景业智能：业绩受减值拖累，核与非核业务正常推进

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Jingye Intelligent (688290 SH) with a target price of 37 62 yuan per share [2] Core Views - Jingye Intelligent's Q1-3 2024 revenue reached 1 49 billion yuan, up 15 66% YoY, but net profit was dragged down by credit impairment losses of 12 65 million yuan, resulting in a net loss of 7 24 million yuan [1] - Q3 2024 revenue was 545 9 million yuan, up 49 86% YoY, but net profit was -5 42 million yuan due to a 12 65 million yuan credit impairment loss [1] - The company's nuclear-related business is progressing steadily, with significant order growth in the spent fuel reprocessing segment and stable orders in the nuclear fuel manufacturing segment [1] - Non-nuclear businesses, including military and nuclear medicine, are actively expanding, leveraging the company's expertise in nuclear industry products [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024E is projected at 364 million yuan, with a YoY growth of 42 6%, and is expected to reach 779 million yuan by 2026E [4] - Net profit for 2024E is forecasted at 64 million yuan, with a significant YoY growth of 84 7%, and is expected to reach 214 million yuan by 2026E [4] - EPS for 2024E is estimated at 0 63 yuan per share, increasing to 2 10 yuan per share by 2026E [4] Business Segments - The nuclear-related business is a key driver, with strong demand for intelligent equipment in spent fuel reprocessing and nuclear fuel manufacturing [1] - The company is actively expanding into non-nuclear sectors, including military and nuclear medicine, leveraging its expertise in nuclear industry products [1] Valuation and Growth Prospects - The report values Jingye Intelligent at 60x PE for 2024, reflecting its unique position in the nuclear and spent fuel sectors and its potential for rapid revenue growth [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the gradual advancement of spent fuel projects and its expansion into new growth areas such as nuclear medicine and military applications [1] Financial Ratios - The company's ROE is expected to improve from 4 8% in 2024E to 12 7% in 2026E, driven by revenue growth and improved profitability [26] - The P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 57 76 in 2024E to 17 26 in 2026E, reflecting expected earnings growth [26]