LIUGONG(000528) 华鑫证券·2024-10-29 08:40Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" investment rating for the company [2][4]. Core Insights - The company's performance has significantly improved due to its quality enhancement and efficiency improvement strategy, with a notable increase in revenue and profit margins [2][3]. - The construction machinery market, particularly the excavator and loader segments, is experiencing a recovery, which has positively impacted the company's financial results [2][3]. - The company is actively expanding its overseas market presence, achieving substantial growth in international sales [2][3]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported a revenue of 22.856 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.25%, and a net profit of 1.321 billion yuan, up 59.82% year-on-year [2]. - In Q3 2024 alone, the company achieved a revenue of 6.796 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.81% year-on-year growth, and a net profit of 337 million yuan, which is a 58.74% increase year-on-year [2]. - The company's gross margin for Q1-Q3 2024 was 23.48%, an increase of 2.83 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 5.94%, up 2.00 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Market Trends - The construction machinery market is recovering, with excavator sales increasing by 10.8% year-on-year and loader sales growing by 4.98% year-on-year as of September 2024 [2]. - The company's construction machinery segment accounted for 61.87% of its revenue in H1 2024, with this segment's revenue reaching 9.937 billion yuan, a 15.91% increase year-on-year [2]. International Expansion - The company reported overseas revenue of 7.712 billion yuan in H1 2024, marking an 18.82% year-on-year increase, with growth in both mature and emerging markets [2]. - The gross margin for overseas operations was 29.09%, which is 10.94 percentage points higher than the domestic gross margin, indicating a strong performance in international markets [2][3]. Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 30.034 billion yuan, 35.024 billion yuan, and 38.921 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively [4]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.75 yuan, 1.05 yuan, and 1.29 yuan for the same years, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 16.0, 11.3, and 9.2 [4].