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金发科技(600143):交接覆盖:扣非后净利润同比增长240.13%,公司加速推进海外供应能力

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2][15]. Core Views - The company's recurring net profit increased by 240.13% year-on-year in 2024, driven by stable growth in sales volume and gross profit from modified plastics and special engineering plastics in various industries [11][12]. - The company is accelerating its overseas supply and service capabilities, with significant production capacity established in Vietnam and other regions, enhancing global competitiveness [13][14]. - The company is actively exploring emerging fields such as robotics, leveraging its materials to meet performance requirements in this sector [14]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of Rmb 60.514 billion, a year-on-year increase of 26.23%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of Rmb 825 million, up 160.36% year-on-year [11][12]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a net profit after deducting non-recurring items increase of 168.63% year-on-year, with operating revenue of Rmb 15.666 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 49.06% [12]. - The company expects net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be Rmb 1.457 billion, Rmb 1.976 billion, and Rmb 2.402 billion respectively, with a target price of Rmb 13.75 based on a P/E ratio of 25 times for 2025 [15]. Business Segment Performance - The modified plastics segment is projected to maintain a sales volume growth rate of 20.78% in 2024, with a revenue forecast of Rmb 32.481 billion for 2025 [8][10]. - The green petrochemical segment is expected to improve its gross profit margin from 0% in 2025 to 8% by 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [7][10]. - The company’s overseas business achieved a sales volume of 233,500 tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 29.51%, with overseas revenue reaching Rmb 8.792 billion [13][14].