巨星科技：业绩稳定增长，电动工具发展顺利

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" rating for the company, with a target price of 36.20 CNY, corresponding to a 20x dynamic PE for 2024 [4][5][17]. Core Insights - The company has shown stable revenue growth, achieving 11.084 billion CNY in revenue for the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 28.73%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.935 billion CNY, also up by 28.50% year-on-year [1][4]. - The electric tool business is progressing well, with significant orders from major clients, indicating a strong market position and potential for future growth [3][4][17]. - The overall demand in the global tool market is recovering, benefiting from the end of inventory destocking by downstream customers, which aligns with the company's strategy to enhance brand loyalty and expand its own brand products [4][17]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 137.2 billion CNY, 169.5 billion CNY, and 209.3 billion CNY for 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 25.5%, 23.5%, and 23.5% [4][17]. - Net profits are expected to be 21.73 billion CNY, 26.49 billion CNY, and 32.39 billion CNY for the same years, with growth rates of 28.5%, 21.9%, and 22.3% [4][17]. Margin Analysis - The gross margin for Q3 2024 was reported at 32.91%, an increase from 32.70% in Q2 2024, attributed to the optimization of product structure and cost stabilization [2][13]. - The net profit margin for Q3 2024 was 17.15%, slightly down from 23.53% in Q2 2024, influenced by fluctuations in the RMB/USD exchange rate and changes in investment income [2][13]. Business Segment Performance - The hand tools segment generated 45.46 billion CNY in revenue for H1 2024, a 29.95% increase year-on-year, while the electric tools segment saw a 35.13% increase, reaching 4.75 billion CNY [3][12]. - The industrial tools segment achieved 16.30 billion CNY in revenue, up 19.67% year-on-year, indicating robust performance across all product categories [3][12]. Valuation Analysis - The company’s PE ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 15.8, 13.0, and 10.6, respectively, which are lower than the average PE ratios of comparable companies in the industry [15][17]. - The report suggests that the company's valuation is reasonable given its global business layout and competitive advantages in the industry [15][17].