瑞丰银行（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 601528） 公司点评 主要观点： ⚫[Table_Summary] 营收利润增速较 2024 年末小幅下降，负债成本节约显著 负债成本节约显著，风险抵补能力提升 | [Table_Rank] | 投资评级：买入（维持） | | | --- | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025-04-30 | | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | | 5.23 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | | 5.97/4.33 | | 总股本（百万股） | | 1,962 | | 流通股本（百万股） | | 1,705 | | 流通股比例（%） | | 86.92 | | 总市值（亿元） | | 103 | | 流通市值（亿元） | | 89 | [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -22% -9% 4% 16% 29% 4/24 7/24 10/24 1/25 瑞丰银行 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师：刘锦慧 执业证书号：S0010524110001 电话：183518830 ...

伟思医疗（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 688580） 公司点评 基石业务稳健，医美业务可期 [Table_Rank] 投资评级：买入（维持） 报告日期： 2025-04-30 | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（元） | 43.05 | | --- | --- | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） | 49.00/20.26 | | 总股本（百万股） | 96 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 96 | | 流通股比例（%） | 100.00 | | 总市值（亿元） | 42 | | 流通市值（亿元） | 42 | 1.【华安医药】公司点评：伟思医疗 （688580）：24Q3 盆底、康复逐步企 稳，看好医美等新品放量 2024-10-30 2.【华安医药】公司点评：伟思医疗 （688580）：2024H1 基石业务稳健， 医美板块未来可期 2024-08-30 主要观点： [公司价格与沪深 Table_Chart] 300 走势比较 -44% -20% 4% 28% 52% 4/24 7/24 10/24 1/25 伟思医疗 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师 ...

芯碁微装（ 688630） 公司点评 PCB 高端品&海外业务增长强劲，泛半导体多领域协同突破 | 投资评级：买入（维持） | | | --- | --- | | 报告日期： 2025-4-30 | | | 收盘价（元） | 72.40 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） 84.24/47.09 | | | 总股本（百万股） | 132 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 132 | | 流通股比例（%） | 100.00 | | 总市值（亿元） | 95 | | 流通市值（亿元） | 95 | 分析师：张帆 执业证书号：S0010522070003 邮箱：zhangfan@hazq.com 分析师：徒月婷 执业证书号：S0010522110003 邮箱：tuyueting@hazq.com 相关报告 1.《芯碁微装：PCB 直写光刻设备领军 企业，泛半导体业务打造新增长极》 2024-2-20 2.《2024Q3 业绩符合预期，PCB 主业 深耕+泛半导体拓展持续驱动公司成 长》2024-11-06 公司价格与沪深 300 走势比较 主要观点： 事件概况 芯碁微装于 2025 年 4 月 23 日发布 20 ...

芯碁微装（ 688630） 公司点评 PCB 高端品&海外业务增长强劲，泛半导体多领域协同突破 | 投资评级：买入（维持） | | | --- | --- | | 报告日期： 2025-4-30 | | | 收盘价（元） | 72.40 | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（元） 84.24/47.09 | | | 总股本（百万股） | 132 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 132 | | 流通股比例（%） | 100.00 | | 总市值（亿元） | 95 | | 流通市值（亿元） | 95 | 公司价格与沪深 300 走势比较 分析师：张帆 执业证书号：S0010522070003 邮箱：zhangfan@hazq.com 分析师：徒月婷 执业证书号：S0010522110003 邮箱：tuyueting@hazq.com 相关报告 1.《芯碁微装：PCB 直写光刻设备领军 企业，泛半导体业务打造新增长极》 2024-2-20 2.《2024Q3 业绩符合预期，PCB 主业 深耕+泛半导体拓展持续驱动公司成 长》2024-11-06 主要观点： 事件概况 芯碁微装于 2025 年 4 月 23 日发布 20 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 268.79 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.9%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 13.37 billion yuan, up 22.0% year-on-year [4][5] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 61.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.9%, and a net profit of 3.04 billion yuan, up 23.2% year-on-year [4][5] - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 to be between 6.48 billion and 6.75 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20%-25% [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company recorded a comprehensive gross margin of 10.4%, down from 11.6% in 2023, primarily due to losses from certain smart wearable products and temporary overcapacity in domestic production [5] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 improved to 11.2%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to ongoing internal management improvements and cost optimization [5] Business Segments - The consumer electronics segment generated revenue of 224.09 billion yuan in 2024, maintaining rapid growth through a strategy of "scene ecology, AI empowerment, and global collaboration" [6] - The communications segment achieved revenue of 18.36 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 26.3%, driven by growth in component business [7] - The automotive segment saw revenue of 13.76 billion yuan in 2024, up 48.7% year-on-year, with expectations for continued high growth in 2025 [8] Future Projections - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 17 billion yuan, 21.3 billion yuan, and 24.9 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.34, 2.94, and 3.44 yuan per share [9][10] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 13.0, 10.4, and 8.9 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [9][10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 268.79 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.9%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 13.37 billion yuan, up 22.0% year-on-year [4][5] - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 61.79 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.9%, and a net profit of 3.04 billion yuan, up 23.2% year-on-year [4][5] - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 to be between 6.48 billion and 6.75 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 20%-25% [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a comprehensive gross margin of 10.4%, down from 11.6% in 2023, primarily due to losses from certain smart wearable products and short-term overcapacity in domestic production [5] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 improved to 11.2%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to continuous internal management improvements and cost optimization [5] Business Segments - The consumer electronics segment generated revenue of 224.09 billion yuan in 2024, maintaining rapid growth through a three-pronged strategy of "scene ecology, AI empowerment, and global collaboration" [6] - The communications segment reported revenue of 18.36 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 26.3%, driven by growth in component business [7] - The automotive segment achieved revenue of 13.76 billion yuan in 2024, a significant year-on-year growth of 48.7%, with expectations for continued high growth in 2025 [8] Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 17 billion yuan, 21.3 billion yuan, and 24.9 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.34, 2.94, and 3.44 yuan per share [9][10]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The seller sentiment index is a degree - type indicator of interest rate trends. Since 2023, the seller sentiment has been mostly optimistic, corresponding to a decline in interest rates. The weekly correlation coefficient between the seller sentiment index and interest rates is - 0.44, indicating an inverse correlation [4][12]. - The seller sentiment index has weak ability to predict events/news - related shocks in advance. Most of the time, the change of the sentiment index lags behind the appearance of interest rate inflection points. The overall guiding significance for left - hand side prediction is weak, but it is useful for right - hand side response and grasping [4][13]. - The change in the views of fixed - income sellers has a significant effect on interest rate prediction. Since 2024, the winning rate is 74%, and since Q3 2024, it is 92%. The winning rate in the bond market correction since 2024 is 60% [3]. - Two indicators are constructed to measure the divergence of fixed - income sellers' views. When the divergence is high, the subsequent interest rate is likely to break out of the consolidation. The driving factors for high divergence vary, from market - driven to active changes [3][24]. - By examining the reasons of the long and short sides since 2024, some patterns are found, such as inaccurate point - based judgments from the odds perspective, supply shocks being only auxiliary negatives, the market's learning effect increasing, and risk preference changes and weak fundamentals being difficult - to - falsify negative/positive factors [4][5][30]. Summary According to the Directory 1. Bond Market Sentiment Observation - Construction and Application of Seller Sentiment Index 1.1 Construction of the Fixed - Income Seller Sentiment Index System - Based on seller views, an index for observing the bond market sentiment is constructed. Fixed - income seller views are classified into bullish, neutral, and bearish, and then weighted or unweighted and integrated to obtain the sentiment signal from the fixed - income seller perspective [11]. - When the fixed - income seller is clearly bullish, a weight of 2 points is given; slightly bullish is 1 point; neutral, slightly bearish, and bearish are 0 points, - 1 point, and - 2 points respectively. Among 61 view expressions, the number of optimistic and neutral views on the bond market is significantly higher than that of pessimistic views, which are 13, 43, and 5 times respectively [11][12]. 1.2 Relationship between Seller Sentiment and Interest Rate Trends and Whether It Is a Leading Indicator - The seller sentiment is a degree - type indicator of interest rate trends. Since 2023, the seller sentiment has been mostly optimistic, corresponding to a decline in interest rates. The weekly correlation coefficient between the seller sentiment index and interest rates is - 0.44, indicating an inverse correlation [4][12]. - The index has difficulty in predicting events/news - related shocks in advance. Most of the time, the change of the sentiment index lags behind the appearance of interest rate inflection points. Among 8 bond market inflection points from January 2024 to the present, the seller sentiment only successfully predicted one inflection point, with a relatively low winning rate [13][15][16]. 2. Application of the Seller Sentiment Index from Three Perspectives - View Changes, Divergence Trends, and Logical Similarities and Differences 2.1 View Changes - How Effective Is It in Guiding Interest Rate Trends? - By observing the change in institutional views (i.e.,环比 change), the possible trend of interest rates can be judged. The winning rate of the环比 change of institutional views in predicting interest rates is about 74%. The winning rates of predicting the 10Y Treasury bond yield for the next week and two weeks are 74% and 72% respectively. Among 10 cases of the index's环比 weakening, 6 cases were followed by an increase in interest rates, with a winning rate of 60% [18]. - The winning rate of the sentiment index in predicting interest rate trends has gradually increased. From Q3 2024 to March 2025, the winning rate of view changes in predicting interest rates in advance was about 92% [19]. - The guiding effect of view changes is better than the "benchmark winning rate" constructed by the "buy - on - up, sell - on - down" strategy. The winning rate of the most optimistic strategy in 2024 was 67%, and it dropped to 60% when extended to April this year [23]. 2.2 Long - Short Divergence - From Market - Driven to Active Changes - Two types of indicators are constructed to measure the divergence of fixed - income sellers' views: standard deviation and the Seller Divergence Index (SDI). The SDI is more accurate in reflecting divergence on some dates, while the standard deviation is more volatile and easier to observe [24][27]. - When the divergence of fixed - income sellers is high, the subsequent interest rate will choose a direction and is likely to break out of the consolidation. Among 4 cases of high divergence since 2024, there were two obvious corrections and two declines in interest rates [27]. - The driving factors for high divergence vary. In the first three cases, market movements preceded institutional view changes, while since 2025, some institutions have actively turned bearish in a sideways market, indicating an enhanced learning effect [27]. 2.3 Logical Similarities and Differences - Identification of "Pseudo - Patterns" - Judgments on points from the odds perspective may not be accurate. In 2024, interest rates declined rapidly, but there were many bearish views in the first quarter, such as "the downward space of current interest rates is limited" [30]. - Supply shocks are only temporary disturbances and auxiliary negatives. In 2024, although the market was worried about supply shocks in the second quarter, in fact, they were not the main driver of rising interest rates [31]. - The market's learning effect is increasing, and seller views are "self - evolving". After several corrections in 2024, the market gradually became less sensitive to the same factors, and seller views analyzed regulatory factors from different perspectives. Since January - February this year, the change in the sentiment index has led the interest rate trend to some extent [31]. - Risk preference changes and weak fundamentals are two difficult - to - falsify negative/positive factors. A decline in the preference for relatively high - risk assets is usually required to increase the probability of bonds winning. The bond market has been pricing in weak fundamentals since 2024, and interest rates are more sensitive when the fundamentals improve [32].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has shown a recovery in overseas business growth, with a rich pipeline of products under research and orderly construction of new production capacity [1][8] - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.509 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.76%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 219 million yuan, up 13.98% year-on-year [4][5] - The company is actively expanding its overseas production base in Mexico and exploring new markets in Europe, South America, and Southeast Asia [6][8] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's domestic sales revenue was 683 million yuan, a decrease of 5.39% year-on-year, while overseas sales revenue was 797 million yuan, an increase of 23.74% year-on-year [5][6] - The company expects revenues of 1.779 billion yuan, 2.073 billion yuan, and 2.426 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 17.9%, 16.6%, and 17.0% [8][10] - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is 267 million yuan, 318 million yuan, and 384 million yuan respectively, with growth rates of 21.5%, 19.1%, and 20.9% [8][10] Product Development and Capacity Expansion - The company has a diverse range of products under research, including key anesthesia products and various medical devices, with plans to enhance production capacity in both domestic and international markets [7][8] - New production facilities are being established in Zhaoqing, China, and Mexico, with the aim to complete the first phase of construction by Q1 2026 [7][8] Market Strategy - The company is focusing on refining its channel management and optimizing its distributor structure to adapt to the changing landscape of the medical consumables market [5][6] - A specialized procurement and public affairs department has been established to navigate government procurement policies and enhance competitive pricing strategies [5][6]

Report Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the report industry investment rating. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The escalation of the tariff event has accelerated the process of self - controllability in key areas. China is using "independent innovation" to drive "import substitution" and upgrading the high - end manufacturing supply chain [2]. - The semiconductor, computer, AI, and military industries are expected to benefit from the trend of self - controllability. The semiconductor industry is in an upward cycle, the computer industry is gradually recovering, the AI industry has more development opportunities, and the military industry shows strong resilience [7]. - Some convertible bonds, such as Xingfa Convertible Bond, Weil Convertible Bond, Daotong Convertible Bond, and Kelan Convertible Bond, are worthy of key attention [9]. Summary According to the Directory 1. Breakthrough and Establishment: Accelerated Implementation of Self - Controllability in Key Areas 1.1 Tariff Event Review - In early April 2025, the Sino - US tariff event escalated. The US continuously increased tariffs on Chinese goods, and China took counter - measures. The event objectively accelerated the process of domestic substitution [15]. 1.2 Semiconductor Industry - The self - autonomy process of the Chinese semiconductor industry has accelerated. China is considering strengthening cooperation with other regions to diversify the supply chain, but the key lies in independent innovation. The "integrated circuit origin rule" promotes the transfer of the industrial chain to the domestic market [19][20]. - In terms of semiconductor materials, China is trying to break through the import dependence on key materials such as CMP polishing materials, high - end photoresists, and electronic special gases. Some domestic companies have achieved certain results [21]. - For semiconductor chips, the tariff event has a short - term impact on imports, but it also accelerates domestic substitution. In the long run, it promotes the construction of a "de - Americanized" supply chain [24][25]. 1.3 Information Technology Application Innovation (ITAI) - The tariff event has a short - term impact on the ITAI industry but catalyzes long - term domestic substitution. The ITAI industry is upgrading from "usable" to "good - to - use" [26]. - Huawei's HarmonyOS has achieved breakthroughs in technology and ecological construction. It faces challenges in application and developer ecosystems but has the potential to form a tripartite situation with Android and iOS [28][30]. - The tariff event accelerates the R & D and iteration of domestic industrial software, promoting its market penetration and competitiveness [32][35]. 1.4 Satellite Internet - The satellite Internet industry in China has transformed from policy - driven to technology and market - driven, with a complete industrial chain. It has achieved technological breakthroughs but also faces challenges such as security protection and standardization [36][39]. 1.5 Domestic Computing Power - The domestic computing power industry is in a critical turning point from following to leading in technology. It has achieved multi - dimensional breakthroughs in basic software and hardware, and the market is in a virtuous cycle of investment and application [42][43]. 1.6 National Defense and Military Industry - The national defense and military industry has a high degree of self - controllability in the supply chain, showing strong resilience in the tariff event. The military electronics and aerospace industries have achieved system - level development [45][46]. 2. The US Imposes Tariffs on China, and the Self - Controllable Sector May Become the Dominant Force 2.1 Semiconductor Industry - The global semiconductor industry is recovering, entering an upward cycle. AI development and automotive intelligence drive the industry. Some leading companies have achieved significant performance growth. Key convertible bonds to focus on are Weil Convertible Bond and Xingfa Convertible Bond [47]. 2.2 Military Industry - In 2024, the performance of military industry listed companies showed a more significant structural differentiation. Leading enterprises maintained growth, while small and medium - sized manufacturers faced challenges [50]. 2.3 Computer Industry - In 2024, the computer industry gradually recovered. Leading enterprises achieved performance growth through innovation and market expansion. Daotong Convertible Bond is worthy of attention [56]. 2.4 AI Industry - In 2024, the AI industry had more development opportunities. Leading enterprises achieved performance growth through innovation. The industry is expected to benefit from the expansion of application scenarios and policy support. Kelan Convertible Bond is worthy of attention [58]. 3. There Are Many Relevant Convertible Bonds, and Some Can Be Focused on 3.1 Xingfa Convertible Bond - Xingfa Group has transformed from a traditional chemical enterprise to a high - end chemical new material supplier. Its business is distributed at home and abroad, and its net profit has increased significantly [61]. 3.2 Weil Convertible Bond - Weil Semiconductor is a leading global semiconductor design enterprise. Its performance has grown significantly, and it is in a leading position in the industry [63][65]. 3.3 Daotong Convertible Bond - Daotong Technology is a leading global enterprise in automotive intelligent diagnosis. Its net profit has increased steadily, and its overseas business revenue accounts for a high proportion [67]. 3.4 Kelan Convertible Bond - Kelan Software is an important participant in the financial technology field. Its performance has grown steadily, and it continues to expand its business areas [70].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a total operating revenue of 502 million yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 32.79%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 122 million yuan, up 38.90% year-on-year [4][5] - The company's core business competitiveness continues to strengthen, with the structural mechanics performance testing system generating revenue of 301 million yuan in 2024, accounting for 60.01% of total revenue, and growing by 35.79% year-on-year [5] - The company is focusing on high-reliability sensor products and has made advancements in the robotics field, with the development of a six-component torque sensor for various applications [6] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved a gross profit margin of 66.37%, which increased by 0.90 percentage points compared to 2023, and a net profit margin of 24.10%, also up by 0.90 percentage points [5] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 109 million yuan, a growth of 4.25%, and a net profit of 29 million yuan, up 5.64% [4] - The company forecasts revenues of 658 million yuan, 855 million yuan, and 1.11 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 170 million yuan, 228 million yuan, and 302 million yuan for the same years [7][10] Valuation Metrics - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.23 yuan, 1.65 yuan, and 2.18 yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 32, 24, and 18 [7][10] - The company maintains a strong return on equity (ROE) forecast, expected to reach 19.2% in 2025 and 23.0% in 2027 [10][14]