SIFANG(601126) 国泰君安·2024-09-02 11:40Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating to "Accumulate" from "Cautious Accumulate" [3][4]. Core Views - The company's H1 2024 performance meets expectations, with rapid growth in the distribution network segment and stable performance in the main network business [3][4]. - The target price for 2025 is set at 21.89 yuan, reflecting a valuation of approximately 21.02x PE for 2025 [4]. Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2024, the company achieved revenue of 3.477 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.18%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 424 million yuan, up 19.24% year-on-year [4]. - The company’s main network business generated revenue of 1.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.2%, while the distribution network segment saw revenue of 310 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 30% [4]. - The company’s sales, management, and R&D expense ratios were 6.69%, 4.20%, and 9.22%, respectively [4]. Business Segment Performance - The renewable energy business showed significant growth, with revenue from the generation side reaching 1.31 billion yuan, up 13.5% year-on-year, and the energy storage segment revenue doubling to 250 million yuan [4]. - New orders in the renewable energy sector increased by 60% year-on-year, benefiting from the rapid development of clean energy [4]. Market Data - The company's market capitalization is 13.797 billion yuan, with a total share capital of 832 million shares [5]. - The stock price has ranged between 12.77 yuan and 19.96 yuan over the past 52 weeks [5]. Financial Forecast - The company’s projected revenues for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 6.784 billion yuan, 7.927 billion yuan, and 9.149 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 728 million yuan, 866 million yuan, and 1.034 billion yuan [10]. - The EPS forecasts for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 0.87 yuan, 1.04 yuan, and 1.24 yuan, respectively [10].