Workflow
中海物业:收入业绩稳健增长,盈利能力改善

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative increase of over 15% in stock price compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [5]. Core Insights - The company reported a 9.0% year-on-year increase in main business revenue for the first half of 2024, reaching 6.838 billion HKD, with a net profit of 738 million HKD, up 16.0% year-on-year [1][2]. - The company's comprehensive gross profit margin improved from 16.0% in 2023 to 16.8% in 2024, attributed to strict cost control measures [1][2]. - The company added 2.12 million square meters of managed area in the first half of 2024, with a total managed area increasing to 42.3 million square meters [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue: - 2022A: 11,334.7 million HKD - 2023A: 13,220.9 million HKD - 2024E: 15,008.9 million HKD - 2025E: 16,960.1 million HKD - 2026E: 18,825.7 million HKD - Year-on-year growth rates: 2023A: 16.6%, 2024E: 13.5%, 2025E: 13.0%, 2026E: 11.0% [1][4]. - Net Profit: - 2022A: 1,137.3 million HKD - 2023A: 1,342.5 million HKD - 2024E: 1,579.0 million HKD - 2025E: 1,835.2 million HKD - 2026E: 2,115.7 million HKD - Year-on-year growth rates: 2023A: 18.0%, 2024E: 17.6%, 2025E: 16.2%, 2026E: 15.3% [1][4]. - Earnings Per Share (EPS): - 2022A: 0.35 HKD - 2023A: 0.41 HKD - 2024E: 0.48 HKD - 2025E: 0.56 HKD - 2026E: 0.64 HKD [1][4]. - Return on Equity (ROE): - 2023A: 36.5% - 2024E: 32.2% - 2025E: 27.7% - 2026E: 24.6% [1][4]. Business Development - The company has seen a shift in its service structure, with an increase in the proportion of third-party and non-residential projects, enhancing its resilience in a challenging market [1][2]. - The non-residential value-added services revenue decreased to 9.11 billion HKD in the first half of 2024, accounting for 13.3% of total revenue, primarily due to adjustments in service offerings [1][2].