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信德新材:2024年三季报点评:业绩逐步探底,需求拐点将至

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price adjusted to 36.29 CNY [3][5]. Core Views - The company is a leader in the anode coating materials industry, experiencing a gradual bottoming out of performance. Future recovery is anticipated with the promotion of fast-charging technology and silicon-based materials [3][5]. - The company has faced losses due to intensified industry competition, leading to a downward revision of EPS forecasts for 2024-2025 to 0.01 CNY and 0.72 CNY, respectively, with a new 2026 EPS forecast of 1.16 CNY [5][6]. - Despite a 19.4% year-on-year decline in revenue to 565 million CNY in the first three quarters of 2024, the company showed improvement in gross margin, reaching 8.23% in Q3, up 0.79 percentage points from Q2 [5][6]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 1.08 billion CNY, reflecting a 13.8% increase from 2023, while net profit is expected to recover significantly to 118 million CNY by 2026 [6][12]. - The company reported a net loss of 15 million CNY in the first three quarters of 2024, compared to a profit of 41 million CNY in 2023 [5][6]. - The financial metrics indicate a significant drop in net profit margin, with a forecasted net profit margin of 0.7% in 2024, improving to 7.2% by 2026 [12]. Market Data - The company's stock price has fluctuated between 21.57 CNY and 50.12 CNY over the past 52 weeks, with a total market capitalization of 2.833 billion CNY [7][8]. - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 1.0 at the current price, indicating a fair valuation relative to its book value [8][12]. Industry Position - As the only publicly listed company in the anode coating materials sector, the company holds a unique market position with scarcity advantages [5][12]. - The company is expanding its supply chain by acquiring an 80% stake in Chengdu Yutai, enhancing its competitive edge in the coating materials industry [5][12].