BOSIDENG(03998) 浙商证券·2024-11-29 05:23Investment Rating - Buy (Maintained) [4] Core Views - Bosideng's FY25 interim report shows strong performance with revenue of RMB 8.8 billion (YoY +17.8%), operating profit of RMB 1.47 billion (YoY +19.6%), and net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 1.13 billion (YoY +23.0%), all reaching historical highs for the same period [2] - The down jacket business grew significantly, contributing RMB 6.06 billion (YoY +22.7%), with new functional products like sun-protective clothing and single-shell jackets driving growth during the off-season [2] - The OEM business continued to grow, with revenue of RMB 2.32 billion (YoY +13.4%), while the women's apparel segment faced pressure, with revenue declining by 21.5% to RMB 310 million [2] - Inventory and cash flow fluctuations were observed due to controlled shipment pace, with inventory reaching RMB 5.94 billion (YoY +53.4%) and operating cash flow at -RMB 3.48 billion [2] - The company is expected to achieve revenue of RMB 26.3 billion, RMB 29.7 billion, and RMB 33.5 billion for FY25, FY26, and FY27, respectively, with net profit attributable to shareholders growing at a CAGR of 15% [2] Financial Highlights - Revenue for FY25 is projected to be RMB 26.3 billion (YoY +13%), with net profit attributable to shareholders of RMB 3.54 billion (YoY +15%) [2] - Gross margin for the down jacket business was 61.1% (YoY -0.1pp), with operating profit margin improving to 20.2% (YoY +1.2pp) [2] - The Bosideng brand contributed RMB 5.28 billion (YoY +19.4%) to the down jacket segment, with a gross margin of 66.3% (YoY +0.9pp) [2] - The Snow Flying brand saw revenue growth of 47.1% to RMB 390 million, with a gross margin of 50.1% (YoY +6.0pp) [2] - The company's PE ratio is projected to be 12.2X, 10.6X, and 9.3X for FY25, FY26, and FY27, respectively, indicating attractive valuation [2] Business Segment Analysis - Down jacket business remains the core driver, with strong growth in both the Bosideng and Snow Flying brands [2] - New functional products, such as sun-protective clothing and single-shell jackets, are contributing to off-season growth [2] - The OEM business is expanding with stable core client orders and new high-quality clients [2] - The women's apparel segment is underperforming, with a 21.5% decline in revenue and an operating loss of RMB 50.42 million [2] Valuation and Outlook - The company is expected to maintain a high dividend payout ratio, with a projected payout ratio exceeding 80% for the next three fiscal years [2] - The stock is considered undervalued with a low PE ratio and strong growth prospects, supported by the development of functional outerwear and lightweight down products [2] - The report maintains a "Buy" rating, highlighting the company's low valuation, stable growth, and high dividend attributes [2]