和我的同事丁启 孙金阳一起今天给大家汇报我们关于海关信息的深度报告以及最新的观点 整体而言我们还是围绕三个大的维度去分享我们对海光基于现在时间点的增量的理解 首先基于现在时间点发这个报告我们考虑到也是跟后面三块内容相关的就是我们认为海光整体的现在的公司的首先发展的状态处于一个关键的拐点的状态就今年后面在产业端在产品端在生态端会有很多的进展与此同时市场现在对公司的关注度和认知度相对于无论是整个算力链的其他公司也好 或者说整个TMT相关的其他板块而言也好都相对不算高我们认为公司其实从业务来说取得了很多积极的进展同时在业绩端大家无论是去复盘一季报也好展望二季度也好甚至从全年来看也好 海光也是整个TMT或者整个计算机板块里面业绩非常好或者说最好的标的之一所以呢我们认为整个公司的经营非常好产品端有很大的进展然后呢业态端也有很多产业端有很多新的机遇我们在这个时间点首先选择发这个报告表达我们对公司的看好然后具体从逻辑来说呢我们讨论三个方向 ...
每周投资策略
中信证券经纪(香港)· 2024-05-28 08:00
投资策略 每周投资策略 1 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------|----------|----------|------------|------------|---------------------------------|----------|-----------|----------------------------------|------------|------------|--------------------| | 指数 | 收盘价 * | 1 周变动 | 1 个月变动 | 3 个月变动 | 环球主要股票市场表现 \n1 年变动 | 本年变动 | 52 周最低 | 52 周最高 | 远期红利率 | 远期市盈率 | 远期 EPS 增长率 | | MSCI ACWI 全球指数 | 791.6 | (0.4%) | 4.2% | 4.0% | 22.8% | 8.9% | 627.9 | 796.7 | 2.1% | 17.9 | 12 ...