Flat(601865) 山西证券·2024-11-08 12:02Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [2][3]. Core Views - The photovoltaic glass industry is currently experiencing a supply-demand mismatch, leading to a decline in profitability for the company in Q3. The average price of 2.0mm photovoltaic glass fell by 21.7% compared to Q2, impacting the company's profit margins significantly [3]. - Despite the challenges, the company has shown strong operational cash flow growth, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 3.02 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a substantial increase year-on-year [3]. - The company is expected to see inventory levels return to reasonable levels by the first half of 2025, with potential price recovery anticipated [2]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 14.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 8.1%, and a net profit of 1.3 billion yuan, down 34.2% year-on-year [2]. - In Q3 alone, revenue was 3.91 billion yuan, reflecting a 37.0% year-on-year decline and a 21.4% quarter-on-quarter decline. The net profit for Q3 was -200 million yuan, a significant drop of 123.0% year-on-year [2]. - The company's gross margin for the first three quarters of 2024 was 19.0%, down 2.2 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross margin for Q3 was only 6.0%, down 18.5 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are projected to be 0.45 yuan, 0.79 yuan, and 1.37 yuan, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios are expected to be 55.3, 31.8, and 18.4 [2][6].