Flat(601865) 光大证券·2025-04-02 07:41Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future investment returns [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 18.683 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 13.20% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.007 billion yuan, down 63.52% year-on-year [1]. - The photovoltaic glass segment showed a stable increase in sales volume, with a 3.70% year-on-year rise to 1.265 billion square meters, although the average selling price (ASP) dropped significantly by 17.59% to 13.30 yuan per square meter [2]. - The company is expected to recover its profitability in 2025 due to recent price recoveries in photovoltaic glass and the optimization of comprehensive costs from new production capacities [2]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company experienced a revenue decline of 27.67% year-on-year, resulting in a net loss of 289 million yuan, a decrease of 136.54% compared to the previous year [1]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 decreased by 6.31 percentage points to 15.50%, with an increase in the expense ratio by 0.47 percentage points to 7.45% [3]. Business Segments - The engineering glass segment saw a revenue drop of 13.83% to 502 million yuan, while the home glass segment's revenue decreased by 6.10% to 308 million yuan [3]. - The float glass segment's revenue fell by 17.35% to 283 million yuan, with a slight increase in gross margin to -3.59% [3]. Future Outlook - The company plans to gradually start operations at its Anhui and Nantong projects based on market conditions, aiming to maintain its production capacity advantage [4]. - The company is also expanding its overseas production capacity, with plans to build photovoltaic glass furnaces in Indonesia to meet regional demand [4]. Profit Forecast - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 1.504 billion yuan, 2.148 billion yuan, and 2.720 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a significant downward revision of 66% and 56% for 2025 and 2026 [4][5].